
佛罗里达州共和党州长候选人拜伦·唐纳兹(Byron Donalds)在上个月达拉斯举行的中期选举共和党大会舞台上。
Byron Donalds on stage at the midterm Republican convention in Dallas last month.
拜伦·唐纳兹从其网站上删除了关于总统的提及,且极少提及其名字——这一策略能否在激烈的州长竞选中奏效?
Byron Donalds removed mentions of the president from his website and has barely uttered his name – will his ploy prove successful in a tight governor’s race?
拜伦·唐纳兹在佛罗里达州最蓝的县——布劳沃德县的“绿色格雷兹西部牧场”举行集会,面对热情高涨的支持者发表竞选演说。他花了一些时间列举那些应为任何“负担能力”问题负责的人。
这位佛罗里达州州长共和党提名人坚称,乔·拜登(Joe Biden)及民主党的激进政策应负全责,尽管这两者在华盛顿已掌权近两年。
It took Byron Donalds, addressing a wildly supportive crowd at a rally in Florida’s bluest county, some time to list those he blamed for any “affordability” issues they might be experiencing. Joe Biden, and the radical policies of the Democrats were at fault, the Republican nominee for Florida governor insisted in his stump speech at Broward county’s Green Glades West ranch, even though neither has wielded power in Washington for almost two years.
唐纳兹还指责了现代共和党运动的其他传统眼中钉:纽约市民主社会主义市长佐赫兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani)和备受痛恨的安东尼·福奇博士(Dr Anthony Fauci)。
Donalds also pointed a finger at other traditional betes noires of the modern Republican movement, New York’s democratic socialist mayor, Zohran Mamdani, and the despised Dr Anthony Fauci.
另一位遭到长时间口头抨击的是大卫·乔利(David Jolly),他是这场备受关注的竞选中的对手,该竞选将有助于衡量民主党在近年来已可靠地转为红州的佛罗里达州复苏的力度。
Another to receive a lengthy verbal lashing was David Jolly, his opponent in a closely watched race that will help gauge the strength of a Democratic resurgence in a state that has veered reliably red in recent years.
然而,一个名字——唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)——依然明显未被提及,伊朗战争、飙升的汽油价格、负担不起的医保保费,以及导致总统支持率跌至新低的诸多其他问题,也均未被提及。如何应对特朗普,已成为这位超级“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)派、三届共和党联邦众议员唐纳兹在一场比他预想更为胶着的竞选中面临的一个难题。支持者在达拉斯挥舞标语牌,聆听拜伦·唐纳兹演讲。
Yet one name – Donald Trump – remained conspicuously unspoken, as did any mention of the war in Iran, soaring gas prices, unaffordable healthcare premiums, or any number of issues that have caused the president’s approval rating to drop to new lows How to handle Trump has become something of a conundrum for Donalds, an ultra-Maga, three-term Republican congressman, as he navigates a race that remains much closer than he would like it to be. Supporters of Byron Donalds wave placards as he speaks to the crowd in Dallas.
鉴于总统的不受欢迎程度,唐纳兹竞选团队上个月决定从其竞选网站上清除几乎所有关于特朗普的提及,包括将“推行特朗普议程”作为其州长首要任务的表述。
Such is the president’s unpopularity that the Donalds campaign made the decision last month to purge almost every mention of Trump from his campaign website, including the removal of “enact the Trump agenda” as his top priority as governor.

这种做法,加上他在竞选途中明显不愿提及特朗普的名字或政策,似乎奏效了——直到特朗普宣布将于周五前往迈尔斯堡,距离选举日仅一周多一点,这是总统为支持处于劣势的候选人而进行的最新一站红州之行。
That, and his notable reluctance to invoke his name, or policies, on the campaign trail, appeared to be working, until Trump announced that he would be coming to Fort Myers on Friday, a little more than a week from election day, on the latest stop of the president’s late red-state tour in support of vulnerable candidates.
一些寻求连任的知名共和党人在特朗普来访时选择避而不见。得克萨斯州州长格雷格·阿博特或许是为了不被视为与特朗普关系过于紧密,在特朗普本月访问圣安东尼奥时,突然发现有个无法推脱的安排。但唐纳兹没有。
Some prominent Republicans seeking election have chosen to be elsewhere when Trump comes to town. Perhaps in an effort not to be seen too closely aligned, the Texas governor, Greg Abbott, discovered an unavoidable commitment as Trump visited San Antonio this month. But not Donalds.
