
二十年前,巴拉克·奥巴马席卷摇摆州,抨击一位共和党总统,指责其发动了一场极不得人心的战争,并让经济重创美国劳动者。
Two decades ago, Barack Obama stormed battleground states rebuking a Republican president over a deeply unpopular war and an economy that was crushing working Americans.
他再度出山。但这一次,他的批评比乔治·W·布什时代更为尖锐、鄙夷和紧迫,试图助民主党中期选举候选人过线,最终遏制其宿敌唐纳德·特朗普的政治声势。
He’s at it again. But his updated critique is more searing, contemptuous and urgent than during the George W. Bush era as he tries to push Democratic midterms candidates over the line to finally thwart the political momentum of his nemesis Donald Trump.
这位前总统周六先后造访俄亥俄州和密歇根州——这两个州两人各自赢过两次、并借此登上白宫——恰逢特朗普在佐治亚州进行最新的中期选举造势,奥巴马预计下周也将前往该州。
The ex-president’s swing Saturday through Ohio and Michigan — states both men won twice en route to the White House — coincided with Trump’s latest midterm stop in Georgia, where Obama is expected next week.
这是难得一见的场面:过去20年美国政治由这两人的政治运动定义、且至今仍是各自政党最显眼领袖的两人,同时施展其赢得总统大选的本领。
It was a rare chance to see the leaders whose political movements have defined the last 20 years in US politics and who remain their party’s most visible figureheads brandishing their presidency-winning skills at the same time.
奥巴马再次化身希望的传递者,恳请选民明白,他们拥有在“动荡不安的时代”创造变革的力量,尽管这一标志性品牌的预设已因特朗普的两个任期而蒙羞。
Once again, Obama is manifesting as a messenger of hope, beseeching voters to understand they have the power to create change “in unsettling times,” though that signature brand’s assumptions have been sullied by two Trump terms.
“经历了10年的混乱、残酷、腐败、无能、胡闹、废话,这是现代以来这个国家至少未曾见过的,你们可以大声说‘够了’,”奥巴马在底特律说道。
“After 10 years of chaos, and cruelty, and corruption, and incompetence, tomfoolery, nonsense, the likes of which this country has not seen in modern times at least, you get to say ‘enough is enough,’” Obama said in Detroit.
特朗普背负低迷的支持率和公众对伊朗战争及生活成本危机的愤怒,描绘出一个从未如此繁荣的国家愿景。“我们处于美国的黄金时代,”他周六表示。
Trump, saddled with low approval ratings and public anger over the Iran war and the cost-of-living crisis, conjured an alternative vision of a nation that’s never been more prosperous. “We’re in the golden age of America,” he said Saturday.
但他对这位民主党前总统的执念未减。周日早些时候,按计划他将前往密歇根州参加自己的集会,特朗普在Truth Social上写道:“奥巴马是个极度无能的总统!”周六的同台竞技凸显了特朗普和奥巴马——这对视彼此为深仇大恨的截然对立者——在美国历史动荡时刻在政治上紧密纠缠。
But his fixation on the Democratic former president is undimmed. Early Sunday, when he was scheduled to head to his own rally in Michigan, Trump wrote on Truth social: “Obama was a grossly incompetent President!”Saturday’s dueling appearances underscored how Trump and Obama — polar opposites who regard one another with deep contempt — are politically entwined at a turbulent moment of American history.
奥巴马建立其运动的基础,在于主张红州与蓝州共享着拥抱一个种族更多元、更乐观、更包容国家的统一愿望。这一愿景在其由受过大学教育的选民、少数族裔选民、城市及郊区自由派选民组成的联盟中产生了共鸣。
Obama built his movement on the argument that red states and blue states shared unifying aspirations of embracing a more racially diverse, optimistic and inclusive nation. This vision resonated among his coalition of college-educated, minority, urban and suburban liberal voters.
