字号 ·· | 护眼
time

美中就削减600亿美元商品关税达成一致U.S. and China to Cut Tariffs on $60 Billion of Goods

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

美国和中国已同意下调价值600亿美元商品的关税,商品范围从美国煤炭到中国玩具。

The U.S. and China have agreed to cut tariffs on $60 billion worth of goods, from U.S. coal to Chinese toys.

周日晚间发布的公告属于“30对30”框架,涉及约300亿美元美国对华出口商品和约300亿美元中国对美出口商品。5月特朗普总统访问北京期间成立的 美中贸易委员会建议对“非敏感”产品实行更优惠的关税待遇。

The late Sunday announcement falls under the “30-for-30” framework, covering roughly $30 billion of U.S. exports to China and $30 billion of Chinese exports to the U.S. The U.S.-China Board of Trade, established during President Donald Trump’s visit to Beijing in May, recommended more favorable tariff treatment for “non-sensitive” products.

拟议中的降税措施将惠及多种商品,包括活马、骆驼和钓具。白宫尚未说明降税幅度以及何时实施,不过中国商务部表示,两份清单中约90%的产品关税将恢复至“最惠国”水平,即根据不同产品确定的普通基准税率。《时代》周刊已联系白宫和中国商务部征求意见。

The proposed cuts would bring relief to a wide range of goods, including live horses, camels, and fishing tackle. The White House has not yet specified the size of tariff reductions or when the cuts will be implemented, although the Chinese Commerce Ministry said tariffs on around 90% of the products on each list would return to “most favored nation” levels, referring to ordinary baseline tariff rates that vary based on product. TIME has reached out to the White House and Chinese Commerce Ministry for comment.

美国贸易代表杰米森·格里尔周日在声明中表示:“特朗普政府将继续推动与中国的公平、平衡和互惠贸易,包括确保履行农业和能源采购承诺,推动非敏感商品贸易实现平衡,并为美国农民、制造商、企业和劳动者争取市场准入。”

“The Trump Administration will continue to pursue fair, balanced, and reciprocal trade with China by ensuring compliance with commitments on agricultural and energy purchases, pursuing balanced trade in non-sensitive goods, and securing market access for American farmers, manufacturers, businesses, and workers,” U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said in a statement on Sunday.

中国商务部周一表示,该协议将“进一步稳定”美中贸易关系,并为中国商品出口美国“创造有利条件”。

The Chinese Commerce Ministry said on Monday that the agreement would “further stabilize” U.S.-China trade relations and “create favorable conditions” for Chinese exports to the U.S.

这项协议标志着在去年贸易战升级导致关税水平高到令人望而却步之后,这两个全球超级大国为缓解经济紧张局势所做的最新努力。此前几天,中国国家主席习近平与特朗普在华盛顿特区会晤,并同意将贸易休战期延长至1月10日。自2025年5月两国同意将中国输美商品的额外关税降至30%、美国输华商品的额外关税降至10%以来,双方已多次延长贸易休战期。

The agreement marks the latest effort to ease economic tensions between the two global superpowers after an escalating trade war last year brought tariffs to prohibitively high levels. It comes days after Chinese President Xi Jinping and Trump met in Washington, D.C., and agreed to extend a trade truce until Jan. 10. The two countries have repeatedly extended their trade truce since May 2025, when they agreed to lower additional duties to 30% on Chinese goods and 10% on U.S. goods.

在最高法院于2月推翻特朗普的紧急关税措施后,特朗普政府在针对中国贸易行为的“301条款”关税和“232条款”行业关税之外,又对许多中国产品额外征收了12.5%的关税。

After the Supreme Court struck down Trump’s emergency tariffs in February, the Trump Administration imposed a separate 12.5% levy on many Chinese products, on top of earlier Section 301 tariffs targeting Chinese trade practices and Section 232 sectoral tariffs.

特朗普一直试图利用关税来缩小美国对华贸易逆差,并将制造业带回美国。格里尔周五对美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)表示,自特朗普上任以来,对华商品贸易逆差已下降了40%。据美国普查局数据显示,今年逆差预计将达到1400亿美元,而2024年为2950亿美元。

Trump has sought to use tariffs to shrink the U.S. trade deficit with China and bring manufacturing back to the U.S. Greer told CNBC on Friday that the deficit on goods trade with China has fallen by 40% since Trump took office. The deficit is on track to hit $140 billion this year, he said, compared to $295 billion in 2024, according to Census Bureau data.

但关税战也使两国经济承压,并促使中国出口商寻求其他市场。美国企业主此前曾告诉《时代》周刊,突如其来的关税变化推高了成本,并迫使他们考虑将生产转移出中国,而这可能代价高昂。

But the tariff war has also strained both economies and pushed Chinese exporters to seek other markets. American business owners previously told TIME that abrupt tariff changes had driven up costs and forced them to consider shifting production out of China, which could be prohibitively expensive.

