
距离中期选举不到一周,竞选最后阶段对海外的MAGA阵营而言充满不祥之兆,在国内则怪异到了极点。在塞尔维亚和巴西,特朗普的盟友遭遇了刺痛人心且出人意料的失败,部分原因是选民投票热情高涨。一场反腐败的青年运动在塞尔维亚引领了这股浪潮,而巴西则见证了总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦的戏剧性回归,他击败了特朗普的坚定盟友弗拉维奥·博索纳罗。
With the midterms less than a week away, the closing stretch of the campaign is full of bad omens for MAGA abroad and peak weirdness at home. In Serbia and Brazil, Trump allies suffered stinging and surprising defeats driven in part by energized voter turnout. An anti-corruption youth movement spearheaded the surge in Serbia, while Brazil saw a dramatic comeback for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who defeated staunch Trump ally Flávio Bolsonaro.
“两位落败的候选人——巴西的博索纳罗和塞尔维亚的武契奇——都把自己紧紧绑在唐纳德·特朗普身上,”联合主持人大卫·科恩在本期《压力测试》节目中说。“所以我们看到,在塞尔维亚和匈牙利,那些试图效仿并搭乘特朗普浪潮的威权人物正被赶下台。而在(南美洲),我们曾看到一股右翼浪潮……他们在巴西把它击退了。”
“Both of the losing candidates, Bolsonaro in Brazil and Vučić in Serbia, wrapped themselves around Donald Trump,” co-host David Corn says on this episode of Stress Test . “So we see in Serbia and Hungary authoritarian figures who try to emulate and ride the Trump wave being tossed out of office. And in [South America], where we’ve seen a right-wing tide… they beat it back” in Brazil.
越来越多的人感到,全世界的选民都受够了政府的贪腐。正如大卫所说:“腐败似乎就是矛尖。”与此同时,以色列选举——最终结果仍不确定——在某种程度上也是对特朗普的一次公投,总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡试图通过宣扬自己与特朗普的密切关系来保住权力。
There’s a growing sense that voters worldwide are fed up with government grift. As David puts it: “Corruption seems to be the point of the spear.”Meanwhile, the Israeli election—where the final results are still uncertain—also was something of a referendum on Trump, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attempting to retain power by promoting his close ties to Trump.
在国内,前总统巴拉克·奥巴马和特朗普都在最后冲刺阶段奔走竞选。奥巴马火力全开,抨击特朗普俗气的品味和涉嫌腐败。而特朗普则一直执迷地评论身体部位——具体来说是“屁股”——这是美国现代政治史上最奇怪的收官论点之一。“这简直可以说是跑题的典范,”联合主持人加里森·海斯评论道。“简直就是定义级的跑题。”
Back home, former President Barack Obama and Trump were each on the campaign trail in closing sprints. Obama is getting spicy, hitting Trump on his tacky taste and alleged corruption. Trump, meanwhile, has been obsessively commenting on physical anatomy—specifically “asses”—in one of the stranger closing arguments in modern American political history. “This has to be, like, the definition of being off message,” co-host Garrison Hayes observes. “Like, definitionally off message.”
特朗普对臀部的执着延伸到了说唱歌手妮琪·米娜身上,后者出席了一场集会,特朗普请她站起来,并大赞她的臀部,助长了一个愚蠢的传言:在凯蒂·扎卡里亚——“半个斯卡拉穆奇”——短暂任职后,她可能会被任命为新闻秘书。“这让我想起2016年特朗普竞选时发生的事,他会说:‘嘿,我的黑人朋友在哪?’”大卫回忆道。
Trump’s fixation on rear-ends extended to rapper Nicki Minaj, who appeared at a rally, where Trump asked her to stand and extolled her derriere, fueling the silly rumor she might be named press secretary after the brief tenure of Katie “Half a Scaramucci” Zacharia.“It reminds me of what happened in 2016 when Trump was campaigning and he would say, ‘Hey, where’s my Black friend?’”David recalls.
对加里森来说,这一招再熟悉不过:“眼下正值中期选举的最后关头,特朗普政府决定利用一名黑人来——我想象是为了——吸引黑人选民,这令人反感。这简直是该政府标志性种族主义的一种漫画式夸张。”“前言不搭后语才是游戏规则。”
For Garrison, the gambit is all-too familiar: “Here we are in the closing moments of this midterm election, and the way that the Trump administration has decided to utilize a Black person in order to, I imagine, appeal to Black voters is offensive. It’s almost a caricature of the kind of racism that has become emblematic of this administration.”“Incoherent is the name of the game.”
这一切都发生在前所未有的生成式人工智能“烂作”海量涌现和怪诞攻击性广告的背景下。大卫和加里森梳理了中期选举竞选广告中的最佳与最差之作,他们还剖析了白宫如何将病毒式传播的梗图武器化,用于粗鄙的攻击——包括篡改查理·威尔逊在NPR“微型桌面音乐会”上演唱1982年Gap乐队热门单曲《Outstanding》的片段,植入包括众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯在内的多位民主党高层,并给杰弗里斯戴上一顶宽檐帽——这呼应了特朗普团队以前部署过的一种种族主义陈规。
All of this unfolds against an unprecedented deluge of generative AI “slop” and grotesque attack ads. David and Garrison run through the best and worst of the midterms’ campaign ads, , They also unpack how the White House has weaponized viral memes for crude attacks—including altering footage from Charlie Wilson’s NPR Tiny Desk performance of the 1982 Gap Band hit “Outstanding” to include top Democrats, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries in a sombrero—a callback to a racist tropeTrump’s crew hasdeployed before.
“这在某种程度上感觉像是一场‘烂作大选’,对吧?”加里森说。“前言不搭后语才是游戏规则。”
“This feels like the slop election in some ways, right?”Garrison says. “Incoherent is the name of the game.”
其他广告则彻底令人尴尬,值得注意的是加利福尼亚州共和党州长候选人史蒂夫·希尔顿的一则广告,荒诞地将投票给共和党等同于尝试女同性恋性行为。(没错,你没看错。)“毛骨悚然,毛骨悚然,怪透了,”大卫说。还能说什么呢?
Other ads have been total cringe, notably an ad from California Republican gubernatorial hopeful Steve Hilton that bizarrely equates voting GOP with experimenting with lesbian sex. (Yes, you read that right.) “Creepy, creepy, weird,” David says. What else can one say?
距离下周二选举之夜只剩下最后几期节目,我们将在第一时间把当天最大的新闻直接推送到你的动态中。请务必点击订阅,以免错过任何一期。以下文字记录由自动化工具生成,可能包含错误。
There are only a few more shows left before Election Night next Tuesday, when we’ll bring the biggest news of the day straight to your feed as soon as we can. Make sure to hit subscribe so you don’t miss an episode. The following transcript was generated using automated tools and may contain errors.
大卫·科恩:特朗普在巴西和塞尔维亚遭遇挫折。随着中期选举临近,这对我们意味着什么?
David Corn: Trump loses in Brazil and in Serbia. What does that mean for us as we head to the midterms?
加里森·海耶斯:奥巴马总统正在为民主党人站台助选,而且语气非常犀利。
Garrison Hayes: President Obama is on the stump for Democrats, and he’s getting very spicy.
DC:还有那些竞选广告:最好的、最差的、以及令人作呕的。这里是《琼斯母亲》杂志出品的《压力测试》。我是大卫·科恩。
DC: And all those campaign ads: the best, the worst, and the yuck. This is Stress Test from Mother Jones . I’m David Corn.
