
特朗普总统周五签署了一项行政命令,免除《林赛·O·格雷厄姆制裁俄罗斯和伊朗法案》中的许多制裁条款。该法案由国会以已故参议员的名义在上个月通过。此次豁免是在特朗普一周前宣布与俄罗斯达成柴油交易之后作出的,也凸显了美乌关系的紧张。
President Donald Trump signed an executive order Friday that waives many of the sanctions in the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, which Congress passed in the late senator’s name last month. The waiver, coming a week after Trump announced a diesel deal with Russia, also underscores fraying relations between the U.S. and Ukraine.
该法律原定于10月18日生效,旨在对俄罗斯官员、金融机构和其他实体实施制裁,并对从俄罗斯原油或天然气主要买方进口到美国的商品征收最高达100%的关税。这些措施旨在限制支持俄罗斯对乌克兰战争的财政资源。
The law, which was set to take effect Oct. 18, called for sanctions targeting Russian officials, financial institutions, and other entities, alongside tariffs of up to 100% on goods imported into the U.S. from major buyers of Russian crude oil or natural gas. Those measures were intended to restrict the financial resources supporting Russia’s war against Ukraine.
英国外交、联邦及发展事务部在2025年6月估计,自2022年2月以来,国际制裁已使俄罗斯国家损失至少4500亿美元的战争资金,其中包括因石油税收入损失和央行储备被冻结所导致的损失。
The U.K.’s Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office estimated in June 2025 that international sanctions had deprived the Russian state of at least $450 billion in war funds since February 2022, including through lost oil tax revenues and immobilized central-bank reserves.
尽管特朗普的豁免保留了现有制裁,但它阻止了新措施原本旨在施加的额外压力。
While Trump’s waiver leaves existing sanctions in place, it blocks the additional pressure the new measures were intended to exert.
特朗普还一直在敦促乌克兰削减其对俄罗斯能源部门的行动,反复呼吁基辅停止对俄罗斯燃料基础设施的袭击,并暗示这些袭击正在推高美国的燃油价格。但乌克兰的袭击仅是影响燃油价格的众多因素之一;与伊朗战争相关的供应中断才是导致全球供应受限的主要原因,而俄罗斯炼油活动的减少则进一步加重了柴油市场的压力。
Trump has also pushed Ukraine to scale back its own campaign against Russia’s energy sector, repeatedly urging Kyiv to halt strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure and suggesting that those attacks are driving up U.S. fuel prices. But Ukrainian strikes are only one factor affecting fuel prices; disruptions linked to the war with Iran are largely responsible for constraining global supplies, while reduced Russian refinery activity has added pressure to diesel markets.
10月11日,特朗普宣称俄罗斯和乌克兰已达成“能源停火”协议。但乌克兰官员报告称,就在他宣布之后几小时,俄罗斯对能源基础设施发动了袭击。泽连斯基表示,所谓的协议对他而言是新闻。
On Oct. 11, Trump claimed that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to an “energy ceasefire.”But Ukrainian officials reported Russian strikes on energy infrastructure hours after his announcement, and Zelensky said the purported agreement was news to him.
同一天,特朗普呼吁乌克兰更换总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基。在其发表这些言论一周内撤销制裁,从而改善俄罗斯的财政状况,这表明美国的支持正变得越来越不均衡。
That same day, Trump called for Ukraine to replace President Volodymyr Zelensky. Withdrawing sanctions within a week of those statements, and thereby improving Russia’s financial position, points to an increasingly uneven display of support from the U.S.
