上海10月19日 - 路透社一项调查显示,在好于预期的第三季度国内生产总值(GDP)数据减弱了近期放松货币政策的预期之后,中国预计将在10月份连续第17个月维持基准贷款利率不变。
SHANGHAI, Oct 19 - China is set to leave benchmark lending rates unchanged for a 17th consecutive month in October, a Reuters survey showed, after better-than-expected third-quarter GDP data lessened prospects for near-term easing.
贷款市场报价利率(LPR)通常是银行对其最优质客户发放贷款的利率,该利率在20家指定的商业银行向中国人民银行(中国央行)提交报价利率后,于每个月计算得出。
The loan prime rate (LPR), normally charged to banks' most creditworthy clients, is calculated each month after 20 designated commercial banks submit proposed rates to the People's Bank of China (PBOC).
在本周进行的面向22名市场参与者的路透社调查中,所有受访者均预测,在周二即将进行的审议中,一年期和五年期LPR将分别维持在3.00%和3.50%不变。
In a Reuters survey of 22 market participants conducted this week, all respondents predicted that the one-year and five-year LPRs would remain unchanged at 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively, at the upcoming review on Tuesday.
随着强劲的出口抵消了消费者紧捂钱包的影响,中国第三季度经济增长从三年低点反弹,不过分析师警告称,对外部驱动因素日益增长的依赖正在加剧结构性失衡。
China's economic growth bounced off three-year lows in the third quarter, as roaring exports offset consumers' tight grip on their wallets, though analysts warn the growing reliance on external drivers is deepening structural imbalances.
在今年良好的开局以及近期一些适度的财政和货币支持的帮助下,市场参与者预计北京无需诉诸额外的刺激措施,就能实现4.5%-5.0%的2026年增长目标。
Market participants expect Beijing to reach its 2026 growth target of 4.5%-5.0% without resorting to additional stimulus, helped by a strong start to the year and some recent modest fiscal and monetary support.
在各方压倒性共识认为LPR将保持稳定之际,一些主要经济体正倾向于收紧货币政策以遏制通胀压力,而中国的长期国债收益率则徘徊在15个月低点附近。
The overwhelming consensus for steady LPR settings comes as some major economies tilt towards tighter monetary policy to contain inflation pressures, while China's long-dated bond yields hovered near a 15-month low.
投资者正将目光转向今天下午在北京举行的一个关键金融论坛,中国人民银行行长潘功胜将在该论坛上发表讲话,以寻找关于中国货币政策走向的线索。
Investors are turning to a key financial forum in Beijing this afternoon, where PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng is due to speak, for clues on the country's monetary path.
与此同时,中国9月份的新建商品住宅价格再次下跌,延续了持续三年多的低迷态势,这表明政策支持尚未引发房地产需求的全面复苏。
Meanwhile, China's new home prices fell again in September, extending a more than three-year slump and suggesting policy support has yet to spark a broad-based recovery in housing demand.