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维州选举前一个月,两大工会倒戈工党,投放攻击广告并撤回竞选资金Two key unions turn on Labor, running attack ads and pulling campaign funds a month out from Victorian election

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澳大利亚服务工会成员在维多利亚州议会外集会,参加一场市政工人罢工。照片:杰伊·科格勒/澳大利亚联合通讯社Australian Services Union members rally at a council workers strike outside Victorian state parliament. Photograph: Jay Kogler/AAP

维多利亚州两大工会在州选举前一个月转而背弃工党政府,其中一个发布攻击性广告称本·卡罗尔(Ben Carroll)为骗子,另一个则撤回竞选资金。

Two major unions in Victoria have turned their back on the Labor government a month out from the state election, with one launching attack ads calling Ben Carroll a liar and the other pulling campaign funding.

与工党结盟的澳大利亚服务工会(ASU)发布了这些广告,并确认未来几周不会为工党进行逐户拉票。与此同时,电气行业工会(ETU)州委员会周三决议不为工党开展全州范围的竞选活动,尽管该工会在上届选举中投入了超过160万澳元支持该党,资金将转而用于支持可能被传唤出席建筑业皇家委员会的会员。《卫报澳大利亚版》看到的一份决议副本显示,电气行业工会将“在2026年州选举中不开展第三方竞选活动”。

The Labor-aligned Australian Services Union (ASU), which launched the ads, has also confirmed it won't doorknock for Labor in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the Electrical Trades Union (ETU) state council resolved on Wednesday not to run a statewide campaign for Labor, despite spending more than $1.6m supporting the party at the last election, with funds to be diverted to support members who could be called before the construction royal commission A copy of the resolution, seen by Guardian Australia, states that the ETU will "not run a third-party campaign at the 2026 state election".

相反,它计划“重新分配原定用于此次竞选的资源,以准备和捍卫电气行业工会及其会员在皇家委员会中的权益”,并应对其所描述的“即将上台的联盟党多数政府对蓝领工会及其会员发动攻击的影响”。

Instead, it plans to "reallocate resources previously earmarked for this campaign to prepare and defend the ETU and its members in the royal commission" and respond to what is describes as the "impacts of the oncoming attack on blue-collar unions and their members from a majority Coalition government".

该决议引用了电气行业工会委托的民意调查,该调查于10月初出炉,预测工党在选举中将仅赢得25个席位——比7月领导层更迭(本·卡罗尔取代贾辛塔·艾伦(Jacinta Allan)出任州长)前的预测少10个席位。

The resolution cites polling commissioned by the ETU and received at the start of October, which predicted Labor would win just 25 seats at the election – 10 fewer than forecast before the July leadership spill that saw Ben Carroll replace Jacinta Allan as premier.

澳大利亚服务工会攻击州长本·卡罗尔和维多利亚州工党政府的广告。照片:供图The ASU ad attacking the premier, Ben Carroll, and the Victorian Labor government. Photograph: Suppied

决议称:“媒体广泛报道的民调进一步印证了这一点,显示自领导层更迭以来,维多利亚州工党的支持率已有所下滑。”

"This is reinforced by polling widely reported in the media, which shows that since the leadership change, Victorian Labor has gone backwards in support," the resolution reads.

澳大利亚服务工会对工党的攻击源于其长期开展的运动,旨在取消地方议会向居民征收税率的上限,该上限限制了议会为员工提供更高工资的能力。

The ASU's attack on Labor relates to its long-running campaign to lift a cap on rates that councils can charge residents, which has constrained their ability to fund higher wages for staff.

这个左翼倾向的工会声称曾与艾伦达成协议取消上限,但卡罗尔接任领导人后迅速废除了该协议,理由是担心这会增加非议会员工的生活成本压力。

The left-aligned union claims it had a deal with Allan to lift the cap, which Carroll quickly scrapped after taking over the leadership, due to concerns it would increase cost of living pressures for non-council workers.

澳大利亚服务工会(ASU)的广告在州长的大幅照片上醒目地印着“本撒谎,工党撒谎”。

The ASU ads splash the words "Ben lied. Labor lies" over a large image of the premier.

