在国会任职近10年来，布莱恩·菲茨帕特里克塑造了一名中间派立法者的形象，他置身于党派纷争之上，并愿意与唐纳德·特朗普总统唱反调。据其家乡报纸报道，他是国会山上最温和的立法者之一，这一策略让他赢得了摇摆选民，并在一个竞争激烈的选区持续跑赢其所在政党——该选区在2020年支持乔·拜登，2024年支持卡玛拉·哈里斯。
Over nearly 10 years in Congress Brian Fitzpatrick has cultivated an image as a middle-of-the-road lawmaker who operates above the partisan fray and is willing to buck President Donald Trump It's a formula that has allowed Fitzpatrick, who is among the most moderate lawmakers on Capitol Hill according to his hometown newspaper, to win swing voters and consistently outperform his party in a highly competitive district that opted for Joe Biden in 2020 and Kamala Harris in 2024. But in a year when Republican candidates across the country are being weighed down by Trump, Fitzpatrick is facing a stiff challenge from Democrat Bob Harvie in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, and testing whether his personal brand can carry him in a difficult national political environment.
但在共和党候选人全国普遍因特朗普而拖累的一年里，菲茨帕特里克在宾夕法尼亚州第1国会选区面临民主党人鲍勃·哈维的强劲挑战，这考验着他的个人品牌能否在艰难的全国政治环境中支撑他过关。
"Brian Fitzpatrick is Brian Fitzpatrick.
“布莱恩·菲茨帕特里克就是布莱恩·菲茨帕特里克。我不是唐纳德·特朗普，也不是任何别人。选民应该用这种眼光来看待这次选举，”菲茨帕特里克对CNBC表示。“我对[特朗普]不满意。我对他的语气不满意。我认为他做得不够好。我认为领导人应该团结国家、团结人民。他没有做到这一点。”菲茨帕特里克与哈维的对决发生之际，特朗普的支持率暴跌，伊朗战争拖延，消费者物价上涨。
I'm not Donald Trump. I'm not anybody else. And that's the way voters should approach this," Fitzpatrick told CNBC.
这场竞争是11月3日大选中约四十个被视为有竞争力的众议院席位之一，将决定特朗普任期最后两年的国会控制权。宾夕法尼亚州选民常被视为全国风向的风向标，且因该州位于东海岸，菲茨帕特里克所在选区是开票夜重点关注的选区之一。
"I'm not happy with [Trump]. I'm not happy with his tone.
法官下令：特朗普必须在12月11日前就BBC诉讼案接受取证。弗吉尼亚州参议员卢卡斯——特朗普的批评者——在 marijuana 敲诈勒索案中被起诉。加州第40号提案：选民需要了解的有关亿万富翁财富税之争的情况。民主党人正展开攻势，并在此前被认为难以企及的选区投入资金——包括菲茨帕特里克的选区，这场竞选可能预示着民主党人不仅在最为脆弱的席位上、而且在更广泛范围内取得成功。
I don't think he's done a sufficient job. I think leaders are supposed to unite our country, unify people. He has not done that." The battle between Fitzpatrick and Harvie comes as Trump's approval rating craters Iran war drags on and consumer prices rise The contest is one of the approximately four dozen House seats considered in play in the Nov. 3 election that will decide control of Congress for the last two years of Trump's term.
但哈维——一名前高中社会研究教师兼县委员——获胜的希望仍然渺茫。本月早些时候，艾米·沃尔特主持的《库克政治报告》将该选区的选情从“稳固共和党”调整为“倾向共和党”，向有利于民主党的方向转变。
Pennsylvania voters are often an indicator of how the country will swing overall, and because the state is on the East Coast, Fitzpatrick's district is one to watch as returns come in. Trump must sit for deposition in BBC lawsuit by Dec. 11, judge orders Virginia state Sen. Lucas, a Trump critic, charged in marijuana racketeering case California's Proposition 40: What voters need to know about billionaire wealth tax battle Democrats are on offense and spending money in districts previously thought out of reach— including Fitzpatrick's, in a race that could signal Democratic success outside of just the most vulnerable seats.
