他在利物浦举行的工党大会上首次发表首相演讲时，获得了广泛好评。
was roundly praised for his first speech as prime minister at the Labour conference in Liverpool.
《金融时报》称他的愿景“充满勇气”；广播主持人皮尔斯·摩根评价该演讲是“很长时间以来英国政治家中最精彩、最富有感染力的演讲之一”；记者安德鲁·马尔则表示，虽然他记得托尼·布莱尔也曾发表过出色的演讲，但“安迪·伯纳姆的表现可能更出色”。
The Financial Times described his vision as “courageous”; the broadcaster Piers Morgan said the speech was “one of the best, and most powerfully delivered, by a British politician in a very long time”, and journalist Andrew Marr said he remembered seeing Tony Blair speak, but “Andy Burnham might be better”.
这位新任首相的演讲重点介绍了他的社会福利计划。近几个月来，工党势头强劲，这一现象被称作“伯纳姆效应”。
The new premier’s pitch focused on his plans for social welfare. And in recent months, the Labour Party has been enjoying what has been dubbed a “Burnham bounce”.
一些民意调查仍显示这种积极趋势的存在，尤其是在与右翼政党“改革英国党”的竞争中。
Some polling still reflects that bounce, especially in the race against the right-wing Reform UK party.
周三，Survation民意调查机构预测工党在威斯敏斯特的得票率上升了两个百分点，达到29%；而“改革英国党”的得票率则下降了1个百分点，降至23%。
The Survation polling platform on Wednesday predicted Westminster’s voting intention for the Labour Party had risen two percentage points to 29 percent, while Reform UK fell one point to 23 percent.
伦敦玛丽女王大学的政治学教授蒂姆·贝尔指出：“工党的支持率上升在很大程度上并非因为大量‘改革英国党’的选民转而支持工党。”他认为，左翼和自由派选民更倾向于支持伯纳姆的领导方向。
“Very little” of Labour’s recovery is because of large numbers of Reform voters moving towards Labour, said Tim Bale, politics professor at Queen Mary University of London. He told Al Jazeera left-wing and liberal voters are likely more supportive of Burnham’s direction.
虽然伯纳姆有能力推动民意调查结果的改变，但这种积极趋势未必能持续长久。
While Burnham’s ability to move polling numbers is “significant”, the bounce is not “necessarily long-lasting”.
蒂姆·贝尔强调：“预算形势严峻，生活成本仍在上升，距离下次大选还有很长的时间。领导人的作用固然重要，但政府能否恢复经济繁荣以及能否改善关键公共服务的质量也同样关键。”
“The budget is going to be tough, the cost of living is still rising, and there is a long way to go before [an] election. Leaders matter, but so too does the government’s ability to restore prosperity and a sense that key public services are improving,” he said.
自工党在2024年大选中获胜以来，它一直与由尼尔·法拉奇领导的“改革英国党”处于竞争状态。
Since the Labour Party won the 2024 general election, it has been in constant competition with Reform UK, led by the telegenic Nigel Farage.
上周的一项YouGov民意调查显示，如果现在举行大选，工党将获得最多席位（241席），但议会将呈现“悬而未决”的局面（即没有一个政党能获得绝对多数席位）；保守党将获得130席，“改革英国党”则获得123席。
A YouGov poll last week found that if an election were called tomorrow, Labour would win the most seats but would face a hung parliament, with 241 seats. In contrast, the Conservatives would secure 130 and Reform UK 123.
但事实上，“选民们会聚集在那些最有机会击败‘改革党’（Reform UK）的候选人周围，”伦敦玛丽女王大学（Queen Mary University of London）的公共政策教授帕特里克·戴蒙德（Patrick Diamond）预测道。
But in reality, “voters will gather around the candidate best placed to beat Reform”, predicted Patrick Diamond, professor of public policy at Queen Mary University of London. He argued that Farage’s party is losing appeal due to recent financial scandals while Burnham is “regaining ground on the left from the Greens”.
他认为，由于最近的财务丑闻，法拉奇（Farage）领导的政党正在失去支持者；而伯纳姆（Andy Burnham）则正在“从绿党（Green Party）手中重新争取左翼选民的支持”。
Britain’s Prime Minister Andy Burnham is pictured on the final day of the annual Labour Party conference in Liverpool, northwest England [AFP] Burnham bounce A YouGov poll published on Tuesday showed Reform UK slightly ahead of Labour, a sign of how fragile the Burnham bounce is.
