一项新民调显示，距离选举日不足两周之际，北卡罗来纳州前州长罗伊·库珀（Roy Cooper，民主党）在该州参议员竞选中以13个百分点的优势领先其共和党对手迈克尔·沃特利（Michael Whatley）。
A new poll found former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) holds a 13-point lead over his GOP opponent Michael Whatley in the state’s Senate race less than two weeks away from Election Day.
伊隆大学民调报告称，52%的受访者支持库珀，39%支持沃特利，6%仍未决定，3%选择了自由党候选人香农·布雷（Shannon Bray）、绿党候选人迈克尔·都柏林（Michael Dublin）或“其他人”。在一项强制选择题中，即要求未决定的选民在参议员竞选中做出选择，54%倾向于库珀，43%选择沃特利。
The Elon University poll reported that 52 percent of respondents favored Cooper, 39 percent backed Whatley, 6 percent remained undecided and 3 percent chose Libertarian candidate Shannon Bray, Green Party candidate Michael Dublin or “someone else.”In a forced-choice question, where undecided voters were asked to make a choice in the Senate race, 54 percent leaned towards Cooper and 43 percent picked Whatley.
库珀和沃特利都在争取目前由参议员汤姆·蒂利斯（Thom Tillis，共和党-北卡罗来纳州）占据的参议员席位，蒂利斯已宣布不寻求连任。这是民主党为重新夺回参议院控制权而希望拿下的一个席位。在独立选民中，库珀以50%对24%领先，17%仍未决定。
Cooper and Whatley are looking to take the Senate seat currently occupied by Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who announced he would not be running for reelection. It is one seat Democrats are hoping to pick up in their effort to regain control of the upper chamber. Cooper led among independent respondents with 50 percent choosing him, 24 percent picking Whatley and 17 percent still undecided.
沃特利在白人选民中领先，但库珀在黑人、西班牙裔和女性选民中领先。两位候选人在男性受访者中以42%打平。
Whatley held leads among White voters, though Cooper led among Black, Hispanic and female voters. Both candidates were tied among male respondents at 42 percent.
伊隆大学民调主任、政治学与公共政策教授杰森·哈瑟（Jason Husser）指出：“库珀在所有登记选民中的领先优势，小于其在那些表示有可能投票的登记选民这一子群体中的领先优势，这意味着如果共和党能激励更多基本盘选民出来投票，他们将有机会。”
“Cooper’s lead among registered voters overall is smaller than his lead among the subset of registered voters who say they are likely to vote, implying opportunity for Republicans if they can motivate more of their base to turn out,” Jason Husser, director of the Elon University Poll and professor of political science and public policy, noted.
为激发共和党选民热情，特朗普总统在北卡罗来纳州格林维尔（Greeneville）造势，此前副总统万斯（Vance）曾到访该州亨德森维尔（Hendersonville）。
In an effort to invigorate GOP voters, President Trump made a stop in Greeneville, N.C. after Vice President Vance visited Hendersonville, N.C.
Husser写道，民调结果似乎显示，与特朗普的关联似乎并未影响“北卡罗来纳州”选民的选择——即使考虑到总统提出的5000美元分红提议。特朗普此前表示，只有在共和党在中期选举后保持对众议院和参议院的多数控制权时，才会发放分红支票。
Husser wrote that results of the poll appeared to show association with Trump did not seem to affect voter’s choices in the Tar Heel State — even considering the president’s $5,000 dividend proposal. Trump previously stated dividend checks would be doled out only if the GOP maintains its majorities in the House and Senate after the midterm elections.
根据30%的受访者表示，这一承诺使他们不太可能投票给共和党，16%的人表示这使他们更有可能投票给共和党，50%的人表示分红提议对他们的投票没有影响。
According to 30 percent of respondents, the promise makes them less likely to vote for the GOP, 16 percent say it makes it more likely for them to vote Republican and 50 percent said the dividend proposal made no difference in their vote.
Husser补充道：“即使在认可总统工作表现的人群中，大多数人也表示分红对他们的投票决定没有影响。然而，总统的背书仍然能引起其基本盘的共鸣。”
“Even among those who approve of the President’s job performance, most said the dividend makes no difference to their voting decision. However, the President’s endorsement still resonates with his base,” Husser added.
43%的受访者表示，特朗普的背书会“使他们不太可能投票给某位候选人”，而25%的人表示特朗普的背书会使他们更有可能投票给某位候选人。26%的受访者指出，特朗普的背书没有任何影响。
Forty-three percent of respondents said an endorsement from Trump would “make it less likely they would vote for a candidate,” compared to 25 percent who stated a Trump endorsement would make it likelier they would vote for a candidate. Twenty-six percent of respondents noted that a Trump endorsement made no difference.
艾隆大学民调于9月29日至10月8日在北卡罗来纳州800名成年人中进行。误差范围为4.03个百分点。
The Elon University poll was conducted Sept. 29 – Oct. 8 among 800 North Carolina adults. The margin of error was 4.03 percentage points.