GH:我是加里森·海耶斯。欢迎收看《压力测试》第八集,大卫。
GH: And I’m Garrison Hayes. Welcome to Episode 8 of Stress Test , David.
DC:嗯,我们已经走到这一步了,加里森,还有一周时间,我们就能大致了解这场选举的全貌了。
DC: Well, we’ve gotten this far, and there’s a week to go, Garrison, before we get a sense of what this election is going to be all about.
GH:是啊,这一路走来不容易。我挺期待能熬过去的。不知道我们的观众和听众怎么样,[笑] 他们大概巴不得赶紧结束吧,这倒是个切入点,让我们从竞选的最后几天、最后一周左右说起。奥巴马总统和特朗普总统都在竞选一线。他们都在密歇根州——奥巴马和埃尔-赛义德在一起,后者正在竞选该州参议员。本周,奥巴马总统将前往佐治亚州,与乔恩·奥索夫和凯莎·兰斯·博顿斯同台,帮忙鼓舞一下那边的声势。所以我们知道,当政党把总统推到前台时,他们真的是在试图敲定胜局。对吧,大卫?
GH: Yeah, it’s been a journey. I’m excited to kind of get through this. I don’t know about our viewers and our listeners, [laughs] ready for it to be over, which is a good place for us to start here in the closing days, the closing week or so of this campaign. Both President Obama and President Trump are on the campaign trail. They are in Michigan—Obama with El-Sayed, who’s running for Senate there. This week, President Obama will be in Georgia with Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms, helping to kind of gin up a little bit of support down there. And so we know that when parties put their presidents on the front lines, they are really trying to close the deal here. Isn’t that right, David?
DC:按理说是这样,但唐纳德·特朗普不在其列。他们把他派到了密西西比州。密西西比州,因为他们担心那边参议院竞选的局势。我是说,民主党居然在密西西比州有机会获胜,这简直难以置信。而且他在竞选路上,并没有谈论——这是特朗普——大多数选民最关心的那些议题。唐纳德·特朗普一直在大谈特谈候选人和其他人的某个特定身体部位。
DC: Well, you’d think that, but with Donald Trump, that’s not the case. They’re sending him to Mississippi. Mississippi, because they’re worried about what’s happening there in the Senate race. I mean, the idea that a Democrat would have a chance in Mississippi is almost unbelievable. And while he’s out there on the campaign trail, he’s really not talking about the matters—this is Trump—that are probably foremost in the minds of most voters. There’s been a lot of talk coming from Donald Trump about a particular body part of candidates and other people.
GH:好,那我们该聊聊这个了。有一段视频我想让大家看一看,然后谈谈看法。就发生在过去几天里,特朗普总统对妮琪·米娜的臀部发表了评论。我们放一下。DC:臀部。GH:[笑]臀部。[笑]没错,就是这样。[视频播放。] GH:是啊,这简直可以说是跑题的典范了。简直就是[笑]跑题的——DC:我是说,是啊,但这是特朗普在一场竞选最后几天的收官信息,而这场竞选他似乎很在意,因为他相信自己可能会被弹劾——如果民主党拿下众议院的话。
GH: Yeah, okay, so we should get into that. There’s a clip that I want us to take a look at and then react to. It just happened in the last couple of days, of President Trump commenting on Nicki Minaj’s rear end. Let’s play that. DC: Derriere. GH: [Laughs.] Derriere. [Laughs.] There you go. [Clip plays.] GH: Yeah, this has to be, like, the definition of being off message. Like, definitionally [laughs] off of—DC: I mean, yeah, but this is Trump’s closing message in the final days of a campaign that he seems to care about because he believes he may be impeached if the Democrats take control of the House.
他在外面,谈着屁股,谈着,你知道的,白宫里的那种浮华。他还跟巴拉克·奥巴马起了点小摩擦,因为奥巴马说他对白宫所做的那些事,看起来就像萨达姆·侯赛因经营一家芝士蛋糕工厂会干的事。而他呢,当然,又搬出了种族主义,说索马里裔美国人都是小偷和骗子,没完没了地讲这个。但是,你知道,当他请出妮琪·米娜、让她因为某个身体部位站起来的时候,那你怎么看这件事?
He’s out there, he’s talking about asses, he’s talking about, you know, the glitz in the White House. He’s gotten into a little feud with Barack Obama when Barack Obama said that what he’s done to the White House looks like what Saddam Hussein would do if he was running a Cheesecake Factory. And he, of course, is bringing out racism, saying that Somali Americans are all thieves and crooks, and going on and on and on about that. But, you know, when he brought out Nicki Minaj and made her stand up because of a body part, well, what do you make of that?
GH:是啊,这——我有几点想法。我是说,显然他谈的不只是妮琪·米娜,他还在谈乔恩·赫斯特德,你知道,那是个候选人,我想如果我是赫斯特德,我会有点恼火,因为我与总统共处的时刻真的被变成了[笑]一场展示会。
GH: Yeah, it’s—I have a few thoughts. I mean, obviously he was talking not just about Nicki Minaj, he’s also talking about Jon Husted, who, you know, is a candidate that, you know, I imagine if I were in Husted’s position, I would be a little miffed that my moment with the president is really being turned [laughs] into a show-and-tell.
有趣的是,特朗普政府和右翼利用黑人身体的方式,具体来说,就是把他们拉出来展示,以此证明自己与黑人群体关系密切、身边也有黑人。这种情况在其他几位身上也出现过——我就不点名了——但在妮琪·米娜身上,这简直赤裸裸到让人难以想象黑人选民会当真。眼下正值中期选举冲刺阶段,特朗普政府决定利用一名黑人来吸引黑人选民,这种做法令人反感,简直是该政府标志性种族主义的讽刺画。
And so I guess the kind of interesting thing here is that, you know, the way that the Trump administration, the right wing, has utilized Black bodies specifically in this interesting way of kind of trotting them out in order to demonstrate that they are proximate and they have some Black folks here. You saw this with a few others—I won’t name them—but obviously here with Nicki Minaj, it’s kind of—it’s almost, like, so on the nose that it’s hard to imagine that it can be taken seriously by Black voters. I mean, here we are in the closing moments of this midterm election, and the way that the Trump administration has decided to utilize a Black person in order to, I imagine, appeal to Black voters is offensive, and it’s almost a caricature of the kind of racism that has become emblematic of this administration.
DC:这让我想起2016年特朗普竞选时的情景,他会喊:“嘿,我的黑人朋友在哪?”然后在人群里找一名支持者。而且还是同一个人。我是说,他不像是……[笑]……就像在说:“是的,我也有黑人朋友。”GH:[笑] 是的。DC:这非常明显、透明,我很难相信这能赢得黑人选民的支持。
DC: I mean, it reminds me of what happened in 2016 when Trump was campaigning and he would say, hey, where’s my Black friend? And find, you know, some supporter in the crowd. And it was the same guy. I mean, he wasn’t like [laughs] —it was like, yes, I have Black friends, too. GH: [Laughs.] Yes. DC: It is pretty, pretty evident and transparent, and I find it hard to believe it’s gonna win him over Black voters.
