
由卡塔琳娜·霍伊杰 撰写 塞内加尔正在削减明年的支出,因为它正试图重组债务并从国际货币基金组织获得新的融资计划。
By Katarina Höije Senegal is cutting spending next year as it seeks to restructure its debt and secure a new financing program from the International Monetary Fund.
根据本周发布的草案预算,政府旨在将2027年的预算赤字从今年修订后的7.6%降至国内生产总值的4.7%,低于国际货币基金组织4月份对明年国内生产总值5.7%的预测。
The government aims to reduce its budget deficit to 4.7% of gross domestic product in 2027, from a revised 7.6% this year, according to its draft budget published this week. That’s below the IMF’s April forecast of 5.7% of GDP for next year.
支出预计将下降2.9%,降至7.4万亿非洲金融共同体法郎(127亿美元),而收入预计将上升2.8%,增至6万亿非洲金融共同体法郎。花旗研究在周五给客户的一份报告中表示,调整将主要由资本支出下降和支出控制收紧驱动,因为收入预测将更符合国际货币基金组织的宏观经济框架。
Expenditure is projected to fall 2.9% to 7.4 trillion CFA francs ($12.7 billion), while revenue is forecast to rise 2.8% to 6 trillion CFA francs. The adjustment will be driven mainly by lower capital spending and tighter expenditure controls, as revenue projections become more aligned with the IMF’s macroeconomic framework, Citi Research said in a note to clients Friday.
预算旨在将初级赤字(衡量利息支付前的缺口)降至477亿非洲金融共同体法郎,即国内生产总值的0.2%,而此前为4500亿非洲金融共同体法郎。它还计划在增加对弱势家庭的有针对性支持的同时减少能源补贴。
The budget targets a reduction in the primary deficit, which measures the shortfall before interest payments, to 47.7 billion CFA francs, or 0.2% of GDP from 450 billion CFA francs. It also plans to reduce energy subsidies while increasing targeted support for vulnerable households.
塞内加尔于9月与国际货币基金组织工作人员就一项22亿美元三年期贷款计划达成了工作人员级别协议,该计划需要国际货币基金组织执行董事会批准。国际货币基金组织总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃本周表示,她对在二十国集团共同框架的增强版下加速债务处理持乐观态度。
Senegal reached a staff-level-agreement with the IMF in September on a proposed $2.2 billion three-year lending program, which requires IMF executive board clearance. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva this week expressed optimism about accelerating debt treatment under an enhanced version of the Group of 20’s Common Framework.
花旗表示,鉴于债务审计尚未完成、债权人谈判复杂以及国内政治支持的不确定性,塞内加尔在11月前获得国际货币基金组织董事会批准的目标可能难以实现。
Senegal’s goal of securing IMF board approval by November may be difficult to achieve, given the unfinished debt audit, complex creditor negotiations and uncertainty over domestic political support, Citi said.
议会尚未为预算投票设定明确的时间表。花旗表示,投票时间的安排是向国际货币基金组织董事会传达政府财政紧缩承诺的重要信号。
Parliament has yet to set a clear timetable for a budget vote. Citi described the timing of the vote as an important signal to the IMF board of the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation.
塞内加尔还必须完成其内部债务审计,而其官方债权人委员会必须成立、举行谈判,并在原则上同意向西非国家提供债务减免,以便国际货币基金组织能够更好地了解债务可持续性轨迹。
Senegal must also finalize its internal debt audit while its official creditor committee must be formed, hold talks and agree in principle to provide debt relief to the West African nation to enable the IMF have a better sense of debt sustainability trajectory.
总部位于华盛顿的贷款机构在2024年暂停了塞内加尔先前的18亿美元融资方案,原因是发现前政府未报告的贷款金额达到数十亿美元。
The Washington-based lender suspended Senegal’s previous $1.8 billion funding package in 2024, following the discovery of billions of dollars of loans that weren’t reported under the former government.