
Salesforce 正在动用其雄厚的财力来支撑一项陷入困境的业务 —— 并在此过程中向华尔街展示其已从过去的错误中吸取了教训。这家企业软件巨头计划收购营销技术平台 Braze,旨在增强自身的营销业务,后者在最近几个季度一直是其较薄弱的应用垂直领域之一。客户使用 Salesforce 的营销软件,跨互联网、电子邮件和短信等多种渠道运行并分析广告活动。
Salesforce is flexing its financial muscle to bolster a struggling business — and demonstrating to Wall Street that it has learned from past mistakes in the process. The enterprise software giant plans to acquire marketing technology platform Braze in a bid to strengthen its own marketing business, which has been one of its weaker application verticals in recent quarters. Customers use Salesforce's marketing software to run and analyze advertising campaigns across a variety of channels including the internet, email and text messages.
Braze 最大的差异化优势之一在于其实时能力,能让广告更具个性化,尤其是在智能手机上,这有助于填补 Salesforce 现有产品的空白。
One of Braze's biggest differentiators is its real-time capabilities to make ads more personalized, especially on smartphones, helping fill a gap in what Salesforce currently offers customers.
Salesforce 于周二同意以每股 47.50 美元的现金收购 Braze,连同债务在内对 Braze 的估值为 56.6 亿美元。此次决定以现金而非发行新股支付交易对价,值得注意,因为这避免了稀释现有股东的持股比例。Salesforce 过去曾因进行稀释股权且代价高昂的交易而受到批评,例如五年前收购 Slack。那笔收购近期开始显现成效,首席执行官 Marc Benioff 迅速指出了它对公司在人工智能时代保持相关性的关键作用。
Salesforce on Tuesday agreed to pay $47.50 a share in cash, valuing Braze at $5.66 billion including debt. The decision to buy Braze in cash — rather than issue new shares to pay for the deal — is notable because it avoids watering down the stakes of existing shareholders. Salesforce has faced criticism in the past for making dilutive and expensive deals, such as the purchase of Slack five years ago. That acquisition has started to look better lately, and CEO Marc Benioff has been quick to point out how integral it is to the company's relevance in the artificial intelligence era.
“Salesforce 正利用其强大的资产负债表,收购其他表现优异的公司,”Jim Cramer 对 Braze 这笔交易评论道。
"Salesforce is using its powerful balance sheet to be able to buy up other companies that are doing very well," Jim Cramer said in response to the Braze deal.
受收购消息刺激,Braze 股价周二飙升 52%,逼近收购价仅几美元之差。周三股价变动不大。就 Salesforce 而言,其股价周二基本持平,周三盘中略有下跌。自 6 月 22 日触及 52 周收盘低点以来,该股已累计上涨逾 60%,此前年初因对 AI 颠覆的担忧曾遭遇重挫。BRZE YTD mountain Braze 年初至今股价表现。
Shares of Braze soared 52% on Tuesday in reaction to the acquisition announcement, getting to within a few bucks of the takeover price. Shares aren't doing much Wednesday. For its part, Salesforce shares were basically unchanged Tuesday and are slightly lower in Wednesday's session. The stock is up more than 60% from its 52-week closing low on June 22 after a bruising start to the year on AI disruption concerns. BRZE YTD mountain Braze's year-to-date stock performance.
Salesforce在过去几个月进行了一系列收购,以增强其人工智能能力。该公司上个月完成了对人工智能客服平台Fin的收购,就在其有影响力的Dreamforce大会开始前不久,该大会展示了其在人工智能优先的世界中蓬勃发展的计划。六月时,背景大不相同,当时这笔全现金、36亿美元的Fin收购案首次公布。当时,Salesforce正陷入所谓的“SaaSpocalypse”之中,即人工智能将颠覆软件公司基于座位的商业模式,并使客户能够在内部构建替代应用程序的观点。
Salesforce has made a series of acquisitions in recent months to beef up its AI capabilities. The company completed its takeover of AI customer service platform Fin last month, shortly before the start its influential Dreamforce conference, which showcased its plan to thrive in an AI-first world. The backdrop looked a whole lot different in June, when the all-cash, $3.6 billion acquisition of Fin was first announced. Back then, Salesforce was caught up in the middle of the "SaaSpocalypse," or the idea that AI would disrupt software companies' seat-based business models and enable their customers to build replacement applications in-house.
