
去年感恩节,一位姑婆想给凯拉·科内特举一个让她安心的例子:她的表姐努力工作、攒钱,买下了一套房子。姑婆说,24岁的科内特也能做到——只要她再稍微努力一点。
At Thanksgiving last year, a great-aunt tried to offer Kayla Cornett a reassuring example: Her older cousin had worked hard, saved and bought a house. Cornett, 24, could do the same, she said — if she tried just a little bit harder.
火鸡吃完了很久之后,仍留在她心头的是那句话的言外之意:她目前的努力还不够。她正努力应付房租和成年人的日常开销,而这已经让她很吃力。她说,在连不大的开支都开始累积之后,她最近第一次开始背着信用卡欠款。加满一箱油要40美元。她记得,当年长的亲戚质疑她的欠款时,她心里想:“我要么不吃饭,要么背上信用卡债务。”
What stayed with her long after the turkey was cleared was the implication that her current efforts just weren’t enough. She was trying to keep up with rent and the ordinary expenses of adulthood, and it was a struggle. She recently started carrying a credit-card balance for the first time, she says, after even modest costs began piling up. Filling her gas tank was $40. “I can not eat, or I can have credit card debt,” she remembers thinking when older relatives questioned her balance.
科内特和伴侣一直住在罗利的公寓里,尽管这栋公寓楼变得越来越不安全,汽车也被人撬过。他们是2023年搬进来的,不愿再搬一次;其他地方现在每月要贵200或300美元。搬走意味着用一种担忧换另一笔他们负担不起的账单。“那些小事一点点累积起来,让我觉得无法逾越,”科内特说。
Cornett and her partner have stayed in their Raleigh apartment even as the complex has grown less safe and cars have been broken into. They had moved in 2023 and were reluctant to do so again; other places now cost $200 or $300 more per month. Leaving would mean trading one worry for another bill they can’t afford. “The little things are accruing in a way that feels insurmountable to me,” Cornett says.
负担能力危机是这个国家每个人都感受到的困境,但对科内特这一代人打击尤其沉重——他们步入成年时,面对的是高通胀、微薄的储蓄、摇摇欲坠的就业市场,以及一辈子的失能政治。消费者信用报告机构Transunion在2024年的一项研究中发现,Z世代中22至24岁人群的平均信用卡欠款、平均汽车贷款余额和平均个人贷款余额都高于十年前的千禧一代同龄人,即使按通胀调整后也是如此。Z世代借款人的逾期率也高于千禧一代的同龄人。
The affordability crisis is a struggle felt by everyone in the country, but it’s hitting Cornett’s generation particularly hard as they emerge into adulthood with high inflation, little savings, a wobbly job market and a lifetime of dysfunctional politics. Transunion, a consumer credit reporting agency, found in a 2024 study that 22- to 24-year-olds in Gen Z had higher average credit-card balances, higher average auto-loan balances and higher average personal-loan balances than millennials of the same age a decade earlier, even when adjusted for inflation. Gen Z borrowers also had higher delinquency rates than their millennial counterparts.
这种矛盾——即“努力工作会带来稳定”的承诺与年轻人所面临的、难以克服的种种现实困境之间的差距——是理解 Z 世代政治态度的关键。Z 世代在 2024 年帮助唐纳德·特朗普赢得了总统选举,但至今仍未能赢得任何政党的长期支持。
This gap — between the promise that hard work will bring stability and the costs young adults say they can’t get ahead of — is key to understanding the politics of Gen Z, a voter group that helped President Donald Trump win in 2024, but whose longtime loyalties have yet to be won by either party. After Trump’s victory, much was made of a vibe shift in American politics. The manosphere was ascendant and tradwives were everywhere.