GH:你说得很有意思。2024年我大量报道过黑人共和党人。我们《Mother Jones》YouTube频道有个视频叫《我和黑人共和党人度过了一周》。在某些方面,这种“代表性”观念——仅仅是身处那个房间、靠近权力中心——对某些人来说就足够了。对一些黑人共和党人而言,哪怕被忽视、利益被搁置,光是看到自己也在屋里,就已经足够。
GH: You know, it’s interesting that you say that. You know, I covered Black Republicans a ton in 2024. I have a video on our Mother Jones YouTube channel called I Spent a Week With Black Republicans. And in some ways, this notion of representation, of just kind of being in the room, being proximate to this power—for some people, it’s enough. For some Black Republicans, just seeing themselves kind of in the room, despite being disregarded, despite the interests being kind of cast aside, it is enough.
如果我不说有些黑人选民对民主党也有这种感觉,也就是认为代表性其实并不够,那我就失职了。所以,随着我们在接下来几天看到这次选举的结果,我很好奇,尤其是黑人选民,是否会把可能任命妮琪·米娜担任新闻秘书这件事当作足够的理由,把票投给各地的候选人。
And I would be remiss if I didn’t say that some Black voters feel this way about, you know, Democrats in a way, that representation isn’t really enough. And so what I’m kind of curious, as we kind of see the results of this election over the next few days, I’m really curious if Black voters particularly will take the bait of a potential Nicki Minaj press secretary as enough to give their vote to candidates across, you know, across the map.
DC:是的,我觉得他们放出妮琪·米娜(笑)将担任新闻秘书的试探气球,只是在挑逗。你知道,(笑)我不确定她这些天脑子里在想什么,但也许她还有足够的理智不去接那份工作。
DC: Yeah, I think they’re just trolling when they put out the trial balloon that Nicki Minaj [laughs] will be press secretary. I, you know, [laughs] I’m not sure where her head is at these days, but maybe she has enough sense not to take that job.
GH:是的,她不该接那份工作,Barbz(妮琪·米娜的粉丝)也不该上钩。好了,我们大概应该把视野拉远,放眼全球。我不是——你知道,我们显然在这里想的是美国的中期选举,但大卫,世界各地真的都在举行选举,社交媒体对来自巴西、塞尔维亚等地的一些结果议论纷纷。我们看到某种青年革命似乎在全世界发生,我想知道我们能否从全球视角来理解这一刻,大卫。
GH: Yeah, she shouldn’t take the job, and the Barbz shouldn’t take the bait. Okay, we should probably zoom out and go global here. I’m not—you know, we’re obviously thinking about the midterms here in America, but there are elections, David, taking place really all across the world, and social media has been abuzz over some of the results that have come in from places like Brazil, from Serbia. We’re seeing youth revolution kind of happening across the world, and I’m wondering if we can kind of make sense of this moment from a global perspective, David.
DC:嗯,就在本周,我们看到巴西的卢拉击败了弗拉维奥·博索纳罗,他是前总统的儿子,而这位前总统因策划(笑)针对巴西政府的政变而被软禁。在塞尔维亚,反对派也取得了出人意料的胜利,基本上把亚历山大·武契奇赶下了台,他14年来一直是塞尔维亚政坛的主导人物。他多少算是个保守的民族主义民粹主义者,参与了各种腐败勾当,至少是被指控如此。
DC: Well, we saw just this week in Brazil, Lula defeat Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of the former president, who’s under house arrest for plotting a coup [laughs] against the Brazilian government. And we’ve also had in Serbia a surprising victory for the opposition that basically tossed out Aleksandar Vučić, who’s been the dominant figure in Serbian politics for 14 years. He’s a more or less conservative nationalist populist who’s been engaged in all sorts of corrupt schemes, at least accusations of that.
将这两次选举联系在一起的是特朗普参与了这两次选举。两位落败的候选人——巴西的博尔索纳罗和塞尔维亚的武契奇——都紧紧捆绑唐纳德·特朗普。而且,你们知道,这里的“让美国再次伟大”人士也去了塞尔维亚,去了巴西。小唐纳德·特朗普与博尔索纳罗的儿子关系非常密切。这一切最终都崩塌了。
And what sort of ties both of these elections together is that Trump was involved in both elections. Both of the losing candidates—Bolsonaro in Brazil and Vučić in Serbia—wrapped themselves around Donald Trump. And, you know, the MAGA people here, too, went to Serbia, they went to Brazil. Donald Trump Jr. had a very close relationship with Bolsonaro’s son. And it all kind of fell apart.
我们看到,特别是在塞尔维亚,腐败问题是一个非常、非常重大的问题。这算是一种趋势。我们在匈牙利的欧尔班身上也看到了这种情况,他执政了16年——同样是另一个想效仿特朗普的人——让他垮台的也是腐败指控。所以我们在塞尔维亚和匈牙利看到,试图效仿并搭特朗普顺风车的威权人物被赶下了台,而在巴西,我们看到的——或者说在南美洲,我们看到右翼浪潮——在巴西,这股浪潮被遏制住了。
And we see, particularly in Serbia, the issue of corruption was a very, very big deal. And this is kind of a trend. We saw this happening with Viktor Orbán in Hungary, who had been there for 16 years—again, another Trump wannabe—and what brought him down were charges of corruption, too. So we see in Serbia and Hungary authoritarian figures who try to emulate and ride the Trump wave being tossed out of office, and in Brazil, where we’ve seen—or I could say in South America, where we’ve seen a right-wing tide—well, in Brazil, they beat it back.
GH:是的,这很有意思。我是说,我想有点、有点挑一挑美国人的几个假设。一个是这种观念,即我们存在于此处的一座孤岛上,我们做我们的事,我们是世界的中心。所以这里显然存在联系,这些全球各地的领导层变动在某种程度上与美国发生的事情有关。
GH: Yeah, it’s interesting. I mean, I wanna kind of, like, kind of pick at a couple of American assumptions. One is this kind of idea that we exist out here on an island, we do our thing, we are the center of the world. And so there is a connection here, obviously, like, these, you know, changes in leadership across the world are kind of related in some way to what’s happening here in America.
但这也挺有意思的——我是说,我们在2024年看到了这一点。2024年出现了一股巨大的反现任者浪潮。显然,这影响了拜登-哈里斯这对某种程度上属于现任者的竞选组合,但我们也在全球其他地方看到了这一点。所以我很好奇,这是否只是这样一个时刻,威权主义、腐败遭到拒绝——我们在全球范围内看到对这些的拒绝——而这会不会与美国发生的事情联系起来,不仅关乎中期选举,也许还关乎我们未来的走向。
But it’s also kind of interesting—I mean, we saw this in 2024. There was this big anti-incumbent wave in 2024. Obviously, that affected the somewhat incumbent Biden-Harris campaign administration, but then we also saw that in places, again, across the world. And so I’m curious if this is just one of those moments where, you know, authoritarianism, corruption are being rejected—we’re seeing kind of a rejection of that around the world—and if that’s gonna be connected to what happens here in America, not just here in the midterms, but maybe as we go forward.
DC:我们确实看到欧洲出现了一股浪潮,右翼民粹主义政党势头正劲,这种趋势还将持续。未来一年左右,一些欧洲国家将举行选举。我认为有趣的是,如果你特别看看匈牙利和塞尔维亚,这两个国家实行威权统治已超过十多年,终于有人在说“够了”,而腐败似乎成了矛头所指。而且我认为这是个好消息,这些威权领导人退出了舞台,他们接受了选民的意愿,当然,特朗普在2020年没有这么做。
DC: Well, we do see in Europe a tide, momentum for right-wing populist parties, and that’s gonna continue. There’s gonna be elections in the next year or so in some European nations. To me, what’s interesting here is if you look at particularly Hungary and Serbia, where we’ve had authoritarian rule for over a dozen years in each country, finally people are saying enough of that, and corruption seems to be the point of the spear there. And we also—I think it’s good news that these authoritarian leaders have bowed out. They’ve accepted the will of the electorate, which, of course, Trump didn’t do in 2020. [Laughs.] And who knows what’s gonna happen in 2026 after the midterms.