那时,收购Fin几乎无法平息华尔街对人工智能颠覆的担忧。它也重新引发了关于Salesforce并购记录的争论。周二的Braze交易也是如此。多年来,投资者和分析师都指责Salesforce过度依赖收购来推动增长,往往以牺牲现有股东为代价。Salesforce在2019年以157亿美元收购Tableau,以及在2021年以277亿美元收购Slack,都是典型例子。
At that time, buying Fin did little to calm Wall Street's concerns about AI disruption. It also rekindled the debate around Salesforce's track record of mergers and acquisitions. The same can be said for Tuesday's Braze deal. Over the years, investors and analysts alike have accused Salesforce of relying too heavily on acquisitions to fuel growth, often at the expense of current shareholders. Salesforce's $15.7 billion acquisition of Tableau in 2019 and its $27.7 billion purchase of Slack in 2021 are prime examples.
Tableau是全股票交易,而Slack则是现金和股票的组合。从2022年下半年开始,包括杰夫·史密斯的星板价值资本在内的活跃投资者开始推动Salesforce重新考虑其支出习惯,提高盈利能力并优先考虑股东回报,不满情绪达到顶点。这就是Salesforce决定用现金为Braze和Fin收购融资如此引人注目的原因。这表明该公司已经听取了意见。
Tableau was an all-stock transaction, while Slack was a combination of both cash and stock. Frustrations came to a head beginning in the second half of 2022 when activist investors, including Jeff Smith's Starboard Value, began pushing Salesforce to reconsider its spending habits, improve profitability and prioritize shareholder returns. That's what makes Salesforce's decision to finance the Braze and Fin acquisitions with cash so noteworthy. It's a sign that the company has listened.
通过使用现金来避免稀释,Salesforce也并未抵消其激进的股票回购计划,该计划有助于减少流通在外股票数量,并在其他条件相同的情况下支持每股收益增长。
In using cash to avoid dilution, Salesforce is also not counteracting its aggressive stock buyback program, which helps reduce the amount of shares outstanding and, all else equal, supports earnings-per-share growth.
Salesforce今年早些时候加大了股票回购力度,因为其股价在“SaaSpocalypse”中暴跌。Braze的收购价格“大约相当于我们2027财年年度自由现金流的四个月”,Salesforce首席财务官罗宾·华盛顿周二在讨论该交易的投资者电话会议上表示。“我们认为,对于这样一个质量和规模的资产来说,这是一个有吸引力的价格。”
Salesforce stepped up its repurchase activity earlier this year as its stock price tumbled amid the "SaaSpocalypse." The purchase price of Braze is "roughly four months of our fiscal year 2027 annual free cash flow," Salesforce CFO Robin Washington said on an investor call Tuesday to discuss the deal. "We believe that it is an attractive price for an asset of this quality and scale."
Braze拥有约2770名客户,包括Instacart、Dairy Queen和Venmo,这将使Salesforce的营销产品更具竞争力。简单来说,Braze的营销平台可以观察客户行为,然后根据消费者的需求个性化互动和体验。“AI正在改变人们的工作方式……但它也在改变人们对自己喜爱品牌的期望,”Salesforce应用与营销总裁帕特里克·斯托克斯在周二的并购电话会议上表示。
Braze — whose roughly 2,770 customers include Instacart, Dairy Queen and Venmo — should make Salesforce's marketing offerings more competitive. In plain English, Braze's marketing platform can observe customer behaviors and then personalize interactions and experiences based on what the consumer wants. "AI is changing the way people work ... but it's also changing what people expect from their favorite brands," said Patrick Stokes, president of applications and marketing at Salesforce, during Tuesday's M & A call.
“人们期望品牌了解他们;期望品牌能回应他们当下的行为,并随时随地触达他们。……要做到这一点,营销人员需要代理式解决方案,能够理解客户、做出决策,并且最重要的是,能够实时快速行动。”斯托克斯表示,Braze正是擅长这一点,将其与Salesforce目前在营销方面提供的产品相结合,再加上其海量的其他客户数据,将形成强大的组合。
"People expect brands to know them; they expect them to respond to what they're doing in the moment and reach them wherever they are. ... To do that marketers need agentic solutions that can understand their customers, make decisions and, most importantly, act with speed in real time."
根据FactSet的数据,Braze预计在截至1月的12个月内实现9.12亿美元的收入,同比增长24%,调整后每股收益为64美分,意味着年增长率为69%。财务主管华盛顿表示,Salesforce的规模可以“扩大Braze在全球更多客户中的覆盖范围,随着时间的推移推动有意义的顶线增长”。在华尔街圈子里,并非只有Jim认为,拥有Braze会让Salesforce的未来更加光明。
This is where Braze thrives, Stokes said, and adding that to what Salesforce currently offers on marketing — coupled with its trove of other customer data — represents a powerful combination. Braze is projected to do $912 million in revenue in the 12 months ending in January, up 24% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share of 64 cents, implying 69% annual growth, according to FactSet. Finance chief Washington said Salesforce's scale can "widen Braze's reach to more customers around the world, driving meaningful top-line growth over time."