特朗普获胜后,美国政治氛围发生了显著变化:保守派势力抬头,传统价值观在舆论中占据主导地位。有观点认为保守派成功吸引了年轻人的关注;也有人认为特朗普之所以能赢得年轻选民的支持,是因为他承诺会控制物价上涨。然而由于他未能兑现这一承诺(尤其是在实施关税政策以及与伊朗的冲突期间),年轻人正准备在中期选举中大量抛弃共和党。
For a brief moment, it seemed like conservatives had captured the attention of American youth. Perhaps. Or perhaps Trump pulled in young voters because of his promises to rein in high prices, and since he failed to do so — amid his tariffs and his war with Iran — young people are preparing to reject the GOP in droves in the midterms. Gen Z’s political behavior is often viewed through the lens of cultural issues or internet trends.
人们常常从文化问题或网络趋势的角度来解读 Z 世代的政治行为,但这些解释其实掩盖了一个更根本的原因:Z 世代成长于一个经济环境日益不稳定的时代,他们越来越觉得美国经济无法为他们带来真正的福祉。沉重的债务负担便是最直观的证明。
But based on a dozen interviews with Gen Zers from across the country, those explanations obscure a more fundamental force: They belong to a generation coming of age with less financial security and with a growing sense that the American economy doesn’t deliver, at least not for them. A crushing debt load is the most tangible proof.
“我第一次投票是在2024年总统大选,”21岁的民主党人安娜·易(Anna Yi)说,她在北卡罗来纳大学教堂山分校就读。“我记得当时有点天真,想着‘会有很多变化,会有大规模的社会改革之类的。’现在却是:谁能给我找工作?谁能让我在40岁之前买得起自己的房子?”这是一代感到被背叛、深度不信任体制能够做出任何回应的人。
“The first time I voted was the 2024 presidential election,” says Anna Yi, a 21-year-old Democrat studying at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. “I remember being a little bit naive and being like, ‘There’s going to be a lot of change. There’s going to be a lot of sweeping social reform and whatnot.’ Now it’s: Who’s going to get me a job? Who’s going to let me afford my own place before I turn 40?”This is a generation that feels betrayed, with deep distrust that the system is capable of responding at all.

从这里起,一些年轻人可能会决定,如果两个党都不倾听,政府也不作为,投票的理由就很少了。他们变得愤世嫉俗,以至于退出政治,最终在选举日选择待在家里。还有另一种更暗淡的可能——绝望会把他们推向那种在政治光谱两端推动极端主义的虚无主义力量。
From there, some young people may decide that if neither party is listening or the government won’t act, there is little reason to vote. They grow cynical enough that they withdraw from politics and ultimately stay home on Election Day. There’s also another, darker alternative — that hopelessness leads them toward the kind of nihilistic forces fueling extremism on either side of the political spectrum.
“一切都他妈的太贵了。没人有钱。年轻人的就业市场糟透了,”佛罗里达州众议员马克斯韦尔·弗罗斯特(Maxwell Frost)说,他是国会中唯一的Z世代成员。他深切体会到同龄人的困境:即便在2022年赢得首次选举后,他仍因信用评分低而被拒租公寓,并为布置新居而背上债务。
“Everything’s too damn expensive. Nobody has any money. The job market is shit for young people,” says Rep. Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.), the sole Gen Z member of Congress. He is keenly aware of his peers’ struggle: Even after winning his first election in 2022, he was denied an apartment due to a low credit score and went into debt trying to furnish his new home.
“人们不把政府看作帮助民众的工具,”弗罗斯特补充道。“我认为最终会发生的情况是,我们可能会面对完全怀疑体制的人。也许他们会彻底退出,又或许他们继续投票,但对政党的忠诚度降低,更渴望看到发生一些大事。”弄清那个“大事”是什么,可能是赢得这些不满和沮丧选民的关键。做到这一点的政党或政治家,将在2026年中期选举中更有利地争取这一关键人群,更不用说2028年总统大选及以后了。
“People don’t see government as a vessel to help people,” Frost adds. “I think what’s going to end up happening is we could just have people who are completely skeptical of the system. Maybe they withdraw completely, or maybe they continue to vote, but there’s less allegiance to a party and more of a thirst to see something big happen.”Figuring out what that “something big” is may be key to winning over these disgruntled and discouraged voters. The party or politicians that do so will find themselves better positioned with this key demographic in the 2026 midterms, not to mention the 2028 presidential election and beyond.
