塔利班禁种罂粟令动摇,阿富汗农民称无法养家糊口作者:Mohammad Yunus Yawar、Sayed Hassib、Ahmad Masih Noori阿富汗巴巴·优素福村,10月29日电 —— 穆罕默德·达乌德位于阿富汗北部村庄的家中,墙上依然挂着地毯,精致的镜子依然反射着光线,这些是当年一次罂粟收成就能养家糊口一整年的遗物。
Taliban’s poppy ban falters as Afghan farmers say they can't feed their children By Mohammad Yunus Yawar , Sayed Hassib and Ahmad Masih Noori BABA YUSUF, Afghanistan, Oct 29 - Carpets still hang on the walls of Mohammad Dawood’s home in a northern Afghanistan village, and ornate mirrors still catch the light, relics of the years when a single poppy harvest could carry his family through the year.
但这位28岁的男子表示,如今他整天弯腰在棉田和麦田里劳作,收成勉强够活命。
But the 28-year-old says he now spends his days bent over cotton and wheat in fields that barely provide a living.
“我们过去过得不错,”他在巴尔赫省巴巴·优素福村的家中接受采访时说,“现在,我的孩子们营养不良。”多年来,阿富汗的罂粟田生产了全球约80%的鸦片,鸦片用于制造吗啡,也用于海洛因等非法毒品。
“We were doing well,” he said in an interview in his home in the Baba Yusuf village of Balkh province. “Now, my children are malnourished.”In years gone by, Afghanistan's poppy fields produced about 80% of the world's opium, used in the manufacture of morphine as well as in illegal drugs like heroin.
四年前,塔利班开始执行一项极其严格的鸦片禁令,罂粟几乎从阿富汗的田地里消失。但现在,他们最高领袖的法令开始松动,原因在于一个现实问题:合法农作物不再赚钱,许多阿富汗农民表示他们难以养活孩子。
Four years ago, the Taliban began enforcing an opium ban so strict that poppy all but vanished from Afghanistan’s fields. But now their Supreme Leader’s edict is beginning to fray, worn down by a practical problem: legal crops no longer pay and many Afghan farmers say they are struggling to feed their children.
联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室周四报告称,一些农民正重新转向种植罂粟,今年种植面积大幅上升,这一逆转可能重塑远至欧洲的海洛因市场。
Some are turning back to poppy, and cultivation rose sharply this year, the UN Office on Drugs and Crime reported on Thursday, in a reversal that could reshape heroin markets as far away as Europe.
“许多农民‘别无选择,只能重新种植罂粟’,”联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室阿富汗国家代表波利克·奥克·塞雷伊告诉路透社。
Many farmers "don't have any other choice than to go back to poppy cultivation," Polleak Ok Serei, UNODC's country representative for Afghanistan, told Reuters.
达乌德表示,他仍在遵守禁令。但他说,在糟糕的一天,他赚的钱只有种罂粟时的四十分之一。
Dawood said he is still complying with the ban. But on a bad day, he makes one-fortieth of what he used to make with poppy, he said.
并非所有邻居都在遵守。联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室报告称,去年被认定为无罂粟种植的巴尔赫省,今年又在种植罂粟,尽管在塔利班持续监管下,鲜有农民敢承认这一点。
Not all of his neighbours are complying. Balkh, which UNODC found to be poppy-free last year, is growing poppy again this year, the agency reported, although few farmers would dare admit it amid continued Taliban scrutiny.
根据联合国分析的卫星图像显示,今年阿富汗的种植面积较2025年增长了三倍多,估计达到43,300公顷。农民现在将罂粟藏在谷物田里和泥墙后面,以躲避塔利班官员的视线。
Cultivation across Afghanistan more than quadrupled this year from 2025 to an estimated 43,300 hectares, according to satellite imagery analysed by the UN. Farmers now hide the poppies from Taliban officials inside cereal fields and behind mud walls.
种植面积仍仅为2021年种植的177,000公顷的约四分之一,那一年是塔利班实施禁令的前一年。
Cultivation is still only at about a quarter of the 177,000 hectares planted in 2021, the year before the ban was imposed by the Taliban.
