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预计众议院议长迈克·约翰逊将轻松赢得第五任期Speaker Mike Johnson projected to cruise to re-election for fifth House term

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众议院议长迈克·约翰逊(共和党-路易斯安那州)于2026年6月30在华盛顿特区美国国会大厦众议院议事厅外对记者发表讲话。(安娜·莫尼梅克/盖蒂图片社)House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., speaks to reporters outside the House chamber in the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington, D.C., on June 30, 2026. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

众议院议长、共和党人迈克·约翰逊(路易斯安那州)有望轻取一众对手,赢得他在众议院的第五个任期。

House Speaker Mike Johnson R-La., is poised to handily defeat his field of opponents to win a fifth term in the House of Representatives.

据美联社报道,与总统唐纳德·特朗普关系密切的约翰逊预计将获得近60%的选票,击败其他四位已宣布参选的候选人,因此铁定将在1月重返国会。

Johnson, who enjoys a close relationship with President Donald Trump is projected to win nearly 60% of the vote against four other declared candidates, according to The Associated Press, and therefore is guaranteed to return to Congress in January.

路易斯安那州州长杰夫·兰德里修改了今年的众议院选举,推迟了初选,以便为州议会争取更多时间重新划分国会选区地图,从而赋予共和党人优势。

Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry modified this year's House elections after postponing the primaries to give the state legislature more time to redraw its congressional map to give Republicans an edge.

该州六个众议院选区中的每一个选区,都不再遵循春季初选和11月3日大选的传统时间表,得票率排名前两位的候选人将直接进入12月初的决选,除非某人在总得票中获得超过50%的支持率。

Instead of following the traditional schedule of a springtime primary race and a Nov. 3 general election, the top two candidates in each of the state's six House districts would advance to an early December runoff, unless one person clinches over 50% of the total vote.

路易斯安那州的共和党多数派今年早些时候在最高法院取得了一场胜利,这允许该州实质上取消了根据《投票权法》准则划分的该州唯一一个黑人占多数的选区,托马斯对关于划界呈党派偏见重划选区的决定直言不讳:‘走得更远’鉴于其领导地位和丰厚的筹款能力,外界普遍预计约翰逊将在周二晚间轻松获胜。

Louisiana's GOP majority scored a victory with the Supreme Court earlier this year that allowed it to essentially dissolve the state's one Black-majority district, which was drawn under guidelines set by the Voting Rights Act THOMAS LEAVES NOTHING LEFT UNSAID ON RACIAL GERRYMANDERING DECISION: ‘GO FURTHER’ Johnson was widely expected to sail to victory on Tuesday night, given his leadership status and prolific fundraising.

总统唐纳德·特朗普于2026年2月24日在美国国会大厦众议院议事厅发表国情咨文演讲。(汤姆·威廉姆斯/CQ-罗尔·卡尔公司通过盖蒂图片社)President Donald Trump delivers his State of the Union address in the House chamber of the U.S. Capitol on Feb. 24, 2026. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images)

他在路易斯安那州第四国会选区的席位以该州西北部的什里夫波特和波西尔城为核心。无党派机构《库克政治报告》对其评级为R-26,使其成为一个安全的共和党阵地。

His seat in Louisiana's 4th Congressional District is anchored by Shreveport and Bossier City in the northwestern part of the state. Its rating with the nonpartisan Cook Political Report is R-26, making it a safe Republican territory.

但他在周二晚间的压倒性表现并不一定能转化为他在众议院共和党党团内部的进一步成功。

But his dominant performance on Tuesday night will not necessarily translate to further success within the House GOP conference.

众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯(共和党-路易斯安那州)于4月15日在早盘交易开始前从纽约证券交易所大厅观望。(亚当·格雷/盖蒂图片社)House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., looks on from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange before morning trading on April 15. (Adam Gray/Getty Images)

如果共和党人在全国范围内保持多数席位,约翰逊几乎肯定会继续担任新一届国会的众议院议长。如果他们失利,约翰逊几乎肯定会面临来自众议院同僚共和党人要求其辞去领导职务的压力。

If Republicans keep their majority nationwide, Johnson is all but assured of remaining Speaker of the House in the next Congress. If they lose, Johnson is all but assured to face pressure from fellow House Republicans to step aside from his leadership role.

如果发生后一种情况,外界普遍认为众议院司法委员会主席、共和党人吉姆·乔丹(俄亥俄州)将与众议院多数党领袖、共和党人史蒂夫·斯卡利斯(路易斯安那州)争夺少数党领袖职位。

In the latter case, it's widely believed that House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan R-Ohio, will face House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., for the minority leader position.

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