在《库克政治报告》负责众议院选情报道的艾琳·科维称菲茨帕特里克是民主党人的“白鲸”。作为民主党人推翻菲茨帕特里克行动最后冲刺的一部分，本月早些时候，众议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党人哈基姆·杰弗里斯和宾夕法尼亚州民主党州长乔什·夏皮罗与哈维一同在雄鹿县举行了一场集会。“这是一个极其重要的州，”杰弗里斯在集会后对记者说。
But Harvie, a former high school social studies teacher and county commissioner, is still a long shot to win. The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter shifted the race in Democrats' direction, from "Likely R" to "Lean R," earlier this month. Erin Covey who leads coverage of House races at the Cook Report, called Fitzpatrick Democrats' "white whale."
“该州是一个重要的摇摆州，而雄鹿县是一个重要的摇摆县。因此，这是一场至关重要的竞选。”菲茨帕特里克在雄鹿县长大，该县构成了该选区的大部分，他曾是一名联邦调查局特工，于2017年接替其兄弟迈克尔。他是两党问题解决者核心小组的联合主席，根据《费城问询报》最近对其投票记录的分析，在本届国会中，他投票反对白宫和自己党派的次数超过任何其他众议院共和党人。该报本月早些时候 endorsement 了哈维。
As part of Democrats' final push to unseat Fitzpatrick, Harvie was joined earlier this month by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries D-N.Y., and Democratic Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro for a rally in Bucks County "This is an incredibly important state," Jeffries told reporters after the rally. "The Commonwealth is a big swing state, and Bucks County is a big swing county.
菲茨帕特里克还是一个两党小组的成员，该小组一直直言不讳，因为白宫在最近几周对俄罗斯采取了更为和缓的基调。他上周牵头提出一项法案，旨在撤销特朗普最近授权美国购买俄罗斯柴油的决定。他在一封两党联名信上签字，敦促国防部恢复乌克兰使用对该国防御至关重要的卫星通信服务，此前乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示这些服务已被降级。
And so this is a critically important race." Fitzpatrick grew up in Bucks County, which makes up much of the district, and is a former FBI agent who succeeded his brother, Michael, in 2017. He's a co-chair of the bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus and, according to a recent Philadelphia Inquirer analysis of his voting record, has voted against the White House and his party this Congress more than any other House Republican.
《纽约时报》报道称，菲茨帕特里克威胁要推动解雇对减速负责的美国官员。菲茨帕特里克正在寻求连任第六届众议员，在其职业生涯的大部分时间里，他都轻松击退了民主党的挑战。宾夕法尼亚州的共和党顾问克里斯托弗·尼古拉斯表示，菲茨帕特里克“一直是众议院中最温和的成员”。“如果他们能在本周期击败他，那对民主党来说绝对是一个美好的夜晚，”科维说。
The paper endorsed Harvie earlier this month. Fitzpatrick is also part of a bipartisan group that's been outspoken as the White House has taken a more conciliatory tone toward Russia in recent weeks. He led a bill last week that would undo Trump's recent authorization of the U.S. purchase of Russian diesel And he signed a bipartisan letter urging the Department of Defense to restore Ukraine's access to satellite communications that are critical to the country's defenses, after President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the services were downgraded. Fitzpatrick threatened to pursue the firing of U.S. officials responsible for the slowdown, the New York Times reported Fitzpatrick is seeking his sixth House term and for much of his career has easily warded off Democratic challenges.
哈维将菲茨帕特里克描绘成特朗普的“橡皮图章”，并质疑其两党合作的说法。虽然菲茨帕特里克是仅有的两名对共和党2025年标志性税收和支出方案最终版本投反对票的共和党人之一，但他曾支持众议院通过的早期版本，该版本将法案送交参议院并为其通过铺平了道路。菲茨帕特里克表示，他支持该法案的初稿，但反对参议院增加的削减医疗补助条款。
Christopher Nicholas, a Republican consultant based in Pennsylvania, said Fitzpatrick "has been the most moderate member of the House." "If they are able to beat him this cycle, it is definitely going to be a great night for Democrats," Covey said. Harvie casts Fitzpatrick as a rubber stamp for Trump and questions the claims of bipartisanship.
