德国选择党(AfD)势力正盛,其领导人爱丽丝·魏德尔(Alice Weidel)若能取代极不受欢迎的弗里德里希·默茨(Friedrich Merz)出任总理,该党意图摧毁欧盟。
The surging Alternative for Germany (AfD) wants to destroy the EU if Alice Weidel, its leader, replaces the deeply unpopular Friedrich Merz as chancellor.
魏德尔女士要求将欧盟转变为一个松散的“主权国家”联邦,否则若她能从中间偏右的基督教民主联盟(CDU)手中夺取政权,就将举行类似英国脱欧的“德国脱欧”(Dexit)公投。
Ms Weidel has demanded the bloc be turned into a loose federation of “sovereign nations”, or face a Brexit-style “Dexit” referendum if she wrests power from the centre-Right Christian Democratic Union (CDU).
“我们希望重建并改革欧盟,”这位极右翼领导人在斯特拉斯堡的欧洲议会中表示。
“We would like to rebuild and reform the European Union,” the hard-Right leader said in the European parliament in Strasbourg.
“欧盟不再是一个主权国家集团。各国议会和政府需要接管决策过程。”这些改革将极其彻底,以至于等同于摧毁欧盟。它们也将遭到主导欧盟的亲欧中间偏右派领导人的强烈反对。
“The EU is not a group of sovereign states any more. National parliaments and governments need to take over the decision-making process.”The reforms would be so sweeping that they would amount to the destruction of the EU. They would also be strongly opposed by the pro-EU centre-Right leaders who dominate the bloc.
魏德尔女士与该党候选人乌尔里希·齐格蒙德(Ulrich Siegmund)一同庆祝德国选择党在2026年萨克森-安哈尔特州选举中取得压倒性胜利。欧盟消息人士已经排除了这些激进变革的可能性,其中包括缩减欧盟委员会规模,并将其决策权移交给欧洲理事会的各国总理和总统。
Ms Weidel celebrates the AfD’s landslide victory in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, with Ulrich Siegmund, the party’s candidate EU sources have already ruled out the radical changes, which include shrinking the European Commission and handing its decision-making powers to prime ministers and presidents on the European Council.
德国选择党希望用仲裁法庭取代欧洲法院,削减德国对布鲁塞尔预算的缴款,放弃欧盟的净零排放目标,并废除其2035年禁售燃油车的规定。
The AfD wants to replace the European Court of Justice with an arbitration tribunal, cut German payments to Brussels’s budget, ditch the EU’s net zero target and scrap its 2035 ban on petrol cars.
根据一份政策文件中提出的计划,欧洲议会选举也将被取消,欧洲议会议员将改由各国议会提名,各国首都也将获得欧盟法律的退出权和否决权。
Under the plans set out in a policy paper, European parliament elections would also be cancelled, with MEPs instead being nominated by national parliaments, and capitals given opt-outs and vetoes on EU law.
“爱丽丝在梦游仙境,”一位欧盟官员告诉《每日电讯报》,并补充说这个亲克里姆林宫的政党应该改名为“德国另类现实党”。
“Alice is in Wonderland,” one EU official told The Telegraph, before adding the Kremlin-friendly party should be renamed the “Alternative Reality for Germany”.
“他们选择在欧洲议会宣布一项旨在实质上将其拆解的提议,这本身就非常能说明问题。如今,你已经无法靠‘退出’来赢得选举了——相反,现在人们更多是想要加入欧洲。”国家法律至上。德国选择党(AfD)支持在边境保护、国防、联合技术项目以及欧盟单一市场规则方面进行欧洲层面的合作,以促进贸易便利化,但该党支持在几乎所有领域实行国家法律至上。
“It is quite telling that they chose the European parliament as the place to announce a proposal to effectively dismantle it. You don’t win elections with ‘exits’ any more – rather more often with wanting to get into Europe these days.”Supremacy of national law The AfD backs European-level co-operation on border protection, defence, joint technology projects and the EU’s single market rules to facilitate easier trade, but supports the supremacy of national law in almost all areas.
所有27个欧盟领导人都必须一致支持改革所需的欧洲条约的全面修订,而这是一个众所周知的困难过程。
All 27 EU leaders would also have to unanimously back the wholesale changes to the European treaties that the reforms would need, which is a notoriously difficult process.
这位欧盟官员表示,这些改革方案被刻意设定为最大限度,旨在为德国选择党举行大多数德国人并不想要的公投提供掩护。
The EU official suggested the reforms were intentionally maximalist so as to give cover to the AfD to hold a referendum that most Germans did not want.
德国选择党是德国最受欢迎的政党,并在9月的两次州选举中获胜,动摇了默茨先生的联合政府。
The AfD is Germany’s most popular party and has shaken Mr Merz’s coalition government by winning two state elections in September.
