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马尔代夫正进入巴基斯坦轨道?穆伊祖签署防务协议,呼吁重振南盟Maldives entering Pak orbit? Muizzu signs defence deals, calls for Saarc revival

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马尔代夫总统穆伊祖对巴基斯坦进行为期三天的历史性访问,期间双方签署了包括国防和海上安全在内的20项协议,穆伊祖会见了巴基斯坦陆军参谋长阿西姆·穆尼尔,并呼吁重振南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)。这一外交接触引发了关于伊斯兰堡在印度战略性的印度洋邻域影响力日益增强的疑问。

Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu's Pakistan visit saw 20 agreements, including on defence and maritime security, a meeting with army chief Asim Munir and a call to revive Saarc. The outreach has raised questions about Islamabad's growing influence in India's strategic Indian Ocean neighbourhood.

马尔代夫总统穆伊祖在对巴基斯坦进行为期三天的历史性访问期间,会见了伊斯兰共和国的各界要人。他会见了从总理夏巴兹·谢里夫、副总理伊沙克·达尔到掌握实权的陆军参谋长、元帅阿西姆·穆尼尔的各方人物。穆伊祖甚至身着长袍,接受了一所伊斯兰大学授予的荣誉博士学位。

Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu, on a three-day historic visit to Pakistan, has met the who's who of the Islamic Republic. He met everyone from Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Deputy PM Ishaq Dar to the powerful army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir. Muizzu even donned a robe to receive an honorary doctorate from an Islamic university.

这次为期三天的国事访问(10月20日至22日)见证了马尔代夫与巴基斯坦签署20项协议,涵盖国防、海上安全、警务、贸易及其他领域。穆伊祖呼吁重振已基本处于休眠状态的南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC),该组织上一次峰会于2014年在加德满都举行。他与巴基斯坦掌握实权的陆军参谋长会晤,为这一外交接触增添了战略维度。这些事态发展引发了关于这座印度洋岛国是否正在向伊斯兰堡靠拢,以及这对新德里意味着什么的疑问。

The three-day state visit, from October 20 to 22, saw the Maldives and Pakistan sign 20 agreements covering defence, maritime security, policing, trade and other sectors. Muizzu called for reviving the largely dormant South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (Saarc), whose last summit was held in Kathmandu in 2014. His meeting with Pakistan's powerful army chief has added a strategic dimension to the diplomatic outreach. The developments have raised questions about whether the Indian Ocean island nation is moving closer to Islamabad, and what that means for New Delhi.

马尔代夫周边的国际水域位于关键的印度洋航运航线上,传统上处于新德里的直接战略邻域及其势力范围之内。印度在该群岛保留军事人员,以操作和维护用于人道主义援助和医疗撤离的飞机,但穆伊祖政府在2024年5月成功将其替换为文职技术人员。

The international waters around the Maldives, located along vital Indian Ocean shipping routes, have traditionally been within New Delhi's immediate strategic neighbourhood and its sphere of influence. India maintained military personnel in the archipelago to operate and maintain aircraft used for humanitarian assistance and medical evacuations, but Muizzu's government secured their replacement with civilian technical personnel in May 2024.

穆伊祖本人挑起的与印度的紧张关系,成为这次对巴基斯坦接触的背景。穆伊祖凭借“印度走开”竞选口号于2023年上台执政,但此后一直致力于修复紧张的双边关系。

The outreach to Pakistan comes against the backdrop of tensions with India, stoked by Muizzu himself, who rode the "India Out" campaign to power in 2023 but has since been working to repair the strained bilateral relationship.

周三(10月22日)的联合新闻发布会上,穆伊祖说:“马尔代夫坚信南亚区域合作联盟的价值,也坚信我们地区通过集体行动应对共同挑战的巨大潜力。”他还宣布,巴基斯坦和马尔代夫已同意“翻开新篇章,在六十年友谊的基础上建立新的伙伴关系时代”。

At a joint press conference on Wednesday (October 22), Muizzu said, "The Maldives firmly believes in the value of Saarc, and in the tremendous potential of our region to address shared challenges through collective action." He also declared that Pakistan and the Maldives had agreed to "turn a new leaf, to build a new era of partnership on the foundations of our six decades of friendship".

与此同时,巴基斯坦借穆伊祖访问之机提出了其与印度的自身争端。根据巴基斯坦新闻信息部10月21日的一份声明,谢里夫向马尔代夫介绍了伊斯兰巴德关于查谟和克什米尔以及印度河水条约(IWT)的立场,尽管穆伊祖并未公开支持其中任何立场。

Pakistan, meanwhile, used Muizzu's visit to raise its own disputes with India. According to an October 21 statement from Pakistan's Press Information Department, Sharif shared Islamabad's perspectives on Jammu and Kashmir and the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT), although Muizzu did not publicly endorse either position.

