
周五,英国部分最大银行的股票遭遇抛售,此前有报道称,英国政府将于本月晚些时候提高在伦敦上市的银行利润税。
Shares in some of Britain's biggest banks sold off Friday amid reports that the U.K. government will hike taxes on London-listed lenders' profits later this month.
劳埃德银行集团跌幅最大,下跌1.8%;截至伦敦时间上午11:30(美国东部时间上午6:30),NatWest股价下跌1.51%。
Lloyds Banking Group led losses, sliding 1.8%, while NatWest was 1.51% lower by 11:30 a.m. in London (6:30 a.m. ET).
巴克莱股价上涨0.13%,扭转了此前的跌幅。在伦敦上市的汇丰银行和标准渣打银行——这两家银行的利润大多来自海外——股价分别上涨1.2%和0.71%。
Barclays moved 0.13% higher, reversing earlier losses. London-listed shares of HSBC Standard Chartered— which both derive much of their profits overseas — added 1.2% and 0.71%, respectively.
财政部长约翰·希利预计将在10月28日发表其担任财政大臣后的首份预算报告时,将针对银行业的附加税从3%提高到8%。
Finance Minister John Healey is expected to raise the sector-specific surcharge on banks' profits to 8%, up from 3%, when he delivers his first budget as Chancellor, scheduled for Oct. 28.
这项附加税是在企业所得税之外征收的。此前,在里希·苏纳克领导的保守党政府于2023年执政期间,该税率已从8%下调至3%。KBW分析师在10月12日的一份报告中指出,此次提税可能每年为英国财政部带来20亿英镑(26.7亿美元)的收入,但也可能使银行利润减少6%。“核心产业”希利周四在接受彭博社采访时称,银行是英国经济皇冠上的“瑰宝”。
The levy, which sits on top of corporation tax, was earlier cut to 3% from 8% under Rishi Sunak's Conservative government in 2023. While the hike could raise £2 billion ($2.67 billion) per year for the U.K. Treasury, it could also slice 6% off lenders' earnings, KBW analysts said in a note Oct. 12. 'Core industry' Healey on Thursday described banks as the "jewel" in the U.K.'s economic crown in an interview with Bloomberg.
然而,这项拟议的附加税再次引发了人们对工党政府金融服务政策以及政府如何在该行业为公共服务融资和实现财政目标之间取得平衡的担忧。
However, the proposed levy has revived wider concerns about the Labour government's approach to financial services, and how the sector may be treated as ministers seek to fund public services and meet fiscal targets.
爱唯亚首席执行官阿曼达·布朗克表示,金融服务行业是英国的“核心产业”之一。
Amanda Blanc, CEO of Aviva said the financial services sector is one of the U.K.'s "core industries".
布朗克周五在接受CNBC《欧洲Squawk Box》节目采访时说:“我们需要做的是鼓励金融服务行业取得成功。如果你们真的相信金融服务的重要性,那么就不应该让人们在英国投资变得困难,也不应让英国的企业难以在英国进行投资。”根据普华永道的数据,英国银行的综合税率超过46%,而法兰克福的银行为38.9%,纽约的银行则约为27%。
"What you need to do is to encourage financial services to be successful," Blanc told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Friday. "My urge would be if you really believe that financial services is important, don't make it difficult for people to invest in the U.K., and for those businesses in the U.K. to invest in the U.K." U.K. banks operate with a total tax rate of more than 46%, according to PwC data. That compares to 38.9% for banks in Frankfurt and about 27% in New York.
虽然增税可能会掩盖贷款机构即将公布的第三季度财报,并拖累股价,但花旗银行的分析师表示,这份预算可能成为“清算事件”,消除贷款机构之间的不确定性。
While the tax hike could overshadow lenders' upcoming third-quarter earnings and weigh on shares, analysts at Citi said the budget could act as a "clearing event," resolving uncertainty among lenders.
花旗银行在10月14日的一份报告中表示:“对‘税收与支出(反增长)预算’的担忧,加上更广泛的地缘政治事件,推高了国债收益率。”“这对银行结构性对冲滚动带来的净利息收入有利,但也会推高股权成本,从而导致市盈率下调,并解释了为什么英国银行的交易价格存在折价。”花旗银行欧洲金融股主管安德鲁·库姆斯领导的分析师团队表示,英国银行的基本面依然稳健,并指出企业再杠杆化,贷款机构的净利息收入增长在欧洲名列前茅。
"Fears of a tax & spend (anti-growth) budget, combined with broader geopolitical events, have driven gilt yields higher," Citi said in a note Oct. 14. "This is beneficial for the banks' structural hedge roll benefit to NII, but also serves to increase CoE, which has driven a multiple de-rating and explains why U.K. banks trade at a discount." Analysts led by Andrew Coombs, Citi's head of European financials equity, said U.K. bank fundamentals remain healthy, pointing to corporate releveraging, with lenders' net interest income growth among the highest in Europe.
花旗银行预计第三季度业绩将参差不齐,巴克莱和NatWest的调整后税前利润将高于市场预期,而汇丰、劳埃德和渣打将低于市场预期。
Citi expects mixed third-quarter results, with adjusted pretax profit above consensus at Barclays and NatWest, but below at HSBC, Lloyds and StanChart.