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若民主党在11月胜选美国外交政策可能改变的四个方面Four ways US foreign policy could change if Democrats win in November

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华盛顿,10月25日 —— 非党派分析人士表示,民主党在11月3日的中期选举中有很大机会赢得美国众议院控制权,甚至可能赢得参议院控制权,这将使他们在共和党掌权两年后,在华盛顿重获一份权力。

WASHINGTON, Oct 25 - Nonpartisan analysts say Democrats stand a good chance of winning the US House of Representatives and possibly the Senate in the November 3 midterm elections, which would give them a slice of power in Washington after two years of Republican control.

民主党认为,共和党任由唐纳德·特朗普总统的政府宣战并控制开支,尽管美国宪法将这些权力保留给立法者。以下是民主党控制的国会可能遏制特朗普外交政策的几种方式。

Democrats argue that Republicans have allowed President Donald Trump's administration to declare war and control spending, even though the US Constitution reserves those powers for lawmakers. Here are some ways a Democratic Congress could hem in Trump's foreign policy.

遏制伊朗战争 特朗普在2月28日发动与伊朗的战争前,未获得国会批准,民主党曾多次投票决定结束战斗,除非他获得批准。其中一项决议获得了少数共和党人的支持而通过,但特朗普政府无视了它。

CURB THE IRAN WAR Trump did not secure approval from Congress before he launched the war with Iran on February 28, and Democrats have voted repeatedly to end the fighting unless he does so. One of these resolutions passed with support from a handful of Republicans, but Trump's administration ignored it.

如果控制众议院或参议院,民主党可以削减国防开支,以迫使特朗普获得国会许可才能继续战争。他们还可以要求政府官员公开作证,说明他们的计划。

With control of the House or the Senate, Democrats could cut defense spending to pressure Trump to obtain permission from Congress to continue the war. They could also require administration officials to testify publicly about their plans.

对乌克兰提供新支持 尽管民主党和共和党议员普遍支持乌克兰对抗俄罗斯入侵,特朗普在很大程度上已停止向乌克兰提供直接的美国财政和军事援助。

FRESH SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE Trump has largely halted direct US financial and military aid to Ukraine, despite broad support from Democratic and Republican lawmakers as it fights a Russian invasion.

最近,他在俄柴油制裁生效仅几周后解除对俄柴油制裁、豁免对俄能源制裁,激怒了国会议员,其中包括许多共和党人。

Most recently, he has angered members of Congress, including many Republicans, by lifting sanctions on Russian diesel and waiving sanctions on Russian energy only weeks afterg them into law.

如果在11月赢得两院控制权,民主党将能够决定投票内容和时间。

With a victory in both chambers in November, Democrats would be able to decide what gets voted on and when.

这可能使他们能够批准对乌克兰的新援助,该援助很可能会获得三分之二多数通过,从而推翻特朗普的否决。

That could allow them to approve new aid to Ukraine, which likely would pass with the two-thirds majorities needed to overcome a Trump veto.

他们也可能针对特朗普的其他活动。例如,纽约州众议员格雷戈里·米克斯如果民主党赢得控制权,可能出任众议院外交事务委员会主席,他已提出两党立法,以阻止特朗普将俄罗斯柴油重新引入全球市场的计划。

They could also target other Trump activities. For example, Representative Gregory Meeks of New York, who could head the House Foreign Affairs Committee if Democrats win control, has introduced bipartisan legislation to block Trump's plan to bring Russian diesel back into the global market.

终止对以色列的军事援助 由于以色列在加沙战争中的行为——这场战争已导致数万名巴勒斯坦平民丧生——民主党人对以色列的支持急剧下降。以色列占领的约旦河西岸持续发生的暴力事件,以及以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡与共和党人的紧密联盟,也是影响因素。

END MILITARY AID TO ISRAEL Support for Israel has plummeted among Democrats over its conduct in the Gaza war, which has killed tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians. The ongoing violence in the Israeli-occupied West Bank and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close alliance with Republicans have also been factors.

民主党人可能会限制或终止对以色列的军事援助,最近一个财政年度该项援助为38亿美元。这比提供给任何其他国家的援助都多。

Democrats could limit or end military aid to Israel, which amounted to $3.8 billion in the most recent fiscal year. That is more than was provided to any other country.

今年夏天,近半数众议院民主党人投票支持切断对以色列的援助。一些投票反对该举措的人,如米克斯,则支持限制向以色列提供重型炸弹等武器。

Nearly half of House Democrats voted this summer to cut off aid to Israel. Some of those who voted against that effort, such as Meeks, have backed limits on providing weapons like heavy bombs to Israel.

限制军费开支并恢复对外援助 民主党人比特朗普的共和党人更有可能限制军费开支。特朗普今年要求军费预算史无前例地增加67%,达到1.5万亿美元,但民主党人在参议院阻止了这一要求,理由是他拒绝就伊朗战争与国会协商,以及大幅削减社会项目。

LIMIT MILITARY SPENDING AND RESTORE FOREIGN AID Democrats are far more likely than Trump's Republicans to limit military spending. Trump asked for an unprecedented 67% increase in the military budget this year, to $1.5 trillion, but Democrats blocked it in the Senate, citing his refusal to consult Congress about the Iran war and his steep cuts to social programs.

特朗普还扣留或取消了国会批准的数十亿美元对外援助。许多民主党人对这些削减感到愤怒,并表示他们将努力恢复资金。

Trump has also withheld or canceled billions of dollars in foreign aid approved by Congress. Many Democrats have been angered by the cuts and say they will try to restore funding.

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