“当然我会去。这是什么问题?”上周五与同样出现在11月3日选票上的共和党参议员阿什利·穆迪联合举行集会后,他对一名记者厉声反问。
“Of course I’m going to be there. What kind of question is that?” he snapped at a reporter after last Friday’s joint rally with the Republican senator Ashley Moody, who is also on the 3 November ballot.
另一位记者询问唐纳兹,他对特朗普的沉默是否是故意与总统一些不受欢迎的政策划清界限,例如其打击非法移民的政策,在佛罗里达州庞大的拉美裔和西班牙裔选民群体中民调表现不佳。
Another journalist asked Donalds if his silence on Trump was a deliberate uncoupling from some of the president’s more unpopular policies, such as his immigration crackdown that is polling poorly with Florida’s large Latino and Hispanic voting blocs.
“这就是我说的。你们老纠结于‘你同意这个吗,你同意那个吗?’”他问道,并未回答问题。“我是在发表关于我竞选州长的演讲,因为我正在竞选州长。” 唐纳兹本月初在佛罗里达州莱克兰与选民和媒体成员交谈。
“This is what I’m talking about. You guys are so caught up in, ‘Do you agree with this, do you agree with that?’” he said, not answering the question. “I was giving a speech about my campaign for governor because I’m running for governor.”Donalds speaks to voters and members of the media in Lakeland, Florida, earlier this month.

这种保持距离是一场精心计算的赌博,无论如何可能都无关紧要,因为佛罗里达州登记在册的共和党选民比民主党选民多出150多万。
The distancing is a calculated gamble that may prove inconsequential anyway, given that registered Republican Florida voters outnumber Democrats by more than 1.5 million.
但他尖刻的回应表明,他意识到选民在决定是否让他接替罗恩·德桑蒂斯、延续自1999年1月以来共和党对州长官邸的掌控时,特朗普很可能是他们脑海中首要考量的因素——德桑蒂斯的背书已在佛罗里达州电视广告中取代了特朗普的背书。
But his snippy responses suggest he is aware that Trump is probably uppermost in voters’ minds as they decide whether to allow him to succeed Ron DeSantis, whose endorsement has replaced Trump’s on Florida TV ads, and extend the Republican grip on the governor’s mansion that dates to January 1999.
唐纳兹上周五的演讲在一家私人牧场旅舍举行,那里位于大沼泽地边缘,装潢宛如一家高档的“克拉克巴雷尔”餐厅。现场以白人中老年观众为主,他们热烈欢迎这番演讲,内容全是他们想听的,没有任何他们不想听的。
Donalds’s speech last Friday, which was warmly received by the mostly white, middle-aged and above audience at the private ranch lodge resembling an upmarket Cracker Barrel restaurant on the edge of the Everglades, contained plenty of what they wanted to hear, and nothing that they didn’t.
他没有提及伊朗或乌克兰的战争,也没有谈及汽油价格。他说,佛罗里达州家庭面临的任何额外经济负担,都应归咎于“前届政府的疯狂举动”。
He did not touch the wars in Iran or Ukraine, or gas prices. Any extra financial burden on Florida’s families, he said, could be laid at the door of “the craziness from the previous administration”.
政治分析师拉里·萨巴托表示,这种划清界限的做法是个策略,如果唐纳兹获胜,很快就会被遗忘。
Political analyst Larry Sabato said the distancing was a ploy that will be quickly forgotten if Donalds wins.
“唐纳兹是超级‘让美国再次伟大’(MAGA)派。这只是全国不少共和党人正在采用的一种竞选策略,”萨巴托说。他是弗吉尼亚大学政治中心的创始人兼主任,也是选举分析网站“萨巴托水晶球”的作者。
“Donalds is super-Maga. This is just a campaign tactic being used by quite a few Republicans all across the country,” said Sabato, founder and director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and author of the election analysis website Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
“看,唐纳兹别无选择,只能最大限度地利用特朗普,又不能被他吞噬。大家都知道这不容易。你是在走钢丝。”民主党领袖指出,唐纳兹在国会近六年的任期中立场极度保守、坚挺“让美国再次伟大”路线。这些立场包括:拒绝认证拜登2020年大选胜利、主张无证移民不享有正当程序权利、否认气候变化由人类活动导致、大力推动堕胎限制、反对跨性别女性和女孩参加体育比赛。
“Look, Donalds has no choice but to make the most out of Trump, but not be devoured by him. And you know it’s not easy to do. You’re walking a very fine line there.”Democratic leaders point to Donalds’s ultra-conservative, pro-Maga positions during almost six years in Congress. They include refusing to certify Biden’s 2020 election win, arguing that undocumented immigrants are not entitled to due process, denying climate change is human-made, championing abortion restrictions, and opposing transgender women and girls in sport.