[笑] 谁知道2026年中期选举后会发生什么。所以民主最近取得了几场胜利,我们要看看这对我们这里意味着什么。
So democracy had a couple good wins recently, and we’re gonna see what that means for us here.
GH:是啊,显然这其中一个非常重要的因素是——你知道,巴西有1000万人在一个WhatsApp群组里支持卢拉。我的意思是,这些地方巨大的选民投票率才真正让这些候选人跨过了终点线。所以,显然人们必须出来投票,对吧?那么,把注意力转回美国国内,我们对这些中期选举目前的投票率有什么了解吗?
GH: Yeah, I mean, and obviously a really big element to that—you know, 10 million folks in a WhatsApp group in Brazil to support Lula. I mean, huge voter turnout in these places are what really carried these candidates over the line. And so, you know, obviously people have to turn out, right? And do we have a sense here in America, kind of turning our attention back here at home, do we have a sense of voter turnout in these midterm elections so far?
DC:是的,投票率非常高,在许多存在关键参议院角逐的州,投票率已超过以往水平,例如得克萨斯州。当然,你可以猜测推测,也可以观察:这些是更倾向民主党的选民还是更倾向共和党的选民?在得克萨斯州,目前似乎是民主党人在提前投票中投票更多。这是否意味着什么,还是说共和党人会等到投票日当天再投票?
DC: Yeah, turnout has been really very big and has exceeded previous levels in a lot of key states where there are critical Senate battles, for instance, in Texas. Now, you know, you can guess and speculate, and you can look at: Are these more Democratic-leaning voters or Republican-leaning voters? And in Texas, for instance, it seems to be that Democrats are voting more at this point in early voting than Republicans. Does that mean something, or are Republicans gonna wait to vote the day of?
我的意思是,归根结底,我们很快就会知道事态如何发展,所以我要提醒大家不要从中得出太多推测或假设,但是,你知道,民主党人目前至少有理由不感到不快[笑]。所以我们要看看投票率的情况。
I mean, the bottom line is we’re gonna know soon enough how things play out, so I would caution against drawing too many speculations or assumptions from this, but, you know, Democrats have reason to at least not be unhappy [laughs] at this point in time. So we’ll see on the turnout.
而且我们也看到,至少在最近的一项福克斯民调中,选民将腐败列为头号议题。通常这对执政党来说是坏消息。大多数人认为执政党是腐败的。但也要记住,很多共和党人认为民主党人腐败。因此,这些民调中的共和党受访者也可能说腐败是他们关注的关键议题。但无论如何,目前一切都指向对民主党有利的方向,事后我们将看到这些民调和早期投票数字是否被准确解读。
And we also, you know, we see that in at least one Fox poll recently, voters picked corruption as the No. 1 issue. Usually that’s gonna be bad news for the incumbent party. That’s who most people think of as corrupt. But also remember, a lot of Republicans believe Democrats are corrupt. And so, you know, Republican respondents to these polls may say corruption is a key issue for them, too. But in any event, everything right now is pointing in the Democrats’ direction, and we’ll see afterwards if the polling and these early voting numbers are being read accurately.
GH:是的,大卫,我想认真对待你的提醒,但我要稍微有点不同意见,因为我们看到黑人选民投票率在南方多地激增——路易斯安那州,显然是围绕黑人选民压制、黑人政治权力等许多讨论的中心,今年夏天最高法院的“路易斯安那州诉卡莱案”判决。因此路易斯安那州的黑人选民大批涌向投票站。在很多方面,人们将其解读为——再次理解并接受了谨慎态度,不应过度解读——但人们认为这确实是对一些人认为共和党在重划选区和杰利蝾螈划区方面玩的肮脏伎俩的强烈反弹,这在其自身方式上——虽然不完全等同于腐败,但它是一种选举腐败形式,我认为黑人选民特别看到了这一点,这也是为什么这么多黑人选民现身投票站。
GH: Yeah, and it’s worth saying, David, I wanna take your caution seriously, but I’m gonna kind of differ a little bit, because we are seeing a surge in Black voter turnout in places across the South—Louisiana, which is obviously at the center of a lot of these discussions around Black voter suppression, Black political power, you know, the Louisiana v. Callais decision this summer from the Supreme Court. And so Black folks in Louisiana are surging to the polls. In many ways, folks are reading that—again, caution understood and heard and taken not to read too much into it—but people are reading into that that there is a real backlash to some of the kind of dirty tricks that people perceive Republicans to be doing around redistricting and gerrymandering, which is also kind of in its own way—it’s not exactly connected to corruption, but it is a kind of form of, like, electoral corruption that I think Black voters particularly are seeing, and which is why so many Black voters are showing up to the polls.
DC:我还要补充一点。我认为,当一场选举让选民产生使命感、目标感时,这种感受越强烈,对那一方就越有利。而且,你知道,我认为很多共和党人——不是那些铁杆的MAGA支持者,而是那些仍然愿意投票给共和党的共和党人——你知道,他们对特朗普感到失望,不像从前那样热衷支持他了,独立选民肯定也是如此。而投票给民主党候选人的选民,尤其是其中一些比较有魅力的候选人,即使是那些选情艰难的候选人,我认为他们感到更有干劲,这可能会带来天壤之别。
DC: And I’ll add one thing, too. I think when you have an election where voters feel a sense of mission, purpose, the stronger that is, it’s gonna work out better for that side. And, you know, I think a lot of Republicans—not the die-hard MAGA people, but Republicans who still like to vote for Republicans—you know, are disappointed in Trump, are not as keen about him as they once were, and that’s certainly true with independent voters, while people who are voting for Democratic candidates, particularly some of the more charismatic ones, even the ones who have an uphill battle, I think they feel more energized, and that can make all the difference.
但还有另一场海外的选举,我们或许现在也该稍加关注,那就是以色列选举。在我们谈话之际,最终结果尚未出炉,要理清谁在以色列议会——也就是国会——获得了多少席位、谁能组建多数派政府,都需要时间。这可能要花几周时间才能确定。但这次选举在某种程度上也是对特朗普的一场公投。我的意思是,你会看到比比·内塔尼亚胡搂着唐纳德·特朗普的广告,他正以特朗普支持的候选人身份参选。那么这招会管用吗?
But there’s another, you know, election overseas that we probably should pay a little attention to now, and that is the Israeli election. The final results are not in as we’re talking, and it will take time to sort out who got what seats in the Knesset there, the parliament, and who can form a majority government. That may take weeks to determine. But this election, too, is somewhat a referendum on Trump. I mean, you see ads with Bibi Netanyahu with his arm around Donald Trump, and he’s running as the Trump-endorsed candidate. And so is that gonna work?
GH:这正是我心中的疑问。我的意思是,这在我看来说不通。我对以色列的政治运作方式没有那么深入的了解,但唐纳德·特朗普在美国历来极不受欢迎。我的意思是,我记得看过一些数据,他的支持率大概只有35%左右,这真的是非常非常低。那么这种策略对美国的以色列裔选民有吸引力吗?还是说,像本杰明·内塔尼亚胡这样的候选人选择与一个在美国如此不得人心的人扯上关系,吸引力何在?
