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乌克兰加紧构建防御,应对俄罗斯喷气式无人机Ukraine Hurries to Build Defenses Against Russia’s Jet-Powered Drones

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利卡·沃洛维奇Lika Volovych
实验性的“Zirka”被俄罗斯最快的无人机全面压制。The experimental Zirka is outclassed by Russia’s fastest drones.

[video] UKRJET 在乌克兰中部一片田野中,一架实验性无人机冲入天空,工程师们展示了其拦截俄罗斯喷气式攻击无人机的潜力,后者正折磨着这个国家。

[video] UKRJET In a field in central Ukraine, an experimental drone zoomed into the sky as engineers demonstrated its potential to intercept Russia’s jet-powered attack drones, which are tormenting the country.

这款名为“齐尔卡”的原型机,在螺旋桨疯狂旋转中达到了每小时280英里的最高速度。测试人员承认,这还不够快。

The prototype, called a Zirka, reached a top speed of 280 miles an hour as its propellers whirred frantically. Not fast enough, the testers acknowledged.

“我们仍然需要找到一种反喷气式解决方案,”齐尔卡制造商诺克蒂斯公司的经理利卡·沃洛维奇在看着它高高飞翔时说。在地平线上,附近一座城市遭到俄罗斯无人机袭击后,浓烟升腾。

“We still need to find a counter-jet solution,” said Lika Volovych, a manager at the Zirka’s manufacturer Noctis, as she watched it buzz high above. On the horizon, black smoke rose from a Russian drone strike on a nearby city.

乌克兰正在急于寻找应对俄罗斯新一代喷气式无人机和廉价巡航导弹的办法。莫斯科正在将它们与弹道导弹和巡航导弹一起使用,在一场威胁改变战争力量平衡的空中战役中猛烈轰击乌克兰城市。

Ukraine is rushing to find an answer to Russia’s new generation of jet-powered drones and cheap cruise missiles. Moscow is using them, together with ballistic and cruise missiles, to pummel Ukrainian cities in an aerial campaign that is threatening to change the balance of the war.

SpaceX星链网络的中断可能会给某些拦截器带来额外的复杂情况。周三,乌克兰表示,SpaceX已限制无人机连接的速度,使某些任务无法进行。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基周五在布鲁塞尔表示,一些能够击落俄罗斯喷气式无人机的高速拦截器无法运行。“这非常痛苦,也非常不愉快,”他说。不过,制造商表示,大多数拦截器,包括即将推出的型号,都不使用该网络。

Disruptions to the SpaceX Starlink network could add an extra complication for some interceptors. On Wednesday, Ukraine said SpaceX had capped the speed of drone connections, disabling certain missions. Some high-speed interceptors that shoot down Russian jet drones were unable to function, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in Brussels on Friday. “It was very painful and very unpleasant,” he said. Still, most interceptors, including upcoming models, don’t use the network, their manufacturers said.

虽然俄罗斯军队在前线苦战,但莫斯科正试图通过摧毁乌克兰的经济、能源基础设施和民众士气,将其逼入绝境。数月来,乌克兰严重缺乏用于拦截弹道导弹的爱国者拦截导弹。

While Russia’s army is struggling on the front lines, Moscow is trying to bring Ukraine to its knees by battering its economy, energy infrastructure and civilian morale. For months, Ukraine has been desperately short of Patriot interceptors to shoot down ballistic missiles.

现在,它也缺乏应对能够比之前型号飞得更快、更高的喷气式无人机的防御。尽管知道俄罗斯已经研制这些无人机超过一年,乌克兰仍对其出现措手不及,正在赶紧追赶。

Now it is also short of defenses against jet-powered drones that can fly faster and higher than previous models. Ukraine has been caught flat-footed by their emergence, despite knowing that Russia had been working on them for over a year, and it is rushing to catch up.

许多针对乌克兰城市的俄罗斯无人机未被拦截。Many of the Russian drones targeting Ukrainian cities aren't being intercepted.

