
民主党策略师詹姆斯·卡维尔在周日的一档采访中表示,他宁愿共和党在中期选举中以五个席位的优势赢得众议院,也不愿民主党以同样的优势获胜,他担心民主党会沦为美国民主社会主义者(DSA)的“人质”。
Democratic strategist James Carville said during an interview on Sunday that he would rather the Republicans win by five seats in the House of Representatives in the midterm elections than the Democrats win by the same number, worrying that the Democratic Party would become "hostages" to the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA).
卡维尔在参加《堡垒快评》节目时给出了他对中期选举的预测,并表示如果民主党仅以微弱优势获胜,他会感到失望。
While speaking to "The Bulwark Takes," Carville provided his midterm election predictions, and said he would be disappointed if Democrats won by a slim margin.
“如果最终只拿到225个众议院席位,我会很失望。那几乎就是——我宁愿共和党以五个席位保住众议院,也不愿民主党以五个席位获胜,因为如果那样的话,他们就会被DSA挟持,”卡维尔说。“哈基姆根本动弹不得,他无处可去。即使参议院席位接近,费特曼也会让舒默整晚抱着胃药。所以,我认为这是那种差距非常重要的选战之一。”斯图尔特预计,如果民主党赢回参众两院,舒默和杰弗里斯将令人失望。“大胜几乎和获胜一样重要,这听起来很奇怪,但225席就是一场噩梦,”他补充道。
"I would be disappointed if it comes in at 225 House seats. And that would almost be — I would rather the Republicans keep the House by five than the Democrats win by five because if that happens, they're hostage to the DSA," Carville said. "Like Hakeem cannot move. There's no place for him to go. Even if you have a close Senate, Fetterman would keep Schumer [on] Pepto-Bismol all night. So, I think this is one of these races where margin matters a lot." STEWART EXPECTS SCHUMER, JEFFRIES TO DISAPPOINT IF THE DEMS WIN BACK THE HOUSE AND SENATE "Winning big is almost as big as winning, which is weird but it’s a nightmare at 225," he added. Bill Kristol, the host of "The Bulwark Takes," pushed back and said that was "a lower bound" for Democrats in the House.
《堡垒快评》主持人比尔·克里斯托尔反驳说,对民主党来说,那只是众议院的“下限”。
Moderate Democratic strategist Kaivan Shroff pushed back on Carville's assertion in a statement to Fox News Digital.

温和派民主党策略师凯万·什罗夫在给福克斯新闻数字频道的一份声明中反驳了卡维尔的说法。
"I do think we have seen DSA figures overexploit their leverage to the point of sabotaging actual progress.
“我确实认为,我们已看到DSA人物过度利用其影响力,甚至到了破坏实际进展的程度。只需看看即将到来的克林顿国务卿输给唐纳德·特朗普十周年,就能找到这一说法背后的数据。所以我理解这种担忧,但卡维尔在这里绝对错了,而且对绝大多数民主党人不公平,他们绝对希望民主党以任何可能的优势赢回参众两院,最终对特朗普激进的反民主议程及其政府中普遍存在的腐败形成制衡,”他说。
One need look no further than the upcoming 10-year anniversary of Secretary Clinton losing to Donald Trump to find the data behind that claim. So I understand the concern, but Carville is absolutely wrong here and does a disservice to the vast majority of Democrats who absolutely want Democrats to win back the House and Senate, by any margin possible, to finally have a check on Trump’s radically anti-democratic agenda and the widespread corruption in his administration," he said.
什罗夫接着说:“如果暗示并非如此,就会给哈桑·皮克这样的人提供口实,他声称民主党人对其更左翼阵营的反对程度超过了对MAGA的反对——这根本不属实。但当像卡维尔这样的人发表这类言论时,它会迅速传播,实际上会让我们的广泛联盟中的左翼人士连露面都不愿意。所以这是他一句不负责任的话。”他辩称,像卡维尔所说的那样以五个席位之差失去众议院多数,并不是克服民主社会主义者(DSA)影响力的办法。
Shroff continued, "To suggest otherwise gives fodder to figures like Hasan Piker who claims Democrats are more against their farther left flank than MAGA — which is simply untrue. But when a figure like Carville makes this sort of statement, it goes viral and actually dissuades leftists in our big tent from even showing up. So it’s an irresponsible line from him." He argued that losing the House majority by five seats, as Carville suggested, was not the way to overcome the DSA's leverage.
社会主义在民主党人中势头上升,而党内领导人拒绝DSA议程:“一群傻瓜” 卡维尔还提供了关于民主党内部的幕后看法。
SOCIALISM SURGES AMONG DEMOCRATS AS PARTY LEADERS REJECT DSA AGENDA: ‘PACK OF FOOLS’ Carville also offered a behind-the-curtain take about the Democratic Party.

“埃尔-赛义德让奥卡西奥-科尔特斯在上半岛为他助选,”他说,“这毫无道理。”
"El-Sayed had AOC campaign with him on the upper peninsula," he said. "That doesn't make any sense."
“他们在密歇根州上半岛安排了五名进步派民主党人,”卡维尔继续说,“他们准备说的是:‘你们看,温和派——像卡维尔这样的克林顿派民主党人——说他们只能——DSA能赢的只有铁杆城市地区。’我们已经向你们证明,全国各地的人民都在等着成为真正进步主义的声音。”他说,像纽约州民主党众议员亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯这样的进步派正在为自己铺路,以便宣称进步主义议程在美国任何地方都能成功。
"They had five progressive Democrats on the upper peninsula of Michigan," Carville continued to say. "What they're lining up to say is, 'You see that the moderate — the Clinton Democrats, like Carville, said they can only — all the DSA can win is in hardcore urban areas.' We have showed you that the people all over the country are waiting to be the sound of true progressivism." He said that progressives, such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., are setting themselves up to say that the progressive agenda could succeed anywhere in the country.
詹姆斯·卡维尔警告:极左候选人“太固执”而意识不到自己不受欢迎 “并非如此。但这不会阻止他们这么说。相信我,这就是他们要说的,”他说。预计民主党将夺回众议院和参议院的控制权。
JAMES CARVILLE WARNS FAR-LEFT CANDIDATES 'TOO HARD-HEADED' TO KNOW THEY'RE UNPOPULAR "It's not. But it's not going to stop them from saying it. Trust me, that's what they're going to say," he said. Democrats are projected to take back control of the House and the Senate.
参议院最新的实力排名显示,中期选举中民主党和共和党将各拿下47席,另有六场选战被评为真正的势均力敌。此外,还有三场选战被评为略偏一方——距离势均力敌仅一步之遥。这九场对决很可能决定民主党能否净增四席赢得参议院控制权,还是共和党保住多数地位。
The latest Power Rankings in the Senate point to Democrats and Republicans each taking 47 seats in the midterms, leaving six races rated as true toss-ups. Additionally, three races are rated as leaners — one step shy of a toss-up. These nine showdowns will likely determine whether the Democrats make a net gain of four seats to win control of the Senate or if the GOP holds the majority.