布朗大学政治学教授杰夫·科尔根对《时代》杂志表示,这一决定基本上“是用[乌克兰]的民主换取柴油。”10月9日宣布的与俄罗斯的柴油交易是特朗普为降低美国民众燃油价格而采取的众多行动之一,目的是在11月3日的中期选举前取得成效。该交易伴随制裁的放宽,财政部发放了一项临时许可证,授权涉及俄罗斯柴油的交易,包括进口到美国,直至2027年4月7日。
Jeff Colgan, a professor of political science at Brown University, tells TIME that the decision is basically “is like trading [Ukrainian] democracy for diesel.”A diesel deal with Russia, announced Oct. 9, is one of the many recent actions Trump has taken in an effort to reduce fuel prices for Americans ahead of midterm elections on Nov. 3. The deal came with an easing of sanctions as the Treasury Department issued a temporary license authorizing transactions involving Russian diesel, including imports into the U.S., through April 7, 2027.
在其在Truth Social上宣布该交易时,特朗普称俄罗斯同意向全球市场供应超过480万吨柴油,声称这将使柴油价格下降“创历史新低水平。”但专家质疑该交易是否真的会对美国消费者的燃油价格产生实质性影响。
In his announcement of the deal on Truth Social, Trump said that Russia had agreed to supply global markets with more than 4.8 million tons of diesel, claiming that it would bring diesel prices down “IN RECORD NUMBERS.”But experts question whether the deal would actually have any material impact on the price of fuel for American consumers.
“可能会对批发价格产生 modest 的短期影响,但若有任何好处,也只会是微小且滞后的,到达加油站的消费者手中,”哥伦比亚大学全球能源政策中心研究员塔蒂亚娜·米特罗瓦说道。
“There could be a modest short-term effect on wholesale prices, but only a small and delayed benefit, if any, would reach consumers at the pump,” says Tatiana Mitrova, a fellow at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy.
相比之下,周五签署的豁免令可能有望防止全球能源市场出现进一步的扰动。它允许俄罗斯石油继续流向中国和印度等进口国,从而防止市场波动进一步加剧。
The waiver signed Friday, in comparison, could potentially prevent additional disruption to the global energy market. It allows Russian oil to continue flowing to importers like China and India, preventing further market volatility.
“更广泛的制裁豁免可能防止额外的市场动荡,但它本身并不会创造新的供应,”米特罗娃说。“与削弱制裁压力的地缘政治成本相比,对美国消费者的潜在经济利益看起来相当有限。”她指出,减轻这种压力——虽然被广泛解读为柴油协议的一部分,但从未被明确界定为如此——可能比柴油协议本身的货币价值更有利于俄罗斯。
“The broader sanctions waiver may prevent additional market disruptions, but it does not itself create new supply,” Mitrova says. “The potential economic benefit to American consumers looks rather modest compared with the geopolitical cost of weakening sanctions pressure.”Reducing that pressure—which has widely been interpreted as a component of the diesel deal, though it has not been explicitly identified as such—likely benefits Russia more than the monetary value of the diesel deal itself, Mitrova points out.
“莫斯科获得的更大金融利益在于避免可能削弱其远大于柴油出口收入的原油出口收入的额外制裁,”她说。
“The much bigger financial benefit for Moscow is avoiding additional sanctions that could have undermined its much larger crude oil export revenues,” she says.
尽管特朗普一直在宣传该协议的好处,但科尔根质疑这些好处是否会对除俄罗斯以外的任何国家产生实际影响。
And while Trump has touted the benefits of the deal, Colgan questions whether they will be tangible to any country other than Russia itself.
“缓解制裁可能不会使全球价格发生很大变化(市场规模庞大),但可能意味着俄罗斯将获得可观的额外收入,”他说。
“Easing the sanctions probably won't move global prices very much (big market), but could mean substantial extra revenue for Russia,” he says.
但潜在后果不仅限于俄罗斯的资产负债表。该豁免也引发了关于华盛顿对乌克兰承诺的质疑,因为两国关系正在恶化。制裁豁免可能如何影响乌克兰?
But the potential consequences extend beyond Russia’s balance sheet. The waiver also raises questions about Washington’s commitment to Ukraine as relations between the two countries deteriorate. How might the sanctions waiver affect Ukraine?
