英国政府与法国达成的“以一换一”协议本旨在帮助遏制小船偷渡，据政府消息人士透露，预计将于周四到期。
The UK government’s “one in one out” deal with France which was supposed to help deter small boat arrivals, is expected to expire on Thursday, government sources have said.
据悉，谈判因法国要求达成一项全欧洲范围的协议，以及不愿扩大两国间人员交换规模而陷入停滞。
It is understood that negotiations have stalled over French demands for a Europe-wide deal instead, and a reluctance to scale up the numbers of people exchanged between the two countries.
根据该计划遣返已被拘留人员的航班将继续执行，但预计将在几周内结束。一位英国政府消息人士确认，预计该协议将于周四正式终止。
Flights that remove people who have been already detained under the scheme will continue, but they are expected to end within weeks. A UK government source confirmed that the expectation was that the deal would be formally drawn to a close on Thursday.
“我们希望看到协议继续下去。但如果不继续也不是世界末日，因为它从未达到能对乘小船前往英国的人形成有效威慑的规模，”该消息人士表示。
“We would like to see the deal continue. But its not the end of the world if it doesn’t because it never got to the scale where it would have been a proper deterrent to people coming to the UK in small boats,” the source said.
内政部官员与其法国同行正在巴黎就如何妥善终止该协议继续进行谈判。
Negotiations in Paris over how best to tie up the deal are continuing between Home Office staff and their French counterparts.
根据该协议，已有超过1,400名乘小船抵达英国的人被送回法国，同时也有相同数量的与英国有联系的寻求庇护者被从法国接往英国。
More than 1.400 people who have arrived in the UK via small boats have been sent back to France under the deal while a reciprocal number of asylum seekers with links to the UK have been flown to the UK from France.
该协议原定于4月到期，但曾延长至10月1日，以帮助应对夏季预期增加的偷渡尝试。
The deal was set to expire in April but was extended to 1 October to help counter the anticipated increase in attempted crossings during the summer.
该计划由基尔·斯塔默和法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙于2025年7月宣布，首批航班于当年9月启航。
The scheme was announced by Keir Starmer and the French president, Emmanuel Macron, in July 2025, with the first flights taking off in September of that year.
法国坚持称这只是一个限时试点。但英国部长们希望增加遣返人数，以起到遏制偷渡的作用。
France has insisted it was a time-limited pilot. But ministers wanted to increase the numbers removed as a deterrent to crossings.
6月，法国内政部长洛朗·努涅斯称赞该计划具有潜在威慑作用，但仍表示法国不愿单独与英国合作。
In June, Laurent Nuñez, France’s interior minister, lauded the scheme as a potential deterrent but still said France was not prepared to go it alone with Britain.
“根据联合国难民事务高级专员提供的信息，这一计划的消息已经开始传播，这导致许多移民放弃了他们渡海前往英国的计划，”努涅斯先生在议会委员会上表示。
“According to information from the UN high commissioner for refugees, word of the scheme is beginning to spread, which is prompting a number of migrants to abandon their plans to make the crossing,” Mr Nuñez told a parliamentary commission.
“因此，这项计划的重要性显而易见。不过，我们认为法国不应独自承担这一责任，最好将这项计划纳入欧盟与英国之间的协议中。”
“The value of this scheme is therefore clear. Nevertheless, we consider that France should not bear the burden alone, and that it would be better to incorporate it into an agreement between the EU and the UK.
“我已经明确告知我的欧盟 counterparts，我们于2025年8月签署的这项试点协议并不打算延长至2026年10月1日之后。”在英国退出欧盟之前，就已经存在一项名为《都柏林协议》的欧盟范围内的遣返机制。但欧盟领导层拒绝了在英国脱欧后继续执行该协议的提议。
“I have therefore already made it clear to my counterpart that this pilot agreement, which we signed in August 2025, was not intended to be extended beyond 1 October 2026.”An EU-wide returns deal known as the Dublin agreement existed before the UK left the EU. Attempts to continue the returns deal post-Brexit have been rejected by EU leaders.
英国内政大臣沙巴娜·马哈茂德本月早些时候向议员们透露，将每人遣返回法国的费用约为5.6万英镑。
Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, disclosed to MPs earlier this month that the deal cost about £56,000 for every person sent back to France.
她还驳斥了那些认为欧盟范围内的统一遣返机制能够解决英吉利海峡移民危机的观点，她说：“认为这项协议就是解决问题的答案，其实是一个严重的错误。如果真是那样，这个问题早就解决了——但我可以向你们保证，事实并非如此。”
She also dismissed suggestions that an EU-wide system would be a “silver bullet” for the Channel crisis. “It is a real mistake to think that that pact is the future. And if we were in that, this problem would go away because I promise you, it would not,” she said.
她指出，政府的遣返计划在应对大规模移民回流方面遇到了困难，由于拘留设施等资源的限制，实际执行遣返行动在操作上非常困难。
She said the government’s scheme had struggled to scale up to larger numbers of returns, adding that it had been “operationally difficult” to increase removals because of constraints such as detention space.
“这项计划确实面临诸多挑战；目前被遣返回法国的移民人数仍然相对较少，”她说。
“It’s not been without its challenges. Obviously, the numbers are still relatively small,” she said.
截至9月27日，共有19,135人从法国乘小船渡过了英吉利海峡，这一数字比去年同期减少了42%。
Between January and 27 September, a total of 19,135 people crossed the English Channel by small boat from France. This was down by 42% on the same period the previous year.