哈维还批评了菲茨帕特里克在关税问题上的摇摆记录。菲茨帕特里克曾投票推翻特朗普对加拿大的关税，但在限制国会质疑总统部分关税权力的程序性投票中，他又站在了大多数共和党人一边。菲茨帕特里克支持一项备受争议、由特朗普背书的选举法案——即“拯救美国法案”（SAVE America Act），该法案将要求投票时出示身份证件并提供公民身份证明。他还支持一项有争议的共和党移民提案，以及特朗普将墨西哥湾更名为“美洲湾”的提议。
While Fitzpatrick was one of only two Republicans vote against the final version of Republicans' 2025 signature tax and spending package, he voted in favor of an earlier iteration in the House that sent the measure to the Senate and set it on a path to passage. Fitzpatrick has said he supported the initial draft of the bill, but opposed cuts to Medicaid that were added in the Senate. Harvie also called out Fitzpatrick's mixed record on tariffs. Fitzpatrick voted to overturn Trump's tariffs on Canada but has also sided with most Republicans on procedural votes to limit Congress' ability to challenge some of the president's tariffs.
“就我国经济而言，民众正在受苦，”作为巴克斯县本地人的哈维对CNBC表示。“政府完全脱离了它本应服务的人民。在国际上，我们从未如此软弱和孤立……而所有这一切都是因为唐纳德·特朗普，以及像布赖恩·菲茨帕特里克这样任由他胡作非为的人。”菲茨帕特里克仍被看好获胜。但宾夕法尼亚州的民主党策略师布里特·克兰普西表示，与以往几个选举周期相比，民主党这次拥有更强有力的候选人哈维。
Fitzpatrick voted in favor of a controversial, Trump-backed election bill, dubbed the SAVE America Act which would require identification to cast a ballot and proof of citizenship to to vote. And he backed a controversial GOP immigration proposal and Trump's bid to rename the Gulf of Mexico the "Gulf of America." "When it comes to our economics in this country, people are suffering," Harvie, a Bucks County native, told CNBC.
“从担任教师到出任地方官员，鲍勃·哈维与这个社区有着深厚的联系，他非常能代表这个社区，”克兰普西说。“他了解巴克斯县，知名度很高。”除了特朗普的低支持率和选民对经济的担忧外，菲茨帕特里克和其他宾夕法尼亚州共和党人还必须应对票首位置上一位极受欢迎的州长。根据近期民调，夏皮罗有望轻松连任。科维表示，在菲茨帕特里克的选区，预计夏皮罗将以两位数的优势大胜。
"The government is one that is totally detached from the people it's supposed to serve. Internationally, we've never been weaker and more isolated … and all of that is because of Donald Trump and because of people like Brian Fitzpatrick, who are just letting him run amok." Fitzpatrick is still favored to win. But Brit Crampsie, a Democratic strategist based in Pennsylvania, said Democrats have a stronger candidate in Harvie than they have in past cycles. "Bob Harvie, from his time as a school teacher to a local official, has deep ties to this community, and he's very representative of this community," Crampsie said.
宾夕法尼亚州还有另外三场势均力敌的竞选，它们共同可能决定众议院的控制权。两位共和党现任议员——第七选区的瑞安·麦肯齐和第十选区的斯科特·佩里——正在寻求连任，这些竞选被库克政治报告评为“倾向民主党”。根据库克政治报告，共和党众议员罗布·布雷斯纳汉在宾夕法尼亚州第八选区的竞选属于“难分伯仲”。
"He understands Bucks County and has high name ID." In addition to Trump's low favorability and voters' economic concerns, Fitzpatrick and other Pennsylvania Republicans must also contend with one of the most popular governors in the country at the top of the ticket. Shapiro is expected to win reelection easily, according to recent polling In Fitzpatrick's district, Shapiro is predicted to coast to victory by double digits, Covey said.
然而，菲茨帕特里克指出，他在2022年赢得了其选区近55%的选票，即使夏皮罗在该选区获得了59%的选票，这在他看来证明选民非常愿意分裂投票。
Pennsylvania also has three other neck-and-neck races that together could decide control of the House.