而在党派分歧的另一端,所有人都同意一点:如果体制不断辜负年轻选民,他们可能不再参与其中。
And across the aisle there’s one thing everyone agrees on: Young voters may stop showing up for a system that keeps failing them.
“美国梦”许下宏大承诺:辛勤工作会有回报。这一简洁而有力的表述,将美国定义为一个充满机遇、实现向上流动的国度,天赋与毅力都会得到回报。理论上,一个坚定的美国人可以获得良好教育、体面工作、房产、家庭、繁荣生活——全凭付出努力。对许多Z世代而言,这一承诺感觉愈发遥不可及。
The American Dream makes a grand promise: Hard work will pay off. A simple but powerful statement that frames this country as a land of opportunity and upward mobility, where talent and perseverance are rewarded. In theory, a determined American could get a good education, a decent job, a house, a family, a life of prosperity — all because they put in the work. For many in Gen Z, that promise feels increasingly out of reach.
2024年加州大学洛杉矶分校(UCLA)对14至27岁人群的调查显示,86%的人表示想要实现某种版本的“美国梦”,但60%的人认为对自己而言这很难实现。这种抱负与预期之间的落差,或许是最令人沮丧的部分。
In a 2024 UCLA survey of people ages 14 to 27, 86% said they wanted to achieve some version of the American Dream, but 60% said it would be difficult for them personally. That distance between aspiration and expectation may be the most disheartening part.
年轻人在日益艰难的条件下步入成年:大学学费创下历史新高,尽管有人私下议论已不值得这笔花费,但入学的年轻人比以往几代人更多。于是债务随之攀升:如今,大学毕业生平均背负超过3万美元的学生贷款领取文凭——67%的Z世代表示,因学生贷款债务而推迟了买房、结婚等重大人生事件。
Young people are beginning adulthood on increasingly difficult terms: College tuition has reached record highs, and even though some whisper that it’s no longer worth the cost, more young people are now enrolling than past generations. And so the debt mounts as well: Today, college graduates take an average student loan debt of more than $30,000 alongside their diploma — and 67% of Gen Zers say they have delayed a life event like buying a home or getting married because of student loan debt.
“在我的同龄人中,我看到很多人直到大三、大四才突然意识到,自己并没有一个很好的计划来偿还学生贷款,”贝勒大学学生凯瑟琳·米克尔森说。
“Among my friends, I’m seeing a lot of people that are just kind of now realizing as juniors or seniors in college that they don’t have a great plan of how they’re going to repay their student debt,” says Katherine Mickelson, a student at Baylor University.
更糟糕的是,许多人离获得学生贷款减免只有一步之遥,却眼睁睁看着机会溜走:2023年,以保守派为主导的联邦最高法院推翻了乔·拜登总统免除超过4000亿美元学生债务的计划。此后,除了拜登推出的一些力度较小的举措外,立法者在该问题上几乎毫无作为,即便倡导者们呼吁哪怕提供暂时性的缓解。
It doesn’t help that many were tantalizingly close to receiving student loan relief only to see it snatched away: In 2023, the conservative Supreme Court majority struck down President Joe Biden’s plan to forgive more than $400 billion in student debt. Aside from more modest efforts afterward by Biden, lawmakers have done little on the matter even as advocates plea for even temporary relief.
“我们一直呼吁暂停还款,直到各方都拿出解决方案,”学生债务危机中心主席娜塔莉亚·艾布拉姆斯说。“我认为立法者谈论负担能力危机时,指的是房租、汽油和水电费,学生债务甚至不被提及——而这影响着4500万美国人。”在已经背负学生贷款、又看不到援助希望的情况下,许多人因通胀和生活成本上升,在大学期间债务持续累积。他们开设额外信用额度、使用“先买后付”服务来应付日常开销,而新的利息也在不断产生。
“We’ve been calling for a payment pause until everyone gets their act together,” says Natalia Abrams, president of the Student Debt Crisis Center. “I think when lawmakers talk about the affordability crisis, they’re talking about rent and gas and utilities, and student debt is just not even mentioned — when that is affecting 45 million Americans.”Already saddled with student loans, with little help in sight, many people often continue to accrue debt throughout college due to inflation and higher costs of living. They open extra lines of credit and embrace Buy Now Pay Later to help afford their daily expenses, even as new interest accrues.