除了对全球柴油价格的影响外,特朗普的制裁豁免可能加剧美乌之间日益扩大的裂痕——进一步引发人们对华盛顿对基辅支持的质疑。
Beyond its impact on global diesel prices, Trump’s sanctions waiver could deepen a growing rift between the U.S. and Ukraine—raising further questions about Washington’s support for Kyiv.
康斯坦丁·索宁,俄罗斯经济学家,芝加哥大学哈里斯公共政策学院教授,将此举解读为对俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京的象征性支持。他表示,这可能向美国盟友传递超出经济考量范围的信息。
Konstantin Sonin, a Russian economist and a professor at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy, reads the move as a symbolic gesture of support for Russian President Vladimir Putin. He suggests that it could send a message to U.S. allies that extends beyond economic considerations.
“我认为乌克兰及其领导层——以及欧洲领导层——会将此解读为美国正在从积极的欧洲参与者角色中撤出的一步,”他对《时代》杂志说。
“I think this will be read by Ukraine and Ukraine leadership—and European leadership—as another step in the United States withdrawing from being an active European player,” he tells TIME.
索宁表示,除了加强俄罗斯的财政状况、为其入侵乌克兰提供空间之外,免除额外制裁还可能“提升普京的士气”。
In addition to bolstering Russia’s finances and giving it latitude in its invasion of Ukraine, Sonin says that the waiver of additional sanctions could also “boost morale” for Putin.
他补充道:“这又是一个信号,表明美国对乌克兰的支持力度不如历史上那样强。”“虽然仍不能说美国站在普京一边,但这确实是在削减对乌克兰的支持。”米特罗瓦也认为,对俄罗斯而言,最大的好处可能更多体现在战略层面而非财务层面。
“It’s another bit of signaling that the United States is not as supportive of Ukraine as they were historically,” he adds. “You still cannot say that the United States is on Putin's side, but it is another bit of diminishing support for Ukraine.”Mitrova agrees that the biggest benefit to Russia might be more strategic than financial.
她说:“对普京来说,最有价值的结果可能不是额外的柴油收入,而是华盛顿越来越倾向于优先考虑国内能源价格,而非对俄罗斯施加持续压力的感知。”“这可能会强化克里姆林宫的信念,即它能够熬过西方的支持,而不是做出有意义的让步。”泽连斯基批评了阻止新制裁的决定。
“For Putin, the most valuable outcome may not be additional diesel revenues but the perception that Washington is increasingly prioritizing domestic energy prices over sustained pressure on Russia,” she says. “That could reinforce the Kremlin’s belief that it can outlast Western support rather than make meaningful concessions.”Zelensky criticized the decision to block the new sanctions.
乌克兰总统在周六于X平台上写道:“撤销所有这些措施、全部予以阻止的决定在我看来是错误的。”“而且这显然只对俄罗斯有利。它只会助长他们的满足感和继续杀人的欲望。这肯定不会停止战争。”米特罗瓦认为,在缓解制裁的同时,美国也在削弱其与欧洲领导层的立场,而欧洲领导层一直与泽连斯基和乌克兰保持紧密一致。
“The decision to undo all of this, to block all of it, seems wrong to me,” the Ukrainian President wrote on X on Saturday. “And it definitely helps only the Russians. It only fuels their satisfaction and their desire to keep killing people. This certainly does not stop the war.”Mitrova argues that in easing sanctions, the U.S. also compromises its position with European leadership that has continued to align closely with Zelensky and Ukraine.
“欧洲仍在对俄罗斯加强制裁,而华盛顿现在却朝着相反的方向前进,”她说。“通过暂停旨在阻止主要国家购买俄罗斯能源的制裁,华盛顿有可能削弱对俄西方战略的核心支柱。”为什么共和党人和民主党人都在批评特朗普的豁免权特朗普的豁免权引发了两党的广泛批评,尤其是因为它削弱了一项得到广泛支持的国会法案。
“Europe is still tightening sanctions against Russia, while Washington is now moving in the opposite direction,” she says. “By suspending sanctions that were designed to discourage major countries from buying Russian energy, Washington risks undermining a central pillar of the Western strategy toward Russia.”Why Republicans and Democrats are criticizing the waiver Trump’s waiver earned a flood of criticism from both sides of the aisle, particularly since it undermined a widely supported act of Congress.