GH: That’s the question I have. I mean, this doesn’t make sense to me. I’m not as tapped in on kind of the way that politics run in Israel, but Donald Trump is historically unpopular here in America. I mean, I think I saw something at, like, he’s polling at maybe 35 percent approval rating, which is, like, really, really incredibly low. And so is the appeal to the kind of American Israeli voter, or what’s the appeal for a candidate like Benjamin Netanyahu choosing to associate himself with someone who is so deeply unpopular here in America?
DC:以色列政治中的一个基本主题,尤其是在全国性竞选中,就是候选人与美国合作的能力。你知道,我们向以色列提供数十亿美元的援助和大量军事支持,所以他们相信,这种关系对以色列的生存至关重要。所以比比·内塔尼亚胡在这里遵循的是一套非常传统的剧本,也就是说,我和美国有关系。我和唐纳德·特朗普是亲密好友,所以你选我,这种关系就会继续。
DC: One of the basic themes in all of Israeli politics, particularly in national races, is the candidate’s ability to work with the United States. You know, we give billions of dollars of aid to Israel and a lot of military support, so that relationship is all-important, they believe, to Israel’s survival. So Bibi Netanyahu is going by a very conventional playbook here, which is to say, I have the relationship with America. I have this bosom-buddy tie with Donald Trump, so you elect me and that will continue.
现在,他面临着很多反对,而反对不一定来自左翼。许多中间派和右翼人士认为他应对10月7日发生的事情负责,因为他未能阻止那件事发生,而且他们不喜欢这场战争的进行方式——并不是说他们反战,而是他们对战争的执行方式提出了质疑。事实上,他的主要对手是以色列军方的前参谋长,这位前参谋长并不反战,但他希望追究内塔尼亚胡对导致战争的原因以及战争处理方式的责任。
Now, there’s a lot of opposition to him, and it’s not necessarily from the left. A lot of people in the center and the right hold him responsible for what happened on October 7, for not preventing that, and they don’t like the way the war has been run—not that they’re antiwar, but they raise questions about how it’s been prosecuted. And in fact, his chief opponent is a former chief of staff for the Israeli military, who’s not antiwar, but wants to hold Netanyahu accountable for what led to the war and how the war has been handled.
所以,你知道,我认为这真的是一个非常复杂的情况,但它将显示出在当今以色列,紧抱特朗普这棵大树能在多大程度上奏效。
So it’s really a very, you know, I think complicated situation, but it will show to what degree hanging on to Trump, you know, whether that can succeed or not in Israel these days.
GH:来自近东的消息很复杂。谁能想得到呢?好吧,我想把话题拉回国内。[笑。] 我想回到我们美国摇摆州看到的一些宣传信息。这个应该会有点意思,戴维。我想看看大家在国内投放的一些广告。那我们就来看看这些竞选广告吧。
GH: A story out of the Near East is complicated. Who would have thunk it? Okay, I wanna get back to home. [Laughs.] I wanna come back here to some of the messaging that we’re seeing in battleground states here in America. This one should be a little fun, David. I wanna look at some of the ads that folks have been running here at home. So let’s get into some of these campaign ads.
DC:是啊,你知道,有些广告让人厌烦,有些缺乏想象力,到处都在泼脏水,很多都包含虚假指控。但是,你知道,这里有一个引起我注意的,也许是因为它几乎算得上是一项调查性新闻的作为。我说的是由塔拉里科竞选团队在得克萨斯州发布的一则广告。詹姆斯·塔拉里科正在对阵肯·帕克斯顿,一个非常腐败的——我想我们可以说是腐败,甚至不用加“涉嫌”二字——共和党人,他曾被弹劾但未被定罪,且面临各种指控。
DC: Yeah, you know, some are irritating, some are unimaginative, there’s a lot of mud being thrown, a lot have false claims. But, you know, here’s one that caught my eye, maybe because it almost is a act of investigative journalism. I’m talking about an ad that was put out by the Talarico campaign out in Texas. James Talarico is running against Ken Paxton, a very corrupt—I think we can say that, not even allegedly corrupt—Republican who was impeached and not convicted and has all sorts of accusations against him.
但在这则广告中,塔拉里科把矛头指向了另一位住在得克萨斯州的人。我们来看一下。[播放片段。] GH:相当不错。
But in this ad, Talarico takes aim at another person who lives in Texas. Let’s take a look. [Clip plays.] GH: Pretty good.
DC:是啊,他们做了我们在《琼斯母亲》有时会做的事:你顺藤摸瓜查资金流向,就会看到这些名字听起来无害的超级政治行动委员会——你知道的,自由超级政治行动委员会、自由超级政治行动委员会、我们喜欢的一切的超级政治行动委员会,[笑]——它们全都指向同一个人,埃隆·马斯克,据我所知,他光是为得克萨斯州的参议院竞选就已承诺捐款 1.58 亿美元——我想现在这个数字更高了。
DC: Yeah, they did what [laughs] we do at Mother Jones sometimes: You follow the money, and you see all these, you know, innocuously named super PACs—you know, super PAC for freedom, super PAC for liberty, super PAC for everything that we like, [laughs] you know—and they all come back to the same guy, Elon Musk, who, last time I saw, had committed $158 million—I think the number is higher by this point—just to the Senate race in Texas.
他基本上是在让肯尼斯·帕克斯顿续命,我们从未见过为单一竞选捐赠如此巨额资金的情况。这简直就是在买断一名政客,或许能买到美国参议院的一张决定性选票。所以我认为揭露这一点是对抗的办法,因为无论塔拉里科筹集了多少资金,他没有像埃隆·马斯克这样的“金主爸爸”。
He is basically keeping Kenneth Paxton alive, and we’ve never seen a donation of this amount for a single race. This is literally buying a politician, maybe a deciding vote in the US Senate. So I think highlighting that is the way to counter it, because as much money as Talarico has raised, he doesn’t have a sugar daddy like Elon Musk.
GH:[笑] 非常有效。我喜欢所有那些深沉的冲击音效,轰、轰——那些也非常有效。好的,我想看一则密歇根州的广告。[播放片段。] GH:也非常有效。
GH: [Laughs.] Very effective. I loved all of, like, the deep impact sound, like, boom, boom—like, those are very effective as well. All right, I wanna look at an ad in Michigan. [Clip plays.] GH: Also very effective.
DC:是啊,我是说,这广告很温暖,很有人情味。而且,你知道,对埃尔-赛义德的一个批评是,他有时显得有点鲁莽,也许有点傲慢。他非常强硬、犀利,这也管用,但这则广告嘛,是软化形象的。它有大量幽默感,我认为这在政治广告里总是有效的。而且它也是针对老年人的,如果你注意到了的话:“你们骗不了我们老年人”,对吧?所以我认为它在政治广告想要达到的各方面都得分很高。
DC: Yeah, I mean, it’s warm, it’s human. And, you know, one criticism against El-Sayed is that sometimes he comes off a little brash, maybe arrogant, you know. He’s very strong and fierce, and that works as well, but this is, you know, it’s a softening ad. It has a great amount of humor, which I think is always effective in a political ad. And it’s also targeted to seniors, if you catch that: You can’t fool us seniors, right? So I think it scores high on all the things you want to do with a political ad.