但联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室表示,今年阿富汦鸦片销售产生的收入估计为5.25亿美元,除2022年塔利班禁令导致价格飙升外,这是自2018年以来的最高数字。
But opium sales in Afghanistan generated an estimated $525 million this year, the highest figure since 2018 with the exception of 2022 when the Taliban's ban made prices skyrocket, UNODC said.
塔利班拒绝了该报告的调查结果,称实际种植面积约为联合国估计的一半,且铲除罂粟的努力仍在继续。塔利班管理的内政部未回应路透社的置评请求。
The Taliban rejected the report's findings, saying actual cultivation was about half the UN estimate and that poppy eradication efforts continued. The Taliban-run Interior Ministry did not respond to a request for comment by Reuters.
农场收入下降与儿童营养不良 在该国农田地带,援助组织表示,经济压力已变得严峻。
FALLING FARM INCOMES AND CHILD MALNUTRITION In the country’s farmlands, aid groups say, the economic pressure has become severe.
其影响在儿童身上日益显现。联合国机构本月警告称,今年阿富汗34个省中有10个省的儿童营养不良达到严重程度,到2027年这一数字可能攀升至14个省。
The toll is increasingly visible among children. UN agencies warned this month that 10 out of Afghanistan's 34 provinces had critical levels of child malnutrition this year and the number could climb to 14 in 2027.
尽管收成有所好转,但他们表示,高昂的成本和低廉的农作物价格正在挤压贫困农民的生存空间,限制了家庭获取食物的能力。
Despite better harvests, they said, high costs and low crop prices are squeezing poorer farmers and limiting families’ access to food.
外交官表示,外援削减以及塔利班因打压妇女权利而面临的国际孤立也发挥了重要作用。但在巴尔赫省的阿拉姆·希勒健康中心,医生和患者主要将严重营养不良病例增加归咎于农场收入下降。
Foreign aid cuts and the Taliban’s international isolation over their crackdown on women’s rights have also played a significant role, diplomats say. But at the Alam Khil health center in Balkh, doctors and patients primarily blamed declining farm income for the growing number of severe malnutrition cases the clinic treats.
在诊所外,丈夫种植棉花的塔希拉正带着她四个孩子之一、7个月大的本杰明等待就诊,该儿童正遭受发烧和腹泻的折磨。
Outside the clinic, Tahira, whose husband grows cotton, waited for treatment with one of her four children, 7-month-old Benjamin, who was suffering from fever and diarrhea.
“医生说他营养不良,”她说,并补充说这个家庭勉强维持生计。“我们的生活过去很好。”诊所四周是棉花地,白色的棉絮仍在等待采摘。
“The doctors say he is malnourished,” she said, adding that the family was barely making ends meet. “Our lives used to be good.”The clinic is surrounded by cotton fields, where white tufts still waited to be picked.
诊所的营养护士萨利马·穆罕默迪说,自从罂粟从当地田地里消失后,许多家庭一直在努力寻找另一种能养活他们的作物。“人们拥有农田,”她说,“但农作物产量年年下降。”国际溢出效应像这样的田地里发生的事,将产生远超阿富汗的影响。分析人士说,全面恢复罂粟生产将对全球毒品市场产生重大影响。
Salima Mohammadi, a nutrition nurse at the clinic, said many families had struggled to find another crop that could support them since poppy disappeared from local fields. “People own farmland,” she said, “but agricultural yields decrease year after year.”INTERNATIONAL FALLOUT What happens in fields like these will have repercussions far beyond Afghanistan. A full return to poppy production would have major implications for global drug markets, analysts say.
日内瓦“打击跨国有组织犯罪全球倡议”分析师帕迪·金说:“将这一点与该国境内活跃的贩运网络、以及将鸦片制品运出国外的顽强走私行动结合起来,你会对未来做出非常黯淡的预测。”
"Combine this with the active trafficking networks within the country and the resilient smuggling operations to get the opiates out of the country, and you have a very bleak prediction for the future," said Paddy Ginn, an analyst with the Geneva-based Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime.
在禁令出台前,该国罂粟田的收成助长了全球范围的健康危机、沿贩运路线通往欧洲的海洛因贩运链条上的腐败、以及反毒品部队与走私者之间的致命冲突。
Until the ban, the crop from the country's poppy fields fuelled health crises across the world, corruption along the trafficking routes that carried it to Europe as heroin and deadly clashes between counter-narcotics forces and smugglers.