一旦年满26岁被踢出父母的医保,获得医疗保障又成为一项新的经济负担,且成本持续攀升;共和党控制的国会允许《平价医疗法案》增强版税收抵免于2025年底到期,导致保费上涨。甚至在抵免到期前,近五分之一的18至29岁受访者表示不得不借钱支付医疗账单,这一比例在所有被调查年龄段中最高。
Once they’re kicked off their parents’ health insurance at 26, securing health care is yet another financial burden, and costs continue to go up; the GOP-controlled Congress allowed for the expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits at the end of 2025, which has led to hikes in premiums. And even before those credits expired, nearly one in five people between the ages of 18 to 29 said they had to borrow money to pay their medical bills, the largest share out of all age groups surveyed.
此外,还有高风险投资的问题,这正让这一代人陷入更深的债务泥沼。由于经济困难,买房等重大人生里程碑似乎遥不可及,快速获利的可能性便显得更具吸引力。一种“金融虚无主义”随之滋生,人们被高风险、投机性的投资所吸引,比如体育博彩和预测市场——这些领域在Z世代中尤为受欢迎。与此同时,纽约联邦储备银行发现,在移动体育博彩合法化之后,家庭财务困境和信用逾期出现了可衡量的增加。这些损失进而加深了许多年轻人本已背负的信用卡债务。
Then there’s the issue of risky investments that are further plunging this generation into debt. When major milestones like homeownership seem far off due to financial hardship, the possibility of a quick win may seem more appealing. A “financial nihilism” can set in, where people are drawn to high-risk, speculative investments like sports betting and prediction markets — arenas that have found particular interest from Gen Z. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has found that there’s been a measurable increase in household financial distress and credit delinquencies following the legalization of mobile sports betting. These losses can then deepen the credit-card balances many young people are already carrying.
这是一个恶性循环,具有长远影响:2024年,七分之一的Z世代信用卡额度用满。2025年,Z世代的信用评分出现创纪录下降,尤其是在信用卡逾期持续上升的情况下。
It’s a vicious cycle that has long-term implications: In 2024, one in seven Gen Zers maxed out their credit card. Gen Z credit scores saw a record decline in 2025, particularly as credit card delinquencies continue to rise.
“你余生的质量,在很大程度上取决于你在这 10 到 20 年里能为自己做什么,”弗罗斯特说。“如果他们无法存下钱、积累财富、建立生活,那么从整体上看,你将面对的是整整一代靠工资过日子的人,这对国家来说既不公平也不好。”
“The quality of the rest of your life is going to be very dependent on what you’re able to do these 10 to 20 years for yourself,” says Frost. “If they’re unable to set things aside and build their wealth and build their life, you’re looking at an entire generation that, in aggregate, will be living paycheck to paycheck, which isn’t right or good for the country.”
对一些应届毕业生来说,即使开始为未来存钱都难以想象,因为学位并没有带来能支付账单的工作。来自加利福尼亚州的 24 岁青年奇马·恩沃科洛这样说道:“这是一个不为像我这样的普通人服务的经济。”我在 8 月于北卡罗来纳州罗利市举行的“明日选民峰会”上遇到了恩沃科洛,这是一个聚集希望参与进步政治的年轻人的年度活动。
For some recent graduates, even starting to save for the future is difficult to imagine when a degree hasn’t led to work that can cover the bills. Chima Nwokolo, a 24-year-old from California, put it this way: “It’s not an economy that’s working for ordinary folks, such as myself.”I met Nwokolo in Raleigh, North Carolina in August at the Voters of Tomorrow Summit, an annual event that brings together young people looking to be involved in progressive politics.