尽管建制派政党采取了“防火墙”策略将其排除在联合政府谈判之外,但这个亲普京的政党从未如此接近权力中心。
The pro-Putin party has never been so close to power, despite establishment parties operating a “firewall” to shut it out of coalition talks.
魏德尔女士曾预测,在经历了数月关于领导层政变的传闻后,默茨先生的总理任期将无法持续到2030年届满。
Ms Weidel has predicted Mr Merz’s chancellorship will not last until the end of his term in 2030, after he endured months of rumours of a leadership coup.
这份政策文件警告称,如果未来的德国选择党政府无法确保欧盟做出“实质性改变”,就将举行“德退”(Dexit)公投。
The policy paper warns that if a future AfD government could not secure “substantial changes” to the EU, a Dexit referendum would be held.
文件中写道:“届时,德国人民应该自行决定德国应走哪条道路。”
“The German people should then decide for themselves which path Germany should take,” it reads.
“德退”将对这个十年前刚刚挺过“英退”(Brexit)的集团构成生存威胁,尽管民意调查显示,82%的德国人支持留在欧盟。
Dexit would pose an existential threat to a bloc that survived Brexit almost ten years ago, although opinion polls show 82 per cent of Germans back EU membership.
失去其最大的经济体、与法国并列最具影响力的国家以及欧元区最强大的成员国,将比英国的离开带来更大的挑战。
The loss of its largest economy, its most influential state with France and the most powerful member of the eurozone would be an even bigger challenge than the UK’s departure.
从左至右:欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩、法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙,以及德国总理候选人弗里德里希·默茨在去年的一次欧盟领导人峰会上。大卫·麦卡利斯特是英国脱欧谈判的资深人士,现任欧洲议会外交事务委员会主席,也是默茨所属的德国基督教民主联盟(CDU)的欧洲议会议员。
Left to right: Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president; Emmanuel Macron, the French president; and Friedrich Merz, the German chancellor, at a EU leaders summit last year David McAllister is a veteran of the Brexit negotiations, chairman of the European parliament’s foreign affairs committee, and an MEP for Mr Merz’s CDU.
他表示,德国选择党(AfD)对欧盟的敌意将德国的安全与繁荣置于危险之中,并补充道:“它与普京的亲近破坏了我们盟友之间所必需的信任。”“我们的国家依赖于单一市场以及与欧洲伙伴的密切合作。”
He said the AfD’s hostility towards the EU put Germany’s security and prosperity at risk, adding: “Its proximity to Putin undermines the trust we need among allies. “Our country depends on the single market and on close co-operation with our European partners.
“在我们的大陆正处于战争之中、且面临来自威权大国日益增长的压力之际,削弱欧盟将使德国更加暴露,并削弱其捍卫自身利益的能力。”德国基督教民主联盟议员、前上校、联邦议院外交事务委员会成员罗德里希·基塞韦特表示,德国选择党针对欧盟和北约提出的替代方案,是将德国的工程技术专长与俄罗斯的资源相结合。
“At a time of war on our continent and growing pressure from authoritarian powers, weakening the EU would leave Germany more exposed and less able to defend its interests.”Roderich Kiesewetter, a CDU MP, former colonel and a member of the Bundestag’s foreign affairs committee, said the AfD’s alternative to the EU and Nato was combining German engineering expertise with Russian resources.
“他们对此讨论得非常公开,”他说道,并补充称,来自唐纳德·特朗普的影响可能有助于“拆解”欧盟。
“They debate it very openly,” he said, adding that influence from Donald Trump could help “dismantle” the EU.
尽管有人指责削弱欧盟会助长俄罗斯的气焰,但魏德尔女士在斯特拉斯堡对此毫无悔意。
Ms Weidel was unrepentant in Strasbourg, despite accusations that weakening the EU would embolden Russia.
她表示,改革是必要的,因为“我们认为我们正在被掠夺”,随后她批评了绿色政策,并将其归咎为德国能源成本高昂的原因。
Reform was needed because “we believe we’re being robbed”, she said, before criticising green policies she blamed for high energy costs in Germany.
如果欧盟无法保护其外部边界,德国就应该退出免护照的申根区,并结束人员自由流动。
If the EU could not protect its outer borders, Germany should leave the passport-free Schengen zone and end freedom of movement.
“如果申根区结束了,如果申根区无法运作,我们需要退出申根区并保护我们的边界,”魏德尔女士说道。
“If Schengen is over, and Schengen doesn’t work, we need to get out of Schengen and protect our borders,” Ms Weidel said.