巴基斯坦-马尔代夫:20项协议及新的国防维度 穆伊祖的访问是11年来首位马尔代夫总统访问巴基斯坦,并与两国建交60周年重合,两国于1966年7月建立外交关系。

PAKISTAN-MALDIVES: 20 AGREEMENTS AND A NEW DEFENCE DIMENSION Muizzu's visit was the first by a Maldivian president to Pakistan in 11 years and coincided with the 60th anniversary of diplomatic relations, established in July 1966.

穆伊祖于10月20日抵达伊斯兰巴德,与第一夫人萨吉达·穆罕默德及高级别代表团同行。10月21日,谢里夫在总理府迎接他,他在检阅仪仗队后,举行了限制级别和代表团级别的会谈。

Muizzu arrived in Islamabad on October 20 with First Lady Sajidha Mohamed and a high-level delegation. On October 21, Sharif welcomed him at the Prime Minister's House, where he inspected a guard of honour before restricted and delegation-level talks.

两位领导人见证了20份谅解备忘录和协议的交换,涵盖国防、海上安全、执法、民用航空、卫生、教育、农业、渔业、旅游和技术培训。

The two leaders witnessed the exchange of 20 memorandums of understanding and agreements covering defence, maritime security, law enforcement, civil aviation, health, education, agriculture, fisheries, tourism and technical training.

两国还同意将双边贸易额从约1300万美元提升至两年内2亿美元。考虑到两国双边贸易规模有限,这是一个雄心勃勃的目标。

Both countries also agreed to raise bilateral trade from approximately $13 million to $200 million within two years. This is an ambitious target given their limited bilateral trade.

穆伊祖将这些协议描述为建立“新时代”合作的机会。马尔代夫总统办公室证实,国防与安全、培训和能力建设是讨论的优先事项之一。穆伊祖会见穆尼尔,提议重振南亚区域合作联盟10月21日,巴基斯坦陆军参谋长兼联合参谋长委员会主席阿西姆·穆尼尔元帅在伊斯兰堡拜会了穆伊祖。据巴基斯坦官方广播电台巴基斯坦广播电台报道,双方讨论了地区安全、国防合作、机构联系和专业军事交流。

Muizzu described the agreements as an opportunity to establish a "new era" of cooperation. The Maldives President's Office confirmed that defence and security, training and capacity-building were among the priorities discussed. MUIZZU MEETS MUNIR, PROPOSES SAARC REVIVAL On October 21, Field Marshal Asim Munir, Pakistan's Chief of Army Staff and Chief of Defence Forces, called on Muizzu in Islamabad. According to Pakistan's state broadcaster, Radio Pakistan, the two discussed regional security, defence cooperation, institutional linkages and professional military exchanges.

穆伊祖赞扬了巴基斯坦武装部队的专业精神,并对伊斯兰堡为地区和平与稳定所作的努力表示赞赏。当天早些时候,副总理兼外交部长伊沙克·达尔也会见了穆伊祖,讨论了贸易、投资、教育和旅游等议题。

Muizzu commended the professionalism of Pakistan's armed forces and appreciated Islamabad's stated efforts towards regional peace and stability. Earlier that day, Deputy PM and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar had also met Muizzu to discuss trade, investment, education and tourism.

穆伊祖关于重振南亚区域合作联盟的提议是另一项重要的外交进展。自2016年伊斯兰堡峰会因巴基斯坦恐怖分子发动的乌里恐怖袭击以及新德里与伊斯兰堡关系恶化而取消以来,该区域组织一直处于基本不活跃状态。

Muizzu's Saarc revival proposal was another significant diplomatic development. The regional grouping has remained largely inactive since the 2016 Islamabad summit was cancelled following the Uri terrorist attack by Pakistani terrorists and the deterioration of relations between New Delhi and Islamabad.

印度外交部在乌里恐怖袭击后的声明中表示:“印度始终坚定致力于地区合作、互联互通和人员往来,但认为这些只能在无恐怖主义的氛围中推进。”

"India remains steadfast in its commitment to regional cooperation, connectivity and contacts but believes that these can only go forward in an atmosphere free of terror," MEA said in its statement after the Uri terror attack.

声明补充道:“在当前形势下,印度政府无法参加拟在伊斯兰堡举行的峰会。”

"In the prevailing circumstances, the government of India is unable to participate in the proposed Summit in Islamabad," the statement added.

10月21日,穆伊祖表示,马尔代夫“坚定致力于在重振南亚区域合作联盟中发挥建设性和积极的作用”。他补充说,马累已准备好与成员国合作,争取“在最早可能的机会召开下一次南亚区域合作联盟峰会”。

On October 21, Muizzu said the Maldives was "firmly committed to playing a constructive and proactive role in revitalising Saarc". He added that Male was ready to work with member countries towards "convening the next Saarc Summit at the earliest possible opportunity".