他之所以参加这个被许多与会者亲切称为“书呆子训练营”的活动,是因为他相信政治参与,同时也想为从政职业积累人脉。从圣何塞州立大学政治学专业毕业后,他一直难以在该领域找到全职工作。为维持生计,他在一家电影院做兼职。
He was at “nerd camp” — as many attendants lovingly call it — because he believes in political participation but also because he’d like to network for a career in politics. He’s struggled to get a full-time job in this field after graduating with a political science degree from San José State University. To make ends meet, he’s worked part time at a movie theater.
这种故事在全国各地不断上演,我在那次活动上遇到的每一位年轻人都有类似经历:随着徒劳的求职不断拖长,他们对未来感到焦虑和担忧。即便经济整体相当强劲,这种情况依然存在——值得注意的是,20 至 24 岁人群的失业率为 8%,几乎是全国 4.2% 失业率的两倍。
It’s the kind of story that’s repeated across the country and with every young person I met at the event: There’s an anxiety and concern about their future as a fruitless job search drags on. That’s the case even with a fairly strong economy — though it’s notable that the unemployment rate for those between the ages of 20 to 24 is 8%, nearly double the national rate of 4.2%.
年轻人因多种原因在找工作时面临困难。自2023年以来,入门级岗位下降了35%,而人工智能正在重塑他们可从事的工作。雇主常常要求应聘者具备经验,但获取经验往往意味着要做许多无法负担的无薪实习。随着越来越多的申请通过线上平台递交,求职者可能要等上数月才收到回复,甚至不知道是否有人看到过他们的简历。对于正步入成年阶段的一代人来说,失业只会加深他们对自身未来的悲观情绪。最关键的是,没有工作就无法偿还在获取学位期间积累的债务,利息只会让债务进一步增长。
Young people are struggling to find jobs for a range of reasons. Entry-level openings have dropped 35% since 2023, and AI is reshaping the work available to them. Employers often expect applicants to have experience, but gaining it can mean taking unpaid internships that many can’t afford. And with more applications going through online portals, job seekers may wait months without hearing back or knowing whether anyone has even seen their resume. For a generation that’s just emerging into adulthood, staying jobless only furthers their cynicism about their own future. And most importantly, without a job, there’s no way to pay off the debt accrued while getting a degree. With interest, it only grows.
进入成年从来都不容易。千禧一代可能会说,他们在2008年经济衰退期间毕业时情况更糟。X世代经历了互联网泡沫破裂。婴儿潮一代则面对70年代的滞胀。
It’s never been easy to enter adulthood. Millennials may say they had it worse graduating college during the 2008 recession. Gen Xers had the dot-com bubble crash. Baby Boomers had the stagflation of the ’70s.
但Z世代还必须应对一个可能让他们持有不同且更悲观视角的因素:社交媒体。这是一代人在回音室中成长,最坏的恐惧被放大,且“厄运滚动”占据主导。
But Gen Z also has to grapple with one factor that likely gives them a different — and more dour — perspective: social media. This is a generation born into an echo chamber that amplifies their worst fears and where doom scrolling dominates.
“你可能原本对经济只是略感悲观,然后开始上网浏览社交媒体帖子之类的内容,这些东西会加深这种看法,”研究代际理财习惯的杜克大学经济学家吉米·伦茨说。“它们总是在对着唱诗班布道,对吧?你总是被喂食同样的东西。”
“You might have been mildly pessimistic about the economy and you start going online and reading social media posts, and things like that enhance that perception,” says Jimmie Lenz, an economist at Duke who studies generational financial habits. “They're always preaching to the choir, right? You're always being fed the same thing.”
现实也在于,对Z世代来说,这就是他们所知道的一切——值得承认的是,他们在成长的关键时期经历了真正的动荡,包括一场大流行病。“他们所处的时代真的非常动荡,”伦茨说。“指望他们的观点会有所不同,实在有点鲁莽。”这就是有些人犯错的地方,他们把这个问题一笔带过。前白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·利维特(她本人也是Z世代)今夏在解释民主社会主义日益流行的原因时,批评同龄人中的一些人“懒惰”,随即引发了强烈反弹。
The reality is also that for Gen Z, this is all they know — and it’s worth acknowledging that they’ve experienced real turbulence, including a pandemic, in these formative years. “The time they’ve lived in has been really tumultuous,” Lenz says. “To think that their perspectives would be different is a little bit foolhardy, really.”This is where some people blunder by brushing the issue off. Former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt (herself part of Gen Z) felt a backlash this summer after criticizing the “laziness” of some in her cohort while explaining the rising popularity of democratic socialism.
