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政治报

乔恩·赫斯特德在参议院面临关键时刻Jon Husted faces a moment of truth in the Senate

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共和党人正全力争取为这位俄亥俄州参议员在数据中心问题上赢得胜利,该议题已主导了媒体舆论,并迅速定义了这场竞选的走向。

Republicans are gunning to deliver a win for the Ohio senator on an issue that’s been drowning out the airwaves and quickly defining the race: data centers.

乔恩·赫斯特深知,在他的竞选活动中,大部分时间都在艰难前行。他押注本周可能进行的一项投票能够扭转这一局面。

Jon Husted knows he’s been running uphill for much of his campaign. He’s betting that a possible vote slated for this week could change that.

这位俄亥俄州共和党人不仅在筹款上落后,还遭到其挑战者、前民主党参议员谢罗德·布朗的负面广告猛烈攻击。他被抨击为“数据中心的脸面”,指责数据中心吞噬了纳税人的钱并推高了能源账单。他还因支持唐纳德·特朗普总统对伊朗的战争而受到攻击,该战争推高了汽油价格。此外,他在资金和民调方面均处于劣势,多项公开民调一致显示这场竞选势均力敌,其中几项民调显示布朗略微领先。据《政治报》报道,参议院共和党高层的内部民调也显示赫斯特落后于布朗。

The Ohio Republican’s been outraised and battered by negative ads from his challenger, former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. He’s been lambasted as the “face of data centers” that have eaten taxpayer dollars and spiked energy bills. He’s been dragged for backing President Donald Trump’s war with Iran that’s raised gas prices. And he’s been at a disadvantage in both cash and across public polling that’s consistently shown the race as a jump ball, with several public polls putting Brown slightly ahead. Internal polling from top Senate Republicans also showed Husted trailing Brown, as POLITICO has reported.

赫斯特在接受《政治报》独家采访时说:“过去一年半以来,我一直知道这将是一场艰苦的竞选。从六月到八月,我们的支出确实被大幅超越,但就在大约两周前,我们开始拉平支出,并略微取得领先。这需要时间。”但共和党人正全力争取赫斯特在主导俄亥俄州媒体舆论并迅速定义竞选走向的数据中心问题上取得胜利。

“I’ve always known for a year and a half it would be a tough race,” Husted told POLITICO in an exclusive interview. “We were really getting outspent June through August, and now starting literally like two weeks ago, we started to equalize the spending and then slightly move ahead. It takes time.” But Republicans are gunning to deliver Husted a win on the issue that’s been drowning out the Ohio airwaves and quickly defining the race.

参议院预计将审议赫斯特的《纳税人保护法案》,该法案旨在遏制与数据中心相关的纳税人能源成本。许多共和党人将《纳税人保护法案》视为一个机会,尤其是对赫斯特而言,他们可以通过这项可负担性立法,在中期选举的最后冲刺阶段进行宣传。赫斯特首次试图为该法案开辟快速通道,在众议院以近乎全票通过该法案后不久便告失败。

The Senate is expected to take up Husted’s Ratepayer Protection Act, which aims to curb energy costs on taxpayers associated with the data centers. Many Republicans see the Ratepayer Protection Act as an opportunity, especially for Husted, to exit with affordability legislation they can then message in the midterms’ final sprint. Husted’s first attempt to fast-track the bill failed shortly after the bill passed with near-unanimity in the House.

“我正在回应选民的诉求:他们希望数据中心能够为新增的电力成本和基础设施建设费用负责,”赫斯特德对《POLITICO》杂志表示。“我想,既然民主党和共和党都声称关心民众的负担能力,并希望阻止数据中心过度消耗电力资源,那么我们就应该尽快解决这个问题。”然而,这一解决方案的出现却正值布朗的竞选活动如火如荼之际——布朗正在抨击赫斯特德在担任俄亥俄州副州长期间的种种失误;而就在那时,该州还为数据中心提供了数十亿美元的税收优惠和额外投资。

“I am responding to what the voters want: They want the data centers to be held accountable for the costs of new electricity and infrastructure,” Husted told POLITICO. “I thought, ‘Well, if Democrats say they care about affordability and stopping data centers from running up electric costs, and Republicans say the same thing, well, then let’s just get this done.’” But the potential salve is coming months into Brown’s campaign hammering Husted for his tenure as Ohio’s lieutenant governor, during a period when the state ushered in several billion dollars in tax incentives and additional investment in data centers.

