惠西拉，阿拉斯加“修建管线！修建管线！修建管线！”口号在体育中心回荡，参议员丹·沙利文正在煽动人群。当特朗普总统登台参加周二的中期选举集会时，口号再次响起。
Wasilla, Alaska‘Build the line! Build the line! Build the line!”The chant roars through the sports center as Sen. Dan Sullivan revs up the crowd. It’s unleashed again when President Trump occupies the stage for his Tuesday midterm rally.
人群在欢呼一项提议中的800英里液化天然气管道项目，该项目将为该州带来就业、能源和财富盛宴。这是一个政客们数十年来未能兑现的项目，但如今距离批准仅一步之遥——前提是阿拉斯加人不要在11月3日投票支持政治和经济自杀。
The crowd is cheering a proposed 800-mile liquefied-natural-gas pipeline that would mean jobs, energy and a cash bonanza for the state. It’s a project politicians have failed to deliver for decades, but it’s tantalizingly close to approval. That is, if Alaskans don’t vote on Nov. 3 for political and economic suicide.
这就是这里参议院选举的选择，现任参议员沙利文若想击败民主党人玛丽·佩尔托拉，就必须把这个信息传达给选民。阿拉斯加人对生活成本的不满与全美48州其他地区一样严重（由于偏远，这里的物价甚至更高），许多选民对奖励执政党毫无兴趣。沙利文的使命是提醒阿拉斯加——一个几乎完全受制于联邦政策的州——情况可能更糟。投票给佩尔托拉就是在赋能左翼，而左翼决心摧毁阿拉斯加经济。投票反对佩尔托拉也意味着否决唯一一位能够直接触及总统的阿拉斯加参议员。
That’s the choice in the Senate election here, the message the incumbent, Mr. Sullivan, needs to land if he wants to beat Democrat Mary Peltola. Alaskans are as bitter as lower-48ers about affordability (prices are even higher in this remote state), and many voters are unenthusiastic about rewarding the party in charge. Mr. Sullivan’s mission is to remind Alaska—a state almost wholly at the mercy of federal policy—that things could be worse. That a vote for Mrs. Peltola is a vote to re-empower a left determined to kill the Alaskan economy. And a vote to dismiss the only Alaskan senator with the president’s ear.
考虑到对手正巧妙地利用选民短暂的记忆，这绝非易事。佩尔托拉是该州最知名的民主党人——她曾于2022年至2025年代表阿拉斯加州出任众议员。然而在竞选演讲中，你可能不知道她是否听说过查克·舒默。她正强调自己的阿拉斯加原住民根源，将自己塑造为独特地了解该州需求的人。她猛烈抨击“华盛顿政客”，将沙利文称为“谋私利”，并指责他“腐败”，在“操纵体制”以对抗“最后边疆”居民。
That’s no easy feat given an opponent who is capably capitalizing on short voter memories. Mrs. Peltola is the state’s best-known Democrat—having represented Alaska in the House from 2022 to 2025. Yet on the stump you might not know she’s ever heard of Chuck Schumer. She’s leaning into her Native Alaskan roots, positioning herself as uniquely cognizant of the state’s needs. She excoriates “politicians in D.C.” like the “self-dealing” Mr. Sullivan as “corrupt” and “rigging the system” against Last Frontier residents.
在活动中，她将阿拉斯加的物价问题归咎于特朗普的政策，尤其是关税，以及沙利文。她赞扬之前的共和党领导人——比如她在众议院的前任、已故的唐·扬，因为他们把“阿拉斯加利益”放在首位。沙利文的挑战是驳斥这种对近期历史的非凡改写。两年前，阿拉斯加面临经济悬崖。乔·拜登在任四年期间，将环保左翼的议程强加于该州，发布了70多项针对其经济的命令和行动。
At events, she blames Trump policies, tariffs in particular, and Mr. Sullivan for Alaska’s price problems. She praises prior Republican leaders—like her House predecessor, the late Don Young, for having put “Alaska first.”Mr. Sullivan’s challenge is to refute this remarkable rewrite of recent history. Two years ago, Alaska faced an economic cliff. Joe Biden spent four years imposing the environmental left’s agenda on the state, issuing more than 70 orders and actions against its economy.
