
对于台湾的市长们来说,“台风休假日”是一场重要的政治考验。一位专家指出,在选举年期间,市长因台风宣布关闭政府机关、学校和企业运营的可能性会增加31%。
For Taiwan’s Mayors, a ‘Typhoon Day Off’ is a Major Political Test One expert said the likelihood that a mayor announces closure of work and school because of a typhoon increases 31 percent during an election year.
在台湾,台风不仅仅是引发洪水和破坏的热带风暴;它们还可能以人们意想不到的方式影响市长能否连任。每年夏季到秋季之间,当这个亚热带岛屿遭遇飓风时,市长们必须决定是否宣布“台风休假日”——在这一天,政府机关、学校以及大多数企业都会停止运营。
In Taiwan, typhoons are not just tropical storms that cause flooding and damage. They can make or break a mayor’s chance at re-election for reasons one might not expect. Several times a year between summer and fall, when the subtropical island is hit by cyclones, city and county mayors must decide whether to order a “typhoon day off,” when government offices, schools and most businesses will close.
台湾目前正在应对“Champi”台风的侵袭。该台风曾一度被列为超级台风,是2026年最强级别的风暴。周四,台北市长蒋万安宣布周五为台风休假日,并提醒居民注意安全。预计这场台风将经过台湾东北部地区,带来强降雨和每小时141英里(约224公里)的风速。
Taiwan has been bracing for Typhoon Champi, which was at one point a super typhoon and the strongest storm of 2026. On Thursday, the mayor of Taipei, Chiang Wan-an, called a typhoon day off for Friday, and urged residents to be careful. The storm is expected to pass the northeastern part of Taiwan, bringing heavy rain and winds of 141 miles per hour.
这一决定并不令人意外,尤其是在天气预报的指引下。蒋万安将于11月底面临连任选举,而台风休假日深受居民欢迎——许多居民会选择待在家里度过这一天。如果台风的实际强度低于预报,许多人会去购物、看电影或唱卡拉OK。蒋万安属于国民党(Kuomintang),目前与来自执政的民主进步党的热门议员沈普玛(Puma Shen)处于激烈的竞争之中。台湾本岛上的几乎所有城市和县区都在周五暂停了工作和教学活动。
The decision did not come as a surprise to many, not least because of the weather forecast. Mr. Chiang faces re-election in late November, and typhoon days are popular with residents, who often spend the day at home. If the storm turns out to be weaker than forecast, many go shopping, to the movies or to sing karaoke. (Mr. Chiang, a member of the Nationalist Party, also called the Kuomintang, is in a close race with Puma Shen, a popular legislator from the governing Democratic Progressive Party.) Almost all cities and counties across Taiwan’s main island had suspended work and class on Friday.
由于台风在台湾人的日常生活中极为常见,因此是否宣布台风休假日这样的决策对选民来说至关重要。据当地媒体《The News Lens》报道,2001年至2023年间,台北市共有40个台风休假日,平均每年约两天;而经常遭受风暴侵袭的东北部城市宜兰市在同一时期则有45个台风休假日。
Because typhoons are such a common part of daily life in Taiwan, decisions like whether or not to call a typhoon day matter to voters. Between 2001 and 2023, Taipei had 40 typhoon days off, an average of almost two days a year, according to The News Lens, a local publication. Other cities like Yilan on the northeastern coast, which is often hit badly by storms, had 45 days off in that period.
内华达大学副教授奥斯汀·王研究过台风天的选举政治,他表示,选举年市长宣布停班停课的可能性增加31%。
According to Austin Wang, an associate professor at the University of Nevada who has studied the electoral politics of typhoon days, the likelihood that a mayor announces closure of work and school increases 31 percent during an election year.
他指出,与其他可能需要数月甚至数年才能评估的政策不同,官员的决定是否正确,一两天内便可知晓。例如,如果宣布台风假,而风暴最终确实严重,那么官员做出了正确的决定。由于仅由市长办公室决定是否放假,这意味着决定完全由市长本人负责。
Unlike other policies that can take months or years to evaluate, he said, it is clear within a day or two whether an official made the correct call. For instance, if a typhoon day is called and the storm turns out to be severe, the official made the right decision. The fact that the mayor’s office alone determines whether to call a day off also means that the decision is entirely the mayor’s responsibility.
