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国会山报

民调:共和党众议员斯科特·佩里在宾夕法尼亚州连任竞选中微弱落后GOP Rep. Scott Perry narrowly behind in Pennsylvania reelection bid: Poll

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宾夕法尼亚州共和党众议员斯科特·佩里Rep. Scott Perry (R-Pa.)

一项针对宾夕法尼亚州关键战场选区的最新民调显示,现任众议员斯科特·佩里(共和党)以微弱劣势落后于其民主党对手。

A new poll of a key Pennsylvania battleground district shows incumbent Rep. Scott Perry (R) narrowly trailing his Democratic opponent.

新发布的萨斯奎哈纳民意调查与研究显示,佩里落后于前新闻主播珍妮尔·斯蒂尔森(民主党)三个百分点,得票率为46%,而斯蒂尔森为49%。斯蒂尔森的领先优势处于该民调的误差范围内。

The new Susquehanna Polling and Research survey, released Saturday, shows Perry trailing former news anchor Janelle Stelson (D) by three points, 49 percent to 46 percent. Stelson’s lead is within the poll’s margin of error.

斯蒂尔森也曾在2024年挑战佩里,但共和党候选人仅以一点多的优势获胜,约相当于5000票。

Stelson also challenged Perry in 2024, but the Republican won the race by just over one point, or around 5,000 votes.

佩里所代表的宾夕法尼亚州第十国会选区是该州几个可能决定未来两年众议院控制权的战场席位之一。

Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, which Perry represents, is one of a few battleground House seats in Pennsylvania that could determine which party controls the lower chamber for the next two years.

斯蒂尔森和佩里本周在选举季的唯一一场辩论中正面交锋,双方就在伊朗战争、医疗保健以及共和党众议员在2020年总统选举 aftermath 中的角色上互相攻击。

Stelson and Perry faced off this week in their only debate of the election season, in which the two traded jabs over the Iran war, healthcare and GOP representative’s role in the aftermath of the 2020 presidential election.

佩里曾投票反对认证前总统拜登在2020年宾夕法尼亚州的胜选结果,且联邦调查局曾作为2021年1月6日国会山袭击事件调查的一部分扣押其手机。该州议员此前曾担任众议院自由党团主席,该团体是众议院中最保守的成员组成的团体。

Perry voted not to certify former President Biden’s win in Pennsylvania in 2020, and the FBI seized his phone as part of the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol attack investigation. The Keystone State lawmaker previously chaired the House Freedom Caucus, a group of the chamber’s most conservative members.

今年早些时候,佩里指责参议院因未通过特朗普支持的全面投票法案——SAVE美国法案——而“失职”。随后,他共同发起了一项废除第十七修正案的法案,该修正案赋予公众直接选举参议员的权力,而非由各州立法机构间接产生。

Earlier this year, Perry accused the Senate of “dereliction of duty” for not passing a Trump-backed sweeping voting bill, the SAVE America Act. He then co-sponsored a bill to repeal the 17th amendment, which gives the public the direct power to elect senators as opposed to individual state legislatures.

斯蒂尔森曾在宾夕法尼亚州兰开斯特的NBC附属电视台WGAL-TV担任记者,她于2023年离开该电视台以参选国会。

Stelson previously served as a reporter for NBC affiliate WGAL-TV in Lancaster, Pa. She left the station in 2023 before running for Congress.

非党派选举预测机构Decision Desk HQ(为《国会山报》的合作伙伴)预测斯蒂尔森有69%的机会为民主党赢得该席位。

Nonpartisan election forecaster Decision Desk HQ, a partner of The Hill, gives Stelson a 69 percent chance of flipping the seat for Democrats.

萨斯奎哈纳民调于10月5日至11日在第十选区进行,共访谈300名可能投票者,误差范围为5.6个百分点。

The Susquehanna poll was conducted among 300 likely voters in the 10th district from Oct. 5-11. It has a 5.6-point margin of error.

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