“你无法用事实改变他们的感受,”共和党策略师保罗·特勒说。“如果他们觉得自己被挤压了,你不能跟他们说‘哦,但GDP数字实际上是这个,通胀比率是那个’就指望改变他们的想法。不,你必须对他们的感受说话。”年轻人描述的问题与他们从华盛顿听到的答案之间的脱节似乎只会越来越大。候选人承诺减少债务或降低通胀,但从未兑现。
“You can’t change their feelings with facts,” says Paul Teller, a Republican strategist. “If they feel that they’re crunched, you can’t change their mind by saying, ‘Oh yeah, but GDP numbers are actually this, and inflation ratios are that.’ No, you have to speak to their feelings.”The disconnect between the problems young people describe and the answers they hear from Washington seems to only grow. Candidates promise to reduce debt or bring down inflation, but it doesn’t happen.
被政治进程忽视的感觉会产生几种后果。它可能会推动一些年轻人参与进来,希望亲自改变体制。Z世代历来是一个政治活跃的世代,投票率位居前列。
Feeling ignored by the political process can do a few things. It might push some young people to get involved, in hopes of changing the system themselves. Gen Z has historically been a politically active generation with some of the highest voting rates.
另外,挫败感也会让政治参与显得毫无意义。如果竞选承诺未能转化为降低成本或改善前景,投票就会开始感觉像是一次空洞的行为,人们只会置之不理或对制度产生怀疑。趋势并不乐观:只有33%的年轻人表示他们一定会在即将到来的中期选举中投票,低于2022年和2018年的水平。
Alternatively, frustration can make political participation seem pointless. If campaign promises don’t translate into lower costs or better prospects, voting can start to feel like an empty exercise and people just tune out or grow skeptical of institutions. The trend lines are not good: Only 33% of young people say they will definitely vote in the upcoming midterms, down from 2022 and 2018.
在今年早些时候由政治学院(Institute of Politics)进行的民调中,只有15%的年轻人表示他们相信联邦政府大多数时候会做正确的事——创下该调查的历史最低纪录。更令人担忧的是,这一代人感受到的无力感:50%的人认为他们对政府的作为没有任何发言权——高于2017年的34%。
In an Institute of Politics poll taken earlier this year, just 15% of young people said they trusted the federal government to do the right thing all or most of the time — an all-time low for the survey. Even more concerning, though, is the sheer helplessness felt among the generation: 50% felt that they didn’t have any say about what the government does — up from 34% in 2017.
“在联邦层面,我认为年轻人只觉得实际上没有任何改变,他们的日常生活看起来也大致相同,”专注于年轻人、为该代人预测投票率的政治策略师瑞秋·简法扎(Rachel Janfaza)说。“这加剧了不信任感,也导致缺乏参与的动力。”还有一种更暗淡的可能性。一些年轻人可能会把更激进的答案视为唯一能够突破的方式。贝勒大学学生米克尔森(Mickelson)担心,这包括政治暴力。“人们觉得自己没有发声的渠道,无法真正被听见,”她说。
“At the federal level, I think young people just feel like nothing really changes, and their day-to-day kind of looks the same,” says Rachel Janfaza, a political strategist focused on young people who predicts voter turnout for the generation could drop this year. “It plays into that level of distrust, and it also plays into a lack of motivation to participate.”There is a darker possibility, too. Some young people may come to see more radical answers as the only ones that can break through. That includes political violence, worries Mickelson, the Baylor student. “People feel like they don’t have a voice for a channel to actually be heard,” she says.