但特朗普则在另一群人中建立了自己的联盟,这些人担心国家的传统文化正受到社会变革和日益增加的多元化的威胁。他吸纳了农村选民、非大学学历选民,以及因认为奥巴马代表的经济全球化而感到幻灭的美国工薪阶层。
But Trump built his own coalition among others who fear the country’s traditional culture is threatened by social change and increasing diversity. He enlisted rural, non-college voters and working-class Americans disaffected by the economic globalism they believe Obama represents.
两者皆植根于真实的美国土壤。第44任总统体现了启蒙运动的理念,即社会通过理性、科学、政治制度和多元主义而进步。第45任兼第47任总统主张民族主义,对精英科学界持怀疑态度;他将个人权力置于旨在提供政治制约的制度之上。
Each springs from true American roots. The 44th president epitomizes the Enlightenment idea that society advances through reason, science, political institutions and pluralism. The 45th and 47th president advocates nationalism and skepticism of elite scientific communities; he prioritizes his own power over institutions set up to provide political constraints.

奥巴马与特朗普的对决,其深度远超希望对抗恐惧、变革对抗倒退。它将相互竞争的、真实的美式主义路线戏剧化呈现,而在21世纪初,双方均未占据上风。
The Obama versus Trump clash cuts deeper than hope over fear and change versus retrenchment. It dramatizes competing strains of authentic Americanism, neither of which emerged ascendent in the early 21st century.
奥巴马对特朗普的猛烈抨击虽赢得头条,却未能阻止其继任者两度赢得白宫。
Obama’s fierce denunciations of Trump win headlines but didn’t stop his successor winning two White House terms.
民主党人必须自问:一位近十年前卸任、将白宫交给一个否定其一切主张之人的前总统,为何仍是该党最犀利、最受欢迎的代言人。当奥巴马说“10年”后是变革之时,仿佛其副总统拜登的总统任期从未发生过。
Democrats must ask themselves why an ex-president who left office nearly a decade ago, handing the White House to a man who repudiated everything he stood for, remains his party’s sharpest and most popular spokesman. When Obama said it was time for change after “10 years,” it was almost as if the presidency of his own vice president Joe Biden had never happened.
中期选举至少让一些年轻的民主党“极具声量和信念、或许能使其党吸引力现代化的领袖”进入聚光灯下,如佐治亚州参议员乔恩·奥索夫和得克萨斯州参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科。
The midterms have, at least, put a spotlight on some younger Democratic ‘leaders with voice and conviction who might modernize their party’s appeal, like Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff and Texas Senate candidate James Talarico.
共和党同样需要更新换代,特朗普既极不受欢迎又面临任期限制。但民主党展示了要取代一位拥有运动号召力的领袖有多难,这位领袖有时难以将其核心气质传递给政治才能稍逊的继任者。2028年两个空缺的总统竞选组合可能开启一个新时代,让国家从奥巴马主义与特朗普主义的长期对决中走出来。
Republicans also need renewal, with Trump both deeply unpopular and term-limited. But Democrats have shown how hard it can be to replace a talismanic leader with a movement who sometimes struggled to transfer his quintessential aura to lesser political talents. Two open presidential tickets in 2028 may open a new era that takes the country onward from the perpetual battle between Obamaism and Trumpism.
奥巴马本人似乎也暗示了这一点:“我做这行很长时间了,”他在密歇根州说。“有人可能会说我做得太久了,”并补充说妻子米歇尔在告诉他:“老头子,坐下吧!”但这位前总统状态依旧,抛出了他的经典金句,如“别嘘声,去投票”和“我也爱你们”,让人回想起他的集会曾如何凝聚支持者的共同目标感,正如特朗普的“让美国再次伟大”集会贯穿其政治生涯始终。
Obama seemed to hint as much himself: “I’ve been doing this a long time,” he said in Michigan. “Some people might say I’ve been doing this too long,” adding that his wife Michelle was telling him, “Old man, sit down!”But the former president was in vintage form, rolling out his greatest hits like, “don’t boo, vote” and “I love you back” that recalled how his events once distilled a sense of shared purpose among supporters, just as Trump’s MAGA rallies have throughout his political career.

