美联储主席丽莎·库克周一表示,对人工智能(AI)需求的增加正在导致通货膨胀的影响范围不断扩大,这对整个经济都产生了影响。在奥克兰科技周(Oakland Tech Week)会议上发表主旨演讲时,库克指出,过去一年中与AI相关的商品(包括芯片、计算机和软件)的价格大幅上涨。她表示:“我认为这些价格飙升在很大程度上反映了需求向AI相关领域的转移,而非整个经济需求的普遍增长。”她补充说,供应链会自行调整,从而缓解由此产生的价格压力,无需政府干预。过去五年多来,年通胀率一直高于美联储设定的2%目标;根据消费者价格指数(CPI)的统计,上个月的通胀率为3.4%。美国经济分析局(Bureau of Economic Analysis)将于周三上午公布个人消费支出价格指数(该指数是美联储最常用的通胀衡量指标)。虽然库克认为美联储试图通过货币政策工具来应对特定行业的通胀问题可能是个错误,但她也承认AI需求确实对整个经济产生了影响。她说:“数据中心的建设需要建筑工人和能源等资源,而这些资源在经济的许多领域都被广泛使用。因此,AI投资的增加可能会给其他行业带来价格压力。”库克还指出:“从通胀数据中可以看出,这种价格压力正在逐渐扩散(即影响的范围正在扩大),比如电力和水资源成本的上升。”库克所在的联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee)本月早些时候一致投票决定将利率上调0.25个百分点,以应对持续的通胀压力。尽管特朗普总统呼吁该委员会降息,但委员会仍做出了这一决定。
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said Monday rising demand for artificial intelligence is leading to “broadening” inflationary impacts, with implications for the entire economy. During a keynote speech at the Oakland Tech Week conference, Cook noted that prices for Al-related goods, including chips, computers and software, have “surged” in the past year. “I believe that some of these steep price increases reflect a shift in demand toward AI-related sectors rather than an increase in economy-wide demand,” she noted, adding that supply chains will adjust and resolve the resulting price pressures “without policy intervention.” Annual inflation has remained above the Fed’s 2 percent target for five-plus years, and was 3.4 percent last month, as measured by the consumer price index. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditures price index, the central bank’s preferred inflation metric, on Wednesday morning. While Cook argued the central bank attempting to fight “sector-specific inflation” via monetary policy tools “could be a mistake,” she acknowledged “some economy-wide pressure” from AI demand. “Data center investment relies on inputs, like construction labor and energy, that are broadly used in many sectors in the economy. As a result, increased AI investment could introduce price pressure to those other sectors,” she said. “You can see signs in the inflation data that the pressure may be broadening,” Cook later remarked, pointing to increased electricity and water costs. The Federal Open Market Committee, which Cook is a member of, voted unanimously earlier this month to raise interest rates by a quarter point amid persistent inflation. The decision came despite President Trump calling on the rate-setting panel to cut rates. Cook, whose firing by Trump was blocked by the Supreme Court over the summer, noted Monday that inflation “has been too high for too long.” But the Fed governor did not commit to any future monetary policy decision, noting the “number and magnitude of any future adjustments” will depend on how the economy reacts to the Fed’s recent rate hike. “Looking ahead, I will consider what policy rate may be needed to continue to guide inflation down to our target,” Cook said. Traders are pricing in a roughly 70 percent chance that the FOMC will again hike interest rates by a quarter point at its next meeting in late October, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
库克(Cook)的解雇计划曾在今年夏天被最高法院阻止;他周一表示,通货膨胀“已经持续过高太久了”。不过,这位美联储官员并未对未来的货币政策作出任何明确承诺,只是指出“任何未来的调整措施”都将取决于经济对美联储最近加息政策的反应。库克说:“展望未来,我会考虑需要采取何种政策利率来继续将通货膨胀率降至我们的目标水平。”根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具显示,交易者们预计美联储在 10 月底的下一次会议上再次加息 25 个基点的概率约为 70%。
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said Monday rising demand for artificial intelligence is leading to “broadening” inflationary impacts, with implications for the entire economy. During a keynote speech at the Oakland Tech Week conference, Cook noted that prices for Al-related goods, including chips, computers and software, have “surged” in the past year. “I believe that some of these steep price increases reflect a shift in demand toward AI-related sectors rather than an increase in economy-wide demand,” she noted, adding that supply chains will adjust and resolve the resulting price pressures “without policy intervention.” Annual inflation has remained above the Fed’s 2 percent target for five-plus years, and was 3.4 percent last month, as measured by the consumer price index. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditures price index, the central bank’s preferred inflation metric, on Wednesday morning. While Cook argued the central bank attempting to fight “sector-specific inflation” via monetary policy tools “could be a mistake,” she acknowledged “some economy-wide pressure” from AI demand. “Data center investment relies on inputs, like construction labor and energy, that are broadly used in many sectors in the economy. As a result, increased AI investment could introduce price pressure to those other sectors,” she said. “You can see signs in the inflation data that the pressure may be broadening,” Cook later remarked, pointing to increased electricity and water costs. The Federal Open Market Committee, which Cook is a member of, voted unanimously earlier this month to raise interest rates by a quarter point amid persistent inflation. The decision came despite President Trump calling on the rate-setting panel to cut rates. Cook, whose firing by Trump was blocked by the Supreme Court over the summer, noted Monday that inflation “has been too high for too long.” But the Fed governor did not commit to any future monetary policy decision, noting the “number and magnitude of any future adjustments” will depend on how the economy reacts to the Fed’s recent rate hike. “Looking ahead, I will consider what policy rate may be needed to continue to guide inflation down to our target,” Cook said. Traders are pricing in a roughly 70 percent chance that the FOMC will again hike interest rates by a quarter point at its next meeting in late October, according to the CME FedWatch tool.