诺克蒂斯将Zirka的速度提高了近30%。这使其有机会击落喷气动力的Geran-4无人机,这是伊朗Shahed的先进版本,最高时速可达310英里,但在机动时会减速。

Noctis has increased the Zirka’s speed by nearly 30%. That gives it a chance of downing the jet-powered Geran-4 drone, an advanced version of the Iranian Shahed, which can reach speeds of 310 mph but slows when maneuvering.

但它几乎没有机会追上Geran-5或Banderol,后者是一种廉价巡航导弹,分别可达370和385英里每小时的速度。拦截器还需要更好的雷达。

But it has little chance of catching the Geran-5 or the Banderol, a cheap cruise missile, which can reach speeds of 370 and 385 mph, respectively. Interceptors will also need better radars.

“他们需要非常早期的探测,大约在18英里外,才能到达所需的高度和目标区域,”弗兰肯堡技术公司首席执行官Kusti Salm说,该公司是爱沙尼亚的一家企业,其小型低成本导弹正被运往乌克兰。

“They need very early detection, around 18 miles away, to get to the altitude and necessary target area,” said Kusti Salm, chief executive of Frankenburg Technologies, an Estonian company whose small, low-cost missiles are being sent to Ukraine.

据乌克兰空军发言人尤里·伊尼亚特称,9月份,俄罗斯发射了3520架喷气动力的Geran无人机,其中只有54%被拦截。伊尼亚特还表示,俄罗斯还发射了约4900架螺旋桨动力无人机,其中大约90%被拦截。

In September, Russia launched 3,520 jet-powered Geran drones, only 54% of which were intercepted, according to Yurii Ihnat, a Ukrainian air-force spokesman. Russia also launched about 4,900 propeller-powered drones, roughly 90% of which were intercepted, according to Ihnat.

9月份,俄罗斯发射了343枚Banderol导弹。据一位熟悉情况的人士透露,被拦截的数量非常少。

Russia launched 343 Banderols in September. Very few were intercepted, according to a person familiar with the matter.

如果乌克兰今年秋天能够生产足够数量的高速拦截器,同时欧洲盟国提供其他类型的防空物资,该国将面临一个艰巨但可控的局面,奥斯陆挪威国防大学学院副教授Tom Røseth表示。

If Ukraine can produce enough fast interceptors this fall, while European allies send other kinds of air-defense supplies, the country will have a difficult but manageable situation, said Tom Røseth, an associate professor at the Norwegian Defence University College in Oslo.

“否则,该国将面临严峻的社会局面,大规模罢工可能影响其国防工业生产,从而可能改变今冬战争的走向,”他说。

“Without this, the country faces a severe social situation, and mass strikes can affect its defense-industrial production, potentially changing the direction of the war this winter,” he said.

行业高管表示,乌克兰可能需要每周生产超过1000架高速拦截器,以应对俄罗斯产量的上升。

Ukraine might need to produce more than 1,000 high-speed interceptors a week to counter Russia’s rising production, industry executives say.

乌克兰国内安全局(即SBU)已发布一款新型喷气动力拦截器的影像,一位防务分析师称其最高时速可达435英里。

Ukraine’s domestic security service, known as the SBU, has released footage of a new jet-powered interceptor, which one defense analyst said could reach speeds of 435 mph.

Perennial Autonomy,一家由前谷歌首席执行官埃里克·施密特创立的美国国防技术公司,正在测试一款最高时速可达1000英里的喷气动力拦截无人机,一位发言人表示。该公司在乌克兰生产部分无人机,但未透露大规模生产何时开始。

Perennial Autonomy, a U.S.-based defense-technology company founded by former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, is testing a jet-powered interceptor drone with a top speed of 1,000 mph, a spokeswoman said. The company, which makes some of its drones in Ukraine, didn’t say when large-scale production would begin.

乌克兰国防技术公司General Cherry表示,计划在11月初与军方一起测试新型喷气动力拦截无人机,并希望在今年年底前实现每月生产数百架。

Ukrainian defense-tech company General Cherry said it plans to test a new jet-powered interceptor together with the military in early November, and hopes to produce hundreds a month by the end of this year.

