
英国伦敦 —— 在安迪·伯纳姆于利物浦发表的党代会演讲接近尾声时,出现了一个通过沉默便胜过千言万语的瞬间。这位新任首相兼工党领袖陷入了沉默。
London, United Kingdom – There was a moment towards the end of Andy Burnham`s conference speech in Liverpool that, through silence, spoke volumes. The new prime minister and Labour leader fell quiet.
他站立了20秒,一言不发。他并非忘词。他在调整情绪,为演讲中一段他在彩排时始终无法不流泪便读完的内容做准备。
For 20 seconds he stood, saying nothing. He hadnt forgotten his words. He was gathering his emotions for a passage of the speech he hadnt been able to make it through in rehearsals without crying.
伯纳姆的父亲就在几周前去世了,而这正是他要谈论父亲的那一段。
Burnhams father had died just a couple of weeks before, and this was the section where hed talk about it.
当观众意识到即将发生什么时,他们起身鼓掌,并高喊“加油,小伙子!”和“加油,安迪!”鼓励他。他向他们致谢,平复心情,接着往下讲。
As the audience realised what was coming they stood, applauding, and urging him on with shouts of “Come on, lad!` and “Come on, Andy!” Thanking them, he composed himself and continued.
党代会演讲是一场政治秀,当代英国政治的标准要求领袖要亲和有共情力。但毫无疑问,安迪·伯纳姆以一种让许多人感到真挚的情感驾驭了这一时刻。
Conference speeches are theatre, and contemporary British political standards require that a leader be relatable. But there`s little doubt that Andy Burnham handled this moment with an emotional that struck many as genuine.
他的前任基尔·斯塔默有时显得生硬,近乎机械,在镜头前不自在。作为10年来的第七任首相,伯纳姆更感性。他谈论宏大构想与彻底解决方案,并乐于抓住沟通的机会。在现代政治话语以“氛围感”计价的体系里,这很重要。
His predecessor Keir Starmer sometimes came across as wooden, almost robotic and uncomfortable in front of cameras. Burnham, the seventh prime minister in 10 years, is more emotional. He talks big ideas and grand solutions and relishes the opportunity to communicate. In the vibes-denominated currency of modern political discourse, this matters.
民调不言自明。《政客》杂志的民调汇总显示,工党在伯纳姆就任首相后不久重夺榜首——这一地位自那时起便未曾旁落。9月底,益普索的民调发现,安迪·伯纳姆是唯一一位净好感度为正值的政治家。YouGov的民调也判定他是目前英国最受欢迎的政治家。
The polls speak for themselves. Politicos Poll of Polls had the Labour Party retake top spot shortly after Burnham became PM – a position it has not relinquished since. At the end of September, Ipsos found Andy Burnham to be the only politician with a positive net favourability rating. YouGovs polling also judges him the most popular politician in the UK at the moment.
但要保持势头,伯纳姆必须在下届大选前兑现实质性变革。除非他提前大选,否则那将是2029年。
But to keep up, Burnham must deliver tangible change before the next general election. Unless he calls one early, that will be 2029.
据政治分析师萨姆·弗里德曼称:“威斯敏斯特的许多人不断回到提前大选这个话题,尽管伯纳姆已将其排除在外……没人能完全弄明白,在几乎没有可见进展的情况下,伯纳姆如何能让这种希望的氛围再维持三年。”
“回到工党在50年代的样子” 在威尔士城镇波特塔尔博特,工人住宅排成一排,紧邻英国最大的钢铁厂。
According to political analyst Sam Freedman, “So many in Westminster keep coming back to an early election, despite Burnham ruling it out … No one can quite figure out how Burnham keeps the hope vibe going for three more years with relatively little visible progress.” ‘Going back to what Labour was in the 50sIn the Welsh town of Port Talbot, terraces of workers cottages cluster beside the UK`s largest steelworks.
与威尔士大部分地区一样,波特塔尔博特一个世纪以来都投票支持工党——直到5月举行的威尔士议会选举。
Like much of Wales, Port Talbot did vote Labour for a century – until elections for the Senedd Cymru or Welsh Parliament in May.
工党被民族政党威尔士党和反移民政党改革英国党超越,跌至史无前例的第三位。但那是在伯纳姆接手之前。
Labour was beaten to an unprecedented third place behind Plaid Cymru`s nationalists, and the anti-immigration Reform UK. But that was before Burnham took over.
为镇上老年人组织社交散步的迈尔斯·刘易斯告诉半岛电视台,工党未能在移民问题上说服民众,斯塔默的沟通也不够好。
Myles Lewis, who organises social walks for the towns elderly, told Al Jazeera that Labour had not convinced people on immigration, and Starmers communication wasn`t good enough.
“但现在,这有点回到工党在50年代和60年代的样子,那时他们真正照顾工人阶级。我确实相信安迪·伯纳姆能做到,因为我认为他心系工人阶级的利益。”
“[But now], it`s kind of going back to what Labour was in the 50s and 60s, where they actually looked after the working-class people. I do believe Andy Burnham can get there because I think he has the interests of the working-class people.”