我们已经在政治光谱的各个角落看到了这种趋势的迹象:在极右翼阵营中,白人至上主义者和反犹太主义者尼克·富恩特斯(Nick Fuentes)吸引了越来越多对主流政治感到失望的Z世代年轻人;在极左翼阵营中,路易吉·曼吉奥内(Luigi Mangione)杀害联合健康保险公司(UnitedHealthcare)首席执行官布莱恩·汤普森(Brian Thompson)的事件引发了网络上对暴力的美化,人们将暴力视为对企业不当行为的“回应”。
We’ve already seen hints of it happening across the political spectrum: On the far right, the white nationalist and antisemitic influencer Nick Fuentes has captured a growing audience of Gen Zers disaffected with mainstream politics. On the far left, Luigi Mangione’s killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson sparked a wave of online romanticization of violence as a response to corporate abuses.
这些现象虽然属于不同的政治倾向,但经济上的挫败感本身并不足以使人成为极端主义者,也不意味着他们会采取极端行动——然而它们确实表明:当人们感到被社会排斥时,极端主义政治或暴力行为可能会被视为一种看似合理的反应方式。
These are different currents, and economic frustration alone does not make someone an extremist or mean they would take action — but they show how deep disillusionment can make extremist politics or political violence seem like a plausible reaction to feeling shut out.
“激进化的最危险形式之一,就是当人们觉得自己别无选择时,”乔治华盛顿大学极端主义问题研究项目的研究员乔恩·刘易斯(Jon Lewis)说道。“人们认为社会已经陷入混乱,国家没有达到应有的状态——这些观点正是Z世代越来越关注和认同的;事实上,这些因素确实构成了极端化的风险因素。”年轻人是否会在今年11月投票,不仅仅取决于他们的投票率,也不仅仅取决于他们能否帮助民主党赢得选举。
“One of the most potent forms of radicalization is when people feel like they don’t have any other options,” says Jon Lewis, a researcher at the Program on Extremism at George Washington University. “The idea that things are broken, that the country is not where it should be — all of these things that Gen Z has increasingly latched onto, observed, and seen — what we’ve seen [is] that really functions as a risk factor.”Whether young people see a reason to vote this November goes well beyond turnout or whether they help swing Congress to the Democrats.
如果这一代人在住房、教育和工作稳定性等方面都面临困境,并且认为选举无法改变现状,那么绝望的循环只会进一步加剧。
If a generation already struggling with housing, education and unstable work concludes that elections can’t change any of it, the cycle of despair will only deepen.
那么,如何打破这个恶性循环呢?对许多年轻选民来说,政治上的可信度首先体现在他们能够在日常生活中看到的实际变化上。正因如此,纽约市长佐兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani)才在他们眼中显得格外值得尊敬。
So, how to break the cycle? For many young voters, political credibility starts with changes they can see in daily life. That is part of what makes New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani stand out to them.
“他在切实做事,”北卡罗来纳大学教堂山分校学生Yi说。“他在修补坑洼路面、增设饮水喷泉、对第二套住房征税。这些是微小的变化,但却是社区能切身感受、注意到的变化。”就连国会也已开始在住房负担能力问题上采取一些措施。今年早些时候,立法者通过了《21世纪住房ROAD法案》,旨在扩大住房供应、降低成本——尽管要完全生效还需要很长时间。
“He’s actually doing things,” says Yi, the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill student. “He’s fixing potholes and putting up water fountains and taxing second homes. Those are small changes, but they’re changes that communities can feel and notice.”Even Congress has begun to take some steps on affordability. Earlier this year, lawmakers enacted the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which is aimed at expanding housing supply and bringing down costs — though it will take a long time to fully kick in.
一些年轻人开始亲自采取行动,包括参选公职,将自己在债务、住房困境和不稳定就业市场方面的亲身经历带入辩论。他们的努力反映出一种信念:体制仍可被推动做出回应——而承受这些压力的一代人应当参与塑造解决方案。
Some young people are taking matters into their own hands, including by running for office and bringing their own experiences with debt, housing struggles and a precarious job market into the debate. Their efforts reflect a belief that the system can still be pushed to respond — and that the generation living with these pressures should help shape the solutions.
