巴格达/华盛顿,9月30日——伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队敦促美国民众在国会选举中投票罢免唐纳德·特朗普的盟友。美国军队将于周三从其在伊拉克的剩余基地撤出,这一举措受到了德黑兰方面的欢迎。
BAGHDAD/WASHINGTON, Sept 30 - Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps urged Americans to vote out US President Donald Trump's allies in Congress as US forces were due to withdraw from their remaining bases in neighbouring Iraq on Wednesday in a departure celebrated by Tehran.
与此同时,卡塔尔继续推动其外交努力,旨在结束伊朗与美国之间持续已七个月的冲突。特朗普再次预言伊朗会很快投降。
Meanwhile, Qatar continued to promote its shuttle diplomacy aimed at ending the seven-month-old war between Iran and the United States. Trump once again predicted a swift surrender for Iran.
这封由伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队撰写的26页信件于周二公开发布,呼吁美国民众利用自己的政治影响力将现任领导人赶下台,并拒绝美国对以色列的支持以及美国在国外的军事干预。
The 26-page letter by the Guards, published on Tuesday, urges Americans to use their political power to remove current leaders from office and reject US support for Israel and military intervention abroad.
尽管这封信不太可能影响美国选民的投票决定(因为许多选民可能根本不会看到伊朗媒体发布的这些内容),但它指出了美国政治分析人士认为会对特朗普及其所在的共和党不利的因素。在11月3日的国会选举之前,如果民主党重新掌控一个或两个立法机构,可能会阻碍特朗普的政治议程。
While the missive was unlikely to sway US voters who may not even see the text published by Iranian media, it identifies issues that US political analysts say are working against Trump and the Republican Party ahead of November 3 congressional elections, when the opposition Democrats could retake control of one or both legislative chambers, potentially impeding Trump's political agenda.
信中写道:“将那些邪恶、欺骗性强且暴力成性的政客赶下台;让他们明白世界已经发生了变化。”特朗普在2024年的竞选活动中承诺避免新的战争、结束现有的冲突并控制通货膨胀,但他与以色列共同发起的对伊朗的战争反而导致了全球燃料价格的上涨以及中东地区的局势恶化。
"Remove from power the evil, deceitful, and violent politicians who are responsible for America’s current state," the letter said. "Make sure your politicians understand that the world has changed." Trump campaigned in 2024 pledging to avoid new wars, end existing conflicts and bring down inflation, but the war with Iran, which Trump launched alongside Israel, has contributed to higher global fuel prices and spread in the Middle East.
路透社和Ipsos联合进行的一项民意调查显示,只有17%的受访者赞同特朗普应对生活成本问题的方式;而只有34%的受访者支持对伊朗的军事打击。
A Reuters/Ipsos poll published September 21 found just 17% of respondents approved Trump's handling of the cost of living - the top issue Americans say will determine how they vote in November.
特朗普在2016年曾打破共和党的传统立场,称美国入侵伊拉克是一个重大错误;如今他终于同意了美军从伊拉克的撤军计划——这一撤军计划其实是在2024年由前总统乔·拜登提出的。
Only 34% approved of the strikes on Iran. Trump, who broke with Republican orthodoxy in 2016 when he called the US invasion of Iraq a major mistake, allowed the final withdrawal from Iraq on Wednesday, which was agreed in 2024 by former President Joe Biden.
美国从伊拉克撤军,这一决定是在美国领导的联军推翻萨达姆·侯赛因23年后作出的。那次政变引发了连锁反应,最终导致了“伊斯兰国”的崛起。
The withdrawal comes 23 years after US-led forces toppled Saddam Hussein, then triggered upheaval that culminated with the rise of Islamic State.
卡塔尔的调解作用:美国对伊朗的战争吸引了该地区许多伊朗的盟友,包括也门的胡塞武装、黎巴嫩的真主党以及伊拉克的民兵组织。利雅得将这些组织指责为9月10日袭击事件的幕后黑手——那次袭击导致沙特阿拉伯的“东西输油管道”被迫关闭。伊朗方面表示,其最终目标是迫使美军彻底撤离整个中东地区,并将美国从伊拉克撤军视为其在该地区所支持的武装组织“抵抗轴心”的胜利。
QATARI MEDIATION The US war in Iran has drawn in Iranian allies in the region, including the Houthis in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon and militias in Iraq, which Riyadh blamed for the September 10 attack that knocked the East-West Pipeline in Saudi Arabia offline. Iran, which says its ultimate aim is to force American forces to leave the entire Middle East, casts the US withdrawal from Iraq as a triumph for its "axis of resistance" of allied armed groups across the region.