GH:我认为值得更进一步分析:不只是老年人,而是白人老年人,一个非常具体的老年人群体,他们在争取这部分人。你知道,我觉得这有点——有点像是出自奥巴马的竞选策略手册,对吧?你面临这种奇怪的文化、种族动态,必须克服它才能获胜。对于奥巴马总统来说,那就是他是一位恰好是黑人的政治家,对吧?他是个非常合格、形象很好的人,恰好是黑人。
GH: And I think it’s worth taking it to the next level: not just seniors, but, you know, white seniors, a very specific kind of senior demographic that they’re appealing to. You know, I think this is kind of out of—a bit out of the Obama playbook, right? You have this kind of weird cultural, racial dynamic that you have to overcome in order to win. You know, for President Obama, it was that, you know, he is a politician who happens to be Black, right? He’s this very qualified, well-put-together person who happens to be Black.
我认为在很多方面,候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德试图做的基本上是在说:嘿,我合格、有趣,具备所有这些优点,我能为你们办事,我只是恰好是穆斯林,而且我家里有人是长老会教徒,对吧?所以几乎是在利用这种代理,利用这一点来绕过美国选民中那些根深蒂固的模式,特别是围绕种族和宗教的模式。
And I think in many ways what the candidate, Abdul El-Sayed, is trying to do is basically saying, like, hey, I am qualified and interesting and all of these things, and I’ll get things done for you, and I just happen to be Muslim, and I have people in my family who are Presbyterian, right? And so almost using the proxy, you know, using that as a way to kind of get around some of those well-worn patterns in the American electorate, particularly around race and religion.
DC:嗯,你知道,在最后几天里,他们向他抛出了大量伊斯兰恐惧症和种族主义攻击。你知道,泰德·克鲁兹说,我知道他是穆斯林兄弟会成员。可他不是。所以有很多恐吓战术被用在他身上。所以这基本上是在说,嘿,[笑] 像你一样,我也有白人祖父母,[笑] 你知道,我显然不是恐怖分子,这些人会养大一个穆斯林兄弟会的恐怖分子吗?
DC: Well, you know, in the final days here, they’re throwing a lot of Islamophobia and racism at him. You know, Ted Cruz says, I know he’s in the Muslim Brotherhood. Well, he’s not. So there are a lot of scare tactics being thrown at him. So this is basically saying, hey, [laughs] like you, I have white grandparents, [laughs] you know, and I’m obviously not a terrorist, and would these people, you know, raise a kid who’s a terrorist in the Muslim Brotherhood?
所以,你知道,这也是在针对这一点,我认为这可能是尽可能有效的了。而他的当选,实际上是一个穆斯林在面对来自唐纳德·特朗普和共和党其他所有人的伊斯兰恐惧症和种族主义时参选的一个测试案例。
So, you know, it’s really aiming at that as well, and I think probably as effective as it can be. And his election is really a test case for a Muslim running against this Islamophobia and racism that’s coming from Donald Trump and everybody else in the Republican Party.
GH:是啊,尤其是在国家中部。好吧,我们要回到沿海地区了,大卫。还有一个广告我们想看看。
GH: Yeah, especially in the middle of the country. Okay, we should go back out to the coasts here, David. There’s one more ad that we wanna take a look at.
DC:是啊,我不知道怎么介绍这个。[笑] 就只说让大家知道,这是为史蒂夫·希尔顿的竞选活动制作的,他是加利福尼亚州州长选举的共和党候选人,没多大机会,我不确定这个广告会不会有帮助。咱们看看。[播放片段。] GH:真怪。真怪。真怪。我不喜欢。我一点都不喜欢。
DC: Yeah, I don’t know how to introduce this one. [Laughs.] Let’s just say, let people know it was produced for the campaign of Steve Hilton, who’s a Republican running for governor in California, doesn’t have much of a chance, and I’m not sure this ad is going to help. Let’s see it. [Clip plays.] GH: It’s weird. It’s weird. It’s weird. I don’t like it. I don’t like it at all.
DC:诡异,诡异,真怪。[笑] 我是说,我想我们可以这么说:他们[笑] 让投票给共和党看起来像第一次尝试女同性恋性行为?GH:真怪。
DC: Creepy, creepy, weird. [Laughs.] I mean, they’re—I mean, I think we can say this: They’re [laughs] making voting for a Republican look like trying lesbian sex for the first time? GH: Weird.
DC:我是说,我不知道这个广告[笑] 是针对谁的。而且,你知道,我们看到的所有这些广告有一个共同点:它们在发布前都有很多人看过。有人写剧本,有人制作,候选人通常会看,其他人也会看。你知道,怎么能通过所有那些层层审查,大家还一直说,是啊,是啊,这是个好主意?
DC: I mean, I don’t know who this ad is [laughs] being aimed at. And, you know, the thing about all these ads we see: They’re watched by a lot of people before they go out. People write the scripts, people make them, the candidate usually looks at them, other people see this. You know, how could that get through all those levels of inspection, and people kept saying, yeah, yeah, this is a good idea?
GH:是啊,我知道。有时我会想,这些东西究竟是为了说服选民而设计的,还是为了让人们议论纷纷,也许这才是目的,也许在这里正奏效。但对我来说这一切都太怪了,也没有吸引力,我想象,对普通酷儿选民来说也是如此,虽然我无法代表他们发声,但对我来说就是——一切都有点奇怪。好了,我想让我们继续往前聊,大卫。DC:是啊,离开那个话题,离开那个话题。
GH: Yeah, I know. Sometimes I wonder if this stuff is even designed to do the work of persuasion as much as it’s designed to get folks to talk about it, which maybe is the point, and maybe it’s working here. But it’s all so weird to me, and it doesn’t appeal, you know, I imagine, to the average queer voter, who I can’t speak for, but it’s just—it’s all a little strange to me. Okay, I wanna keep us moving forward, David. DC: Yeah, away from that, away from that.
GH:我只想尽快摆脱那个话题。可能还有很多可说的,我只是想赶紧翻篇。说到[laughs] 令人毛骨悚然的事,我想谈谈有人所谓的“机器人接管”。这在某些方面感觉像是一场“烂尾选举”,对吧?这感觉像是一场“AI选举”。显然,你们有支持AI和数据中心的候选人,我们稍微聊过一点,但你们也有生成式AI在这次选举中疯狂应用,特别是在广告方面。
GH: I just wanna get away from that as quickly as possible. There’s probably so much more to say, I’m just ready to go. Speaking of [laughs] creepy, I wanna touch on what some might call the robot takeover. This feels like the slop election in some ways, right? This feels like the AI election. Obviously, you have AI and pro–data center kind of candidates that we’ve talked about a little bit, but you also have the use of generative AI going crazy in this election, and particularly around ads.
DC:是啊,有数百条广告在未告知的情况下使用了AI。你知道,他们试图制造——在这条我们正在看的广告里,宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗在销毁文件,做各种与数据中心有关的事,我是说,从制作角度看相当精良。他们把他和爱泼斯坦案联系起来。还有其他广告展示候选人与希拉里·克林顿同行、拥抱,而这些并非真实影像。
DC: Yeah, there have been hundreds of ads using AI without telling us they’re AI. You know, they’re trying to make—in this one ad we’re looking at Josh Shapiro, governor of Pennsylvania, shredding documents and doing all things about data centers, and, I mean, it’s pretty well done production-wise. They’re connecting him to the Epstein case. There are other ads where they show candidates walking with Hillary Clinton, hugging her, when these are not real footage.