她还敦促欧盟结束其对乌克兰支持的“胡闹”行为,并将和平谈判留给美国、俄罗斯和中国。
She also urged the EU to end the “nonsense” of its backing for Ukraine and leave peace negotiations to the US, Russia and China.
“现在是我们推动乌克兰问题达成务实解决方案的时候了,”魏德尔女士说。
“It’s high time that we pushed for a pragmatic solution in Ukraine,” Ms Weidel said.
杜塞尔多夫一场游行中的嘉年华花车展示了俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京操控着载有魏德尔女士的无人机。魏德尔女士受到欧洲各地疑欧派极右翼政党成功的鼓舞,并希望获得他们对其改革的支持。
A carnival float at a parade in Dusseldorf showing Russia’s Vladimir Putin controlling drones carrying Ms Weidel Ms Weidel is buoyed by the success of Eurosceptic hard-Right parties across Europe, and wants their support for her reforms.
她希望“爱国”政党能将2030年欧洲议会选举的胜利转化为在布鲁塞尔和斯特拉斯堡的多数席位,从而使他们的欧洲议会议员能够对欧盟立法施加影响。
She hopes “patriotic” parties will turn victories in the 2030 European parliament elections into a majority in Brussels and Strasbourg, giving their MEPs sway over EU legislation.
一位议会内部人士告诉《每日电讯报》,德国选择党(AfD)正在寻求欧洲盟友,特别是玛丽娜·勒庞。勒庞几年前因德国选择党被指同情纳粹而与其保持了距离。
A parliament insider told The Telegraph the AfD was on the hunt for European allies, in particular Marine Le Pen, who distanced herself from the German party some years ago because of its alleged sympathies for Nazis.
“德国选择党有着相当务实的观点。我们认为我们需要在欧盟层面开展合作,因此我们需要进行对话和讨论,我们也确实在这样做,”魏德尔女士说。
“The AfD has a quite pragmatic view. We think that we need to work together on an EU level, and therefore we need to be in talks and discussions, and we are,” Ms Weidel said.
欧洲各地的疑欧主义:欧洲的极右翼政党在支持俄罗斯还是乌克兰的问题上存在分歧。
Euroscepticism around Europe Europe’s hard-Right parties are divided in their support for Russia or Ukraine.
然而,许多政党与德国选择党有着共同的抱负,即把欧盟变成一个由志同道合的国家组成的集团,其权力归属于各国首都,而非欧盟委员会。
However, many share the AfD’s ambition to turn the EU into a grouping of like-minded nations under the authority of their capitals rather than the European Commission.
意大利总理乔治亚·梅洛尼呼吁建立一个“祖国的欧洲”,而不是一个中央集权的超级国家。
Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s prime minister, has called for a “Europe of homelands” rather than a centralised superstate.
勒庞女士是4月大选后法国总统职位的领跑者,她曾在2017年呼吁举行“脱欧”(Frexit)公投。在那一年的总统选举中失利后,她缓和了自己的观点。
Ms Le Pen, the front-runner to become France’s president after elections in April, wanted to call a “Frexit” referendum in 2017. After losing presidential elections that year, she moderated her views.
本月早些时候,她呼吁建立一个改革后的“民族的欧洲”,并誓言反对一个“想要将自身变成国家”的欧盟。
Earlier this month, she called for a reformed “Europe of nations”, vowing to oppose an EU that “wants to turn itself into a state”.
德国选择党成立于2013年,是一个反对欧元区救助计划并支持解散欧元的政党。
The AfD was founded in 2013 as a party opposed to Eurozone bailouts and in support of dissolving the euro.
德国退出欧盟在2021年成为该党的正式政策,但这一立场已经发生了演变。
Germany leaving the EU became official party policy in 2021 but that stance has evolved.
2023年,德国选择党转而呼吁建立一个松散的贸易国家联盟来取代欧盟,魏德尔女士称英国脱欧可以作为德国的榜样。
In 2023, the AfD instead called for a loose federation of trading nations to replace the EU, with Ms Weidel saying Brexit could be a model for Germany.
今年的政策文件使这一愿景更加具体,据前德国选择党(AfD)欧洲议会议员贡纳尔·贝克(Gunnar Beck)称,这是为了在中间立场上迎合那些反对“德国脱欧”(Dexit)的党员。
This year’s policy paper has made that vision more detailed and – according to Gunnar Beck, a former AfD MEP – is an effort to meet party members who oppose Dexit halfway.
他表示,魏德尔女士“可能,也可能不会”试图强行推动“德国脱欧”公投。
He said Ms Weidel “may or may not” be trying to force a Dexit referendum.
