Investing.com -- 周一油价下跌，因美国总统唐纳德·特朗普淡化了对伊朗实施进一步军事打击的可能性，缓解了人们对冲突进一步升级的当下担忧。
Investing.com -- Oil prices fell on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump played down the likelihood of further military strikes against Iran, easing immediate concerns over another escalation in the conflict.
然而，霍尔木兹海峡商业航运持续遭袭，以及胡塞武装重新袭击沙特基础设施，令供应担忧居高不下。
However, continued attacks on commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and renewed Houthi strikes on Saudi infrastructure kept supply concerns elevated.
截至美东时间03:18（格林威治时间08:18），1月布伦特原油期货下跌1.8%，报每桶96.55美元；美国西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货下跌1.2%，报每桶89.78美元。布伦特原油上周暴跌约16%，创下新冠疫情爆发以来最大单周跌幅。
As of 03:18 ET (08:18 GMT), January Brent oil futures fell 1.8% to $96.55 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined 1.2% to $89.78 a barrel. Brent had plunged around 16% last week, marking its steepest weekly decline since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.
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特朗普周末对 CNN 表示，只要谈判继续朝着达成强有力协议的方向取得进展，他下令进一步袭击伊朗的可能性极小。他的言论有助于缓解人们对军事冲突重燃的当下担忧，并在上周急跌后鼓励了一些抄底买盘。
Trump told CNN over the weekend that it was highly unlikely he would order further attacks on Iran, provided negotiations continued to make progress towards a strong agreement. His comments helped ease immediate fears of renewed military escalation and encouraged some bargain buying after last week’s sharp decline.
民主党在美国中期选举中的强劲表现，也助长了国会将加大压力迫使特朗普结束冲突的预期。特朗普承认伊朗战争导致了共和党失利，副总统 J.D. 万斯也将选举挫折归因于这场冲突。
The Democratic Party’s strong performance in the U.S. midterm elections has also fuelled expectations of increased congressional pressure on Trump to bring the conflict to an end. Trump acknowledged that the Iran war had contributed to Republican losses, while Vice President JD Vance also linked the election setback to the conflict.
然而，外交进展仍不确定。特朗普定于周一会见卡塔尔首相，讨论调解工作，但国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥表示谈判进展甚微，协议并非迫在眉睫。
However, diplomatic progress remains uncertain. Trump is scheduled to meet Qatar’s prime minister on Monday to discuss mediation efforts, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio said negotiations had made little headway and that an agreement was not imminent.
伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐表示，在美国大选结果出炉后，调解人已停止在各方之间穿梭，外交努力恢复需要时间。
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said mediators had stopped travelling between the parties following the U.S. election results, adding that it would take time for diplomatic efforts to resume.
与此同时，华盛顿通过“铁门”特遣队扩大了其施压行动，旨在限制伊朗通过陆地边境和里海贸易路线获取先进武器、受制裁材料和其他违禁品。
Meanwhile, Washington has expanded its pressure campaign through Task Force Iron Gate, aimed at restricting Iran’s access to advanced weapons, sanctioned materials and other prohibited goods through land borders and Caspian Sea trade routes.
伊朗媒体报道，周日没有船只通过霍尔木兹海峡，此前德黑兰表示海峡南部的航行辅助系统已被摧毁，限制了其认为未经授权的航线上的通行。
Iranian media reported that no vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday after Tehran said navigational aid systems in the southern part of the waterway had been destroyed, restricting traffic through routes it considers unauthorised.
英国海上贸易行动局周日报告的单独事件凸显了航运风险。一艘出港油轮在海峡遭不明飞行物击中，另一艘油轮在阿曼哈萨卜西北部起火，迫使船员撤离。
Shipping risks were underscored by separate incidents reported by the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations agency on Sunday. An outbound tanker was struck by an unidentified projectile in the strait, while another tanker caught fire northwest of Khasab, Oman, forcing its crew to evacuate.
伊朗另行声称，几艘油轮和一艘拖船在海峡遇到水雷后起火，尽管海事当局尚未独立核实这些说法。
Iran has separately claimed that several tankers and a tugboat caught fire after encountering mines in the waterway, although maritime authorities have not independently verified those claims.
伊朗支持的胡塞武装分子还声称试图袭击沙特阿拉伯阿美石油公司位于利雅得的办公室。沙特当局称，坠落的碎片损坏了该建筑数层楼的窗户，但未报告人员伤亡。民防官员在周一发布警报后表示，危险已解除。
Iran-backed Houthi militants also claimed an attempted attack on Saudi Arabia’s Aramco office in Riyadh. Saudi authorities said falling debris damaged windows across several floors of the building, although no casualties were reported. Civil defence officials said the danger had passed after issuing an alert on Monday.
一些替代出口安排正在浮现。伊拉克外长表示，巴格达已与华盛顿达成谅解，将通过霍尔木兹海峡靠近阿曼的一条指定航道运输伊拉克原油。伊拉克出口量在10月恢复至每天约350万桶，高于9月的日均265万桶，尽管外长估计战争和出口中断已给该国造成约600亿美元损失。Roushni Nair为本文做出了贡献。
Some alternative export arrangements are emerging. Iraq’s foreign minister said Baghdad had reached an understanding with Washington to move Iraqi crude through Hormuz using a designated shipping lane near Oman. Iraq’s exports recovered to about 3.5 million barrels per day in October from 2.65 million bpd in September, although the foreign minister estimated that the war and export disruptions had cost the country around $60 billion. Roushni Nair contributed to this article.