
美国国会民主党人已经在谋划,如果他们在下周中期选举中赢得众议院或参议院多数席位,将如何运用手中的权力。
Democrats in the US Congress are already planning how they would use their power if they win a majority in the House or Senate in next week's midterm elections.
尽管他们的成功绝非板上钉钉,但控制任何一院都将使该党有权发出传票,并获得额外资金,于明年初启动调查。
While their success is by no means guaranteed, control of either chamber would give the party power to issue subpoenas, as well as additional funding to launch investigations early next year.
民主党人正在权衡是否调查特朗普政府的高级官员——甚至可能包括总统本人。据知情人士透露,工作人员已开始整理可能的调查对象和证人名单。以下是民主党若在11月3日胜出后可能针对的几个目标。
Democrats are weighing whether to investigate senior figures in the Trump administration - and possibly the president himself. Staffers have begun assembling a list of possible investigations and witnesses, according to people familiar with the discussions. Here are a few potential Democratic targets if the party emerges victorious on 3 November.
民主党人已明确表示,特朗普家族庞大商业帝国促成的高利润交易将成为任何初步调查的首要目标。
Democrats have made it clear that lucrative deals brokered by the Trump family's vast business empire will be primary targets of any initial investigations.
弗吉尼亚州民主党众议员苏哈斯·苏布拉马尼亚姆是众议院监督委员会成员,他对BBC表示:“我们要确保(美国)纳税人的钱得到明智使用,不会因腐败而被盗取或私吞。”
"We want to make sure that [American] taxpayer dollars are being used wisely and not being stolen or pocketed because of corruption," Virginia Democratic Representative Suhas Subramanyam, a member of the House Oversight Committee, told the BBC.
考虑调查的事项包括政府与公司实体之间的联系,特别是加密货币公司,以及总统女婿贾里德·库什纳的国际商业交易。
Items under consideration for investigation include ties between the administration and corporate entities - particularly cryptocurrency firms - as well as the international business dealings of the president's son-in-law, Jared Kushner.
其他议题可能包括卡塔尔赠送的价值4亿美元(3.01亿英镑)、用作“空军一号”的飞机,以及授予与特朗普家族有关联公司的数百万美元国防合同。
Other topics could include the $400m (£301m) aircraft gifted by Qatar to serve as Air Force One and multimillion-dollar defence contracts awarded to firms linked to the Trump family.
苏布拉马尼亚姆说:“让我震惊的不只是这届政府、内阁官员甚至总统及其家人一直腐败和以权谋私,而且他们对此如此肆无忌惮、公开张扬。”白宫一再否认任何不当行为的指控。
"What's shocking to me is not only that this administration, cabinet officials and even the president and his family have been corrupt and self-dealing, but they've been so brazen and open about it," Subramanyam said. The White House has repeatedly denied any allegations of wrongdoing.
白宫发言人奥利维亚·威尔士表示:“特朗普总统正专注于保住共和党在国会的多数席位,并加倍推进他在降低家庭生活成本方面取得的进展。”
"President Trump is focused on retaining Republican majorities in Congress and doubling down on the progress he has made to lower costs for families," White House spokesperson Olivia Wales said.
她补充说:“民主党没有改善美国人民生活的议程,只有阻挠和毫无根据地针对特朗普总统常识性议程的计划。”
"Democrats have no agenda to improve the lives of the American people, just plans to obstruct and baselessly target President Trump's commonsense agenda," she added.
一名白宫官员表示,无论国会由谁掌控,政府都“随时准备”回应监督请求。指南:什么是美国中期选举?
A White House official said the administration is "always prepared" to respond to oversight requests regardless of who is in Congress. GUIDE: What are the US midterms?
深度报道:美国年轻政治人物如此之少的真正原因 探索:美国中期选举的胜负将在哪里决出 核实:特朗普治下美国经济的真实表现 民主党议员已誓言要调查国防部长皮特·赫格塞思对2月开始的伊朗战争的处理方式——包括平民伤亡人数、弹药短缺、开支以及有关部队和设施准备不足的说法。
IN DEPTH: The real reasons there are so few young US politicians EXPLORE: Where the US midterms will be won and lost VERIFY: How the US economy is really doing under Trump Democratic lawmakers have vowed to look into Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth's handling of the war with Iran that began in February - including the number of civilian casualties, munitions shortfalls, spending and claims of poorly prepared troops and facilities.