“乔恩·赫斯特德主导了将数据中心引入俄亥俄州的决策,结果导致当地居民的电费大幅上涨,同时让那些大型外州企业获得了巨额的税收减免,”布朗的发言人劳伦·周在一份声明中说道。“俄亥俄州的居民应该有权决定是否在自己的社区内建设数据中心,绝不应该被迫为这些大企业的电力成本买单。”

“Jon Husted led the charge to bring data centers to Ohio, forcing Ohioans to pay thousands more in higher electric bills and giving giant out-of-state corporations billions of dollars in out-of-control tax breaks,” Lauren Chou, a spokesperson for Brown, said in a statement. “Ohioans should get to decide if data centers are built in their communities and should never be forced to subsidize the electricity costs of big corporations.”

当被问及自己此前对数据中心扩张计划的支持时,赫斯特德对《POLITICO》杂志回应道:“发起攻击的不是我,也不是我在撒谎。”赫斯特德反过来指责布朗也做了同样的事情,并引用了布朗在2015年发布的一份新闻稿,其中布朗对数据中心的投资表示欢迎;他还告诉《POLITICO》,布朗在参议院任职期间曾积极支持数据中心的发展。布朗自己也面临着来自劳工组织的压力——这些组织因为这些科技项目为当地带来了就业机会而对他表示支持。

When pressed on his previous support for the state’s data center expansion, Husted told POLITICO: “I’m not the one making the attacks. I’m not the one lying about it.” Husted has accused Brown of the same, pointing to a 2015 press release from Brown welcoming the investment and telling POLITICO that Brown “celebrated data centers when he was in the Senate.” Brown is facing his own pain points due to his longstanding support from labor unions, who cheer jobs coming in from the tech projects.

然而,这些数据中心如今已成为赫斯特德政治上的“毒瘤”;美国共和党全国参议院委员会在8月份警告称,这一问题可能成为影响其他选举的重要因素。

Yet the tech centers have become so politically toxic for Husted that the National Republican Senatorial Committee warned in August it had become a major liability that could ripple out to other races.

“谢罗德(Brown)已经连续六个月对他进行猛烈抨击,一次又一次地撒谎,”赫斯特德的同僚、俄亥俄州共和党参议员伯尼·莫雷诺对《POLITICO》杂志说。

“Sherrod has been beating the crap out of him for six months, lie after lie after lie, after lie,” Sen. Bernie Moreno, Husted’s fellow Ohio Republican, told POLITICO.

如果共和党本周能强行推动该法案且不作任何修改,法案可能在选举日前送达特朗普的办公桌。届时,赫斯特将向选民表明,他是那位正在打击新兴技术的候选人。而如果法案未能通过,莫雷诺则暗示了共和党可能发动的下一轮攻击:“谢罗德·布朗会像其他民主党人一样阻止该法案,因此他并不支持降低电价。”但赫斯特对其中复杂的政治算计心知肚明。

If the GOP can muscle it through this week with no changes, the bill could land on Trump’s desk before Election Day, and Husted will make the case to voters that he’s the candidate who’s cracking down on the emerging technology. And if it fails, Moreno outlined the hints of the next attack the GOP might wield: “Sherrod Brown would have blocked it just like the other Democrats, so he’s not for lowering electricity prices.” But Husted has no illusions about the political calculations at play.

“选民只需要知道,民主党人并不认真解决这一问题,他们只是在利用它,”他说,“现在他们已经被钉在耻辱柱上了。”共和党几乎肯定会遭到民主党人的抵制——他们甚至需要七票才能通过第一个程序性障碍。参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默猛烈抨击该法案是毫无效力的“骗局”。赫斯特的法案仅要求各州“考虑”——而非强制——建立一套让数据中心承担能源成本和电网升级费用的框架。一些民主党人认为该法案力度不够,许多人尚未决定是否支持,尤其是在这场可能决定议院控制权的选战背景下,利害关系重大。

“The voters just need to know that the Democrats aren’t serious about solving this problem. They’re serious at exploiting it,” he said. “They own it now.” The GOP is almost certain to face resistance from Democrats — and they’ll need seven to clear even the first procedural hurdle. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer blasted the bill as a toothless “fraud.” Husted’s bill would have states “consider” — but not mandate — a framework for data centers to shoulder energy costs and grid updates. Several Democrats believe the bill doesn’t go far enough, and many haven’t decided if they’ll back it, especially with the stakes hanging over a race that could determine control of the chamber.

尽管该法案本周的命运岌岌可危,但让成员们公开表态是否要否决该法案,本身也是目的之一。

While the bill’s fate this week looks dicey, getting members on the record if they sink it is also partly the point.

莫雷诺告诉《政治报》:“我们必须进行点名投票,让民主党人留下公开记录。”

“We have to put a roll-call vote to put the Democrats on record,” Moreno told POLITICO.