他禁止石油和天然气租赁、采矿项目和木材采伐。他封锁土地和渔业，并禁止修建新道路。他微薄的国防预算使阿拉斯加的军事设施陷入困境。在一个几乎所有经济都基于石油和天然气、军事、采矿和海鲜的州，这简直是经济死刑。
He banned oil and gas leases, mining projects and timber harvests. He locked up land and fisheries and barred new roads. His paltry defense budgets starved Alaska’s military installations. In a state where nearly all the economy is based on oil and gas, the military, mining and seafood, this was an economic death sentence.
佩尔托拉夫人在那些年里担任忠实助手长达两年半。她大约90%的时间都按党派投票，包括投票损害本州利益。她反对一项强制增加近海及国家石油储备石油天然气租赁的法案。她反对为液化天然气项目提供贷款担保。2024年，当她联合提案的一项旨在推翻拜登政府在北极国家野生动物保护区和国家石油储备石油封锁的法案终于提交表决时，她屈服于压力，投了“弃权”票。
Mrs. Peltola served as a loyal assistant for 2½ of those years. She voted her party roughly 90% of the time, including votes to kill her own state. She voted against a bill to mandate more oil and gas leases offshore and in the National Petroleum Reserve. She voted against loan guarantees for the LNG project. In 2024, when a bill she co-sponsored to reverse the Biden administration’s oil lockup in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and the National Petroleum Reserve finally came up, she bowed to pressure and voted “present.”
那是在她勉强出席的时候。佩尔托拉夫人在众议院的短暂生涯以长期缺席为特征。记录显示，她在第118届国会中缺席了17.2%的投票——与她在阿拉斯加州议会10年里缺席的18.6%的投票比例相似。也许这就是为什么她在民主党执政期间也未能让任何一项法案签署成为联邦法律。（她的继任者尼克·贝吉奇 Jr. 本届任期已推动九项法案成为法律。）
That was when she bothered to show up. Mrs. Peltola’s short House career was marked by chronic absenteeism. Records show she missed 17.2% of the votes in the 118th Congress—mirroring the 18.6% of votes she missed in her 10 years in the Alaska House. Maybe that’s why she failed to get a single bill signed into federal law, even under a Democratic administration. (Nick Begich Jr., her successor, has shepherded nine bills into law this term.)
阿拉斯加的噩梦随着特朗普先生重返白宫而结束。除了物价上涨，第49州的前景很少如此乐观。在舞台上，沙利文先生撕毁了那份列有70项拜登政策的清单——他将其命名为“最后边疆封锁”——引来雷鸣般的掌声。他指出，特朗普先生始终专注于阿拉斯加的繁荣，并回顾了取得的进展。
Alaska’s nightmare ended with Mr. Trump’s return to office. Elevated prices aside, things have rarely looked more optimistic for the 49th state. On stage, Mr. Sullivan rips up his list of those 70 Biden actions—a document he entitled the “Last Frontier Lockup”—to riotous applause. He notes that Mr. Trump has put unrelenting focus on Alaskan prosperity and recounts the progress.
就职当天，特朗普先生签署了一项完全针对阿拉斯加的行政令，撤销了拜登的政策，并指示联邦机构最大限度地发挥该州的经济机遇。联邦政府已重新开放北极国家野生动物保护区。他们已向国家石油储备敞开大门，并举行了一场创纪录的租赁拍卖。新油田正在投产，为输油管道注入油源。华盛顿正在简化许可流程，石油公司正纷纷涌回北方。
On Inauguration Day Mr. Trump issued an order entirely dedicated to Alaska that rescinded Biden policies and ordered federal agencies to maximize the state’s economic opportunities. The feds have restarted the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. They’ve thrown open the National Petroleum Reserve and held a record-breaking lease sale. New fields are coming online, filling the pipeline. Washington is streamlining permits, and oil players are rushing back north.
特朗普团队批准了安布勒路项目，开启了通往富矿区的通道。它实施了渔业监管改革。废除无路区规则将重新开放通加斯国家森林。军事扩张正在为导弹防御、基地升级以及（迟到的）四艘破冰船母港带来资金和就业机会，这是唯一拥有海冰的州。还有真正实现“线”的机会，即液化天然气项目。特朗普先生正承诺一项500亿美元的韩国投资，该协议尚未最终敲定，但正在给阿拉斯加人带来真正的希望。
The Trump team approved the Ambler Road project, opening access to a rich mining area. It enacted regulatory fishing reform. Its roadless rule repeal would reopen the Tongass National Forest. A military buildup is sending money and jobs for missile defense, base upgrades, and (belatedly) home ports for four icebreakers in the only state with sea ice. And a real chance at the “line,” the LNG project. Mr. Trump is vowing a $50 billion South Korean investment, a deal that isn’t finalized but is giving Alaskans real hope.