关于该选区竞选的独立公开民调很少，尽管全球战略集团最近为哈维竞选团队进行的一项内部调查显示，他与菲茨帕特里克支持率持平。公众舆论策略公司9月为全国共和党国会委员会和菲茨帕特里克竞选团队进行的一项民调显示，现任议员领先9个百分点。《纽约时报》、《费城询问报》和锡耶纳大学周日发布的一项民调发现，哈维以48%对46%的微弱优势领先菲茨帕特里克——在该民调的误差范围内。最近的外部支出描绘出一幅竞争激烈的图景。
Two Republican incumbents, Reps. Ryan Mackenzie in the 7th District and Scott Perry in the 10th, are seeking reelection in races labeled "Lean D." Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, in Pennsylvania's 8th District, is in a "toss up" race, according to the Cook Report. Fitzpatrick, however, noted he won nearly 55% of voters in his district in 2022, even as Shapiro won 59% of the vote in the district, evidence to him that his constituents are more than willing to split their tickets. Independent public polling on the race for the district is sparse, though a recent internal survey conducted by Global Strategy Group for the Harvie campaign showed him and Fitzpatrick tied.
根据 AdImpact 的数据，自 10 月初以来，民主党国会竞选委员会已在该选区投入超过 150 万美元用于电视广告，而众议院民主党的主要超级政治行动委员会则投入了超过 750 万美元。在本次选举之前，这两个团体自 2020 年以来都未曾在该选区购买过电视广告。共和党也在斥资助选菲茨帕特里克。根据 AdImpact 数据，众议院共和党的主要超级政治行动委员会“国会领导基金”和全国共和党国会委员会分别承诺投入近 500 万美元和略超 100 万美元用于该选区的广告。
A September poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the National Republican Congressional Committee and Fitzpatrick's campaign had the incumbent up by nine percentage points. A poll released Sunday by the New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena University found Harvie with a narrow 48% to 46% lead over Fitzpatrick — within the poll's margin of error. Recent outside spending paints a competitive picture. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has committed more than $1.5 million to TV ads in the district since the start of October, while House Democrats' main super PAC has pitched in more than $7.5 million, according to AdImpact data.
根据 10 月 12 日的联邦选举委员会备案文件，特朗普的超级政治行动委员会“让美国再次伟大公司”最近在该选区购买了 10 万美元的广告，反对哈维。
Prior to this election, neither group had bought TV ads in the district since 2020 Republicans are also shelling out to shore up Fitzpatrick.
“由此你就能看出他的忠诚在哪里，”宾夕法尼亚州民主党主席尤金·德帕斯夸尔对 CNBC 表示。“唐纳德·特朗普和‘让美国再次伟大公司’进场花费 10 万美元来救助他，因为他们知道关键时刻，他会对他们忠诚。”
The House GOP's main super PAC, the Congressional Leadership Fund, and the NRCC have committed just under $5 million and just over $1 million, respectively, to ads in the district, according to AdImpact. And Trump's super PAC, MAGA Inc., recently purchased $100,000 in ads in the district opposing Harvie, according to an Oct. 12 FEC filing "Here's how you know where his loyalties lie," Pennsylvania Democratic Party Chair Eugene DePasquale told CNBC.
据称，截至 10 月 14 日，菲茨帕特里克拥有显著的现金优势，其竞选金库中有超过 70.9 万美元，而哈维手头现金仅略超 40.9 万美元。全国共和党国会委员会发言人赖利·理查森指出了这一筹款差距，称哈维面临“竞选停滞”和“显著的现金劣势”。
"Donald Trump and MAGA Inc. coming in to spend $100,000 to bail him out because they know when push comes to shove, he'll be loyal to them." Fitzpatrick has a significant cash advantage, with more than $709,000 in his war chest as of Oct. 14 according to compared with Harvie's just over $409,000 in cash on hand Reilly Richardson, a spokesperson for the NRCC, pointed to this fundraising disparity, saying Harvie had "a stagnant campaign" and "a significant cash disadvantage."