无论如何,赫斯特在下周末结束前就能带着答案返回家乡,以回应那些将他描绘成数据中心朋友的铺天盖地的广告攻势。而且,随着俄亥俄州10月6日启动早期投票,他现在也拥有了资金优势,可以在全州范围内阐述自己的立场。

Either way, Husted is poised to head home at the end of next week with an answer to the onslaught of ads that have painted him as a friend to data centers. And now, he also has the financial edge to make his case across the state just as early voting in Ohio kicks off Oct. 6.

事实上,援军终于到了,为赫斯特带来了价值1.89亿美元的广告预订。参议院共和党最大的竞选武器——与特朗普相关的超级政治行动委员会、埃隆·马斯克的“美国政治行动委员会”以及其他团体——正不断向该州注入更多资金,使其成为本届选举周期中最昂贵的参议院竞选。

Indeed, the cavalry has finally arrived for Husted to the tune of $189 million in ad reservations. The Senate GOP’s biggest campaign arms, Trump’s affiliated super PACs, Elon Musk’s America PAC and others are injecting more and more into the state, making it the most expensive Senate race this cycle.

对乔恩·赫斯特德(Jon Husted)来说,或许最关键的因素是来自 Fairshake 这个支持加密货币的游说团体的巨额资金投入。Fairshake 上周刚刚投入了 3000 万美元来反对这位民主党候选人。这笔资金是在一项得到加密货币行业支持的法案在参议院被否决后不久投入使用的。

Perhaps most critical for Husted will be the barrage of spending that’s just now hitting Brown from Fairshake, the pro-cryptocurrency PAC, which just last week committed $30 million against the Democrat. That money uncorked shortly after a crypto bill backed by the industry (and by Husted) fell apart in the Senate.

由于许多共和党人士在整个春夏季节都担心自己可能会输掉这个特朗普曾三次获胜的州,因此他们现在对共和党在竞选中的优势感到更加乐观。

The spending advantage has some Republicans more hopeful after many GOP operatives spent the spring and summer sweating they could lose the state Trump carried three times.

“Fairshake 提供的 3000 万美元是一笔非常重要的资金,”来自邻近印第安纳州的共和党参议员吉姆·班克斯(Jim Banks)对《Politico》杂志表示,“赫斯特德的竞选是上周全国共和党参议院委员会(NRSC)午餐会上讨论的重点话题。”他补充说:“我对乔恩·赫斯特德的竞选前景比过去一年都要乐观得多。”

“The 30 million dollars from Fairshake is a big deal,” GOP Sen. Jim Banks from neighboring Indiana told POLITICO, noting that Husted’s race was a key topic during the NRSC lunch last week.

不过,俄亥俄州的选民面临的压力并不仅仅来自高昂的能源成本。虽然赫斯特德在批评伊朗战争的问题上没有一些其他中西部地区的共和党参选人那么激进,但他仍表示:“我认为这场战争需要尽快结束,这样才能降低汽油价格。”上周,他再次投票反对支持这场战争的决议。

“I’m more optimistic for Jon Husted than I’ve been in a year,” he added. “Yeah, I feel better about Jon’s race than I have for a long time.” But Ohio voters have been feeling the pinch from more than just high energy costs. While Husted has not gone as far in criticizing the war in Iran as some other Republicans running for Senate in the Midwest, he told POLITICO he believes the war “needs to come to an end as quickly as possible” so gas prices can come down. Last week, he voted against the war powers resolution rebuking the war again.

赫斯特德还提到了两年前他的同事莫雷诺(Moreno)在竞选中的情况:在 2024 年选举前的最后几天,莫雷诺在多项民意调查中的支持率都低于布朗(Brown);然而最终莫雷诺还是以 3.5 个百分点的优势赢得了选举,而且当时的竞选环境也比现在要好得多。赫斯特德说:“莫雷诺之所以能获胜,正是因为那些担心自己会输掉选举的共和党工作人员们的努力。”

Husted is also pointing to a pattern of polling from when his Ohio colleague ousted Brown two years ago. Moreno, Husted noted, was down in multiple polls against Brown in the final days before the 2024 election. “And he ended up winning by three and a half,” Husted said, “in a better environment.” (Moreno, for his part, told POLITICO “I have PTSD” from the operatives worried about losing Ohio.) Both Trump and Vance are expected to travel to Ohio before the midterms to support Husted, who indicated their presence can only help him.

预计特朗普(Trump)和万斯(Vance)都会在中期选举前前往俄亥俄州支持赫斯特德,赫斯特德认为他们的支持会对他大有帮助。他说:“我对此感到非常期待。”

“I look forward to it,” he said.

“特朗普总统曾三次以 8 分、8 分和 11 分的优势赢得俄亥俄州的选举,”赫斯特德补充道,“如果上次投票给他的人这次也能出来投票,我们就一定能赢。”

“President Trump has won Ohio three times by 8, 8 and 11 points,” Husted added. “And you know, the people that voted for him in the last election, if they turn out in this election, we will win.”