“这是人们评估现任市长表现好坏的一个非常简单的标准,”王说。谈到连任时,他说,“人们会记住市长做出了正确还是错误的决定。”周四,许多周五工作时段离开台北的高铁车票已售罄或几乎售罄。超市囤积了额外的水、农产品和方便面,方便面是台风期间常见的主食。
“It is a very easy criteria for people to evaluate whether their incumbent was doing a good job or a bad job,” Mr. Wang said. When it comes to re-election, he said, “people will remember if the mayor made the right or wrong decision.”Tickets for many high-speed trains leaving Taipei during working hours on Friday were fully or almost fully booked on Thursday. Supermarkets stocked extra supplies of water, produce and instant noodles, a common staple during typhoons.
社交媒体上,居民讨论了他们计划利用四天长周末追剧和睡觉。(周一是台湾的公共假期。)当天早些时候,居民在蒋万安的脸书页面上留言,要求他宣布放假。
On social media, residents discussed their plans to spend the four-day weekend binge watching television shows and sleeping. (Monday is a public holiday in Taiwan.) Earlier in the day, residents left comments on Mr. Chiang’s Facebook page, asking him to announce a day off.
尽管这种放假很受欢迎,但不必要地宣布放假可能会给候选人带来麻烦。商业团体常常反对台风假,因为这会给公司带来成本,大多数公司仍会为这一天支付员工工资。如果台北停班停课,台湾股市也会当天休市。
Despite the popularity of such days, unnecessarily calling one can come back to haunt a candidate. Business groups often oppose typhoon days off because of the cost to companies, most of which still pay their employees for the day. Taiwan’s stock market also closes for the day if work and school are suspended in Taipei.
7月,当台风“巴威”逼近台湾时,蒋万安下令周五放假一天,让居民为周末台风来袭做准备。评论人士和他的政敌指责他发明“防台准备日”这一概念,纯粹是为了讨好选民。
In July, when Typhoon Bavi approached Taiwan, Mr. Chiang ordered a day off on a Friday for residents to prepare for the storm’s arrival on the weekend. Commentators and his political rivals accused him of inventing the concept of a “typhoon preparation day” just to pander to voters.
但未能及时宣布放假可能后果更糟。6月,台风“米克拉”掠过台湾中部,新竹市长和新竹县长——新竹拥有台湾最大的半导体公司——因未发布台风假而遭到批评。次日,随着风暴来袭,县长杨文科公开道歉,并宣布停工停课。那场风暴造成两人死亡。
But not calling one quickly enough may be even worse. When Typhoon Mikra passed over central Taiwan in June, the mayors of the city of Hsinchu and the county of Hsinchu, home to Taiwan’s largest semiconductor companies, were criticized for not issuing a typhoon day off. The next day, as the storm arrived, the county mayor, Yang Wenke, issued an apology and announced the suspension of work and school. That storm left two people dead.
台湾总统赖清德因其与天气相关的决策,既受赞扬也遭嘲讽。2012年,台风“天秤”逼近南部城市台南时,时任台南市长的赖清德决定维持正常上班上课。
Lai Ching-te, the president of Taiwan, has been both praised and derided for his weather-related decisions. In 2012, when Typhoon Tembin approached the southern city of Tainan, Mr. Lai, then that city’s mayor, decided it would be business as usual.
风暴威力较轻,他因此获得“赖神”绰号。但第二年,当他再次抵制压力、拒绝在另一场台风期间宣布放假时,风暴导致该市发生严重水灾。他被迫公开道歉。吴佩琳是《纽约时报》驻台记者兼研究员,报道台湾和中国事务。
When the storm proved to be light, he earned the nickname “God Lai.”But the next year, when once again he resisted pressure to declare a day off during another typhoon, the storm caused severe flooding in his city. He issued a public apology. Pei-Lin Wu is a reporter and researcher covering Taiwan and China for The Times.