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伊朗任命“导弹人”为国防部长Iran appoints ‘Missile Man’ as defence minister

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伊朗任命一名导弹专家为国防部长,向美国发出信号,表明其已为新一轮冲突做好准备。

Iran has named a missile expert as its defence minister in a signal to the US that it is prepared for a new round of conflict.

梅赫尔达德·阿赫拉吉,外号伊朗的“导弹人”,多年来因在发展伊朗弹道导弹储备方面的领导作用以及涉嫌参与其核计划,一直受到联合国、美国、欧盟、澳大利亚、加拿大、法国、比利时和瑞士的制裁。

Mehrdad Akhlaghi, nicknamed Iran’s “Missile Man”, has been sanctioned for years by the UN, US, EU, Australia, Canada, France, Belgium, and Switzerland for his leading role in developing Iran’s ballistic missile stockpile and suspected involvement in its nuclear programme.

伊朗议会以237票赞成、15票反对确认了他的提名,国有媒体将他首次亮相立法机构的形象称为世界上首次展示一名长期在暗处工作的人的形象。阿赫拉吉在提名后首次公开讲话中威胁美国。

The Iranian parliament confirmed his nomination in a 237-15 vote, with state media billing his inaugural appearance before legislators as the world’s first image of a man who has spent his career in the shadows. Mr Akhlaghi used his first public remarks after the nomination to threaten the US.

“我们已经做好了准备,并继续轻松地开展工作,”他对伊朗国有媒体说。

“We have made preparations and continue our work with ease of mind,” he said to Iranian state media.

“美国总统必须考虑如何让他的部队完整地撤离我们的地区。如果他投下一枚炸弹,他就必须看到他将不得不横向撤离多少部队。”一名女子在德黑兰反特朗普广告牌前走过。在他的讲话中,阿赫拉吉承诺将地对地导弹、巡航导弹和防空系统放在首位,并表示伊朗首款国产重型战斗机将于明年首飞。

“The US president must think of getting his forces out of our region in one piece. If he drops one bomb, he must see how many of his troops he will have to evacuate horizontally.”A woman walks in front of an anti-Trump billboard in Tehran In his comments, Mr Akhlaghi pledged to put surface-to-surface and cruise missiles and air defence first, and said Iran’s first domestically-built heavy fighter jet would take to the air next year. Iranian sources said he was a close associate of Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam, the architect of Iran’s missile project, and Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the scientist framed as the chief of its nuclear programme.

伊朗消息人士称,他是哈桑·泰赫拉尼·莫加达姆的亲密同事,后者是伊朗导弹项目的架构师;也是莫森·法赫里扎德的同事,后者被描述为伊朗核计划的负责人。

Mr Akhlaghi, 68, replaced the interim leadership formed after his predecessor Aziz Nasirzadeh was killed by US-Israeli strikes when the war broke out in February.

阿赫拉吉,68岁,取代了其前任阿齐斯·纳西尔扎德被美以打击击毙后所组成的临时领导层,后者在2月战争爆发时身亡。

A chemical engineer by training – with a degree from Tehran’s Amirkabir University and a master’s in strategic management from the military’s Malek-Ashtar University – Mr Akhlaghi is a specialist in the solid-fuel propellants that extend a missile’s range and shorten its launch time.

阿赫拉吉受训为化学工程师——拥有德黑兰阿米尔卡比尔大学的学位,以及军方马勒克-阿什塔尔大学的战略管理硕士学位——他是固体燃料推进剂的专家,这种推进剂能延长导弹射程并缩短发射时间。“一切如常”的感觉“伊朗政权想要传达的是一种照常营业的感觉,它想要传达一种所谓的胜利感,即相对于美国的所谓胜利,即使实际上这种所谓的胜利真的只是修辞,” Chatham House 中东和北非项目的副研究员莉娜·哈蒂布博士说。

‘A sense of business as usual’“What the Iranian regime wants to convey is a sense of business as usual, and it wants to convey a sense of so-called victory vis-a-vis the United States, even if in real terms this so-called victory is really just rhetoric,” said Dr Lina Khatib, an associate fellow in the Middle East and North Africa programme at Chatham House.

