据三位熟悉谈判情况的消息人士透露,卡塔尔调解方本周为推动美国与伊朗之间的外交和解所做的努力几乎没有取得任何进展,双方都拒绝做出让步。
Efforts this week by Qatari mediators to broker a diplomatic breakthrough between the U.S. and Iran have made little progress, with neither side willing to budge, according to three sources familiar with the talks.
这一事件的重要性:这种僵局进一步加剧了双方之间的紧张情绪,使得人们认为军事冲突的可能性正在增加。美国官员认为,特朗普总统可能会在中期选举后下令恢复大规模军事行动。
Why it matters: The stalemate bolsters the belief on both sides that a renewed military conflict is becoming more likely. U.S. officials think President Trump could order a return to major combat operations after the midterms.
其中两位消息人士表示,卡塔尔方面会继续努力,但对双方的立场越来越感到沮丧。
• Qatari officials will keep trying but are growing increasingly frustrated with both sides, two of the sources said.
新闻要点:
Driving the news:
- 卡塔尔调解人阿里·阿尔-塔瓦迪于周一在纽约与伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉吉及其团队进行了数小时的会谈。
Qatari mediator Ali al-Thawadi met Monday with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and his team in New York for several hours.
- 有消息人士称,双方讨论了一份由卡塔尔提出的折中方案(该方案共两页)。
• A source with knowledge said they discussed a two-page Qatari compromise proposal.
- 根据另外两位消息人士的说法,卡塔尔的方案旨在同时满足伊朗要求解除美国海上封锁的诉求,以及美国要求伊朗在核问题上作出让步的诉求。
• According to two other sources, the Qatari plan was aimed at addressing both Iran's demand for lifting the U.S. naval blockade and the U.S. demand for Iranian nuclear concessions.
- 周一晚,阿尔-塔瓦迪在华盛顿与特朗普的特使贾里德·库什纳及其他美国官员进行了会谈;副总统万斯也出席了部分会谈。
• On Monday evening, al-Thawadi held talks in Washington with Trump envoy Jared Kushner and other U.S. officials. Vice President Vance also attended a small part of the meeting.
- 白宫方面拒绝对此事发表评论。
• The White House declined to comment.
背后的复杂情况:周一上午,白宫对谈判取得进展抱有希望。美国官员向包括Axios在内的多家媒体透露,谈判“积极且富有建设性”,并表示伊朗在核问题上表现出灵活性;官员们还表示特朗普愿意在伊朗采取具体措施削减其核计划的情况下,解除对伊朗的制裁并解冻其被冻结的资金。
The intrigue: On Monday morning, the White House was hopeful of progress. • U.S. officials briefed several media outlets, including Axios, that the talks were "positive and constructive" and that Iran "indicated they are flexible on the nuclear issues." • The officials even said Trump was willing to give Iran sanctions relief and release frozen funds in return for concrete steps to pare back its nuclear program.
然而几小时后,当卡塔尔官员仍在白宫时,特朗普却在社交媒体上表示自己并未向伊朗提出任何让步。
• But several hours later, while the Qatari officials were still at the White House, Trump posted on Truth Social that he offered nothing to Iran.
当前谈判的进展:其中一位消息人士指出,周一的谈判并未取得任何实质性进展。
State of play: One of the sources said there was no significant movement in the talks on Monday.
- 消息人士称:“谈判陷入僵局。伊朗方面提出的要求是美国无法接受的,而美国自认为占据上风,因此没有妥协的必要。”
• "It is stuck. The Iranians are asking for things the U.S. can't accept and the U.S. thinks it is winning so there is no need for compromise," the source said.
- 包括巴基斯坦和埃及在内的其他地区调解方敦促伊朗同意在核问题上作出让步。但据另一位知情人士透露,伊朗方面表示,只有在美方同意重返六月的谅解备忘录后,才会考虑这样做。
• Other regional mediators, including Pakistan and Egypt, urged Iran to agree to nuclear concessions. But the Iranians said they would only consider doing so after the U.S. agrees to return to the June memorandum of understanding, another source with knowledge said. The other side:
对方立场:伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书穆赫辛·雷扎伊周二表示,伊朗已向美国传达了其条件,但据伊朗媒体报道,“特朗普无法做出决定”。
Iran's Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Mohsen Rezaei, said Tuesday that Iran has conveyed its terms to the U.S. but that "Trump is incapable of making a decision," per the Iranian press. • "Trump is trapped in a quagmire in which he can neither negotiate nor fight," Rezaei said.
- 雷扎伊称:“特朗普陷入了一个泥潭,既无法谈判,也无法开战。”
What he's saying: "They are doing very poorly. I don't know if they are ready to give up yet.
他的表态:特朗普周二对记者表示:“他们表现得很糟糕。我不知道他们是否已经准备好放弃。他们会放弃的。这是为了阻止核武器。伊朗不会拥有核武器。”
They will give up. This is to stop a nuclear weapon. Iran will not have a nuclear weapon," Trump told reporters on Tuesday.