而且,你知道,你能看出来,我觉得你大概能看出那是AI生成的,但他们并不承认这一点。而我们将会看到——这场竞选中我们已经看到了很多,未来只会看到越来越多。我不知道解决办法是什么,是否需要一定程度的立法,至少要有某种告知。我是说,你必须说明广告由谁出资、由谁资助。如果广告来自竞选团队,你得说“我批准这则广告”。
And, you know, you can tell, I think you can kind of tell it’s AI, but they’re not confessing to that. And we’re gonna see—we’ve seen a lot of it this campaign, we’re gonna see more and more of that. And I don’t know what the solution is, if there needs to be some degree of legislation, at least some kind of notice. I mean, you have to say who an ad is paid by, paid for. You gotta say, I approve this ad, if it comes from a campaign.
我们对广告确实有一些限制,所以在我看来,到了某个时候,你可能得说明“这不是真实的”。而且,你知道,我们刚才看到的那些东西有点好笑,大多数人大概会认为那不是真的,但你可以制作非常、非常逼真的内容,让候选人看起来很糟糕,而不承认那是完全由生成式AI创作的。
We do have limitations on ads, and so it seems to me you might have to, you know, at some point say this is not real. And, you know, some of that stuff that we just saw was kind of funny, and most people would probably assume it’s not real, but you could do stuff that’s very, very realistic and make a candidate look very bad without fessing up that it was totally created by generative AI.
GH:是啊,是啊。我不——你知道,平台确实在一定程度上承担了给AI内容打标签的责任,所以你可能会在Meta旗下产品如Facebook或Instagram,或者其他一些产品上看到标签。但感觉联邦政府的做法——政府官员和寻求当选者使用这项技术的方式,让人觉得我们需要立法。我脑子里没有具体的立法方案,但就是感觉这里有个空白,你大概不能指望这些平台来填补。所以,你知道,那会变成什么样谁也说不准,也许那是选民该决定的事。
GH: Yeah, yeah. I don’t—you know, there’s certainly a degree to which platforms have been kind of carrying the responsibility of labeling things that are AI, and so you might have a label on a Meta product like Facebook or Instagram or some other, you know, product. But it does feel like the way that the federal government [laughs] —the way that government officials and those seeking elected office are using this, it feels like we need some legislation. I don’t have the legislation in mind, but it just feels like there’s a gap here that you probably can’t rely on these platforms to fill. And so, you know, who knows what that will look like, and maybe that’s something for voters to decide.
但我有点好奇,想再谈一点关于AI的事。特朗普白宫大量使用了AI,大卫。DC:是啊,哦,是啊。
But I am kind of curious to touch on—I wanna touch on one more thing around AI. The Trump White House has used AI a ton, David. DC: Yeah, oh yeah.
GH:大量。我是说,自从唐纳德·特朗普上任以来,一直在持续不断地用。所以这个周末他们又发布了一件挺有意思的作品。也许我们该播放一下。[播放片段。] DC:好的,你想解释一下吗?
GH: A ton. I mean, like, constantly over the last however long Donald Trump has been office—in office. And so this past weekend they put out another piece that was interesting. Maybe we should play it. [Clip plays.] DC: Okay, you want to explain that?
GH:对,好,那么这个可以说是一种梗——这大概是,我猜,是基于、源自,我甚至不知道——用AI的话该怎么说才对?但它是基于查理·威尔逊的Tiny Desk演唱会。就是那首,你知道的,Gap Band的《Outstanding》——致敬,绝对是我最喜欢的歌之一。每场活动都放,我一听就跳舞,每次都在舞池里。
GH: Yeah, so, okay, so this is a kind of a meme coming—this was maybe, I guess, based on, derived from, I don’t even—what’s the right terminology with AI? But it’s based on Charlie Wilson’s Tiny Desk concert. That’s, you know, “Outstanding” by the Gap Band—shout-out, easily one of my favorite songs. Play it at every single function, I’m dancing, I’m on the dance floor every time.
好,话虽如此,你知道,这个梗有点像被用来庆祝球队,把,你知道,篮球队、橄榄球队和教练们放进这种有趣、好玩的情境里。我觉得白宫是想用这个来让民主党人难堪,说他们离谱、脱离现实。但有意思的是,这是一首很棒的歌。我喜欢这首歌。我喜欢这首歌。所以为什么——这对我来说一点也不负面。
Okay, all that said, you know, this meme kind of was used as a way to kind of celebrate teams and put, you know, basketball teams and football teams and coaches in this kind of interesting, fun environment. And I think the White House is trying to use this to embarrass Democrats and say that they’re outrageous and out of touch. But the interesting thing is that this is an amazing song. I love this song. I love this song. So why—it’s not negative to me.
DC:我是说,对,我不明白这传达的是什么信息——对,这有什么贬损的?现在,他们把哈基姆·杰弗里斯和查克·舒默放进了墨西哥宽边帽里,你知道,有些人认为这是种族主义做法,但他们是在表明所有民主党人都喜欢一首好歌吗?我是说,再说一次,这又回到我从一开始就谈到的总体观点:我看不出这届白宫做了什么来说服一个可能被说服的选民去投共和党候选人,你知道,如果那个人还没拿定主意的话。
DC: I mean, yeah, I don’t get what the message—yeah, what’s derogatory about this? Now, they put Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer in sombreros, which, you know, some people consider a racist move, but are they showing that all Democrats like a good song? I mean, again, this gets back to my overarching point, which I talked about at the beginning: I don’t see this White House doing anything to persuade a persuadable voter to vote for a Republican candidate, you know, if that person hasn’t yet made up their mind.
谁会看了这个然后说,哦,我现在不能投詹姆斯·塔拉里科了?GH:对,没错。(笑)没错。
Who’s gonna watch this and go, oh, I can’t vote for James Talarico now? GH: Yeah, exactly. [Laughs.] Exactly.
DC:对吧?你知道,看了这个视频,我不能投,你知道,阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德了。所以我不明白。我不理解他们在做什么,除了纯粹在网上挑事和乱发帖。我是说,我觉得民主党人应该高兴,这就是他们在投入时间、精力和资源去做的事。
DC: Right? You know, I can’t vote for, you know, Abdul El-Sayed after seeing this video. So I don’t get it. I don’t understand what they’re doing other than just trolling and shitposting. I mean, I think Democrats should be happy that this is what they’re devoting their time, energy, and resources to.
GH:是啊,你知道,我觉得这个梗是说视频里的人,所谓“过气”了。他们有点过了巅峰期,巅峰已过。但你知道吗?为查理·威尔逊点赞。我看他的Tiny Desk演出时,我就想,这家伙还在——他还在做。那首歌很带劲,Tiny Desk的演出太棒了。这不是NPR的宣传,[笑]但我觉得太——我觉得很奇怪。而且这也涉及到,我是说,不是要把一切都搞成种族分析,但感觉是,查理·威尔逊和Gap Band以及这首特别的歌,这是一首神曲、一首经典——这怎么能成为过气、巅峰已过的象征呢,当这是一首如此永恒的经典?
GH: Yeah, you know, I think the meme is that the people in the video are, quote-unquote, washed. They are kind of outside of their prime, past their prime. But you know what? Shout-out to Charlie Wilson. When I watched his Tiny Desk, I was like, this guy still—he is still doing it. The song hits, and the Tiny Desk was incredible. This isn’t NPR promo, [laughs] but I thought it was so—I thought it was strange. And it also kind of gets to, I mean, not to make everything, you know, a little bit of a racial analysis here, but it feels like, how is it that Charlie Wilson and the Gap Band and this particular song, which is a banger, a classic—how could this be emblematic of being washed up and outside of your prime when this is such a timeless classic?
