俄罗斯警告北约：如果西方联盟试图切断与波罗的海接壤的加里宁格勒（俄罗斯的飞地）的交通联系，俄罗斯将不排除使用核武器。
Russia has warned Nato it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the Western alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, a Russian exclave that borders the Baltic Sea.
在一份发给北约的文件中（该文件已被路透社获得），莫斯科指责北约采取了“危险且鲁莽的立场”，这种立场“极有可能引发直接武装冲突”。文件指出，这种行为可能包括“俄罗斯从一开始就对北约成员国中的决策中心发动攻击”。
In a document sent to Nato and seen by Reuters, Moscow accused the alliance of a “dangerous and reckless course” that entailed “high risks of the outbreak of a direct armed conflict”. The document said this included the possibility of “Russian strikes against decision-making centres in the alliance’s member states right from the outset”.
文件中写道：“如果北约国家试图将加里宁格勒地区与俄罗斯本土隔离开来，俄罗斯将动用其所有可用的军事力量和手段，包括核武器，来捍卫自己的领土。”
“Russia will be ready to use the entire arsenal of forces and capabilities at its disposal, including nuclear weapons, in order to defend its territory should Nato countries undertake any attempt aimed at isolating the Kaliningrad Region from the rest of the country,” the diplomatic note said.
这一警告凸显了莫斯科对北约日益增长的威胁的担忧。加里宁格勒是一个军事化程度极高的地区，位于波兰和立陶宛之间，其面积略大于美国的康涅狄格州。
The warning highlighted Moscow’s urgent concern at what it sees as a growing Nato threat to Kaliningrad, a heavily militarised Russian territory that is wedged between Poland and Lithuania and is slightly bigger than the US state of Connecticut.
北约在一份书面回应中表示，自己是一个致力于抵御来自各方威胁的防御性联盟，并强调：“北约的任何演习或活动都不会对俄罗斯联邦的领土构成威胁。”
In a written response, seen by Reuters, Nato said it was a defensive alliance committed to countering threats to its members from all directions. “None of Nato’s exercises or activities pose a threat to the territory of the Russian Federation,” it said.
“我们呼吁俄罗斯联邦立即停止对乌克兰的无端全面入侵，避免对盟国采取更加鲁莽的行为，并停止使用不负责任的核威胁言论。”总部位于维也纳的核问题分析师、前俄罗斯外交官尼古拉·索科夫指出，西方国家在继续加大对乌克兰的支持的同时，越来越难以避免与俄罗斯发生直接冲突。
“We call upon the Russian Federation to end its unprovoked full-scale invasion of Ukraine. We urge the Russian Federation to refrain from increasingly reckless behaviour towards the Allies and to cease its irresponsible nuclear rhetoric.”Nikolai Sokov, a Vienna-based nuclear analyst and former Russian diplomat, said it was becoming increasingly hard for Western countries to keep stepping up their support for Ukraine without tipping into direct confrontation with Moscow.
他说，俄罗斯的警告可能表明，在关于如何应对西方行为的辩论中，强硬派正在逐渐占据上风。西方的行动包括向基辅提供武器、对莫斯科实施新的制裁、拦截俄罗斯船只，以及在加里宁格勒附近频繁进行军事演习和情报收集活动。
He said the Russian warning might indicate that hardliners were gaining influence in a debate over how to respond to Western actions that included arms supplies to Kyiv, new sanctions on Moscow, interceptions of Russian ships, frequent military exercises and intelligence flights near Kaliningrad.
“俄罗斯方面预计西方会采取更进一步的行动，甚至可能封锁波罗的海——在欧洲人看来，这种行为已经接近战争边缘；但对俄罗斯来说，这无疑意味着全面开战。我认为双方都有误判的风险，”索科夫说道。
“They [Russia] expect more action, including a blockade of the Baltic Sea – just below the level of war in European calculation, but for them this will be open war. I see a risk of mutual miscalculation,” Sokov said.
在一场在线采访中，他强调俄罗斯与欧洲正处于冲突的边缘，双方都需要保持谨慎并慎重行事。然而，索科夫指出，欧洲方面却选择了采取“高压手段”；而俄罗斯则发出了严肃的警告，称这种做法极具风险。
In an online interview, he said Russia and Europe were on a collision course that required caution and calculation on both sides. Instead of this, the Europeans were applying “full court pressure” and Russia was delivering a serious warning that this was highly risky, Sokov added.
除了这封私人警告外，俄罗斯在至少三个欧洲国家的大使馆在过去三天内也发表了声明，指责北约通过军事演习及涉及加里宁格勒的行动计划来加剧紧张局势。
In addition to the private warning, Russian embassies in at least three European countries have issued statements in the past three days accusing Nato of escalating tensions through military exercises and planning scenarios involving Kaliningrad.
克里姆林宫发言人德米特里·佩斯科夫将这些声明描述为对“欧洲那些鲁莽的人”的外交警告。
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described these as diplomatic reminders to “hotheads in Europe”.
自2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来，两国关系就已经非常紧张；而今年情况进一步恶化，欧洲各国政府指责俄罗斯通过破坏活动、纵火等手段在欧洲大陆发动了“混合战争”。俄罗斯否认这些指控，并拒绝西方政客关于其正在准备对北约成员国发动军事攻击的言论。
Relations, already dire since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, have sharply worsened this year, with European governments accusing Moscow of stepping up a “hybrid war” on the continent through acts including sabotage and arson. Russia denies that and rejects repeated statements by Western politicians that it is gearing up for a possible military attack on a Nato country.
一位北约外交官表示：“我认为这封俄罗斯的信件只是俄罗斯试图恐吓欧洲人的又一次尝试，而北约的回应是坚定且负责任的。这再次表明我们不会放弃对乌克兰的支持。”
A Nato diplomat said: “I would say that the Russian letter is only another Russian attempt to intimidate Europeans, and that the response by Nato is firm and responsible. [It] reaffirms that we will not be dissuaded from supporting Ukraine.”
一位欧洲高级国防官员则表示：“这是自冷战以来俄罗斯首次以这种方式威胁我们，因此情况非常严重。”
A senior European defence official said: “[This is the] first time since [the] Cold War that Russia is threatening us like this. So this is serious.”