根据本月发布的最新全球风险调查，中东和北非地区的灾害韧性呈现出海湾国家与黎凡特地区之间的显著分化，黎巴嫩、伊拉克和巴勒斯坦的韧性水平远低于全球平均水平。
Disaster resilience in the Middle East and North Africa shows a sharp divide between Gulf states and the Levant, with Lebanon, Iraq, and Palestine falling well below the global average, according to the latest worldwide risk poll published this month.
该调查由盖洛普为劳埃德基金会开展，覆盖2025年140个国家和地区的143,000多次访谈，评估个人、家庭和社区抵御重大冲击并恢复的能力。
The poll, conducted by Gallup for Lloyd's Foundation through more than 143,000 interviews in 140 countries and territories in 2025, assesses how well individuals, households, and communities can withstand major shocks and recover.
在区域数据覆盖的国家中，科威特以74分的韧性得分排名第一，其次是巴林72分，阿曼和阿拉伯联合酋长国均为70分，而全球平均得分为57分。
Kuwait ranked first among countries covered in the regional data with a resilience score of 74 points, followed by Bahrain at 72 and Oman and the United Arab Emirates at 70 each, against a global average score of 57.
海湾国家对政府防灾准备的信心尤为高。在阿联酋，87%的受访者表示政府在灾害方面准备充分，这一比例在韧性指数所涵盖的133个国家中排名第二。巴林的比例为82%。
Confidence in government preparedness was particularly high in the Gulf. In the UAE, 87% of respondents said the government was well prepared for disasters, the second-highest proportion among the 133 countries included in the resilience index. In Bahrain the figure was 82%.
相比之下，黎巴嫩在韧性指数上的得分为48分，伊拉克为49分，巴勒斯坦为52分。在黎巴嫩，只有14%的受访者表示政府在灾害方面准备充分；而在受灾人群中，仅有39%的人表示曾收到预警，而全球平均水平为80%。
In contrast, Lebanon scored 48 points on the index, Iraq 49 and Palestine 52. In Lebanon, only 14% of respondents said the government was well prepared for disasters, and just 39% of those affected by a disaster said they received an advance warning, against a global figure of 80%.
约59%的伊拉克人和56%的黎巴嫩人表示他们的政府根本不关心他们，而全球平均水平为29%。
Some 59% of Iraqis and 56% of Lebanese said their governments do not care about them at all, compared with a global average of 29%.
伊拉克、约旦和巴勒斯坦超过一半的家庭表示，如果失去收入，他们将无法维持一个月的基本生计需求。
More than half of households in Iraq, Jordan and Palestine said they would be unable to cover basic needs for a month if they lost their income.
黎巴嫩在个体风险感知方面记录了调查中一些最为显著的结果：71%的受访者担心饮用水可能对健康造成严重危害，该指标在全球排名第五；而90%的受访者表示担心暴力犯罪，该指标在全球排名第六。
Lebanon recorded some of the starkest individual risk perceptions in the survey: 71% of respondents expressed concern that drinking water could cause serious harm to their health, placing the country fifth globally on that measure, while 90% said they were worried about violent crime, ranking it sixth worldwide.
北非记录了最大的区域改善，自2023年以来在韧性指数上上升了5点——这是研究中所有区域里增幅最大的。
North Africa recorded the largest regional improvement, posting a five-point rise on the resilience index since 2023 — the biggest increase of any region in the study.
该报告将阿尔及利亚和埃及取得的进展归因于更广泛的互联网接入、改善的家庭防范能力以及更强的吸收危机的财务能力。
The report links gains in Algeria and Egypt to wider internet access, improved household preparedness and greater financial capacity to absorb crises.
报告指出，尽管该地区气温极高，阿曼、沙特阿拉伯、巴林和阿联酋仍是对热浪和干旱最不担忧的国家之列。在以色列，报告涵盖期间受灾害影响的人口比例低于1%。
Despite the region's high temperatures, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE were among the countries least concerned about heatwaves and drought, the report notes. In Israel, the share of the population affected by a disaster during the period covered was under 1%.
在全球范围内，民调实施前的五年里，约有11亿成年人经历过灾害，近2.2亿人没有收到提前预警。
Globally, around 1.1 billion adults experienced a disaster in the five years preceding the poll, and nearly 220 million received no advance warning.
收入群体之间的差距十分明显：低收入国家大约三分之一的成年人报告在过去五年中受到灾害影响，相比之下，高收入国家这一比例为16%。
The gap between income groups was pronounced: roughly a third of adults in low-income countries reported being affected by a disaster in the previous five years, compared with 16% in high-income states.
低收入国家受影响人群中只有64%收到了先前预警，而高收入国家这一比例为84%；在低收入和中低收入国家中，收到预警的人里采取预防行动的不到一半，相比之下富裕国家这一比例为71%。
Only 64% of those affected in low-income countries received prior warnings, against 84% in high-income nations, and fewer than half of those warned in low-income and lower-middle-income countries took preventive action, compared with 71% in wealthier states.
预警渠道的数量也影响了人们的行为：通过单一渠道接到警报的人中有37%采取了预防行动，通过两个渠道接到警报的人这一比例上升至51%，通过三个渠道（如短信、电视和社交媒体）的则达到64%。
The number of warning channels also affected behaviour: 37% of those alerted through a single channel took preventive action, rising to 51% for those reached through two and 64% for three, such as text messages, television and social media.
在全球大约2.2亿经历灾害而没有收到提前预警的人中，77%拥有手机，相当于超过1.7亿个人。
Of the roughly 220 million people worldwide who experienced a disaster without advance warning, 77% owned a mobile phone, representing more than 170 million individuals.