然而,穆伊祖并非近年来首位呼吁重振该组织的南亚领导人。早在2025年,孟加拉国临时政府首席顾问穆罕默德·尤努斯在会见访问该国的巴基斯坦副总理伊沙克·达尔时,也曾推动重振南亚区域合作联盟。

Muizzu, however, is not the first South Asian leader to call for the organisation's revival in recent years. Back in 2025, Bangladesh's interim government chief, Muhammad Yunus, had also pushed for Saarc's revival during a meeting with Pakistan's Deputy PM Ishaq Dar, who was paying a visit to the country.

南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)是一个八国联盟,1985年在达卡成立,总部设在加德满都。成员国包括印度、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、斯里兰卡、尼泊尔、不丹、马尔代夫和阿富汗。其主要目标是促进区域经济增长、社会进步、文化发展和集体自力更生。克什米尔与印度河水问题进入会谈:巴方视角巴基斯坦也将其与印度的争端带入了讨论。

Saarc, an eight-member alliance, was established in Dhaka in 1985 and is headquartered in Kathmandu. India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bhutan, Maldives and Afghanistan are the members of the cooperation. It's major aim was to promote regional economic growth, social progress, cultural development and collective self-reliance. KASHMIR AND INDUS WATERS ENTER THE TALKS: POV PAK Pakistan also brought its disputes with India into the discussions.

夏尔巴夫办公室证实,他在与穆伊祖会晤期间,阐述了巴基斯坦在查谟-克什米尔问题和《印度河水条约》上的立场。印度于2025年4月宣布暂停《印度河水条约》,此前一天巴赫尔加姆恐袭造成26人死亡,印度以巴基斯坦持续支持跨境恐怖主义为由。

Sharif's office confirmed that he shared Pakistan's perspectives on Jammu and Kashmir and the Indus Waters Treaty during his meeting with Muizzu. India put the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance in April 2025, a day after the Pahalgam terror attack killed 26 people, citing Pakistan's continued support for cross-border terrorism.

在周三的联合记者会上,夏尔巴夫警告称,干涉巴基斯坦水资源供应将被视为战争行为。重要的是,穆伊祖在公开场合未就克什米尔问题或该条约表达对巴基斯坦立场的支持。

At their Wednesday joint press appearance, Sharif warned that interference with Pakistan's water supplies would be regarded as an act of war. Importantly, Muizzu made no public statement supporting Pakistan's position on either Kashmir or the treaty.

在会晤与签署协议期间,穆伊祖于周三在伊斯兰堡国际伊斯兰大学获得政治与国际关系荣誉博士学位。夏尔巴夫在总理府举行的仪式上颁发学位,大学校长艾哈迈德·萨阿德·艾哈迈德教授出席。

Amid the meetings and agreements, Muizzu received an honorary doctorate in Politics and International Relations from the International Islamic University Islamabad on Wednesday. Sharif presented the degree at a ceremony held at the Prime Minister's House, with university rector Professor Ahmed Saad Al Ahmed in attendance.

据马尔代夫总统办公室消息,穆伊祖将这一荣誉献给马尔代夫人民,称其为两国友谊的认可。马尔代夫是否正转向巴基斯坦轨道?

According to the Maldivian President's Office, Muizzu dedicated the honour to the people of the Maldives, describing it as recognition of the friendship between the two countries. IS MALDIVES MOVING INTO PAKISTAN'S ORBIT?

穆伊祖的此次访问标志着巴基斯坦与一个对印度具有重大战略重要性的岛国之间的接触显著扩大。中国也一直在寻求在马尔代夫建立更稳固的立足点,在其“一带一路”倡议(BRI)框架下投资重大基础设施项目。北京为这个地理位置具有战略意义的岛国提供资金并建设了桥梁、住房项目及其他基础设施,这引发了新德里对其在印度洋影响力日益增长的担忧。

Muizzu's visit represents a notable expansion of Pakistan's engagement with an island nation of considerable strategic importance to India. China, too, has been seeking a stronger foothold in the Maldives, investing in major infrastructure projects under its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Beijing has financed and built bridges, housing projects and other infrastructure in the strategically located island nation, which have raised concerns in New Delhi over its growing influence in the Indian Ocean.

然而,至少目前来看,这些协议并未在马尔代夫建立巴基斯坦的军事存在,其操作层面的含义仍不清晰。

However, at least for now, the agreements do not establish a Pakistani military presence in the Maldives, and their operational implications remain unclear.

穆伊祖政府继续将其外交政策描述为“马尔代夫优先”,并强调与多方伙伴合作,而非单一结盟。对印度而言,当下的担忧在于伊斯兰堡正在新德里的战略海上邻域获得另一个切入点。

Muizzu's government continues to describe its foreign policy as "Maldives First", along with an emphasis of cooperation with multiple partners rather than exclusive alignment. For India, the immediate concern would be that Islamabad is gaining another opening in New Delhi's strategic maritime neighbourhood.

这些防务和海事协议能否转化为持续的军事合作,将决定穆伊祖访巴的真实战略意义。

Whether the defence and maritime agreements translate into sustained military cooperation will determine the real strategic significance of Muizzu's Pakistan visit.

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