
国际货币基金组织一位高级官员周四表示,由于中国经济正濒临通缩,中国必须推出更大规模的财政刺激措施。
China must deliver bigger fiscal stimulus as its economy teeters on deflation, a senior International Monetary Fund official said on Thursday.
“我们欢迎中国为经济提供的财政支持。但在我看来,其规模和范围都相当有限,”国际货币基金组织亚太部主管克里希纳·斯里尼瓦桑在新闻发布会上表示。
"We welcome the fiscal support China has provided to the economy. But in our view, it is quite limited in size and scope," Krishna Srinivasan, director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, told a press conference.
在其《世界经济展望》(WEO)报告中,国际货币基金组织预测,由于国内需求疲软,中国今年的经济增长将放缓至4.5%,低于2025年的5.0%。报告还预计,到2027年,经济增长将进一步放缓至4.0%。
In its World Economic Outlook (WEO), the IMF projected China's economic growth to slow to 4.5% this year from 5.0% in 2025 due to weak domestic demand. It expects growth to slow further to 4.0% in 2027.
“中国的大部分增长都来自外部需求,因此我们长期以来所讨论的经济再平衡尚未真正实现,”斯里尼瓦桑说。
"Most of the growth in China is explained by external demand, and so the rebalancing, which we've been talking about for some time, has not really materialized," Srinivasan said.
“我们认为,在短期内还需要更大规模的财政刺激,直到经济重新实现通胀,”他表示,并呼吁在一个“濒临通缩”的经济体中推动物价上涨。他还指出,中国的房地产危机“持续了太久”,并重申了国际货币基金组织的建议,即采取政策来振兴房地产行业,例如提升家庭信心以及建立社会保障网络等措施。
"We think that a lot more is needed in terms of fiscal stimulus in the near term until the economy reflates," he said, calling for the need to push up prices in an economy "teetering on deflation." He also said China's property crisis has "lingered for too long," reiterating the IMF's proposal to take policies to rehabilitate the real estate sector such as steps to boost household confidence and build social safety nets.