“当然,这可能会产生同样的后果。我们知道欧盟对任何形式的改革是多么坚决地反对,除非是朝着某一个方向的改革,”他说。
“Of course, it could have the same consequence. We know how implacably opposed the EU is to any kind of reform, except in one direction,” he said.
“我确实认为,德国选择党的选民在直接脱欧的问题上达成了共识,但他们都希望看到实质性的改革。”贝克先生表示,魏德尔女士与其强行推动“德国脱欧”,不如在掌权后受到约束,并“像乔治亚·梅洛尼那样满足于一点残羹冷炙”。这位意大利总理在上任后缓和了她尖锐的欧洲怀疑论,并在欧盟权力走廊中赢得了务实主义者的声誉。“我希望魏德尔能更坚定一些,坚持既定方针,”他说。
“I do think that there is a consensus amongst AfD voters in favour of just leaving, but they all would want to see substantial reforms.”Mr Beck said that rather than pushing through Dexit, Ms Weidel could be reined in once she was in power and “settle for breadcrumbs like Giorgia Meloni”. The Italian prime minister moderated her strident Euroscepticism upon taking office and earned a reputation as a pragmatist in the EU corridors of power. “I would hope that Weidel will be a bit more steadfast and stay the course,” he said.
魏德尔女士计划向布鲁塞尔发出“要么接受,要么我们离开”的最后通牒,这让人回想起卡梅伦勋爵(Lord Cameron)2016年强迫欧盟改革的失败尝试。
Ms Weidel’s plan to give Brussels a “take it or we leave” ultimatum has echoes of Lord Cameron’s doomed attempt to force the EU to reform in 2016.
他发起了英国脱欧公投,但表示他会前往布鲁塞尔为英国争取一项新协议,这将为留欧派提供一个令人信服的理由。
He called the Brexit referendum but said he would go to Brussels and secure a new deal for Britain, which would make a compelling case for Remain.
卡梅伦勋爵要求立即禁止欧盟移民享受四年在职福利,要求免除与欧盟“日益紧密的联盟”原则,并建立一个议会“红牌”制度以阻止欧盟法律。
Lord Cameron demanded an immediate four-year ban on in-work benefits for EU migrants, an exemption from the principle of an “ever closer union” with the EU, and a parliamentary “red card” system to block EU laws.
他获得了豁免权、红牌制度以及对英国金融服务业的一些保护,但在福利问题上只获得了一个“紧急刹车”机制。
He secured the exemption and red card system and some protections for British financial services, but only an “emergency brake” on benefits.
这些改革远未达到保守党的预期,鲍里斯·约翰逊(Boris Johnson)迅速将其斥为“稀薄的稀粥”,且在公投辩论中几乎没有发挥任何作用。
The reforms fell far short of Tory expectations, with Boris Johnson swiftly dismissing them as “thin gruel”, and played little part in the referendum debate.
这些改革以留欧派在公投中获胜为前提,在脱欧派胜利得到确认的那一刻起,便被彻底排除在谈判桌外。
The reforms were conditional on Remain winning the referendum, and were taken definitively off the table the moment Leave’s victory was confirmed.
卡梅伦勋爵曾寻求与欧盟达成新条款,以便为注定失败的“留欧”运动提供一个令人信服的理由。在英国脱欧谈判以及随后的重启谈判的痛苦岁月里,欧盟领导人一直坚持认为,进入单一市场的集团规则是不可打破的。
Lord Cameron sought new terms with the EU to make a compelling case for the doomed Remain campaign In the painful years of the Brexit negotiations, and the reset talks that followed, EU leaders have insisted that bloc rules for access to the single market are unbreakable.
大卫·利丁顿爵士在英国与欧盟进行改革谈判期间担任卡梅伦勋爵的欧洲事务大臣。
Sir David Lidington was Lord Cameron’s Europe minister during Britain’s reform negotiations with the EU.
他告诉《每日电讯报》,德国选择党(AfD)的策略是“疯狂的”。
He told The Telegraph the AfD strategy was “mad”.
大卫爵士表示:“德国选择党一定知道,他们想要的东西将要求欧盟修改其条约。这需要所有27个成员国的一致同意,而且几乎可以肯定需要在一些国家进行全民公投。”
Sir David said: “The AfD must know that what they want would require the EU to change its treaties. That needs the unanimous agreement of all 27 members, and almost certainly referendums in some countries.
“德国选择党的计划只会让德国和欧盟陷入激烈的争论和分裂。这正是德国选择党的好朋友普京想要看到的,毫无疑问,魏德尔女士会很乐意为他的利益服务。”
“What the AfD plan would do is plunge Germany and the EU into bitter argument and division. That’s just what Putin, a great friend of AfD, wants to see, and no doubt Ms Weidel would be delighted to serve his interests.”