尽管双方进行了多轮谈判和多次停火协议,但至今仍未找到结束这场战争的途径。上周在纽约举行的联合国大会上,谈判似乎有所加剧,但仍未就重新开放霍尔木兹海峡达成任何协议。霍尔木兹海峡是全球石油和液化天然气运输的重要通道;在战争爆发前(2月份),通过该海峡的石油和天然气运输量占全球总量的20%。
The US and Iran have not found an off-ramp from the war despite rounds of talks and several ceasefires. Negotiations appeared to intensify during last week's UN General Assembly meeting in New York, but have so far not yielded any agreement to reopen the strategic Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas passed before the war started in February.
卡塔尔再次扮演了调解者的角色——此前它曾协助促成6月份的一份谅解备忘录,从而实现了短暂的停火。美国和伊朗官员分别与卡塔尔调解人进行了会谈,但尚不清楚周二是否也进行了进一步的沟通。
Qatar has again emerged as would-be peacemaker after previously playing a supporting role in producing a June memorandum of understanding that led to a brief ceasefire. US and Iranian officials spoke separately with Qatari mediators on Monday, but it was unclear if exchanges took place on Tuesday.
“我们正在各方之间传递信息,努力寻找共同点,以达成一项能够让我们所有人摆脱冲突后果的协议,”卡塔尔外交部发言人马吉德·阿尔-安萨里对记者说。
"We are exchanging messages between the parties, and we're working towards establishing a common ground in order to get into a deal that would save all of us from the repercussions of the conflict," Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari told reporters.
与此同时,特朗普重申了自己的立场:伊朗绝不能拥有核武器,这场战争很快就会结束。这场冲突削弱了伊朗的常规军事力量,也对其本就疲软的经济造成了严重打击。作为回应,伊朗通过对美国在海湾地区的盟友发动导弹和无人机袭击,以及限制通过霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输,进一步加剧了全球能源价格的上涨。
Trump meanwhile repeated his position that Iran must not obtain a nuclear weapon and that the war would be over soon. The conflict has degraded Iran's conventional forces and damaged its already ailing economy, but Tehran has fought back with missile and drone strikes on US allies in the Gulf and by restricting oil tanker traffic in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed up world energy prices.
“我不知道他们是否还会放弃,但他们会放弃的,”特朗普周二告诉记者说。“他们的表现非常糟糕,”他补充说。
"I don't know if they are going to give up yet but they'll give up," Trump told reporters on Tuesday. "They are doing very poorly," he added.
上周,在联合国大会上,伊朗提出了一项和平方案,该方案将启动重新开放海峡的七天倒计时,并暂停战事。
At the United Nations General Assembly last week, Iran floated a peace proposal that would trigger a seven-day countdown to reopening the strait and a pause in fighting.
特朗普周六拒绝了该方案,但伊朗外长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐周日表示,华盛顿并未通过斡旋方正式传达美国的拒绝。
Trump on Saturday rejected the plan although Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said on Sunday that Washington had not officially relayed a US rejection through mediators.
特朗普曾将削弱伊朗的核能力列为他的战争目标之一,此外还包括终结伊朗攻击邻国的能力,以及为伊朗人推翻其领导层创造条件。
Trump has cited weakening Iran's nuclear capabilities as one of his war objectives, along with ending its ability to attack its neighbours and creating conditions for Iranians to topple their leadership.
伊朗没有核武器,并否认寻求拥有核武器。美国拥有核武器。德黑兰表示,作为《不扩散核武器条约》缔约国,它有权为和平目的开发核技术。
Iran, which does not have nuclear weapons, denies seeking them. The US is nuclear-armed. Tehran says it has the right to develop nuclear technology for peaceful purposes as a party to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.