没有人能像特朗普总统那样扮演受害者。他对自己的描绘是一位漫画书超级英雄，正与一股阴暗的力量展开孤独的战斗，这些力量企图消灭他，以便继续摧毁美国。
Nobody plays the victim like President Trump. His self-portrayal is that of a comic book superhero waging a lonely battle against sinister forces bent on eliminating him so they can get on with destroying America.
偏见的政治记者、深层国家全球主义者、不断推翻他非法权力扩张的法官和最高法院大法官、叛变的共和党人、亲共的民主党人、搭便车的美国盟友、固执拒绝承认他对世界和平作出卓越贡献的诺贝尔奖委员会。特朗普的敌人众多。
Biased political reporters, deep state globalists, judges and Supreme Court justices who keep striking down his illegal power grabs, Republican turncoats, commie Democrats, freeloading U.S. allies, a Nobel Prize committee that stubbornly refuses to recognize his superlative contributions to world peace. Trump’s foes are legion.
从教皇利奥开始，任何敢于反对或仅仅不同意我们这个皮薄爱抱怨的首席抱怨者的人，都会招致特朗普式的辱骂倾泻。这里的诀窍 — — 也就是让他的大骗局得以成功的关键 — — 是他能够说服MAGA信徒，认为他的批评者都是讨厌美国、瞧不起他们这样普通劳动者的精致精英。
From Pope Leo on down, anyone who dares oppose or simply disagree with our thin-skinned whiner-in-chief invites a fusillade of Trumpian invective. The trick here — what makes his big con work — is his ability to convince the MAGA faithful that his critics are all effete elitists who hate America and look down on ordinary working folks like them.
但事实证明，客观现实也有发言权。总统再多的灯光操纵也无法克服美国选民的真实感受。如今太多的美国工薪阶层不喜欢他们所经历的事情，而且大多数人把责任归咎于特朗普。一次又一次，他正证明自己是自己最可怕的敌人。
But it turns out that objective reality gets a vote too. No amount of presidential gaslighting can overcome the felt experience of U.S. voters. Too many working Americans don’t like what they’re experiencing today, and most blame Trump. Once again, he’s proving to be his own worst enemy.
公众（64%）强烈反对他那种反复无常的关税，而这些关税源于特朗普误以为贸易永远是零和博弈。他承诺要降低物价，但只有17%的选民认为他在控制通胀方面做得好。三分之二的选民反对他对伊朗的混乱战争，而60%的选民认为美国在这场战争中正在失利。
The public (64 percent) strongly disapproves of his capricious tariffs, which arise from Trump’s misapprehension that trade is always a zero-sum game. He promised to drive prices down, but just 17 percent of voters think he’s done a good job of handling inflation. Two-thirds oppose his muddled war with Iran, which 60 percent think America is losing.
此外，总统对加拿大、丹麦及其他美国盟友的无端攻击、他的报复性起诉以及他疯狂的股票和加密货币交易也深不得人心 — — 这些交易即使在通胀侵蚀了美国工薪阶层工资增长的情况下，也让他个人富裕了20亿美元。得益于他残酷的驱逐策略，特朗普甚至在移民问题上也陷入了不利境地。
Also unpopular are the president’s gratuitous attacks on Canada, Denmark and other U.S. allies, his revenge prosecutions and his frenetic stock and crypto trading, which has made him $2 billion richer even as inflation erases working Americans’ wage gains. Thanks to his brutal deportation tactics, Trump is even underwater on immigration.
几乎可以说，特朗普的标志性政策就是为了伤害他最忠实的支持者而设计的。即便是60%的非大学教育白人选民也认为，他在生活成本危机上搞砸了。而农业社区正遭受特朗普混乱的贸易战以及他冲动地再次陷入中东泥潭的双重打击。
It’s almost as if Trump’s signature policies were designed to inflict damage on his most loyal supporters. Even 60 percent of non-college whites think he’s flubbed the cost of living crisis. And farming communities are reeling from the double whammy of Trump’s chaotic trade wars and his impulsive stumbling into yet another Middle East quagmire.
关税推高了化肥、犁、带刺铁丝网、农具、农药及其他必需品的价格。伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡升级对船只的袭击，推高了汽油成本，并使柴油价格翻了一番。
Tariffs raise prices for fertilizer, plows, barbed wire fencing, tools, pesticides and other necessities. Iran’s escalating attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz raise gas costs and have doubled the price of diesel fuel.