“现在,许多Z世代环顾政治……看到的多是空谈,少是实绩,”犹他州第1国会选区27岁的共和党候选人Riley Owens说。
“Right now, a lot of Gen Zers look around at politics… and they see a lot of rhetoric and not a lot of results,” says Riley Owens, a 27-year-old Republican candidate for Utah’s 1st Congressional District.
Owens或许在许多问题上不同意Mamdani,但作为全国为数不多的Z世代共和党候选人之一,他理解为何更多年轻人开始拥抱民主社会主义:“DSA(美国民主社会主义者)承诺提供低成本甚至零成本的服务,对那些觉得体制对自己不起作用的人极具吸引力。”Owens也将竞选主张建立在年轻成年人面临的问题之上,尤其是购房困难。作为一名租房者,他说他想推动地方分区法规修改,使建造双拼住宅和附属居住单元更容易,扩大低收入住房税收抵免,并限制大型投资者购买独栋住宅。
Owens may not agree with Mamdani on much, but as one of the handful of Gen Z GOP candidates in the nation, he understands why more young people are embracing democratic socialism: “The promise of the DSA offering things for low cost or no cost is really appealing to people who feel like the system isn’t working for them.”Owens has also built his pitch around issues confronting young adults face, especially the difficulty of buying a home. As a renter himself, he says he wants to encourage local zoning changes that make it easier to build duplexes and accessory dwelling units, expand tax credits for low-income housing and restrict large investors’ purchases of single-family homes.

与此同时,田纳西州第9国会选区31岁的民主党候选人Justin Pearson正推行一种经济民粹主义主张,他认为这将吸引那些雄心受挫的年轻人。
Meanwhile, Justin Pearson, a 31-year-old Democrat running for Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District, is pushing an economic-populist message that he thinks will appeal to young people with frustrated ambitions.
他的提案包括全民医保、解决医疗债务、提高最低工资、向亿万富翁征税,以及阻止数据中心推高公用事业费用。
His proposals include Medicare for All, addressing medical debt, raising the minimum wage, taxing billionaires and stopping data centers from driving up utility costs.
皮尔森告诉我,他的竞选活动由“一个希望事情有所不同的跨代际运动”提供动力。“我们希望规则能以我们为出发点重写,”他说。
Pearson tells me his campaign is powered by “an intergenerational movement of people who want things to be different.”“We want the rules rewritten with us in mind,” he says.
虽然两党提出的解决方案不同,但面临的压力是共同的。在对年轻民主党人和共和党人的采访中,他们都将债务、住房以及总体上难以出人头地描述为决定性担忧。如果忘记这一点,将是华盛顿的损失——也是两党的损失。
The proposed fixes differ by party, but the pressure is shared. In interviews with young Democrats and Republicans alike, they describe debt, housing and the general difficulty of getting ahead as defining concerns. It would be Washington’s loss — and that of both parties — to forget that.
“谁能解决这个问题,谁就能赢得选民的忠诚和支持,”欧文斯说。“在我看来,作为一个政治问题,这是将影响选举的唯一核心议题。”皮尔森或欧文斯等人的参选表明,一些年轻人仍将政治视为实现变革的场所。但让他们的同龄人相信这条道路行得通,可能比指出问题所在更难:Z世代听过太多承诺,几乎没有理由指望能得到缓解。
“Whoever can solve this will have loyalty and support from voters,” Owens says. “As a political matter, this is the single issue, in my view, that will influence elections.”The candidacies of people like Pearson or Owens show that some young people still see politics as a place to make change. But getting their peers to believe in that path may be harder than naming what is wrong: Gen Z has heard promises before and has little reason to expect relief.
中期选举将考验两党能否将年轻人的挫败感转化为政治支持。2028年总统大选的赌注将更高。归根结底,政治家必须证明他们能够改变塑造年轻人生活的成本与选择。如果做不到,一个已经在质疑体制的世代可能会决定,不值得再等待体制发挥作用。
The midterms will test whether either party can turn young people’s frustration into political support. The stakes will be even higher in the 2028 presidential race. Ultimately, politicians have to prove they can change the costs and choices shaping young people’s lives. If they can’t, a generation already questioning the system may decide it is not worth waiting for it to work.