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散户去杠杆加速印度小盘股下跌Margin Trade Liquidation Speeds Indian Small-Cap Stock Decline

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散户投资者的一波去杠杆潮引发了印度小盘股七个月来最大规模的抛售,因为对通胀和利率上升的担忧日益加重,打击了市场情绪。

A wave of deleveraging by retail investors has triggered the biggest rout in Indian small-cap stocks in seven months, as mounting concerns over inflation and higher interest rates weigh on sentiment.

券商表示,由融资融券贷款撬动的仓位被平仓加剧了抛售,冲击了印度4.8万亿美元股市中今年少数逆势走强的板块之一。

The selling was exacerbated by unwinding of positions funded by margin loans, brokers said, hitting one of the few pockets of India’s $4.8 trillion market that have bucked broader weakness this year.

周五,一只小盘股指数一度暴跌3.7%,为3月23日以来最大跌幅,抹去了今年以来的涨幅。小盘股占散户交易者杠杆押注的大多数。

An index of small-cap companies tumbled as much as 3.7% Friday, the most since March 23 and erasing its gain for the year. Smaller stocks account for the majority of leverage-based wagers by retail traders.

孟买独立研究分析师Ambareesh Baliga表示:“小盘股的抛售正因融资融券仓位被强制平仓而加剧。更大的担忧是,剧烈亏损是否会引发小盘和中盘基金的共同基金资金流入放缓,甚至导致赎回。”

“The selloff in small caps is being exacerbated by forced liquidation of margin-trading positions,” said Ambareesh Baliga, an independent researcher analyst in Mumbai. “The bigger concern is whether the sharp losses trigger a slowdown in mutual-fund flows into small- and mid-cap funds, or even lead to redemptions,” he said.

根据IndiaMTF.com的数据,本月未偿还融资融券贷款从9月30日的历史高位1.6万亿卢比降至1.55万亿卢比以下(约163亿美元)。

Outstanding margin loans declined to less than 1.55 trillion rupees ($16.3 billion) this month from a record high of 1.6 trillion rupees on Sept. 30, according to IndiaMTF.com.

由于外国投资者抛售大盘股,因该市场缺乏有意义的人工智能押注,印度股市今年一直是全球表现最差的市场之一。

Indian equities have been among the worst performers globally this year on selling of large caps by foreign investors due to the market’s lack of meaningful artificial intelligence bets.

直到近期石油价格反弹推高了央行进一步加息以抑制通胀的押注之前,小盘股一直跑赢大盘。这将对高度依赖本地经济的小型企业造成不成比例的打击。

Small caps had been outperforming until the recent resurgence in oil, which has driven up bets on further central bank rate hikes to tame inflation. That would weigh disproportionately on smaller firms that are highly dependent on the local economy.

Kotak Neo首席数字业务官Ashish Nanda表示:“当大多数股价较高点大幅回落时,融资融券交易‘注定会显示亏损’。未能维持保证金会导致券商平仓。”

Margin trades are “bound to show losses when most stocks are considerably lower from their peak,” said Ashish Nanda, chief business digital officer at Kotak Neo. “Not maintaining margins can lead to broker liquidation positions.”

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