KeyBanc 的分析师称此项待完成的收购“是朝正确方向迈出的一步”。他们在周二给客户的报告中写道:“Braze 增加了一个事件驱动的互动平台,能够在客户行为变化时加强 Marketing Cloud 在移动、网页和消息渠道上个性化互动的能力。”
Jim is not the only one in the Wall Street community who believes that owning Braze makes Salesforce's future even brighter. Analysts at KeyBanc called the pending acquisition "a step in the right direction."
覆盖 Braze 与 Salesforce 的 Stifel 分析师表示,这是一种“双赢”组合。他们写道:“在我们跟踪 Braze 的期间,现有营销云(尤其是 Salesforce)的创新不足是我们买入论点的核心顺风,而 Salesforce 实际上是在收购这家被抢占市场份额的公司。”
In a note to clients Tuesday, they wrote, "Braze adds an event-driven engagement platform that would strengthen Marketing Cloud's ability to personalize interactions across mobile, web, and messaging channels as customer behavior changes." Analysts at Stifel, who cover both Braze and Salesforce, said this is a "win-win" combination.
Salesforce 预计收购将在其 2028 财年完成,2028 财年于二月开始。公司表示其 2027 财年没有变化。它还称,长期财务目标在“此时”仍保持不变。
"In our time covering Braze, lack of innovation at incumbent marketing clouds, particularly Salesforce's, was a core tailwind in our Buy thesis, and Salesforce is effectively buying the share-taker," they wrote. Salesforce expects the acquisition to close in its fiscal 2028, which begins in February. The company said there's been no change to its fiscal 2027.
有些收购的回报周期比其他收购更长。Slack 正是如此,Jim 指出,Slack 在最近几个季度加速增长,已成为 Salesforce 更广泛 AI 战略的重要支点。其理念是让客户能够访问存储在 Salesforce 应用中的所有有价值数据,而不必像过去那样必须使用传统应用。
It also said its long-term financial targets are unchanged "at this time." Some acquisitions take longer to payoff than others. That's certainly been the case with Slack, which, Jim noted, has accelerated in recent quarters and become an important prong to Salesforce's broader AI strategy.
作为工作场所的消息应用,员工本就大量使用 Slack,Salesforce 正通过更多集成和 AI 功能进一步深化这一点。“Slack 无处不在。我认为 Slack 已经成为一种非常常见的产品,这要归功于[首席执行官 Marc Benioff],”他补充道。
The idea is letting customers access all the valuable data stored within Salesforce's applications without necessarily needing toto the traditional application like in years past. As a workplace messaging app, workers spend a lot of their day in Slack to begin with, and Salesforce is leaning into that with more integrations and AI functionality.
与 Slack 类似,Salesforce 在八月宣布与 Anthropic 合作,更紧密地集成其 Claude 聊天机器人。Benioff 与 Anthropic 首席执行官 Dario Amodei 一同出现在 CNBC,谈论这项合作。该合作在同一天公布,恰逢 Salesforce 报告其第二财季业绩好于预期。这是 Benioff 在消除对 AI 颠覆担忧的努力中的关键一天。
"Slack is everywhere. I think Slack has become a very common product and that's because of [CEO Marc Benioff]," he added. Along the same lines as Slack, Salesforce in August announced a partnership with Anthropic to integrate more closely with its Claude chatbot. Benioff was on CNBC alongside Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei to talk about the partnership, which was announced the same day that Salesforce reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings.
这一系列利好消息促使Club将Salesforce的目标股价上调至每股250美元。华尔街的态度也在转变,美国银行上周将Salesforce的评级从“卖出”连升两级至“买入”。该机构承认,人工智能对Salesforce造成冲击的风险被夸大了,并认为Salesforce拥有可信的人工智能战略,且可能受益于企业在相关技术上支出的增加。该机构还将目标股价从每股160美元上调至285美元。(Jim Cramer的慈善信托持有CRM。)
It was a seminal day in Benioff's quest to put the AI disruption fears to bed. That combination of good news prompted Club to raise its price target on Salesforce to $250 per share. Wall Street is also coming around, with Bank of America double upgrading Salesforce to buy from sell last week. The firm acknowledged that the risks of AI disruption to Salesforce were overstated, arguing that Salesforce has a credible AI strategy and could benefit from increased enterprise spending on the technology. The firm also raised its price target to $285 per share from $160. (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long CRM. )