澳大利亚服务工会成员6月在维多利亚州议会外集会。照片:杰伊·科格勒/澳大利亚联合通讯社Australian Services Union members rally outside the Victorian parliament in June. Photograph: Jay Kogler/AAP

该工会已支付费用,让这些广告在新闻网站和谷歌上投放,覆盖卡罗尔自己的选区尼德里、工党以2%优势对阵绿党的帕斯科韦尔选区,以及自由党重点争取的本特利选区。广告还将出现在副州长、财长和地方政府部长所在的选区。

The union has paid for these ads to run across news sites and on Google in Carroll's own seat of Niddrie, the seat of Pascoe Vale, held by Labor on a 2% margin against the Greens and the seat of Bentleigh, a target seat for the Liberals. The ads will also feature in seats held by the deputy premier, the treasurer and the local government minister.

“州长本·卡罗尔选择不为工人挺身而出,因此工人也不会在11月为他挺身而出,”ASU维州分会秘书塔什·沃克说。

"Premier Ben Carroll has chosen not to show up for workers and so workers can't show up for him this November," said Tash Wark, the secretary of the ASU's Victorian branch.

“我们通常会在这么接近选举的时候敲门拉票。在政府无视提供市政服务的人员的情况下,我们不会那样做,所以选民……将直接通过他们信息流中的广告听到我们的声音。”维州政府发言人表示:“本·卡罗尔正在为劳动人民而战。”

"We would normally be out knocking doors this close to an election. We won't be doing that while the government ignores the people who deliver council services, so voters … will hear from us directly through ads in their feeds." A Victorian government spokesperson said "Ben Carroll is fighting for working people".

“自由党-国家党联盟将取消加班费,裁减31,700名公共部门员工,终止带薪育儿假,并释放400亿澳元的削减开支,”该发言人说。沃克表示,如果工会的诉求得到满足,他们愿意为工党拉票。

"A Liberal-One Nation coalition will scrap penalty rates, sack 31,700 public sector workers, end paid parental leave and unleash $40 billion in cuts," the spokesperson said. Wark said the union would be willing to campaign for Labor if it got its way.

“ASU没有人想投放针对工党议员的广告,如果政府做正确的事,我们也不必这样做,”她说。

"Nobody at the ASU wanted to be running ads against Labor MPs, and we don't have to if the government does the right thing," she said.

曾是前州长派系支持者的电气工会(ETU),强烈反对就“大建设”项目的腐败指控设立皇家调查委员会,并将其称为“律师的野餐”。

The ETU, which was a factional backer of the former premier, strongly opposed a royal commission into allegations of corruption on the Big Build, which it described as a lawyers' picnic.

6月,该工会也是发起广告攻势的三个工会之一,挑战关于政府建筑工地涉嫌腐败给纳税人造成150亿澳元损失的说法。在2022年大选中,电气工会花费超过160万澳元为该党竞选,并与工党系的广告公司Creative Edge合作,制作社交媒体和广播广告支持其连任。

In June, it was also one of three unions to launch an advertising blitz challenging claims that alleged corruption on government building sites cost taxpayers $15bn At the 2022 election, the ETU spent more than $1.6m campaigning for the party and worked with the Labor-aligned advertising agency, Creative Edge, to produce social media and broadcast ads supporting its re-election.

四年前的同一选举周期节点,ETU的广告已经投放播出。它们随后在Facebook上触达了200万人,在YouTube上又触达了140万人。本次选举尚未发布任何广告。

By the same point in the election cycle four years ago, the ETU's ads had already been aired. They went on to reach 2 million people on Facebook and another 1.4 million people on YouTube. No ads have been published for this election.

“世界处境已非六个月前可比,更不用说四年前了,”一位ETU消息人士说,该人士因未获授权公开发言而要求匿名。

"The world is in a different place than it was six months ago, let alone four years ago," said one ETU source, who requested anonymity to speak freely.

“我们并非孤例。工会运动中许多人在通往本次选举的过程中对工党一直相当低调。”一名工党议员指责ETU“因未能如愿而耍赖发脾气”,该议员因未获授权公开发言而要求匿名。

"We aren't alone. A lot of the union movement have been pretty muted towards Labor in the lead up to this election." One Labor MP, speaking anonymously as they were unauthorised to speak publicly, accused the ETU of "throwing the toys out the cot because they didn't get what their way".

卡罗尔正在争取工党在11月28日大选中实现前所未有的第四个连续执政任期。报告中引用的最新民调显示,按双党优先投票计算,工党以44%对55%落后于联盟党。然而,一国党的崛起可能会使最终结果变得复杂。

Carroll is seeking an unprecedented fourth consecutive term for Labor at the 28 November election. The latest polling cited in the report puts Labor behind the Coalition on a two-party-preferred basis, at 44% to 55%. The rise of One Nation however, could complicate the final result.

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