新加坡管理大学法学教授高树超(Henry Gao)表示:“与其说这是在拆除关税壁垒,不如说是在开启一个安全阀:足以释放压力,但不足以改变冲突的结构。这或许能为双方提供喘息空间,但其设计初衷更多是为了暂停而非结束贸易战,甚至可能只是为下一轮交锋做铺垫。”

“This is less the demolition of a tariff wall than the opening of a safety valve: enough to let off steam, not enough to change the structure of the conflict,” says Henry Gao, professor of law at Singapore Management University. “It may give both sides breathing room, but it is better designed to pause a trade war than to end one—and may simply prepare the ground for the next round of fighting.”

总部位于新加坡的亨利希基金会(Hinrich Foundation)贸易政策主管黛博拉·埃尔姆斯(Deborah Elms)对《时代》周刊表示,这些削减措施“在很大程度上是一种象征性手段,表明在不解决重大挑战的情况下也可以削减关税。”

Deborah Elms, Head of Trade Policy at the Singapore-based Hinrich Foundation, tells TIME that the cuts “are a mostly symbolic way of indicating that tariffs can be cut without tackling the major challenges.”

但她补充说,这仍然是积极的一面:“至少,它为未来进行更严肃的贸易和关税对话提供了一种机制。” 哪些产品涵盖在内?

But, she adds, it’s still a positive: “At a minimum, it provides a mechanism for future conversations about trade and tariffs which might be more serious.”What products are covered?

该协议建议降低77类中国产品的关税。其中包括床上用品、遮阳伞、汽车座椅、鱼钩、台球、窗帘、电动剃须刀、充气球和黄麻壁挂。此外还包括节日装饰品,如果能在年底假期前实施,可能会为美国企业带来缓解。

The agreement recommends lower tariffs on 77 categories of Chinese products. These include bed linen, garden umbrellas, car seats, fish hooks, billiard balls, curtains, electric shavers, inflatable balls, and jute wall hangings. It also includes holiday decorations, which could bring relief to U.S. businesses if implemented before the end-of-year holiday season.

该协议还建议降低1619类美国产品的关税。其中包括黄油、动物内脏、玉米、小麦、冷冻肉类、海鲜和鹅肝等一系列食品。协议还建议降低化妆品、木制品、核磁共振成像系统等科学设备、兔毛和煤炭的关税。此外,还包括几种活体动物:驴、骡、马、鲸、海豚和儒艮。

The agreement also recommends lowering tariffs on 1,619 categories of U.S. products. These include a range of food items, like butter, offal, corn, wheat, frozen meat, seafood, and foie gras. It also recommends reduced tariffs on cosmetics, wood products, scientific devices like MRI systems, rabbit hair, and coal. Several types of live animals are also included: donkeys, mules, horses, whales, dolphins, and dugongs.

高树超认为,华盛顿将重点放在“日常中国消费品”上,表明其“旨在降低家庭成本,并在11月中期选举前为选民提供切实的物价减负”。对于北京而言,其清单上的美国商品,包括农业、能源、木材和医疗设备,“既满足了国内需求,又惠及了美国具有政治影响力的选民群体,”他说。

Washington’s focus on “everyday Chinese consumer goods,” Gao says, demonstrates “an effort to lower household costs and offer voters tangible price relief ahead of the midterm elections” in November. For Beijing, the American goods on its list, including agriculture, energy, timber, and medical equipment, “address domestic needs while also benefiting politically influential U.S. constituencies,” he says.

埃尔姆斯补充说,中国的“超长清单”涵盖了大量并未大量出口到中国的商品。

China’s “extremely long list” covers a huge amount of goods that are not exported to China in significant amounts,” Elms adds.

位于上海的中欧国际工商学院副院长、教务长兼经济学教授朱天向《时代》周刊表示,这些产品的选择反映了一种“谨慎”的态度,表明该协议更多是双方之间的一种“建立信任的措施”。

Zhu Tian, vice president, co-dean, and professor of economics at China Europe International Business School in Shanghai, tells TIME the choice of products reflects a “cautious” approach, suggesting the agreement is more “a confidence-building measure” between the two sides.

白宫周五还表示,中国同意在2027年和2028年每年从美国进口至少1000万公吨煤炭。中国此前曾在11月同意恢复购买美国高粱,并增加对美国大豆的采购。

The White House also said on Friday that China agreed to import at least 10 million metric tons of coal per year from the U.S. in 2027 and 2028. China previously agreed in November to resume purchases of U.S. sorghum and increase purchases of U.S. soybeans.

在特朗普的第一任期内,中国曾承诺增加对美国农产品(包括大豆)的采购,但未能完全履行某些承诺。什么是“30对30”框架?

During Trump’s first term, China pledged to increase its purchases of U.S. agricultural products, including soybeans, but fell short of certain commitments. What is the “30-for-30” framework?