在密歇根州,奥巴马将特朗普对民主党候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德的抹黑,与特朗普当年以质疑其美国公民身份为核心的种族主义竞选联系在了一起。
In Michigan, Obama connected Trump’s smears of Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed with the president’s racist campaign that called his US citizenship into doubt.
共和党指控埃尔-赛义德支持“穆斯林兄弟会”,这是一个在埃及成立的伊斯兰主义组织,埃尔-赛义德予以否认。奥巴马担任总统时曾前往埃及发表演讲,旨在促进美国与穆斯林世界的和解,这一讽刺意味无人言及。
Republicans accuse El-Sayed of supporting the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist group founded in Egypt, which he denies. The irony that Obama as president once traveled to Egypt to give a speech meant to foster American reconciliation with the Muslim world went unspoken.
奥巴马周六展示了他在竞选路上制造简单利害关系的超能力依旧不减。在嘲讽总统时——他调侃特朗普的装修让“白宫看起来像萨达姆·侯赛因开了一家芝士蛋糕工厂”——他主张选民可以实现美国所需的变革。
Obama on Saturday showed that his campaign trail superpower of creating simple stakes is undimmed. While lampooning the president — quipping that Trump’s renovations have “the White House looking like Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory” — he argued voters can enact the change America needs.
“现任总统选择做出一系列错误决定,”奥巴马说,强调了汽油和柴油价格以及抵押贷款利率的飙升。“他决定发动一场没人要求、没人投票支持的不必要战争。”“如果你以前觉得什么都太贵,猜猜怎么着?现在一切都更贵了,”奥巴马说。
“The current president chose to make a series of bad decisions,” Obama said, highlighting the prices of gas and diesel and the spike in mortgage rates. “He decided to start an unnecessary war nobody has asked for and nobody voted for.”“If you thought everything cost too much before, guess what? Everything is more expensive now,” Obama said.

这种将战争与经济信息捆绑在一起的做法,让人想起这位前总统 2008 年的论点,当时他抨击伊拉克战争等“愚蠢”的战争,以及一种让美国人面临“买不起车开、付不起信用卡账单、上不起学”的经济。当时,他指责华盛顿“破碎的政治”以及共和党总统(布什)的“失败政策”。为了适应一个更加极端的时代,他的信息变得更加尖锐。
This twinning of war and economy messages recalls the former president’s 2008 argument, when he railed against “dumb” wars like the one in Iraq and an economy that had left Americans with “cars you can’t afford to drive, credit card bills you can’t afford to pay, and tuition that’s beyond your reach.”Back then, he blamed “a broken politics in Washington” and the “failed policies” of a Republican president (Bush). To match an even more extreme time, his message has grown starker still.
但也有更深层的事情在发生。特朗普的批评者认为,他的总统任期是对首位黑人总统任期的一种文化反扑。而在伊朗、医疗保健等领域,特朗普的许多政策似乎都源于他对首位总统前任的蔑视。
But there’s also something deeper happening. Trump’s critics see his presidency as a cultural backlash to the first Black presidency. And many of Trump’s policies on Iran, healthcare and in other areas seem to percolate from his contempt for his first presidential predecessor.
因此,当奥巴马告诉现场听众“无论你走到哪里,都感觉变革在酝酿之中”时,他指的不仅仅是中期选举;他在重申一种信念,而他的政治身份和遗产都建立在这一信念之上——即普通美国人团结一致,能够自下而上地推动政治变革,对抗根深蒂固的权势。
So when Obama told his crowd that “everywhere you go, it feels like change is in the air” he was not simply referring to the midterm elections; he was restating the faith on which his political identity and legacy depend — that regular Americans, coming together, can combine to forge political change from the bottom up against entrenched power.
