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特朗普与内塔尼亚胡昔日如胶似漆的“兄弟情”在两人各自的关键时刻出现裂痕Trump and Netanyahu’s once blossoming bromance sours at a pivotal moment for both men

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以色列总理本杰明与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的关系(如图所示,摄于2025年4月)在关键选举到来之前已经恶化。The relationship between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin and US President Donald Trump, shown in April, 2025, has soured ahead of crucial elections.

多年来,在选举的最后几周里,驾车行驶在以色列高速公路上的民众总会看到同一张画面:总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡站在总统唐纳德·特朗普身旁,下方标语写着:“不在一个级别。”在10月27日投票日不到两周之际,内塔尼亚胡的巨幅广告又回来了。这一次,上面没有特朗普。

For years, Israelis driving the country’s highways in the final weeks of an election have seen the same image: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu standing beside President Donald Trump, under the slogan, “A different league.”Less than two weeks before the October 27 vote, the billboards of Netanyahu are back. This time, Trump is not on them.

这位总统仍然出现在内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团的一些视频中,但他的缺席可能释放出广告之外的信号。

The president still appears in some videos for Netanyahu’s Likud party, but his absence may signal something beyond advertising.

特朗普迄今拒绝为内塔尼亚胡背书,并回避了有关他是否应当连任的问题。

Trump has so far declined to endorse Netanyahu and has sidestepped questions on whether he should be reelected.

他本月早些时候对《时代》杂志表示:“我不再参与(以色列)政治了。”周四,特朗普对Newsmax表示,内塔尼亚胡希望他介入这场选举。“我和他有过非常好的关系,”他说道,但再次避免为其背书。当被直接问及是否信任内塔尼亚胡时,他直言不讳地表示:“在政治世界里,我不信任任何人。”对于一向将内塔尼亚胡与白宫的亲密关系视为重大选举资产的竞选阵营而言,这种克制引人注目。

“I’m not involved in [Israeli] politics anymore,” he told Time earlier this month. On Thursday, Trump told Newsmax Netanyahu would like him to be involved in the election. “I’ve had a very good relationship with him,” he said, but avoided endorsing him again. When asked directly whether he trusts Netanyahu, he said bluntly, “I don’t trust anybody in the world of politics.”For a campaign that has traditionally treated Netanyahu’s intimacy with the White House as a major electoral asset, the restraint is notable.

自2013年以来,特朗普一直是内塔尼亚胡竞选活动的主角。当时作为商人兼电视名人的他发布了一段视频,敦促以色列人“投票给本雅明”。当特朗普于2017年入主白宫时,他向内塔尼亚胡送出了厚重的政治大礼。

Trump has starred in Netanyahu’s campaigns since 2013, when still a businessman and TV personality, he released a video urging Israelis to “vote for Benjamin.”When Trump entered the White House in 2017, he showered Netanyahu with political gifts.

在大约2019年4月以色列选举前两周,内塔尼亚胡在华盛顿观看特朗普签署了一项历史性公告,承认以色列对戈兰高地占领区的主权。2020年1月,即以色列人再次前往投票箱前的五周,特朗普公布了以色列-巴勒斯坦“世纪交易”计划。内塔尼亚胡面带微笑地站在他身旁。

About two weeks before Israel’s April 2019 election, Netanyahu was in Washington to watch Trump sign a historic proclamation recognizing Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Golan Heights. In January 2020, five weeks before Israelis went again to the polls, Trump unveiled the Israeli-Palestinian “Deal of the Century” plan. Netanyahu stood smiling by his side.

在本次选举之前,没有红地毯。内塔尼亚胡与特朗普上次于8月在白宫会晤时,没有摄像机。9月内塔尼亚胡赴纽约出席联合国大会时,两人根本没有会面。

Ahead of this election, there has been no red carpet. The last time Netanyahu and Trump met at the White House in August, there were no cameras. The two did not meet at all when Netanyahu traveled to New York for the UN General Assembly in September.

示威者9月在纽约抗议内塔尼亚胡在联合国大会上发表演讲。他破坏和平会谈的努力引发了两党的不满。David Dee Delgado/ReutersDemonstrators protest against Netanyahu's address to the UN General Assembly in New York in September. His efforts to undercut peace talks have drawn bipartisan ire. David Dee Delgado/Reuters

在过去的一年里,内塔尼亚胡采取的一些举动引发了特朗普的愤怒,其中包括通过在黎巴嫩和加沙境内发动打击,破坏了由特朗普主导的和平努力。

Over the course of the last year, Netanyahu has taken steps that have drawn fury from Trump, including undermining Trump-led peace efforts by striking inside Lebanon and Gaza.

