
根据财政部长尼尔马拉·西塔拉曼的说法,印度股市的过剩流动性导致了业绩表现不佳,并且这种情况可能会继续。
Excess liquidity in India's equity market has contributed to underperformance and may continue to do so, according to Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.
“由于流动性充裕、易于获取,人们甚至可以轻松退出股票市场,”西塔拉曼在周五于曼谷举行的IMF-世界银行会议期间接受CNBC独家采访时表示。然而,她补充说,印度经济的基本面是“良好的”。
"Because of the ease of liquidity, ease of availability, people are even exiting easily" from equities, Sitharaman told CNBC in an exclusive interview on the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok on Friday. However, the fundamentals of the Indian economy are "fine," she said.
根据LSEG的数据,自1月以来,印度的关键基准指数已下跌近12%,尽管该国在贸易不确定性和地缘政治冲击的背景下经济增长仍表现出韧性。印度股市遭遇外资创纪录的资金流出,西塔拉曼表示,持续的资本外流是印度在2027年面临的最大风险之一。
Since January, India's key benchmark indexes have slipped nearly 12%, as per LSEG data, even though the country's economic growth has been resilient amid trade uncertainty and geopolitical shocks. India has been hit with record outflows by foreign investors from its equity markets, and Sitharaman said that continued capital outflows are one of the biggest risks for India in 2027.
尽管如此,国内资本仍在持续涌入市场。根据印度共同基金业协会(Association of Mutual Funds in India)本月早些时候发布的数据,印度股票型共同基金自2021年3月以来每月都录得净流入。
Still, domestic capital continues to flood the market. Indian equity mutual funds have recorded net inflows every month since March 2021, according to data released by industry body Association of Mutual Funds in India earlier this month.
跨国公司、私募股权基金和外国投资者能够以溢价部分或全部退出其投资。2021年至2025年期间,印度首次公开发行(IPO)合计募集资金604亿美元,其中“惊人的”377亿美元(占总募集额的63%)流向了现有股东,他们将持有的股份出售给公众,这是安永(EY)8月份的一份报告所指出的。
Multinational companies, private equity funds and foreign investors have been able to make partial or full exits from their investments at a premium. Between 2021 and 2025, Indian initial public offerings collectively raised $60.4 billion, of which "a staggering" $37.7 billion, or 63% of total proceeds, went to existing holders who sold their shares to the public, an EY report in August said.
根据印度存管公司NSDL的数据,截至目前,外资组合投资者今年已抛售印度直接股票超过330亿美元。印度正逐渐被视为反人工智能交易的市场,而像台湾和韩国这样拥有人工智能龙头企业的市场则吸引了强劲的资金流入。
Foreign portfolio investors have sold direct Indian equities of over $33 billion so far this year, as per Indian depository firm NSDL. India has gained a reputation as an anti-artificial intelligence trade, while markets like Taiwan and Korea, with AI champions, have attracted strong investment flows.
她补充说,资本流向人工智能和美国的趋势——原本应流向不同国家以进行不同行业的投资——“令人担忧”。
The flight of capital toward AI and the U.S., which otherwise moves toward different countries for different sectoral investments, is "a concern," she added.
高盛在10月8日的报告中指出,台湾现在在MSCI亚太(不含日本)指数中的市场权重最大,达到29%,而韩国升至第二位,权重为22%。报告还补充称,印度的权重已从几年前的19%压缩至10%。
Taiwan now has the largest market weighting in the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index at 29%, while Korea has moved into second place at 22%, as per a report by Goldman Sachs on Oct. 8. India's share has compressed from 19% a few years ago to 10%, it added.
但在全球AI rally出现裂痕之际,西塔拉曼表示,如果泡沫破裂,印度不会因任何溢出效应而“受到伤害”。她说,印度并未收到“流向不同司法管辖区的那种AI投资”。
But with the global AI rally showing cracks, Sitharaman said India wouldn't be "hurt" from any spillover if the bubble burst. India has not received the "AI kind of investments coming into different jurisdictions," she said.
西塔拉曼是印度连续任职时间最长的财政部长,她补充说,南亚国家在前沿技术领域“不再是落后者”,并且正在进行投资以建立半导体制造业。
Sitharaman, who is India's longest-serving finance minister to hold the office continuously, added that the South Asian country was "no longer a laggard" in the frontier tech space and investment was being made to set up semiconductor manufacturing.