上任最初几周,伯纳姆迅速推出了一系列引人注目的国内政策,聚焦生活成本。
In his first weeks in power, Burnham delivered a quick flurry of eye-catching, domestic, cost-of-living-focused policies.
他设定公交票价上限,降低电费增值税(VAT),并削减酒馆的商业税率。
He capped bus fares, cut the value-added tax (VAT) on electricity bills, and cut business rates for pubs.

他表示将终结街头露宿,推动国家再工业化,将公共服务收回公共控制,并启动二战以来最大规模的社会住房建设计划。
He said that he would end street homelessness, reindustrialise the country, take services back into public control, and start the biggest build-out of social housing since World War II.
作为大曼彻斯特市长已有九年,伯纳姆支持将权力从威斯敏斯特下放给英国各构成国和地区。
The mayor of Greater Manchester for nine years, Burnham supports the devolution of powers from Westminster to the UK`s nations and regions.
7月,他宣布市长们从2027年4月起可保留一部分商业税率收入,从2028年起可保留一部分所得税收入。
In July, he announced mayors could keep a share of business rates from April 2027 and of income tax from 2028.
他在9月的党代会演讲中勾勒出未来几场重大政治斗争的轮廓,包括建立一项全民社会护理服务,使用时免费,资金来源是从2030年起修改英国养老金的“三重锁”机制。该服务将在下一届议会期间推出。伯纳姆还提议成立一个关于选举改革的全国委员会,并在竞选纲领中承诺彻底改革投票制度。他对脱欧给出了直截了当的评价:脱欧“弊大于利”。
And his conference speech in September set out the contours of some big political battles to come, including a national social care service, free at the point of use, paid for by changing the UK pensions` triple lock from 2030. It would arrive next parliament. Burnham also pitched a national commission on electoral reform, with a manifesto commitment to overhaul the voting system. And he delivered a blunt verdict on Brexit: that it “has done more harm than good”.
他表示,不会排除在工党下一份竞选纲领中承诺举行留欧/脱欧公投,或承诺英国重新加入欧盟的可能性。在外交事务上,伯纳姆与其前任们的分歧较小。
He wouldnt rule out an in-out referendum, or a pledge for the UK to rejoin the European Union, in Labours next manifesto, he said. On foreign affairs, there is less blue water between Burnham and his predecessors.
8月访问乌克兰时,这位英国新任首相带去了一份引人注目的“见面礼”——英国建造远程“风暴阴影”巡航导弹的技术诀窍。他是自俄罗斯全面入侵乌克兰以来访问基辅并承诺坚定支持的第四位英国首相。
When he travelled to Ukraine in August, the UKs new prime minister came with a headline-grabbing gift – British know-how to build the long-range SCALP missile. He was the fourth British prime minister to visit Kyiv since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine and pledge steadfast support.
在加沙问题上,他表示工党政府“处理得不对”,本应更早呼吁停火。9月,伯纳姆政府宣布了一项针对约旦河西岸非法定居点的制裁方案。
On Gaza, he has said the Labour government “didn`t get it right” and should have called for a ceasefire earlier. And in September, the Burnham government announced a sanctions package against illegal West Bank settlements.
但他未宣布将以色列的行动定性为“种族灭绝”,也未对以色列实施全面武器禁运。伯纳姆也没有推翻斯塔默政府将巴勒斯坦行动抗议组织列为“恐怖主义”组织的禁令。国防开支也是一个迫在眉睫的难题。
But there has been no genocide declaration, and no full arms embargo against Israel. And Burnham hasnt overturned the Starmer governments proscription of the Palestine Action protest group as a “terrorist” organisation. Defence spending is also a looming problem.
政府正式承诺到2035年将国防开支提高至国内生产总值(GDP)的3.5%,但伯纳姆拒绝透露他是否会通过增税或削减福利来筹措资金。
The governments formal defence pledge is 3.5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) by 2035, and Burnham has declined to say whether hed pay for it with tax rises or welfare cuts.
因资金不足于6月辞去英国国防大臣职务的约翰·希利现任财政大臣,他也不承诺实现自己曾设定的“2030年达到3%”的目标。
John Healey, who resigned as the UK`s defence secretary in June over underfunding, is now chancellor of the exchequer, and will not commit to the 3-percent-by-2030 target he set himself.
伯纳姆的首份预算案将于本月底出台,全面支出审查将于明年进行。这些过后,许多情况将更加明朗。
Burnham`s first budget comes at the end of this month. A full spending review follows next year. Much will be clearer after these.
他最大的承诺——再工业化、公共服务公有化、新的社会护理体系——都需要巨额资金。
His biggest pledges – reindustrialisation, control of public services, a new social care system – are expensive.
伯纳姆确实具备了领袖气质。公众目前对其持认可态度。预算案将显示他是否有能力兑现这些承诺。
Burnham certainly has the vibes. The public likes them, for now. The budget will show whether he can afford them.