哈迪·纳斯鲁拉用来售卖鲜榨橙汁的手推车，是这位海亚姆居民仅剩的全部家当。
A pushcart that Hadi Nasrallah uses to sell fresh orange juice is all this Khiam resident has left to his name.
他的房屋在以色列轰炸中被毁，而他的村庄是目前被以色列占领的黎巴嫩南部数十个村庄之一。
His home was destroyed by the Israeli bombing, while his village is among the dozens across southern Lebanon currently occupied by Israel.
几周后，以色列人将前往投票选举新政府。但纳斯鲁拉和阿杰济拉交谈的许多人一样，预计即便总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡——他在2023年发动了对黎巴嫩的战争——在10月的大选中落败，局势也不会有多大改变。
In a few weeks, Israelis will head to the polls to elect a new government. But Nasrallah, like so many others Al Jazeera spoke to, expects little to change even if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu – who launched the war on Lebanon in 2023 – is defeated in October’s general election.
纳斯鲁拉对阿杰济拉表示：“以色列有领土野心。这是关于‘大以色列’。因此，无论谁在选举中获胜，都不会停止破坏性的军事政策，也不会撤出黎巴嫩南部。”“所有关于建立安全的言论，都是其真实意图的掩饰。”几十年来，以色列一直是黎巴嫩南部许多人的敌人。但在过去三年里，在内塔尼亚胡的领导下，以色列军方与真主党之间的周期性冲突已演变为一场激烈且持续的战争。
“Israel has territorial ambitions. It is about Greater Israel. That is why whoever wins in the election won’t stop the destructive military policies and leave southern Lebanon,” Nasrallah told Al Jazeera. “All this talk about creating security is a cover for their true intentions.”Israel has been the enemy for many in southern Lebanon for decades. But over the past three years, under Netanyahu’s leadership, periodic clashes between the Israeli military and Hezbollah have transformed into an intense and sustained war.
以色列军方称其仅针对真主党。但其袭击肆无忌惮地针对平民区，自2023年10月以来，已造成至少8920人死亡、30595人受伤。沿以色列边境、占黎巴嫩领土近6%的地区仍处于被占状态——一切皆以安全之名。
The Israeli military says it is only against Hezbollah. But its attacks have rampantly targeted civilian areas, killing at least 8,920 people and injuring 30,595 others since October 2023. Almost 6 percent of Lebanese territory, along the border with Israel, remains occupied – all in the name of security.
如今，内塔尼亚胡正为其政治生存而战。然而，内塔尼亚胡政府并非以色列国内唯一支持在本国边境外实施军事行动的政治力量。
Now, Netanyahu is fighting for his political survival. However, Netanyahu’s government is not the only political force in the country that supports military operations beyond Israel’s borders.
内塔尼亚胡的主要政治对手、雅沙尔党领袖、前参谋长加迪·艾森科特，也在塑造自己作为安全鹰派的形象。
Netanyahu’s main political challenger, Gadi Eisenkot – head of the Yashar party and former army chief of staff – is also projecting an image as a security hawk.
他在黎巴嫩因在2006年以色列与真主党交战期间制定军事战略（即所谓的“Dahiyeh Doctrine”）而闻名。该战略主张在军事行动中动用大规模武力，甚至针对民用基础设施，以此作为威慑敌人的手段。这一战略在以色列最近的战争中得到了应用，尤其是在对贝鲁特南部郊区的毁灭性空袭中。
He is known in Lebanon for formulating a military strategy – the so-called Dahiyeh Doctrine– during Israel’s war with Hezbollah in 2006. It calls for the use of massive force in military operations, even against civilian infrastructure, as a deterrent against its enemies. This strategy has been deployed in Israel’s recent wars, particularly in its devastating aerial assaults on Beirut’s southern suburbs.
与内塔尼亚胡一样，艾森科特也主张以色列军队应享有充分的行动自由。但他指责内塔尼亚胡屈服于美国的压力，停止了对贝鲁特的军事行动；自4月以来，以色列再也没有对黎巴嫩首都发动过大规模攻击。他还强调，以色列军队应该有权在黎巴嫩的任何地方对真主党发动攻击。
Eisenkot, like Netanyahu, insists on freedom of action for Israel’s military. But he accused Netanyahu of bowing to US pressure to halt operations in Beirut, with no major attacks on the Lebanese capital since April. He also insists that the military should be able to attack Hezbollah anywhere in Lebanon.