沙利文先生不能公开说，但更精明的阿拉斯加人明白，这些成果取决于他与总统的个人关系。特朗普先生对参议员丽莎·默科夫斯基怀有特殊的厌恶，因为她过去曾投反对票，反对他的议程，并在2021年弹劾审判中投票支持定罪。如果沙利文先生离开，阿拉斯加与总统的联系也将随之消失。
What Mr. Sullivan can’t publicly say but savvier Alaskans understand is that these gains come down to his personal relationship with the president. Mr. Trump has a special dislike for Sen. Lisa Murkowski, given past votes against his agenda and in favor of convicting him in his 2021 impeachment trial. If Mr. Sullivan goes away, so does Alaska’s line to the presidency.
政府会继续其现有的努力吗？也许。会授予进一步的恩惠吗？默科夫斯基-佩托拉的请求不会。总统可能会对这对搭档进行报复吗？很有可能。
Would the administration continue its existing efforts? Maybe. Would it grant further favors? Not for a Murkowski-Peltola ask. Might the president visit retribution on that duo? Quite possibly.
“选民们真的开始理解沙利文参议员不在华盛顿的后果——这将对这个州产生多么负面的影响，”凯文·格林说，他是“美国繁荣行动”组织在阿拉斯加的高级顾问，该组织有一支数十人的团队挨家挨户敲门，提醒选民注意利害关系。
“Voters are really starting to understand the ramification of a Sen. Sullivan not being in D.C.—just how negatively it will affect this state,” says Kevin Greene, senior adviser in Alaska for Americans for Prosperity Action, which has a team of dozens knocking on doors to remind voters of the stakes.
沙利文先生面临两个对手：佩托拉女士和该州荒谬的排序选择投票制度，民主党正在利用这一制度。肮脏的伎俩包括“诱饵”丹·沙利文，一位佩托拉的捐助者，现在以共和党人身份参选，他将在11月选票上与现任议员竞争。共和党人正在疯狂地教育这个共和党州，如何填写选票，以免不小心选出民主党人。如果舒默成为参议院多数党领袖，可能要归功于阿拉斯加的阴谋诡计。
Mr. Sullivan faces two opponents: Mrs. Peltola and the state’s ridiculous ranked-choice voting system, which the Democrats are gaming. The dirty tricks include “Decoy” Dan Sullivan, a Peltola donor now running as a Republican, who will share the November ballot with the incumbent. Republicans are feverishly trying to educate this Republican state on how to fill out the ballot in a way that doesn’t accidentally elect the Democrat. If Mr. Schumer becomes Senate majority leader, it could be thanks to Alaska skullduggery.
对沙利文先生来说，这是个好消息：共和党人正在关注。特朗普团队明智地避开了立场中立的安克雷奇与费尔班克斯，选择在这个全州最为保守的马特苏谷地举行集会。这一策略奏效了。周二清晨，众多特朗普的支持者便冒着夜色排起长队，为的就是能听到总统下午的演讲。他们挤满了活动中心里的每一个角落，还有更多人顶着严寒，守在室外的大屏幕前观看。
The good news for Mr. Sullivan: Republicans are tuning in. The Trump team wisely bypassed purple Anchorage and Fairbanks to rally here, in the Mat-Su Valley, the state’s most conservative borough. It paid off. Trump enthusiasts lined up in the dark on Tuesday morning, waiting hours for the president’s afternoon talk. They crammed into every available space in this center, with many more braving the cold to watch outside on a big screen.
总统的讲话依旧冗长拖沓，但他成功传达了核心信息：把选票投给佩尔托拉，这个州就彻底完蛋了。至于阿拉斯加的选民们能否做出明智的选择，我们且拭目以待。可发送邮件至 kim@wsj.com。
The president was his usual winding self, but managed to impart the key message: Vote for Mrs. Peltola, and this state is toast. We’ll see if Alaskans choose wisely.
[视频]《华尔街日报》观点：阿拉斯加能否帮共和党保住参议院多数席位？
Write to kim@wsj.com. [video] WSJ Opinion: Can Alaska Save the Senate Majority for Republicans?