就在几个月前,对于乌克兰以外的许多欧洲人来说,俄罗斯发动的战争还只是一个遥远的现实。如果俄罗斯无人机偶尔进入波兰或罗马尼亚等国家的领空,即便是官方声明听起来也显得异常冷漠且抽象。即使在今年5月下旬一架俄罗斯无人机撞击了罗马尼亚东部城市加拉茨的一栋高层公寓楼后,许多欧盟和北约代表仍不愿指责俄罗斯是有意为之。充其量,他们也只是将其讨论为混合战争。
Just a few months ago, Russia's war was an distant reality for many people in Europe outside of Ukraine. If Russian drones occasionally entered the airspace of countries like Poland or Romania, even official statements seemed strangely dismissive and abstract. Even after a Russian drone struck a high-rise apartment building in the eastern Romanian city of Galati in late May this year, many EU and NATO representatives hesitated to accuse Russia of intentional action. At most, there was discussion of hybrid warfare.
自今年夏天以来,情况发生了根本性的变化。在中欧和东南欧的某些地区,无人机飞越领空已几乎成为常态,甚至还发生了坠机和爆炸事件,特别是在与乌克兰接壤的国家。随着未经授权的飞行被探测到,警报变得越来越频繁,当局不得不越来越多地关闭领空或暂停机场运营。俄罗斯一直在轰炸乌克兰境内的边境口岸、基础设施和火车,但这些地点距离其他国家的边界非常近。破坏活动也变得越来越普遍。
The situation has changed radically since the summer. Drone overflights have become almost daily in certain parts of central and southeastern Europe, and there have even been crashes and explosions, particularly in countries bordering Ukraine. Alerts are becoming more frequent, with authorities increasingly having to close airspace or suspend operations at airports, as unauthorized flights are detected. Russia has been bombing border crossings, infrastructure and trains in Ukraine, but very close to other borders. Acts of sabotage are also increasingly common.
对于波罗的海国家、波兰、摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚而言,这场战争早已不再是“混合”性质的了。这些国家的政界人士越来越多地表示,俄罗斯的行为是蓄意的。
For the Baltic states, Poland Moldova and Romania in particular, the war has long ceased to be "hybrid." More and more, politicians in these countries are saying that Russia is acting deliberately.
拉脱维亚的经验:如何应对俄罗斯的混合威胁。要观看此视频,请考虑升级到支持HTML5视频的网页浏览器。无人机侵犯摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚领空。本周,这一点以一种前所未有的方式显现出来。摩尔多瓦记录到四架无人机进入其领空,其中两架在摩尔多瓦境内爆炸。此外还发现了另一架无人机的残骸。该国北部领空被临时关闭。
Lessons from Latvia: How to deal with Russian hybrid threats To view this video, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Drones violate Moldovan and Romanian airspace This became evident this week in an unprecedented manner. Moldova recorded four drones entering Moldovan airspace, two of which exploded in Moldovan territory. Wreckage of another was also found. The country's northern airspace was closed temporarily.
两架无人机还侵犯了罗马尼亚领空;其中一架在北部城镇索尔卡附近坠毁。受此影响,几十公里外的一个靠近乌克兰的边境口岸被迫关闭。北约战机在多瑙河三角洲附近紧急升空拦截。
Two drones also violated Romanian airspace; with one crashing near the northern town of Solca. A nearby border crossing with Ukraine a few dozen kilometers away was closed as a result. NATO aircraft were scrambled near the Danube Delta. The scrambling of NATO aircraft has become more common in response to Russian air attacks in Ukraine.
北约战机紧急升空拦截俄罗斯对乌克兰的空袭,这一现象日益频繁。
In Poland, NATO fighter jets were scrambled twice in response to Russian attacks near the border with Ukraine. Two Polish border crossings were evacuated after a fire broke out at a Starlink ground station near the village of Wola Krobowska 40 kilomters (ca. 25 miles) south of the Polish capital Warsaw, on Wednesday night. The station is used to route internet traffic through Poland to Ukraine.
在波兰,北约战斗机两次紧急升空,以应对俄罗斯在靠近乌克兰边境地区的袭击。周三晚间,位于波兰首都华沙以南约40公里(约25英里)的沃拉克罗博夫斯卡村附近,一座星链地面站发生火灾,随后两个波兰边境口岸被疏散。该地面站用于将互联网流量经由波兰路由至乌克兰。
In Poland, NATO fighter jets were scrambled twice in response to Russian attacks near the border with Ukraine. Two Polish border crossings were evacuated after a fire broke out at a Starlink ground station near the village of Wola Krobowska 40 kilomters (ca. 25 miles) south of the Polish capital Warsaw, on Wednesday night. The station is used to route internet traffic through Poland to Ukraine. On the same day, a Russian Mi-8 helicopter violated Polish airspace and remained there for 42 seconds according to the Polish military.
同日,据波兰军方称,一架俄罗斯米-8直升机侵入波兰领空,并停留了42秒。
Polish Prime Minister Tusk says Europe needs to prepare Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk spoke very bluntly in Krakow on Thursday and said that Russia was refining its "disgusting forms of pressure" and Poland must be prepared for them.