格里尔周日表示,在所谓的“30对30”框架下,美中双方根据2024年的贸易额,各自推荐了价值300亿美元的非敏感贸易产品,这些产品“未来可能受益于更优惠的关税待遇”。

Under the so-called “30-for-30” framework, the U.S. and China respectively recommended $30 billion worth of non-sensitive trade, based on 2024 trade values, that “could benefit from more favorable tariff treatment in the future,” Greer said on Sunday.

格里尔称,该清单将改善美国对华出口中约30%产品的市场准入。

The list would improve market access for roughly 30% of U.S. exports to China, Greer said.

高对《时代》周刊表示,贸易委员会“为缓和局势提供了制度框架”。但他指出,该框架避开了“关于技术、补贴、产业政策和国家安全的各种核心争端”。

The Board of Trade “gives the détente an institutional framework,” Gao tells TIME. But he notes that it has avoided “the core disputes over technology, subsidies, industrial policy, and national security.”

他警告称,许多让步措施很可能通过国内政策而非具有约束力的条约承诺来实施,因此很容易被推翻。鉴于休战协议定于一月到期,高表示:“这看起来不像持久的和平,更像是两名重量级选手拳击比赛中的中场休息:双方都得到了喘息的机会,但最终回合的钟声尚未敲响。”被排除在该框架之外的敏感商品包括半导体、电池和电动汽车。高说:“两国政府都在政治上有利的地方采取自由化措施,同时在战略上有必要的地方保持压力。”

Many of the concessions, which are likely to be implemented through domestic measures rather than binding treaty commitments, could be easily reversed, he cautions. And with the truce set to expire in January, Gao says “this looks less like durable peace than a half-time break in a boxing match between two heavyweights: both sides get a breather, but the bell has not rung for the final round.”Sensitive goods, which are excluded from the framework, include semiconductors, batteries, and electric vehicles. “Both governments are liberalizing where it is politically useful, while preserving pressure where it is strategically necessary,” Gao says.

不过,高认为,“30对30”框架可能成为美国与其他国家之间“进行快速、交易型贸易谈判的有用模板”。这种框架将使各国能够“按美元价值匹配让步,保护战略部门,并在无需承担谈判全面贸易协定负担的情况下,取得政治上可见的成果”。这对企业和消费者意味着什么?

Still, the “30-for-30” framework could become a “useful template for quick, transactional trade bargains” between the U.S. and other countries, Gao says. Such a framework would allow countries to “match concessions by dollar value, shield strategic sectors, and deliver politically visible wins without the burden of negotiating a comprehensive trade agreement.”What does this mean for businesses and consumers?

根据2024年的贸易额计算,这些商品涵盖了美国对华出口额的约21%,以及中国对美出口额的约7%。2024年美国对华出口额为1435亿美元,中国对美出口额为4389亿美元。高表示,关税削减“为特定的出口商、进口商和消费者提供了实质性的缓解”,但他提醒说,这目前仍是一项提议,尚未实施。

The amount of goods covers roughly 21% of U.S. exports to China and 7% of Chinese exports to the U.S. based on 2024 trade values, which put U.S. exports to China at $143.5 billion and Chinese exports to the U.S. at $438.9 billion. The tariff cuts “offer meaningful relief to particular exporters, importers, and consumers,” Gao says, although he cautions that it remains a proposal and is not yet implemented.

挥之不去的不确定性,包括贸易休战是否会延长至1月10日之后,仍可能使企业更难制定计划,尤其是那些在去年关税战期间开始寻找替代供应商的企业。

Lingering uncertainty, including over whether the trade truce will extend beyond Jan. 10, could still make it harder for businesses to plan, particularly those that began exploring alternative suppliers during last year’s tariff war.

“即使贸易价值相等,也不一定会带来相等的经济收益;而且这些可以轻易撤销的关税减免措施,对企业来说在长期投资或供应链规划方面几乎没有任何确定性可言,”高(Gao)表示。

“Equal trade values do not necessarily produce equal economic gains, and easily reversible tariff cuts offer businesses little certainty for long-term investment or supply-chain planning,” says Gao.

值得注意的是,美国产的全豆并未被列入中国的关税减免清单,因此仍需缴纳额外的10%关税。自从中国政府减少了对这种农产品的进口后,全豆就成为了贸易谈判中的关键议题,这对美国农民造成了严重影响。

Notably, U.S. whole soybeans are not on China’s list and still face an additional 10% tariff. The crop has been a key bargaining point in trade talks after Beijing reduced purchases of the product, taking a toll on American farmers.

“显然,对于那些尚未收到圣诞装饰品订单的美国进口商来说,这些关税减免措施确实会带来一些帮助(尤其是那些进口木制圣诞装饰品和人造花的美国企业),”埃尔姆斯(Elms)说道。不过总体而言,这些关税减免措施并不能缓解两个市场中消费者的经济压力。

“Clearly, if you are an American importer that has not yet received your Christmas ornament orders, these cuts are going to be helpful,” Elms says, referring to the inclusion of wooden Christmas ornaments and artificial flowers on the U.S. list of Chinese products. “But in the main, the tariff cuts on offer are not going to relieve economic pressures on consumers in either market.”