获得足够的喷气发动机是一个主要障碍,乌克兰最大的国防投资者之一D3的管理合伙人Eveline Buchatskiy表示。她说,欧洲和乌克兰能够满足需求的喷气发动机制造商很少。

A big hurdle is getting enough jet engines, said Eveline Buchatskiy, managing partner of D3, one of Ukraine’s largest defense investors. Few jet-engine makers in Europe and Ukraine can meet the demand, she said.

根据一位行业高管的说法,乌克兰目前每月最多可生产500台喷气发动机,还能通过直接进口或购买发动机部件再进口几千台。

Ukraine currently produces up to 500 jet engines a month and can import a few thousand more, either directly or by purchasing engine components, according to one industry executive.

击落一架俄罗斯攻击无人机至少需要两架拦截无人机。乌克兰还需要喷气发动机用于其自身的导弹和打击无人机。

Downing a single Russian attack drone can require at least two interceptor drones. Ukraine also needs jet engines for its own missiles and strike drones.

乌克兰国防部长叶夫亨尼·赫马拉周六对记者表示,研发喷气发动机是乌克兰国防工业的优先事项,目前约有20家公司正在这一领域工作。

Yevhenii Khmara, the country’s defense minister, told journalists Saturday that developing jet engines is a priority for Ukraine’s defense industry, with about 20 companies now working in the field.

其中一家是总部位于乌克兰的Culver Aerospace,该公司正在为其自身及其他公司的无人机和导弹在国内制造喷气发动机。具备足够推力以拦截新型Geran无人机的发动机要到12月才能问世。

One of them is Ukraine-based Culver Aerospace, which is building jet engines domestically for its own and other companies’ drones and missiles. The first ones with enough thrust to catch the new Gerans won’t be available until December.

截至目前,俄罗斯的喷气发动机主要来自中国——尽管它也开始在国内生产,但这是根据乌克兰军事情报局HUR的说法。Culver的所有者奥列格·克罗特表示,北京已限制向乌克兰出售此类喷气发动机。

Russia’s jet engines have mostly come from China so far—although it is now producing them at home too, according to Ukraine’s military intelligence service, HUR. Beijing has curbed the sale of such jet engines to Ukraine, according to Culver’s owner, Oleg Krot.

他说,乌克兰需要实现本地化生产,以免依赖可能切断供应的其他国家。

Ukraine needs to localize production so it isn’t reliant on other countries that can cut off supply, he said.

与此同时,乌克兰正依靠其他方式来防御喷气式无人机,从电子战到肩扛式导弹,例如美国制造的“刺毒刺”导弹。

Meanwhile, Ukraine is relying on other ways of defending against jet drones, from electronic warfare to shoulder-launched missiles such as the U.S.-made Stinger.

最重要的是,它一直在使用喷气式战斗机,如F-16。由于空对空导弹供应紧张,乌克兰飞行员经常使用机炮。

Above all, it has been using jet fighters such as F-16s. With air-to-air missiles in short supply, Ukrainian pilots often use their cannons.

但喷气式战斗机的运行成本大约为每小时15000美元,且这还不包括其导弹、弹药和维护费用。前乌克兰防空军官、基辅国家航空大学研究员瓦列里·罗曼年科表示,俄罗斯现在以较小批次发射无人机,以让战机整天保持在空中并磨损发动机。

But a jet fighter can cost about $15,000 an hour to operate, without factoring in its missiles, ammunition and maintenance costs. Russia now launches its drones in smaller batches to keep the planes in the air all day and wear out their engines, said Valery Romanenko, a former Ukrainian air-defense officer and a researcher at Kyiv’s National Aviation University.

布朗宁等大口径机枪也正在配备计算机瞄准系统,以击中快速移动的目标。但根据防空军官的说法,新型俄罗斯无人机经常飞行在机枪射程之上的高度。“我们用手头的装备进行反击,”空军发言人伊赫纳特说。

Large-calibre machine guns such as Brownings are also being fitted with computerized targeting to hit fast-moving objects. But the new Russian drones often fly at altitudes beyond machine-gun range, according to air-defense officers. “We fight back with what we have,” said Ihnat, the air-force spokesman.

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Write to Alistair MacDonald at Alistair. Macdonald@wsj.com