一名抗议以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡政策的示威者在堵塞联合国旁的一条街道后被捕。Spencer Platt/Getty ImagesA protesters against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's policies is arrested after blocking a street next to the United Nations. Spencer Platt/Getty Images

据熟悉相关对话的人士透露,特朗普曾在电话中大骂这位总理,并警告他正在失去美国人的支持。他曾质问为什么以色列要在黎巴嫩炸毁公寓楼,并警告因与伊朗的战争而引发全球经济衰退的风险。

Trump has cursed the prime minister out in phone calls and warned him he’s losing support among Americans, according to people familiar with the conversations. He’s asked why Israel was blowing up apartment buildings in Lebanon and warned about the risk of a global economic downturn as a result of the Iran war.

在白宫内部,这些举动大多被解读为内塔尼亚胡在大选之年的做作姿态,特朗普及其顾问对他的国内政治情况非常了解。今年夏天,许多特朗普的顾问得出结论,认为内塔尼亚胡一直在试图延长对伊朗的战争,以巩固他自己的政治地位。

Inside the White House, many of the moves were interpreted as election-year posturing by Netanyahu, whose internal politics are well known by Trump and his advisers. Over the summer, many Trump advisers came to the conclusion that Netanyahu was trying to prolong the Iran war to bolster his own political standing.

知情人士表示,出于这些政治方面的顾虑,特朗普对内塔尼亚胡给予了一定程度的宽容。但他对以色列的一些行动仍然感到沮丧,他认为其中许多行动有悖于美国的利益。

Trump has given Netanyahu a degree of leeway because of those political concerns, people familiar with the matter said. But he’s still grown frustrated at some of Israel’s actions, many of which he believes run counter to American interests.

另一位接近特朗普的人士暗示,他没有予以背书,与内塔尼亚胡在民调中的弱势有关。长期以来,特朗普一直刻意避免为看似可能会落败的候选人背书。

Another person close to Trump suggested his lack of endorsement is tied to Netanyahu’s weakness in the polls. Trump has long been careful to avoid endorsing candidates who seem likely to lose.

据知情人士透露,在过去几个月的交谈中,特朗普曾向内塔尼亚胡询问有关选举及其前景的情况。尽管内塔尼亚胡极力表现出自信,但特朗普对这位总理艰难的政治处境心知肚明。

In conversations over the past several months, Trump has quizzed Netanyahu about the election and his prospects, according to people familiar with the matter. While Netanyahu has sought to project confidence, Trump is well aware of the prime minister’s difficult political position.

随着内塔尼亚胡在特朗普政府眼中的地位下降,特朗普在以色列的地位也随之下降。

As Netanyahu’s standing fell in the Trump administration, so did Trump’s standing in Israel.

根据接近内塔尼亚胡的以色列消息人士透露,特朗普原本旨在成为内塔尼亚胡竞选活动的核心。去年12月,这位总理在海湖庄园宣布,特朗普将成为第一位获得声誉卓著的以色列奖的非以色列人。内塔尼亚胡的助手们曾希望特朗普能在4月份的以色列独立日庆典上亲自领奖,从而为竞选活动注入活力。随后与伊朗的战争爆发了。

According to Israeli sources close to Netanyahu, Trump was originally meant to be a centerpiece of Netanyahu’s campaign. Last December, at Mar-a-Lago, the prime minister announced that Trump would become the first non-Israeli to receive the prestigious Israel Prize. Netanyahu aides hoped Trump would accept the prize in person at Israel’s Independence Day ceremony in April, giving jumpstarting the campaign. Then came the war with Iran.

美以联合打击于2月28日开始,两位领导人展现出战略上的和谐。内塔尼亚胡感谢了“我的朋友、总统唐纳德·特朗普”,称他是“一个信守诺言的领导人”。特朗普则将两人形容为“战争英雄”,并公开要求以色列总统在内塔尼亚胡面临的持续腐败审判中对其予以特赦。

The joint US-Israeli attack began on February 28 with the two leaders projecting strategic harmony. Netanyahu thanked “my friend, President Donald Trump,” calling him “a leader who stands by his word.”Trump described the two of them as “war heroes” and publicly demanded that Israel’s president grant Netanyahu a pardon in his ongoing corruption trials.

2026年3月1日,德黑兰一栋建筑遭导弹袭击后升起一股浓烟。Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty ImagesA smoke plume rises following a missile strike on a building in Tehran on March 1, 2026. Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images

但特朗普从未表现出出席以色列奖颁奖典礼的兴趣。到那时,在伊朗的战斗已经结束,停火谈判正在进行中。

But Trump never showed interest in attending the Israel Prize ceremony. By then, the fighting in Iran had ended and ceasefire talks were underway.