“通过这次任命,他们想要表达‘一切未变,政权具有韧性,它将生存下来’,”她说。“现实将会截然不同,我预计在由美国主导的下一轮升级中,[伊朗]很可能看到更多领导人被斩首。”这种修辞标志着美伊之间持续的僵局,双方都不愿屈服于对方的要求。

“With this appointment, they are trying to say ‘nothing has changed, the regime is resilient, it will survive’,” she said. “The reality will be very different, and I expect that in a next phase of US-led escalation, [Iran] is likely to see more decapitations happen of leadership.”Such rhetoric has marked the ongoing stalemate between the US and Iran, with neither side willing to capitulate to the other’s demands.

特朗普政府已经开始推动伊朗在核计划问题上做出让步。德黑兰表示这是不可接受的,而是要求在进一步谈判之前实现完全停火。

Donald Trump’s administration has begun to push for Iranian concessions on its nuclear programme. Tehran has said this is off-limits, instead asking for a complete ceasefire before further talks progress.

阿赫拉吉的任命值得关注,因为他主要通过伊朗的国防工业基地晋升,具备工程师的专业背景,这表明政权旨在优先重建其被耗尽的武器库存。

Mr Akhlaghi’s appointment is notable in that he has primarily risen through Iran’s defence-industrial base with expertise as an engineer, which suggests that the regime aims to prioritise rebuilding its depleted stock of weapons.

伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希希安在早些时候十月提名阿赫拉吉时,敦促议会支持他,强调他在国防生产和后勤方面的丰富经验,表明这是伊朗政权的优先事项。

Masoud Pezeshkian, the Iranian president, urged parliament to support Mr Akhlaghi when he was nominated in early October, highlighting his extensive experience in defence production and logistics, suggesting this was a priority for the Iranian regime.

“伊朗正在补充其导弹供应;它尚未将导弹水平恢复到战前水平,但它已经做到了,并且仍在继续这样做,”哈蒂布博士说。但她补充道:“无论伊朗能够补充多少导弹能力,这都不是伊朗能够持续发展的道路,对这个政权来说不可持续。”

“Iran is replenishing its missile supply; it has not been able to bring them back to pre-war levels, but it has done that, and is doing that,” said Dr Khatib. But, she added, “no matter how much Iran has been able to replenish its missile capability, this is not a way up for Iran that is going to be sustainable for this regime”.

在伊朗的权力结构中,国防部主要是一个采购和武器生产机构,而阿赫拉吉的新职务在许多方面具有象征意义。

In Iran’s power structure, the defence ministry is largely a procurement and arms-production body, and Mr Akhlaghi’s new post is in many ways symbolic.

弹道导弹、无人机和防空系统的作战指挥权不在国防部,而在伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)手中,决策权则掌握在最高领袖穆贾塔巴·哈梅内伊和最高国家安全委员会。

Operational command of the ballistic missiles, drones and air defences rests not with the ministry but with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the decisions with Mojtaba Khamenei, the supreme leader, and the supreme national security council.

尽管伊朗多次对美国发出威胁,但目前尚不清楚伊朗在升级战争方面的意愿到底如何。

Despite repeated threats against the US, it is unclear where Iran stands in terms of its willingness to escalate the war.

美国官员一直坚持认为,其强有力的经济制裁组合正在对伊朗造成冲击,并促使其领导层重新思考这场冲突。

US officials have maintained that its robust package of economic sanctions is hurting Iran and prompting its leadership to rethink the conflict.

但伊朗政权众所周知地缺乏透明度,专家指出,其领导层日益意识形态化的目标意味着不可预测、可能带有敌意的行动风险正在增加。

But the Iranian regime is notoriously opaque, and experts have noted that the increasingly ideological aim of its leaders means increasing risk of unpredictable, potentially hostile actions.

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