
对于右翼巴西总统候选人弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗来说,他最大的优势也是最大的弱点:博尔索纳罗这个姓氏。
For right-wing Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro, his biggest strength is also his greatest weakness: the Bolsonaro family name.
虽然巴西各地的支持者认为他是父亲强大保守品牌的更温和版本,但许多人却将他视为对雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗焦土统治的延续,该统治使国家两极分化,并在他2022年大选失利后导致了一场未遂政变。
While supporters across Brazil consider him a more moderate iteration of his father's powerful conservative brand, many others view him as a continuation of Jair Bolsonaro's scorched-earth rule that polarized the nation and culminated in an attempted coup after he lost the 2022 election.
到目前为止,似乎更多选民愿意检验第一个假设,博尔索纳罗在周日的决选中以领跑者身份对阵现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦。
So far, more voters seem willing to test the first hypothesis, with Bolsonaro heading into Sunday's run-off as the frontrunner against incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
博尔索纳罗获胜将使巴西在四年左翼统治后急剧右转,并很可能将拉丁美洲最大的国家推向由美国总统唐纳德·特朗普领导的美国轨道。
A Bolsonaro victory would shift Brazil sharply rightward after four years of leftist rule, and likely push Latin America's largest nation closer into the orbit of the United States led by President Donald Trump.
弗拉维奥出人意料的参选让内部人士和市场都措手不及,尤其是因为挥之不去的腐败指控——他予以否认——以及拥挤的保守派阵营似乎使他通往总统之路变得复杂。
Flavio's unexpected candidacy caught both insiders and markets off guard, especially since lingering corruption allegations — which he denies — and a crowded conservative field appeared to complicate his path to the presidency.
但分析人士表示,他利用了对80岁的卢拉日益增长的不满,同时也利用了他父亲由强大农民、大企业和福音派组成的保守派联盟。
But analysts say he has capitalized on growing dissatisfaction with 80-year-old Lula, while also tapping into his father's conservative coalition of powerful farmers, big business and evangelicals.
弗拉维奥本人也是一名皈依的福音派信徒,他说,在父亲因策划政变被判27年监禁后,参选总统感觉像是一种召唤,他父亲目前正在居家监禁中服刑。
Flavio, who is himself a converted evangelical, says that running for president felt like a calling after his father was sentenced to 27 years in prison for coup-plotting, a sentence he is now serving under house arrest.
“我明白,发生的一切都是上帝对我们国家的计划,”他在去年年底刚宣布参选并获得父亲祝福时对路透社表示。
"I understand that everything happening is God's plan for our nation," he told Reuters late last year just after announcing his bid with his father's blessing.
42岁的医生穆里洛·米兰达参加了最近在圣保罗举行的一场博尔索纳罗集会,他说,卢拉主持了一个福利发放和臃肿官僚体系,阻碍了巴西的增长并导致了根深蒂固的腐败。
Murilo Miranda, a 42-year-old physician who attended a recent Bolsonaro rally in Sao Paulo, said Lula had overseen a system of welfare handouts and a bulging bureaucracy that had hindered Brazilian growth and led to endemic corruption.
“他们认为国家是一个会拯救他们的父亲形象,”米兰达对路透社表示。
"They think the state is a father figure that is going to save them," Miranda told Reuters.
赫尔曼诺·席尔维拉(Hermano Silveira)是一位51岁的承包商,他也参加了这次集会。他表示,弗拉维奥(Flavio)是一股新兴的政治力量:“他是个年轻人,而我们渴望变革。”
Hermano Silveira, a 51-year-old contractor who was also at the rally, said Flavio was a new political force. "He is a young guy and we want change," Silveira said.
博索纳罗(Bolsonaro)试图承认自己父亲在执政期间犯下的错误,同时继续依靠自己那些热情的支持者。在与卢拉(Lula)的首次辩论中,他承认了自己父亲在应对新冠疫情方面的失误,试图回应那些频繁针对他的批评。他说:“在博索纳罗总统执政期间,医疗保健领域并没有取得最好的成绩;今天,我在这里公开表示歉意。”
Bolsonaro has sought to acknowledge his father's missteps in power while tapping into his fervent base. During the first debate with Lula, he recognized his father's mishandled COVID-19 response, seeking to address a frequent line of attack. "Healthcare was not an area in which we achieved our best results under President Bolsonaro," he said. "I make this mea culpa here today."
不过,博索纳罗明确表示,如果自己获胜,他会尽快解决自己父亲面临的法律问题。他在竞选活动中说:“我向上帝祈祷,希望明年能够与杰尔·梅西亚斯·博索纳罗(Jair Messias Bolsonaro)总统一起走上普拉纳尔托宫(Planalto Palace)的台阶,让他将总统绶带戴在我的身上。”
However, Bolsonaro has been clear that if he wins, he will quickly resolve his father's legal troubles. "I ask God for the opportunity to walk up the ramp of Planalto Palace next year alongside President Jair Messias Bolsonaro, so that he may place the presidential sash across my chest," he said on the campaign trail.
到目前为止,博索纳罗只宣布了一项内阁人选:他选择了前阿尔伯特·爱因斯坦医院(Albert Einstein Hospital)院长克劳迪奥·洛滕伯格(Claudio Lottenberg)担任卫生部长。虽然弗拉维奥承诺会削减开支,但他同时也承诺会改善公共服务并保护民众的社会福利。
So far, Bolsonaro has announced only one cabinet choice, naming Claudio Lottenberg, the former head of the private Albert Einstein hospital, as his pick for health minister. While promising to cut spending, Flavio has also pledged to boost public services and protect social welfare benefits for the population.