佛罗里达州民主党主席妮基·弗里德在周四的新闻发布会上表示,唐纳兹骗不了选民。次日特朗普将造访迈尔斯堡。
Nikki Fried, the chair of the Florida Democratic party, told a press conference Thursday, one day before Trump’s Fort Myers, visit that Donalds is not fooling voters.
“即使拜伦·唐纳兹试图通过从网站上清除总统来与特朗普划清界限,几小时内他又跑回‘爸爸’怀里,但无法躲避这一总统任期的记录,”她说。
“Even when Byron Donalds tried to distance himself from Trump by scrubbing the president from his website, he went running back into Daddy’s arms within hours, but there is no hiding from this presidency,” she said.
“明天,唐纳兹和佛罗里达州其余共和党人将再次暴露他们真正效忠的对象。我们州的民众已经厌倦了那些毫无骨气的政客,他们只会亲吻戒指、俯首听命,而不是挺身而出。”唐纳兹在劳德代尔堡的一场竞选活动上说。
“Tomorrow, Donalds and the rest of the Florida Republicans will once again reveal their true loyalties. The people of our state are tired of spineless politicians who kiss the ring and fall in line instead of standing up.”Donalds at a campaign event in Fort Lauderdale.

但在牧场举行的集会上,几位参加者表示,他们并不介意唐纳兹避谈特朗普。这场集会由环保主义者、商人“鳄鱼”罗恩·伯杰龙主办,他是德桑蒂斯的亲密盟友。
But several attenders at the rally at the ranch, hosted by the environmentalist and businessman “Alligator” Ron Bergeron, a close ally of DeSantis, said they were unbothered by Donalds’s avoidance of any Trump talk.
“我们和总统立场一致,支持正确的事情,”路易斯·布雷顿说,他是一名共和党选民,也是原籍苏联的美国公民。
“We’re all on the same page with our president supporting what is right,” said Luis Breton, a Republican voter and US citizen originally from the Soviet Union.
斯特拉·帕特里克说,她认为唐纳兹和穆迪在为佛罗里达州的利益而战,而特朗普则忙于“保卫国家”。这位劳德代尔堡的退休人士说:“拜伦·唐纳兹不需要特朗普的背书也能赢,我很高兴他谈到了他将在佛罗里达州为我们做什么。这对我来说才是重要的。”要获胜并成为佛罗里达州第一位黑人州长,唐纳兹不能失去曾帮助特朗普连续三次总统选举赢下该州的联盟中的大批支持者,其中包括黑人选民和西班牙裔选民。
Stella Patrick said she saw Donalds and Moody as fighting for Florida’s interests, while Trump was busy “defending the nation”. The Fort Lauderdale retiree said: “Byron Donalds doesn’t need Trump’s blessing to win, and I’m happy he spoke about what he’s going to do for us in Florida. That’s what matters to me.”To win and become Florida’s first Black governor, Donalds cannot afford to lose huge chunks of the alliance that helped Trump win the state at three successive presidential elections, including Black voters and Hispanics.
民调显示,西班牙裔选民似乎对继续支持共和党事业有所动摇,在上周公布的NBC6/Telemundo 51调查中,他们以48%对43%支持唐纳兹。黑人选民的支持似乎已经流失,同一项民调显示乔利以76比10领先。
According to polls, Hispanic voters appear to be wavering about sticking with the Republican cause, favoring Donalds 48%-43% in an NBC6/Telemundo 51 survey published last week. Support from Black voters looks to have slipped away, the same poll giving Jolly a 76-10 advantage.
与此同时,全国民主党人认为选情正在收紧,并于周二承诺额外投入100万美元,以在竞选后期为乔利提供助力。
Meanwhile, Democrats nationally see a tightening race, and on Tuesday pledged an extra million dollars to bolster Jolly in late campaigning.
萨巴托的水晶球和福克斯新闻都将唐纳兹与乔利的对决列为“倾向共和党”。
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Fox News, list the Donalds-Jolly contest as “leans Republican”.
萨巴托说,佛罗里达州还能被视为摇摆州的日子早已一去不复返。“差距甚至都不接近,”他说。“特朗普轻松赢下了它,所以你不能低估那里的共和党选票,也不能高估民主党选票。”
Sabato said the days when Florida could be considered a purple state are long gone. “It’s not even close,” he said. “Trump won it easily, and so you can’t underestimate the Republican vote there, or overestimate the Democratic vote.”