在英国西北部利物浦举行的年度工党大会最后一天，英国首相安迪·伯纳姆出现在公众视野中。[法新社（AFP）] YouGov周二发布的一项民意调查显示，“改革党”略领先于工党，但这恰恰表明伯纳姆的支持率回升势头非常脆弱：至少25%的选民会投票给“改革党”，24%的人会选择工党，19%的人会选择保守党；只有12%的人会投票给自由民主党（Liberal Democrats），11%的人会选择绿党，3%的人会选择极右翼的“恢复英国党”（Restore Britain）。
At least 25 percent would vote for Reform UK, while 24 percent would choose Labour and 19 percent would choose the Conservatives, YouGov polling suggested. Only 12 percent would vote for the Liberal Democrats, 11 percent for the Greens, and 3 percent for the far-right Restore Britain party.
“改革党”的副领袖理查德·泰斯（Richard Tice）对这项民意调查表示欢迎，并在社交媒体上写道：“伯纳姆的支持率正在下滑。”在2024年的大选中，工党赢得了650个议席中的412个，结束了保守党长达14年的执政统治。
Reform UK’s deputy leader, Richard Tice, celebrated the survey, posting on X: “Burnham bounces down.”During the 2024 general election, Labour won 412 seats out of 650, ending 14 years of Conservative rule.
然而，首相基尔·斯塔默（Keir Starmer）却是一位不受欢迎的领导人；与此同时，“改革党”的支持率却在不断上升。今年7月，斯塔默辞职了。
However, Prime Minister Keir Starmer proved to be an unpopular leader while Reform UK gained more interest. In July, Starmer resigned.
戴蒙德指出：“斯塔默辞职后，工党的支持率有所回升，但伯纳姆进一步推动了这一趋势。工党的品牌仍然具有一定的吸引力——最近的支持率下滑更多是由于基尔·斯塔默作为首相的不受欢迎程度以及公众对其政府的反感。”
“Once Starmer left, Labour’s position recovered, but Burnham has boosted that further,” said Diamond. “The Labour brand remains reasonably popular – recent difficulties were more related to the unpopularity of Keir Starmer as PM and public antipathy to his government.”
斯塔默因在以色列-巴勒斯坦问题上的立场、政策的反复变化以及缺乏领导能力而受到批评。
Starmer was criticised over a range of issues from his position on Israel-Palestine and his policy U-turns to his lack of leadership qualities.
随着斯塔默的支持率持续下降，“改革党”开始获得保守党的支持；这也是该政党在其短暂的政治生涯中首次出现民意调查显示其有可能赢得选举的情况。
As Starmer’s popularity dropped, Farage took support from the Conservatives and, for the first time in Reform’s relatively brief political life, had polls predicting it could win an election.
一年前，一项针对近2万名英国人的民意调查（由“More in Common”组织发起）显示：“改革党”若赢得选举，完全有可能在议会中获得96个席位，从而占据总共373个议席的多数。在2025年5月的地方选举中，“改革党”的表现超出了预期，共赢得了1,637个可选席位中的677个，占总席位的41%。
A year ago, a More in Common poll of nearly 20,000 Britons showed how Reform could secure a 96-seat majority in parliament, taking 373 seats. In the May 2025 local elections, Reform outperformed expectations, winning 677 of the 1,637 seats up for grabs, or 41 percent of all seats available.
然而到了7月，另一项民意调查显示：“改革党”获胜的机会有所下降，预计该党只能赢得293个席位。伯纳姆的承诺伯纳姆在周二表示：“我将打破过去40年的发展模式，为英国开辟一条新的道路。”他承诺废除前保守党首相玛格丽特·撒切尔在20世纪80年代推行的改革措施，并让公众在住房、供水和能源管理方面拥有更多话语权。
But in July, a More in Common poll found Reform UK’s chances of success had shrunk, with the party projected to win 293 seats. Burnham’s promises Burnham on Tuesday promised to “break with the direction of the past 40 years and put Britain on a new path”. He said he would overturn former Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher’s 1980s reforms and give the public more control over housing, water and energy.
虽然伯纳姆的这些承诺可能会受到部分工党支持者的欢迎，但戴蒙德指出，伯纳姆还需要争取中间派选民的支持。
While potentially popular with some Labour supporters, Diamond said that Burnham needs to address people in the centre.
“那些属于中产阶级的中间派选民至关重要，”戴蒙德说，“他们通常居住在那些选情不稳定的选区。他们支持工党在公共服务方面的一些政策，也支持促进经济增长的措施（比如加强与欧洲的合作），但他们对税收问题非常敏感，认为自己已经缴纳了足够的税款，希望政府能提高执政效率。这对伯纳姆的政府来说是一个巨大的考验。”
“Centrist voters who are broadly from the middle class are ones to watch. They often live in marginal seats,” he said. “They like some Labour policies on public services and support measures to boost economic growth, including by moving closer to Europe. But they are also very sensitive about the issue of tax, believing they already pay enough and want the government to be more efficient. That is a big test for the Burnham administration,” he added.