波兰总理图斯克表示,欧洲需要做好准备。波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克周四在克拉科夫发表了非常直率的讲话,称俄罗斯正在完善其“令人作呕的施压手段”,波兰必须为此做好准备。
Polish Prime Minister Tusk says Europe needs to prepare Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk spoke very bluntly in Krakow on Thursday and said that Russia was refining its "disgusting forms of pressure" and Poland must be prepared for them.
图斯克说:“俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京希望通过摧毁乌克兰的工业和能源基础设施来耗尽乌克兰,但他也想要耗尽欧洲。”他补充说,有迹象表明星链地面站的火灾可能是人为蓄意所为。
Russian President Vladimir Putin "wants to exhaust Ukraine by destroying its industrial and energy infrastructure, but he also wants to exhaust Europe," Tusk said. He added that there was a suspicion that the fire at the Starlink ground station had been deliberate. Earlier this month, Tusk had already warned the Polish parliament that there might be Russian drone and even missile attacks against those who supported Ukraine.
本月早些时候,图斯克已向波兰议会发出警告,称支持乌克兰的国家可能会遭到俄罗斯的无人机甚至导弹袭击。
Moldovan President Maia Sandu also reacted very strongly on Thursday, saying that Russia's war was a danger to all of Europe and reasserting Moldova's support for Ukraine.
摩尔多瓦总统马娅·桑杜周四也作出了强烈反应,表示俄罗斯的战争对全欧洲构成威胁,并重申摩尔多瓦对乌克兰的支持。
Romania reactions were less clear. Defense Minister Radu Miruta said that not more than a "diplomatic protest" was needed, though he acknowledged that the drone that had crashed in Solca had new technical features, which suggested it could be a newer type of Russian jet-powered drone.
罗马尼亚的反应则较为模糊。国防部长拉杜·米鲁塔表示,只需提出“外交抗议”即可,但他承认,坠毁在索尔察的无人机具有新的技术特征,这表明它可能是一种较新型号的俄罗斯喷气动力无人机。
Romania reactions were less clear. Defense Minister Radu Miruta said that not more than a "diplomatic protest" was needed, though he acknowledged that the drone that had crashed in Solca had new technical features, which suggested it could be a newer type of Russian jet-powered drone.
周三在纽约举行的联合国大会上,罗马尼亚总统尼库索尔·丹在致辞中表示:“我们正处于联合国安理会常任理事国对乌克兰发动大规模非法、无端且不正当侵略战争的第五个年头。”他补充说,作为“与乌克兰接壤边境线最长的欧盟成员国,罗马尼亚通过领空屡遭侵犯,直接感受到了这场战争的影响。”
In New York on Wednesday, in his address to the United Nations General Assembly Romanian President Nicusor Dan had said: "We are in the fifth year of the illegal, unprovoked and unjustified war of aggression waged on a large scale against Ukraine by a permanent member of the Security Council." He had added that as the "EU member state with the longest border with Ukraine, Romania has directly felt the effects of this war through repeated violations of our airspace."
他也重申了对乌克兰的支持:“我们以前说过,现在还要再说一遍:只要有需要,罗马尼亚将始终与乌克兰及其正在进行合法自卫的人民站在一起。”来自地中海对西欧的袭击?
And he too reasserted support for Ukraine: "We have said it before, and we say it again: Romania will stand with Ukraine and its people, who are acting in legitimate self-defense, for as long as it takes." Attacks on western Europe from the Mediterranean?
与此同时,关于俄罗斯可能将战争扩大到西欧的猜测日益增多。周四,西班牙一家报纸发布了中央情报局(CIA)的一份报告,警告称俄罗斯可能正在策划对意大利、法国和西班牙发动无人机袭击。这些袭击可能从地中海的国际水域以及属于俄罗斯“影子舰队”的船只上发起。目前尚未有官方证实。
Meanwhile, there is growing speculation that Russia could expand its war to Western Europe. On Thursday, the Spanish newspaper published information about a CIA report warning that Russia could be preparing drone attacks on Italy France Spain The attacks could be launched from international waters in the Mediterranean and from vessels that were part of Russia's shadow fleet. There has been no official confirmation so far.
法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙表示,中情局并未向法国通报此信息,但他确实表示,俄罗斯可能对欧洲发动袭击的可能性是“合理的”。周四在丹麦举行的新闻发布会上,政界人士和军事官员警告称,预计俄罗斯将在未来几个月内加剧针对西方和北约的混合战争。国防大臣耶佩·布鲁斯表示:“目前的局势是冷战结束以来最严峻的。”
French President Emmanuel Macron said that that the CIA had not informed France of this information, but he did say that the possibility Russia could launch an attack against Europe was "plausible." At a press conference in Denmark on Thursday, politicians and military officials warned that Russia was expected to intensify its hybrid war against the West and NATO in the coming months. The situation is currently the most serious since the end of the Cold War," said Defense Minister Jeppe Bruus.