据一位了解相关讨论的消息人士透露,其他议题可能包括加勒比海的船只打击行动,政府称这些行动旨在阻止毒品流入美国。
Other topics, according to a source familiar with the discussions, could include boat strikes in the Caribbean that the administration says are aimed at stopping the flow of drugs into the US.
今年4月,一群众议院民主党人罕见地对赫格塞思提出了弹劾条款。他们援引伊朗战争,指控他犯有“重罪和轻罪”。
In April, a group of House Democrats filed rare articles of impeachment against Hegseth. They cited the war in Iran and accused him of "high crimes and misdemeanours".
弹劾只需众议院简单多数即可通过,但定罪——以及免职——需要参议院三分之二的票数。此前从未有内阁官员以这种方式被免职。
Impeachment requires only a simple majority in the House, but conviction - and removal from office - would require a two-thirds vote in the Senate. No cabinet official has ever been removed this way.
一些专家认为,国会听证会带来的负面舆论最终可能导致赫格塞思被解职或辞职。
Some experts believe that the negative publicity that would come from congressional hearings could ultimately lead to Hegseth being fired or resigning from the position.
华盛顿特区美利坚大学政治学教授、总统研究专家戴维·米勒表示:“如果局势对白宫不利,并且拖累他们的媒体关注度,特朗普总统可能会倾向于抛弃那些官员,因为他不想要那样的负面报道。”“从某种意义上说,这对民主党人来说可能是一场胜利。”曾在乔治·W·布什政府担任白宫首席道德律师的理查德·佩因特告诉BBC,发动这场战争的决定应当受到审视。
"[If] it looks bad for the White House, and it's a drag on their media attention, President Trump might be likely to cut loose those officials, because he doesn't want that bad press," said David Miller, a political science professor and expert on the presidency at American University in Washington DC. "In a sense that could be a win for the Democrats." Richard Painter, the former chief White House ethics lawyer under George W Bush, told the BBC that the decision to launch the war should come under scrutiny.
“更大的问题在于:这场战争从未得到美国国会的授权,而我不在乎国防部长是谁,”他说。
"The bigger issue is this: this war was never authorised by the United States Congress, and I don't care who the secretary of defence is," he said.
“宪法规定国会宣战,”他说,议员们应当“把这些家伙叫来”回答问题。
"The constitution says that Congress declares war," he said, and lawmakers should "haul these folks in" to answer questions.
五角大楼新闻秘书金斯利·威尔逊在一份声明中为赫格塞思的履历辩护,称他是一位“变革型领导者”,他“削减了官僚作风,释放了创新活力,为我们的作战人员交付了成果”。
In a statement, Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson defended Hegseth's record, calling him a "transformative leader" who has "slashed bureaucracy, unleashed innovation, and delivered for our warfighters".
“从每一项可衡量的指标来看,在赫格塞思部长的领导下,战争部都比以前更好,”她说。她使用的是本届政府对国防部的偏好称呼。
"By every measurable metric, the Department of War is better under Secretary Hegseth's leadership than before," she said, using the administration's preferred name for the defence department.

资深民主党人——包括被选中在民主党夺回众议院后领导众议院监督委员会的加州民主党人罗伯特·加西亚——已将移民执法列为国会潜在调查的关键优先事项。
Senior Democrats - including Robert Garcia, the California Democrat tapped to lead the House Oversight Committee should the party take back the chamber - have identified immigration enforcement as a key priority for potential congressional investigations.
这些调查可能会审查有关移民和海关执法局(ICE)探员在全国各地移民突袭行动中存在不当行为的指控。但这些调查可能既困难又在政治上棘手。
These could examine allegations of misconduct by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents during immigration raids across the country. But these investigations may prove difficult and politically tricky.
2024年,特朗普以大规模驱逐无证移民的承诺竞选——这一信息引起了许多支持者的共鸣。
In 2024, Trump campaigned on a promise of mass deportations of undocumented migrants - a message that resonated with many of his supporters.
但近期民调显示,许多美国人,包括在那次选举中支持特朗普的人,对ICE今年迄今为止在美国城市使用的一些手段感到不安。
But recent polls suggest many Americans, including those who backed Trump in that election, are uncomfortable with some of the tactics used by ICE in American cities so far this year.
这意味着民主党将不得不在反对美国移民与海关执法局(ICE)的手段与避免显得漠视更广泛的移民问题之间走钢丝,佩恩特尔告诉英国广播公司。民主党对是否尝试第三次弹劾特朗普存在分歧。
It means Democrats will have to walk a fine line between opposing ICE tactics and appearing to dismiss broader immigration concerns, Painter told the BBC. Democrats are split on the possibility of attempting to impeach Trump for a third time.
一些人,如众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯,已表示支持弹劾,理由是他们认为美国与伊朗之间存在一场未经授权的战争,以及其他所谓的可弹劾罪行。
Some, such as Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have expressed support for an impeachment, citing what they view as an unauthorised war with Iran and other alleged impeachable offences.
另一些人则主张采取更谨慎的做法,认为任何弹劾都不太可能导致参议院投票将特朗普免职——特朗普一再否认任何不当行为。
Others have called for a more cautious approach, arguing that any impeachment is unlikely to end in the Senate voting to remove Trump - who has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing - from office.
此外,民主党是否能就发起弹劾程序的理由达成一致,目前也不清楚。
It is also unclear whether the party could agree on a reason to launch impeachment proceedings.
“我想做什么就做什么,”特朗普去年10月在椭圆形办公室对记者说,并补充说,他将自己第一任期内的弹劾努力以及后来针对他的刑事案件视为“非常非法的事情”。
"I can do whatever I want, if I want," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office in October, adding that he sees the impeachment efforts in his first term and the later criminal cases brought against him as "very illegal things".
共和党籍众议院监督委员会主席詹姆斯·科默去年6月告诉《华盛顿太阳报》新闻媒体,民主党是“一把好手”的人,将“去追究特朗普”。对于民主党来说,任何潜在调查都无法保证会产生有意义的结果。但苏布拉马尼亚姆表示,他们的努力将传递一个信息。
James Comer, the Republican chairman of the House Oversight Committee, told the Washington Sun news outlet in June that Democrats were "one-trick ponies" who were "going to go after Trump". There is no guarantee for Democrats that any potential investigation would end with a meaningful outcome. But Subramanyam said their efforts would send a message.

“如果我们因为担心形象,或者认为不会成功,或者他们对我们设置障碍而不采取行动,那将是糟糕的,”他说。“这不仅关系到未来两年,更关系到未来20年。”关注北美记者安东尼·祖彻的《美国政治解码》通讯,了解特朗普第二任期的曲折变化。英国读者可在此处注册。非英国读者可在此处注册。
"If we do not do something because we are scared of the optics, or we don't think it will be successful, or they stonewall us, that will be bad," he said. "Not just for the next two years, but for the next 20 years." Follow the twists and turns of Trump's second term with North America correspondent Anthony Zurcher's US Politics Unspun newsletter. Readers in the UK can sign up here. Those outside the UK can sign up here.