艾森科特还指责内塔尼亚胡“盲目、傲慢且不负责任地”领导这场战争，并在缺乏明确政治目标或可持续外交支持的情况下使用武力。
He has also accused the prime minister of running the war “blindly, arrogantly, and irresponsibly” and using military force without any achievable political goals or a sustainable diplomatic horizon to back Israel’s military actions.
然而，内塔尼亚胡与艾森科特所追求的目标本质上是一致的：实现黎巴嫩南部的非军事化、解除真主党的武装，并为以色列北部居民提供长期的安全保障。
But Netanyahu and Eisenkot’s stated goals are essentially the same – a demilitarised southern Lebanon, the disarmament of Hezbollah and long-term “security” for the residents of northern Israel.
“他们其实都是一路货色，”贝鲁特南部郊区的居民马塞拉·纳斯雷丁对半岛电视台（Al Jazeera）表示，“自1948年以来政策始终如一——那就是摧毁和控制……以色列想要控制更多的领土。”2026年9月27日，在黎巴嫩贝鲁特举行的纪念哈桑·纳斯鲁拉遇害两周年仪式上，真主党支持者举着印有纳斯鲁拉画像的旗帜。[法新社（AFP）]在黎巴嫩边境对面的叙利亚南部，许多人越来越担心以色列军队正在向叙利亚境内数百平方公里的土地推进。
“They are all the same,” Marcella Nasreddine, a resident of Beirut’s southern suburbs, told Al Jazeera. “It has been the same policy since 1948 … destroy and control … Israel wants to control more territory.”Hezbollah supporters hold up a flag bearing the image of slain leader Hassan Nasrallah during a ceremony held to mark the second anniversary of his killing by Israel, in Beirut, Lebanon, September 27, 2026 [AFP] Syria policy Across the Lebanese border, in southern Syria, many are increasingly concerned about the Israeli military push into hundreds of square kilometres of Syrian land.
以色列现任领导层表示军队不会撤出。艾森科特似乎也不急于撤军，反而打算利用这种占领状态作为向新叙利亚政府施压的手段。
The current Israeli leadership says the military is not leaving. Eisenkot does not appear to want to rush a withdrawal and appears to intend to use the occupation as leverage against the new Syrian government.
这使黎巴嫩—叙利亚边境两侧的人们担心，以色列即将举行的选举非但不会带来改变，反而可能使他们的处境更加恶化。
It has left people on both sides of the Lebanon-Syria border concerned that instead of bringing change, Israel’s upcoming elections could make their situation worse.
“我认为，你应该关注从现在到选举期间会发生什么，而不是关注谁将领导以色列，”南部城市纳巴提耶的居民阿里·贾尔马克告诉半岛电视台。“内塔尼亚胡在民调中并不领先，因此他可能会升级当地的战争，以争取更多选票。”内塔尼亚胡已经推迟了与黎巴嫩政府之间的外交谈判。自8月初以来，以色列和黎巴嫩官员一直没有进行谈判。以色列还拒绝进一步从黎巴嫩撤军，除非真主党完全解除武装。但真主党拒绝这样做，并威胁要对抗政府解除该组织武装的任何企图。
“I think you should focus on what happens from now until the elections rather than who will lead Israel,” Ali Jarmak, a resident of the southern city of Nabatieh, told Al Jazeera. “Netanyahu is not leading in the polls, so he may resort to escalating the war here to gain more votes.”Netanyahu has already delayed the diplomatic track with the Lebanese government. There have been no negotiations between Israeli and Lebanese officials since early August. Israel is also refusing further withdrawals from Lebanon until Hezbollah fully disarms. But Hezbollah is refusing to do so and threatening to confront any attempt by the government to disarm the group.
总理纳瓦夫·萨拉姆面临压力，需要将国家权力延伸至黎巴嫩各地。他上周告诉联合国大会，与以色列签署的框架协议必须按照明确的时间表转化为实际行动，并建立核查机制，以确保协议的所有规定均得到执行。
Prime Minister Nawaf Salam is under pressure to extend the state’s authority across Lebanon. He told the United Nations General Assembly last week that the framework agreement signed with Israel must be translated into practical steps, under a clear timetable, with a verification mechanism to ensure all its provisions are carried out.
然而，这些话无人理会。以色列军方反而不断加大对黎巴嫩南部的袭击，军方指挥层正在讨论“行动的新阶段”。以色列政治对手之间的争论并非关乎是否维持主导地位，而是关乎如何维持。
It fell on deaf ears. Instead, the Israeli military has been stepping up attacks on southern Lebanon, and the army command is discussing “a new phase in operations”. The debate among Israel’s political rivals is not about maintaining dominance, but about how.