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谷歌难以让AI模式搜索变现Google struggling to make AI Mode searches pay

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谷歌母公司Alphabet的股价周三暴跌近10%,此前这家网络巨头承认,AI驱动的搜索带来的收入,比其老派搜索引擎投放广告赚取的收入要少。

Shares in Google’s parent company Alphabet dived by almost ten percent on Wednesday, after the web giant admitted AI-powered searches earn it less money than it earns by serving ads with its old-school search engine.

Alphabet周三发布了第三季度财报,其中显示其同比搜索查询增长率为过去五年来最高。部分增长源于用户采用“AI模式”——谷歌最新的大语言模型驱动搜索系统。谷歌搜索收入同比增长12%,达到632.5亿美元,略低于去年第三季度报告的14.5%增幅。

Alphabet on Wednesday reported its Q3 results, which included news that its year-over-year search query growth rate is the highest it’s been in the last five years. Some of that growth comes from users adopting “AI Mode” – Google’s latest LLM-powered search system. Google’s revenue from search rose 12 percent year-over-year to $63.25 billion, a little lower than the 14.5 percent growth the company reported in last year’s Q3.

在Alphabet的财报电话会上,首席商务官Philipp Schindler表示,放缓是由“我们在AI模式中看到的较低变现”造成的。考虑到谷歌在基础设施上投入巨资,这是一个令人担忧的信号。第三季度资本支出达514亿美元,其中约三分之二用于服务器和网络设备,其余用于数据中心建设。这一支出似乎影响了盈利能力,Alphabet报告本季度净利润为261.7亿美元。去年第三季度,谷歌收入为1023.5亿美元,净利润为350亿美元。

During Alphabet’s earnings call, chief business officer Philipp Schindler said the slowdown was caused by “lower monetization we were seeing in AI Mode.”That’s a worry given that Google is spending enormous sums on infrastructure. $51.4 billion went out the door in Q3, around two thirds of it going towards servers and networking equipment. The rest funded datacenter builds. That spending appears to have impacted profitability, as Alphabet reported $26.17 billion net income for the quarter. Last year’s Q3, during which Google revenue was $102.35 billion, produced $35 billion net income.

Schindler辩称AI搜索终将获得回报。他对投资者表示:“在AI模式方面,许多此类查询属于上游漏斗查询,使我们能够捕捉新的高价值商业意图。此外,AI模式查询的大多数是增量性的,随着时间的推移创造更多变现机会。”

Schindler argued that AI search will pay off. “On AI Mode, many of these queries are upper funnel queries, allowing us to capture new, high-value commercial intent,” he told investors. “In addition, the majority of AI Mode queries are incremental, creating more monetization opportunities over time.”

谷歌今日试图抓住其中一个机会,在全球范围内开启AI模式搜索旁的广告投放,此前仅在美国进行过测试。但目前,AI模式搜索的盈利能力不如谷歌现有的搜索业务,后者贡献了Alphabet本季度1258亿美元总收入的近一半。

Google tried to seize one of those opportunities today, by turning on ads alongside AI Mode searches around the world, after first testing them in the US only. But for now, AI Mode searches aren’t as lucrative as Google’s existing search business, which brought in just under half of Alphabet's $125.8 billion quarterly revenue.

谷歌的云业务是该公司第二大收入来源,本季度营收247.5亿美元,但它也有麻烦,因为谷歌没有足够的能力为所有客户提供服务。该公司已开始将部分客户工作负载转给第三方处理,并警告称这将影响未来的利润率。谷歌云首席执行官托马斯·库里安表示,已有100多家公司在使用其TPU芯片,并补充说“所有TPU系统的库存都与已承诺的合同挂钩”——这意味着谷歌可以看到部分收入来覆盖部分资本支出。

Google’s cloud is its next-best earner, at $24.75 billion for the quarter, but it has troubles too because the Big G doesn’t have enough capacity to serve all its customers. The company has started to offload some customer workloads to third parties, and warned that will dent its future margins. Thomas Kurian, Google Cloud’s CEO, said the company has over 100 companies using its TPU silicon, adding that “All of the inventory for TPU systems are associated with committed contracts” – meaning Google can see some revenue to cover some capex.

该公司预计将在未来几个季度计入向第三方销售TPU的收入。首席执行官桑达尔·皮查伊对未来人工智能收入充满乐观,他指出谷歌的Gemini应用赢得10亿用户的速度比公司历史上任何其他产品都快,并称赞了其模型的性能。他表示,谷歌正在迅速打造智能体AI工具,但初期将专注于企业客户,“因为安全、保障和治理的门槛极高。”

The company expects to book revenue from TPU sales to third parties in coming quarters. CEO Sundar Pichai was full of optimism for future AI revenue, noting that Google’s Gemini app has won a billion users faster than any other product in the company’s history, and praising the performance of its models. He said Google is moving fast to create agentic AI tools, but will focus on business customers for starters, “because the bar for security, safety, and governance is extremely high.”

他补充说:“下一步,我们将把这些功能带到搜索中,当然也会带给Gemini应用上的10亿用户。”皮查伊没有说明智能体AI何时会出现在搜索中,也没有说明他是否预计它会避免AI模式已经造成的变现问题。不过,该公司仍坚持今年1950亿至2050亿美元的资本支出预测,并表示2027年计划“大幅”增加支出。

“As a next step, we are bringing these features to Search and also, of course, to our billion users on the Gemini app,” he added. Pichai didn’t say when agentic AI will come to search or if he expects it will avoid the monetization issues AI Mode has already caused. Yet the company also stuck to its $195-$205 billion capital expenditure forecast for this year and said it intends to spend “significantly” more in 2027. ®

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