好吧,这是——DC:我是说,等等,等一下,等一下。关于这个我还有一件事要说。GH:请讲,请讲。DC:“Y.M.C.A.”GH:好吧,好吧。DC:我是说,如果那是你的主题曲——GH:说得好。
Okay, this is—DC: I mean, wait, wait a second, wait a second. I have one more thing to say about that. GH: Please, please. DC: “Y.M.C.A.”GH: Okay, all right. DC: I mean, if that’s your theme song—GH: That’s a good point.
DC:——你就没有立场,你知道,取笑这个。我是说,说到过气的歌、过气的人,是啊。GH:得了吧,乡村人民?[笑] DC:而且还完全搞错了,因为那是一首同性恋颂歌。所以尽管如此,我是说,白宫,特朗普的白宫,是最不该取笑任何人音乐选择的地方。
DC: —you have no basis, you know, making fun of this. I mean, talk about a washed-up song, washed-up people, yeah. GH: Come on, the Village People? [Laughs.] DC: But also getting it exactly wrong, since it was a gay anthem. So nevertheless, I mean, the White House, the Trump White House, is the last place that should be making fun of anybody’s musical choices.
GH:就是这样。语无伦次就是这里的招牌。好吧,我们该走了。[笑]我们该收尾了。一如既往——DC:好吧,那你要告诉我——你要告诉我,在被那首歌放松之后,是什么让你压力大。
GH: There it is. Incoherent is the name of the game. Okay, we should get out of here. [Laughs.] We should wrap up. As always—DC: Okay, so you’re gonna tell me—you’re gonna tell me, after being chilled out by that song, what’s stressing you out.
GH:那——那正是我要说的,大卫。你完全知道我们要去哪:是什么让你压力大?大卫,你想让我先开始吗?你想让我给你一点时间,在听完Gap Band的《Outstanding》之后回到你压力大的状态吗?DC:[笑]是啊,是啊,是啊,是啊。你跟着感觉走吧。
GH: That’s—that’s exactly where I’m going, David. You know exactly where we’re going: What’s stressing you out? David, do you want me to start? Do you want me to give you a little time to kind of get back to your stressful place after listening to “Outstanding” by the Gap Band? DC: [Laughs.] Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. You go with the vibe.
GH:是的,我来,我接着聊。让我告诉你什么让我压力山大。你知道,到了这个地步,选举就是那个样子。我们会继续在《Mother Jones》做好我们的报道,但我正慢慢试着从那里抽身出来。我逃避现实的小出口是 WNBA 总决赛。我的球队亚特兰大梦想队杀进了 WNBA 总决赛。她们打得太棒了——向安吉尔·里斯致敬——但有个小插曲。
GH: Yeah, I’ll go, I’ll keep it rolling. Let me tell you what’s stressing me out. You know, at this point, the elections are what they are. We’re gonna keep our great reporting here at Mother Jones going, but I am slowly trying to withdraw from that. And my little escape from reality has been the WNBA Finals. My team, the Atlanta Dream, have reached the WNBA Finals. They’re playing amazing—shout-out to Angel Reese—but there is a little bit of a hiccup.
一直有个关于比赛在哪打的问题,这让我很焦虑。第 6 场在亚特兰大将在下午 12:30 开打,因为场馆有档期冲突,这全都让我压力很大。我觉得 WNBA 需要一位新总裁,真正能从战略上考虑赛程安排。所以我有点为这事发愁,还有我怎么在大白天看这场比赛,大卫。[笑。] DC:嗯,很高兴政治没有占据你所有的压力。
There’s been this question around where the games will be played, and that is stressing me out. Game 6 in Atlanta will be played at 12:30 in the afternoon because they had a scheduling conflict with the stadium, and it’s all stressing me out. I feel like the WNBA needs a new commissioner who really, you know, thinks strategically about the schedule. And so I’m a little stressed about that, and how I’m gonna watch this game in the middle of the day, David. [Laughs.] DC: Well, I’m glad politics is not taking up all of your stress.
这是个好兆头。我的压力更切中要害,[笑] 那就是特朗普和司法部正试图在阿拉斯加和加利福尼亚搞这些胡扯的把戏,质疑选民名册,或者在阿拉斯加,甚至在结果出来前就预先提出挑战,如果他们的候选人丹·沙利文输了,就声称因为选票上还有另一个叫丹·沙利文的候选人,如果民主党人赢了,选举就应当作废。
That’s a good sign. My stress is more to the point here, [laughs] and that is Trump and the Justice Department are trying to pull off these BS moves in Alaska and California, challenging voter rolls, or in Alaska, even putting in a preemptive challenge to the results if their candidate, Dan Sullivan, loses, claiming that because there’s another candidate named Dan Sullivan on the ballot, that the election should be nullified if the Democrat wins.
这在法院根本站不住脚,在加利福尼亚那边,他们试图让 2 万张选票作废,同样在法院也推进不了,但这表明他们正在思考并试图为赛后质疑选举结果铺路。我知道民主党看到了这一点,我知道外面有很多律师,但这让我觉得,中期选举可能不会在 11 月 3 日晚上就结束。
Now, this isn’t gonna go anywhere in the courts, and in the California case, where they’re trying to get 20,000 votes nullified as well, that’s not going forward either in the courts, but it shows that they are thinking and trying to lay the groundwork for challenging races after the results are in. I know the Democrats see this, I know there are a lot of lawyers out there, but it indicates to me that the midterms may not be over on the evening of November 3.
GH:是的,这已经有点成为我们美国的现实了,这些事情现在就是有点拖沓。好吧,David,谢谢你的一切。当然,我们已经到了节目尾声。
GH: Yeah, that’s become a bit of our American reality, is that these things are just kind of dragging along a bit these days. Well, David, thank you for all of that. Of course, we’re here at the end of the show.
DC:如果你错过了《压力测试》早期的剧集,可以在我们的 YouTube 频道和你喜欢的播客应用上补看。
DC: If you missed earlier episodes of Stress Test , you can catch them on our YouTube channel and your favorite podcast apps.
GH:对,听着,你手里拿着手机,面前打开着笔记本电脑——赶紧现在就去做吧。点订阅,在你收听或观看的任何应用里点那个加号。订阅、点赞,诸如此类。我们《Mother Jones》这里的优秀新闻工作,只有靠你的支持才能实现。是的,你的观看和订阅,确实让我们坚持下来。所以别忘了,再次提醒,点赞、分享、订阅,发到你最爱的群聊里。
GH: Yes, listen, you have your phone out, you have your laptop open—go ahead and do it right now. Press subscribe, press the plus in whatever app you’re listening in or watching on. Subscribe, like, all of that stuff. Our great journalism here at Mother Jones is only made possible because of your support. Yes, your views and subscriptions, they do keep us going. So don’t forget, again, to like, to share, to subscribe, put it in your favorite group chat.
如果你有任何问题或建议,随时在下方留言。我们正在读、正在看那些评论——[笑] 我们在读所有的评论。好了,听着,我们过几天就会带着《压力测试》的另一期节目回来。在此之前,保重。
And if you have any questions or suggestions, feel free to leave a comment down below. We are reading and watching them right there— [laughs] we’re reading all the comments. Well, listen, we will be back in just a couple of days with another edition of Stress Test . Until then, take care.