纽约联邦储备银行周五发布的一份报告显示，服务业领域的商业领袖在10月报告称普遍面临定价困难，且对未来活动前景持悲观态度。
Service sector business leaders reported widespread pricing woes in October and a downbeat outlook for activity, according to a report released Friday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
该行在其最新发布的当月《商业领袖调查》报告中表示，“投入品价格上涨的速度依然迅猛，销售价格上涨加快至2022年以来的最快步伐”，并补充称“供应可用性继续恶化”。报告发现，商业领袖面临的价格压力出现之际，商业环境“远比正常情况差”，企业对前景的预期更加悲观。报告称，当前商业活动也有所减弱，总体指数下跌12点，降至负20.7，为自3月以来的最低读数。
“The pace of input price increases remained sharp, and selling price increases picked up to the fastest pace since 2022,” the bank said in its latest Business Leaders Survey for the current month, adding “supply availability continued to worsen.”The price pressures faced by the company leaders came as the report found that the business climate was “much worse than normal” with firms becoming more pessimistic about the outlook. Current business activity also weakened, with the headline index dropping 12 points to negative 20.7, the weakest reading since March, the report said.
纽约联储调查所捕捉到的悲观情绪，与其他显示经济活动强劲、失业率低位稳定以及科技领域投资强劲的数据形成对比。
The sour mood captured by the New York Fed survey contrasts with other data that shows strong economic activity, low and steady unemployment and robust levels of investment tied to the technology sector.
话虽如此，该调查关于通胀的悲观发现，与一系列统计数据相呼应，这些数据显示，在总统唐纳德·特朗普的贸易关税以及以色列-美国在中东的战争所推动的能源成本飙升的持续影响下，价格压力依然强劲。
That said, the survey’s downbeat findings on inflation mirror a raft of statistics showing price pressures remain strong amid the ongoing impact of President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and the US-Israeli war in the Middle East that’s driven surging energy costs.
高通胀促使美联储上月加息，且到年底前再次加息的可能性很大。不过，美联储主席凯文·沃什周四晚间在评论中未提供任何指引，称“我不预判会议……我不相信在今年剩余时间里我们将举行的会议之前，就我可能会做什么发表意见。”
High inflation drove the Fed to hike rates last month and it’s very likely to do so again by year’s end, though in comments late Thursday, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh offered no guidance, saying “I don't prejudge meetings...I don't believe in saying now what I might do at the meetings that we have in the balance of this year."
芝加哥联储领导人奥斯坦·古尔斯比周三在雅虎财经的一次采访中表示，周三发布的消费者通胀报告“令人沮丧”，并指出“如果拆解各个组成部分，服务业通胀几乎没有改善迹象。”古尔斯比表示，“我们将需要密切关注”价格压力格局中的这一部分，“因为这并非真正来自供给冲击。”
Chicago Fed leader Austan Goolsbee, in a Yahoo Finance interview on Wednesday, said a consumer level inflation report released on Wednesday was “discouraging” and noted “if you break out the components, services inflation shows little sign of improvement.”“We’re going to need to keep a close eye” on that part of the price pressure landscape “because that's not really coming from supply shocks,” Goolsbee said.
纽约联储的调查显示价格压力恶化，恰逢政府报告称9月份进口价格激增，涨幅远超预期，达到1.1%。
The NY Fed survey pointing to rough price pressures came as the government reported a surge in import prices in September, with those costs rising by a much bigger than expected 1.1% rate.
商业领袖调查也指出资本支出计划“疲软”，并指出“供应可得性预计将继续恶化”。10月商业领袖调查的转弱，加上该行其他地区数据，表明纽约地区的环境不均衡。该行周四发布的10月帝国州制造业调查显示，尽管输入和销售价格“居高不下”，且面临供应相关挑战，整体商业状况指数升至五年来最高水平。
The Business Leaders survey also pointed to “weak” capital spending plans and while noting "supply availability is expected to continue to worsen.”The sour turn in the October Business Leaders survey, joined with other regional data from the bank, points to an uneven environment in the New York area. The bank’s October Empire State factory survey, released Thursday, saw the overall business conditions index rise to its highest level in five years amid “elevated” input and selling prices and supply-related challenges.