与此同时，作为对特朗普保护主义的报复，我们的贸易伙伴减少了对美国大豆、玉米和猪肉等农产品的采购。我的同事埃德·格雷瑟报道称，今年农业收入下降了90亿美元，而支出上升了50亿美元，破产案件正在增加。
Meanwhile, our trading partners are buying fewer U.S. farm exports like soybeans, corn and pork in retaliation for Trump’s protectionism. My colleague Ed Gresser reports that bankruptcies are rising as farm income has fallen $9 billion this year, while expenses are up $5 billion.
特朗普过去两年施政失当的另一个关键指标，是他2024年获胜联盟的瓦解。与选举日相比，他在女性选民中下降了12个百分点，年轻选民中下降了9个百分点，拉丁裔选民中下降了16个百分点，无党派选民中下降了21个百分点。
Another key measure of Trump’s misrule over the past two years is the unraveling of his winning 2024 coalition. He’s down 12 points from his Election Day tally with women, nine points with young voters, 16 points with Latinos and 21 points with independents.
特朗普二世开始看起来像特朗普一世。不可忘记的是，他的第一任期以彻底的失败告终，选民拒绝给他第二个任期，并将白宫交给了乔·拜登——这是特朗普在三次尝试中都未能实现的多数票胜利。根据他的2020年民调专家托尼·法布里齐奥的说法，特朗普失败的主要原因是选民认为他在面对最大挑战——新冠疫情——时处理失当，该疫情在他任期结束时已造成40万美国人死亡。
Trump II is beginning to look like Trump I. Lest we forget, his first term ended in abject failure, as voters denied him a second term and gave Joe Biden something Trump hasn’t achieved in three tries — a majority victory. According to his 2020 pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Trump lost mainly because voters thought he fumbled the biggest challenge he faced — the COVID-19 pandemic that killed 400,000 Americans by the end of his term.
他的第二任期表现更加糟糕，很大程度上是因为软弱无能的国会共和党人放弃了宪法赋予他们的职责，任由特朗普为所欲为。
His second term performance has been even more shambolic, largely because spineless congressional Republicans have abdicated their Constitutional duties and let Trump run wild.
被他抢尽风头所掩盖的，由共和党主导的第119届国会正逐渐建立起“记忆中最不务实”的声誉。“根据《华盛顿邮报》的分析，本届国会签署成为法律的法案数量少于过去30年中的任何一届国会，”报道称。
Obscured by his spotlight-hogging, the Republican-run 119th Congress is building a reputation as the least productive in memory. “The current Congress has had fewer bills signed into law than any other Congress of the last 30 years,” according to a Washington Post analysis.
一些共和党人感到尴尬。“这是一个缺乏雄心的国会，”肯塔基州共和党参议员兰德·保罗（Rand Paul）说，指责他的同僚们成了特朗普的橡皮图章。当路易斯安那州共和党众议员迈克·约翰逊（Mike Johnson）议长宣布众议院休会七周进行中期休息时，南卡罗来纳州共和党众议员拉尔夫·诺曼（Ralph Norman）干巴巴地指出，“开国元勋从未设想过会有这么长时间的休假，而且仍然拿到工资。”
Some Republicans are embarrassed. “This is a Congress without ambition,” said Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), accusing his colleagues of being a rubber stamp for Trump. When Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) adjourned the House for a seven-week midterm recess, Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) dryly noted, “The founders did not envision taking this much time off and still getting paid.”
但请给特朗普应有的认可：在一次失败后两次当选总统是一项罕见且令人印象深刻的政治成就——只有他和格罗弗·克利夫兰共享这一荣誉。然而，治理并不在他的能力范围内。他认为治理是关于增强他的权力；选民则认为治理是关于帮助他们解决问题。
But give Trump his due: Getting elected president twice after losing once is a rare and impressive political achievement — one he shares only with Grover Cleveland. Governing, however, isn’t in his skill set. He thinks it is about augmenting his power; voters think it is about helping them solve their problems.
伟大的总统会动员美国人共同面对威胁和挑战。特朗普通过分化和征服手段获取权力的方式，正是民主领导的反面。而他的拿破仑式自大驱使他宣称自己正在获胜，即使很明显他的政策正在适得其反。
Great presidents rally Americans to confront common threats and challenges. Trump’s divide and conquer method of gaining power is the antithesis of democratic leadership. And his Napoleonic self-regard impels him to claim he’s winning even when it’s obvious his policies are backfiring.
特朗普无法承认错误，更不用说从错误中学习了，这使他变得危险。但美国选民在看到和感受到时，就会认识到治理上的无能，并且很可能在十一月让他的政党为此付出代价。
Trump’s inability to admit mistakes, let alone learn from them, makes him dangerous. But U.S. voters know governing incompetence when they see and feel it and will likely make his party pay for it in November.
威尔·马歇尔（Will Marshall）是进步政策研究所的创始人兼总裁。
Will Marshall is founder and president of Progressive Policy Institute.