2026年《制裁俄罗斯法案》于9月16日以压倒性的两党支持通过国会:参议院以86比11通过,众议院以262比159通过。即将在1月离任的北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯在周六称该决定“完全不负责任”。他暗示特朗普政府公然无视立法机构的意志,在X上写道:“这届政府竟然向一个非法入侵乌克兰的俄罗斯独裁者屈服,这简直无法容忍。”
The Sanctioning Russia Act of 2026 cleared Congress on Sept. 16 with overwhelming bipartisan support: a vote of 86-11 in the Senate and a vote of 262-159 in the House. North Carolina Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who is leaving office in January, called the decision “beyond irresponsible” on Saturday. Suggesting that the Trump Administration is overtly snubbing the will of the legislative branch, Tillis wrote on X: “It’s unconscionable that this administration is capitulating to a Russian dictator who illegally invaded Ukraine.”
德克萨斯州共和党参议员约翰·科宁则表示:“林赛会感到震惊的,”他此处指的是已故共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆——这位坚定的乌克兰支持者,制裁法案正是以他的名字命名。格雷厄姆在7月11日去世前,曾花费一年多时间推动该制裁措施。
Texas Republican Sen. John Cornyn reacted by saying “Lindsey would be appalled,” referencing the late Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham—a staunch Ukraine supporter after whom the sanctions act was named. Graham had spent over a year petitioning for the move before his death on July 11.
马萨诸塞州民主党参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦在一份声明中表示,特朗普“正在使弗拉基米尔·普京得以继续其侵略战争。”
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a Democrat, said in a statement that Trump was “enabling Vladimir Putin to continue his war of aggression.”
参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默周六发表声明称,“通过向俄罗斯经济输送生命线,特朗普与魔鬼的交易正变得越来越肮脏。”特朗普能够通过立法中嵌入的安全阀条款豁免制裁。该法律允许特朗普在向国会提交书面认证,表明豁免制裁符合国家利益,并附上一份解释该决定的报告后,豁免其制裁和关税。周五的命令中,特朗普表示他已提交了这两份文件。
Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer released a statement Saturday saying that “by giving the Russian economy life support, Trump’s deal with the devil keeps getting dirtier.”Trump was able to waive the sanctions through a safety valve provision embedded in the legislation. The law allowed Trump to waive its sanctions and tariffs after submitting a written certification to Congress that doing so was in the national interest, along with a report explaining that determination. In Friday’s order, Trump said he had submitted both.
“我 hereby waive the application of such sanctions, restrictions, and duties provided for in the Graham Act,”特朗普在命令中写道。“我已向国会提交认证,表明在此刻发布此豁免符合美国的国家利益。”特朗普尚未公开披露该举措如何服务于国家利益,白宫也没有回应《时代》杂志的置评请求。
“I am hereby waiving the application of such sanctions, restrictions, and duties provided for in the Graham Act,” Trump wrote in the order. “I have submitted to the Congress a certification that the issuance of such a waiver at this time is in the national interests of the United States.”Trump has not yet publicly disclosed how the move served national interests, and the White House did not reply to TIME’s request for comment.
已故参议员格雷厄姆的妹妹达琳·格雷厄姆被任命填补其在南卡罗来纳州的席位,并将在今年11月参选以保留该席位,她在周六的竞选停留点表示,这一决定是特朗普该做的;然而,她表达了不赞同,称她更倾向于“继续对俄罗斯施压”。“我不信任普京,我也不信任俄罗斯,”她说。
Darline Graham, the late senator’s sister who was appointed to fill his seat in South Carolina and is running for election this November to keep it, said at a campaign stop on Saturday that the decision was Trump’s to make; however, she voiced disapproval, saying that she would prefer to “keep the pressure on Russia.”“I don’t trust Putin and I don’t trust Russia,” she said.