奥巴马似乎始终萦绕在特朗普心头,贯穿了他在佐治亚州为陷入困境的共和党参议员候选人迈克·柯林斯举行的集会。
Obama, as he often seems to be, was on Trump’s mind throughout his rally in Georgia for embattled GOP Senate candidate Mike Collins.
特朗普通过自己对人群规模的判断,来衡量两人的相对政治吸引力。“我看巴拉克·侯赛因·奥巴马在密歇根州。那地方空荡荡的,”他说,这是对前总统到场人数的一种主观评价。
Trump judged their relative political magnetism through his own judgment of their crowd sizes. “I saw Barack Hussein Obama was in Michigan. And the place was empty,” he said, in a subjective assessment of the former president’s turnout.

两位对手还在远隔重洋的情况下就伊朗问题交锋,奥巴马表示,他与伊斯兰共和国达成的冻结核计划协议意味着他不需要打仗,而特朗普则声称这条路径会导致该国获得核武器。
And the two rivals sparred at a distance over Iran, with Obama saying his deal with the Islamic Republic to freeze its nuclear program meant he didn’t need to fight a war, and Trump claiming it was a path to the country gaining a nuclear weapon.
总统的声音因持续竞选而变得嘶哑,他宣布了德国汽车制造商奥迪的一项新计划,即在佐治亚州梅肯建设一座新工厂生产SUV,他称该工厂每年将生产20万辆汽车,创造3万个就业岗位,引得喧闹的人群高呼“特朗普,特朗普,特朗普”。
The president, his voice hoarse from constant campaigning, announced a new plan by the German auto manufacturer Audi to build a new plant to build SUVs in Macon, Georgia, that he said would produce 200,000 vehicles a year and create 30,000 jobs, drawing chants of “Trump, Trump, Trump” from a rowdy crowd.
尽管民调显示,多数美国人不赞成特朗普对经济的管理,但他辩称自己让国家更加繁荣,降低了贫困率,提振了制造业,并释放了数万亿美元的内向投资。“还记得巴拉克·侯赛因·奥巴马过去常说不会有制造业吗?”特朗普向人群问道,显然是指时任总统奥巴马2016年的一番言论,当时奥巴马表示需要一根“魔杖”才能把工作岗位带回来。
Despite polls showing majorities of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, he argued he’d made the country more prosperous, lowered poverty, boosted manufacturing and unleashed trillions of dollars in inward investment. “Remember when Barack Hussein Obama used to say that there’d be no manufacturing?”Trump asked his crowd, apparently referring to the then-president’s 2016 remark that he’d need a “magic wand” to bring jobs back.
特朗普触及了奥巴马政治遗产的一个弱点——这正是催化他本人政治崛起的因素——即2016年许多传统上支持民主党的蓝领“铁锈带”选民认为自己不再受到重视或尊重。
Trump was prodding at a weak spot in Obama’s legacy — one that catalyzed his own political rise — the belief in 2016 among many traditionally Democratic blue-collar Rust Belt voters that they were no longer valued or respected.
奥巴马横空出世于政坛已过去二十年,特朗普以其意想不到的选举胜利威胁到奥巴马所代表的一切已过去十年,这两位激烈的政治对手依然是各自政党的主导政治人物。
Two decades after Obama burst onto the political scene, and a decade after Trump threatened everything Obama stood for with his own unlikely election triumph, these fierce political adversaries remain their party’s dominant political figures.
但中期选举——这可能是他们最后的交锋之一——或许将开始为新的政治时代回答一个问题:两党中的任何一方能否培养出接班人,在21世纪第二个季度如此有效地捕捉政治时代精神?
But the midterm elections — which may turn out to be one of their last battles — may begin to answer a question for a new political age: Can either party produce a successor who can so effectively capture the political zeitgeist in the second quarter of the 21st century?