阿维·吉尔与本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 IDF/Getty ImagesAvi Gil and Benjamin Netanyahu IDF/Getty Images

伊朗停火及随后的谅解备忘录在以色列极不受欢迎,在右翼阵营中尤其如此。亲内塔尼亚胡的电视主播伊农·马加尔在该协议签署后称特朗普为“失败者”。

The Iran ceasefire and subsequent memorandum of understanding were deeply unpopular in Israel, particularly on the right. Yinon Magal, a pro-Netanyahu TV anchor, called Trump a “loser” after the deal was signed.

犹太人民政策研究所7月份的一项民意调查发现,只有7%的以色列人对特朗普在美以关系上“会做正确的事情”有“极大的信任”,45%的人毫无信任。

A July survey by the Jewish People Policy Institute found that only 7% of Israelis had “a great deal of trust” that Trump “will do the right thing” on US-Israel relations, and 45% had none.

“特朗普在以色列的声望,特别是右翼选民中的声望,已经减弱,”利库德集团的一位消息人士表示。“背书不一定会给内塔尼亚胡带来太大帮助,所以他并没有在这上面投入太多精力。”另一位利库德集团消息人士表示,“倒也不是说特朗普会去背书其他对手,所以(得到背书)算是个好事,但并非必需。”内塔尼亚胡的对手们正在密切关注,但他们的恐慌情绪已不如从前。

“Trump’s stock in Israel, especially among right wing-voters, has weakened,” a Likud source said. “An endorsement would not necessarily have helped Netanyahu so much, so he did not invest much in it.”Another Likud source said, “It’s not as if Trump will endorse any other opponent, so it’s nice to have, but not a must.”Netanyahu’s opponents are watching, but with less alarm than before.

10月7日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥的弗里曼体育馆(Freeman Coliseum)举行的竞选集会上发言后离开舞台。Win McNamee/Getty ImagesUS President Donald Trump leaves the stage after speaking during a campaign rally at the Freeman Coliseum on October 07, in San Antonio, Texas. Win McNamee/Getty Images

“一年前,我们阵营的人还在致电任何接近特朗普的人,以阻止他背书,”一位资深反对派人士表示。“现在这已经无所谓了,那种魅力已经不在了。”另一位反对派消息人士表示,他们曾传达信息,敦促白宫不要介入这场竞选,并对特朗普迄今为止没有这样做表示赞赏。

“A year ago, our camp was calling anyone close to Trump to prevent an endorsement,” one senior opposition figure said. “Now it doesn’t really matter, the charm is not there.”Another opposition source said they had conveyed messages urging the White House to stay out of the race and appreciated that Trump has so far done so.

当被直接问及目前民调显示为内塔尼亚胡主要挑战者的人是谁时,特朗普说:“嗯,我不知道,我没听到过关于他的坏话。”随后他表示:“他们很多很多次认为比比完了,就像他们很多很多次认为我完了一样。我不会低估比比。”特朗普与他保持距离有其自身的理由。美国公众对以色列的看法急剧下降,在与伊朗爆发战争的背景下更是跌上加跌。根据多项民调,以色列的平均净好感度从2018年7月的正51个百分点降至2026年7月的负16个百分点,八年内骤降了67个百分点。

When Trump was asked specifically about who is currently polling as Netanyahu’s leading challenger, he said, “Well, I don’t know, I don’t hear bad things about him.”He then said, “They’ve written Bibi off many, many times, just like they’ve written me off many, many times. I wouldn’t underestimate Bibi.”Trump has his own reasons for distance. American public opinion of Israel has fallen sharply, declining even more against the backdrop of the Iran war. Israel’s average net favorability fell from +51 points in July 2018 to -16 in July 2026, according to multiple polls, a 67-point drop over eight years.

随着美国对伊朗战争迅速反感,一位熟悉双方关系的消息人士称,特朗普一直“试图摆脱内塔尼亚胡把他拉进去的形象”。尽管如此,这种表面上的距离感可能是具有欺骗性的。以色列消息人士称,这两位领导人最近讨论了对伊朗重新发动打击的问题。以色列安全消息人士告诉美国有线电视新闻网,相关准备工作正在进行中——正等待特朗普的决定——由于美国中期选举,具体时间尚不明确。内塔尼亚胡否认了有关他在投票前寻求升级局势的说法。

As America quickly soured on the Iran war, a source familiar with the relationship said, Trump has been “trying to shed the image that Netanyahu pulled him into it.”Still, the apparent distance may be misleading. Israeli sources say the two leaders have recently discussed renewed strikes on Iran. Israeli security sources told CNN preparations are underway - pending Trump’s decision - with timing unclear because of the US midterm elections. Netanyahu rejected suggestions he was seeking escalation before the vote.

“这很不方便,这不好,”他本周对陆军广播电台表示。他抱怨称,如果伊朗向以色列发射导弹,他的反对者“会怪罪我”。

“It is not convenient for us, it’s no good,” he told Army Radio this week. He complained that if Iran fired missiles at Israel, his opponents “will blame me.”

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