2022年后,禁令前的库存最初缓解了全球短缺,并减弱了欧洲的价格飙升,让阿富汗农民公然违抗禁令的理由减少。但联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室周四警告说,这些库存可能正在耗尽,这增强了再次种植的动力。
After 2022, pre-ban stockpiles initially cushioned the global shortage and blunted price spikes in Europe, giving Afghan farmers less reason to openly defy the ban. But UNODC warned on Thursday that those stockpiles may be running out, strengthening the incentive to plant again.
塔利班将该禁令视为其标志性成就之一,并将其作为争取国际合法性努力的依据。
The Taliban regard the ban as one of their signature achievements and have cited it in their efforts to win international legitimacy.
但塔利班官员近年来也已公开承认面临的挑战。塔利班外交部长阿米尔·汗·穆塔基本月在一次会议上表示,“支持农民发展替代生计”对于“确保这项运动的延续和加强”至关重要。但联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室(UNODC)的奥克·塞雷表示,无论是来自塔利班政府还是国际社会,“对替代生计的支持都不够”。
But Taliban officials themselves have publicly acknowledged the challenges in recent years. Amir Khan Muttaqi, the Taliban’s foreign minister, said at a meeting this month that “support for alternative livelihoods for farmers” was crucial to “ensure the continuation and strengthening of this campaign.”But UNODC's Ok Serei said there "was not enough support for alternative livelihoods" either from the Taliban government or the international community.
干旱、小麦和棉花价格挤压农民 塔利班的第一次禁令于2000年实施,约一年后瓦解,当时在2001年9月11日袭击事件后,美军领导的部队将其赶下台。
DROUGHT, WHEAT AND COTTON PRICES SQUEEZE FARMERS The Taliban’s first ban, in 2000, collapsed about a year later, when US-led forces drove them from power after the September 11, 2001, attacks.
目前的禁令持续时间长得多,但被要求遵守禁令的农民面临的条件比一代人以前更为恶劣。反复出现的干旱导致河流和运河枯竭。
The current ban has lasted far longer, but the farmers expected to uphold it face harsher conditions than a generation ago. Recurring droughts have shrunk rivers and canals.
56岁的地主古尔·纳扎尔表示,干旱切断了巴巴·优素福周围田地的大部分淡水,留下的井水咸得损害庄稼。
Drought has choked off much of the fresh water in the fields around Baba Yusuf, said Gul Nazar, a 56-year-old landowner, leaving well water so briny that it damages crops.
合法替代作物也举步维艰。巴巴·优素福的农民表示,小麦收益勉强覆盖成本。古尔·纳扎尔说,棉花价格在全国突然出现供过于求的情况下下跌了约三分之二,他部分归咎于巴基斯坦去年底关闭边境,切断了一个关键买家。
Legal alternatives have faltered, too. Wheat barely covers its costs, farmers in Baba Yusuf said. Cotton prices have fallen by about two-thirds amid a sudden nationwide glut, Gul Nazar said, a slump he partly blames on Pakistan’s closure of the border late last year, which cut off a key buyer.
援助机构推广的高价值作物,如果园水果或坚果,需要数年才能建立起来,且依赖可靠的水源和畅通的出口路线。
Higher-value crops promoted by aid groups, such as orchard fruit or nuts, take years to establish and depend on reliable water and open export routes.
联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室去年的一项调查显示,巴尔赫省及两个邻近省份超过五分之四的家庭表示,他们没有替代或只替代了部分失去的罂粟收入。
More than four in five households in Balkh and two nearby provinces reported in a UNODC survey last year that they had replaced none or only part of their lost poppy income.
古尔·纳扎尔表示,如果他家的生活条件改善,他不会再种植罂粟。但他说,如果条件恶化,他无法做出同样的承诺。“当一个人挨饿时,”他说,“他们什么事都干得出来。”
Gul Nazar said he would not grow poppy again if his family’s living conditions improved. But if they grew worse, he said, he could not promise the same. “When a person becomes hungry,” he said, “they will do anything.”