观察人士称，朝韩双方亟须恢复军事沟通，以防非军事区（DMZ）的地雷争端升级为武装冲突。
The two Koreas urgently need to restore military communication to prevent a landmine dispute in the demilitarised zone (DMZ) from escalating into an armed clash, according to observers.
随着朝鲜继续推进金正恩的命令，加固非军事区朝方一侧的缓冲区，这里的危险正不断上升。该缓冲区宽4公里（2.5英里），将朝鲜半岛南北两侧隔开。
韩国认为，相关工程包括在非军事区中央、标示稀疏的军事分界线（MDL）附近布雷，违反了1953年《朝鲜停战协定》。
The danger is growing as North Korea presses ahead with leader Kim Jong-un’s order to fortify its side of the 4km (2.5 mile) wide buffer zone separating it from the South. South Korea views the works, including the laying of mines near the sparsely marked Military Demarcation Line (MDL) running through the centre of the DMZ, as a violation of the 1953 Korean war armistice agreement.
上周一，两名韩国士兵在军事分界线以南清理道路，以便监视朝鲜方面的活动。两枚杀伤地雷爆炸时，这两名士兵受伤。
庆南大学远东研究所林佑哲教授说：“随着意外冲突的风险不断上升，首尔应强烈敦促平壤恢复紧急军事沟通渠道，防止局势进一步升级。”
Last Monday, two South Korean soldiers clearing routes south of the MDL to monitor North Korean activities were wounded when two anti personnel mines exploded. “With the risk of an accidental clash growing, Seoul should strongly urge Pyongyang to reactivate emergency military communication channels to prevent further escalation,” said Lim Eul-chul, a professor at Kyungnam University’s Institute for Far Eastern Studies.
“无论朝鲜是否接受，首尔都应积极提出这一主张，并持续施加压力。”韩国联合参谋本部周三敦促朝鲜道歉并停止边境加固工程，警告称否则朝方将承担一切后果。
“Seoul should actively make the proposal and maintain pressure regardless of whether North Korea accepts it.”South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff on Wednesday urged North Korea to apologise and halt its border fortification work, warning that Pyongyang would otherwise be held responsible for all the consequences.
韩国和由美国主导的联合国军司令部（UNC）组成的调查组于周二完成调查。调查发现军事分界线以南有3枚朝鲜地雷，其中包括上周炸伤韩国士兵的那两枚。
A team from South Korea and the US-led United Nations Command (UNC) concluded its investigations on Tuesday. It found three North Korean mines south of the MDL, including the two that injured the soldiers last week.
调查组在声明中说：“根据调查结果，联合国军司令部认定发生了违反停战协定的事件。”
“Based on the findings of the investigation, UNC determined that an armistice agreement violation occurred,” it said in a statement.
朝鲜断然否认负责，指责首尔捏造调查结果，并警告称，如果其部队遭到攻击，将遭到“立即且无情的报复”。
North Korea flatly denied responsibility, accusing Seoul of fabricating the findings and warning of “immediate and merciless” retaliation if its troops came under fire.
朝鲜领导人金正恩权势强大的妹妹金正淑周三发表声明称，韩国“武装暴徒”正把责任推给朝鲜，以期为日后的挑衅行动寻找借口。
Kim Yo-jong, the North Korean leader’s powerful sister, said in a statement on Wednesday that “the armed gangsters” of South Korea were shifting the blame to the North to justify future provocative actions.
她坚称，朝鲜士兵“从未越过边界”，同时指责韩国军方通过警告广播和鸣枪威胁朝鲜士兵。
She insisted that North Korean soldiers had “never crossed the border”, while accusing the South’s military of threatening them with warning broadcasts and gunfire.
平壤正在修建其所称的坚不可摧的“永久性”南侧边境，包括沿非军事区修筑障碍物、布设地雷和封锁道路。
Pyongyang is building what it describes as an impregnable “permanent” southern border, including erecting barriers, laying mines and blocking roads along the DMZ.
韩国统一研究院高级研究员吴敬泽表示，参与该工程的朝鲜军队人员已多次越过军事分界线。
North Korean troops involved in the project have repeatedly crossed the MDL, said Oh Gyeong-seob, a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification.
“这加剧了人们的担忧：即便边境地区只是相互进行警告射击，也可能升级为涉及战术武器的冲突，尽管冲突范围可能仅限当地。”林说。专家认为，朝鲜的举措表明，其意图为报复性打击制造理由。
“This fuels concerns that even a simple exchange of warning shots in the border area could escalate into a conflict involving tactical weapons, albeit a localised one,” Lim said. North Korea’s actions suggest it intends to build a justification for retaliatory strikes, according to experts.
“朝鲜需要把韩方的警告射击或排雷调查结果描绘成对施工项目的干涉和对其主权的侵犯，同时为一旦交火便实施报复奠定基础。”林说。
“It needs to portray South Korean warning shots or the findings of the mine investigation as interference with the construction project and an infringement of its sovereignty, while laying the groundwork for retaliation in the event of an exchange of fire,” Lim said.
上周的爆炸事件令人想起2015年8月发生的类似事件。当时，两名在非军事区内执行例行巡逻任务的韩国士兵被地雷炸成重伤。
Last week’s explosions recalled a similar incident in August 2015, when two South Korean soldiers on a routine patrol inside the DMZ were severely wounded by landmines.
作为回应，时隔多年，首尔方面再次通过边境沿线的扩音器对朝鲜进行宣传广播。高层对话最终促使朝鲜就该事件表示遗憾，化解了危机。
In response, Seoul resumed anti-Pyongyang propaganda broadcasts through loudspeakers along the border for the first time in years. High-level talks eventually led to North Korea expressing regret over the incident, defusing the crisis.
不过，吴敬泽说，平壤承认此次事件责任的可能性不大。他指出，2015年韩国曾提出确凿证据，包括显示朝鲜士兵在军事分界线以南布雷的视频。
This time, however, the chances of Pyongyang accepting responsibility were slim, Oh said, noting that in 2015 South Korea had presented compelling evidence – including footage showing North Korean soldiers laying mines south of the MDL.
“朝鲜的声明旨在阻止韩国在继续进行边境防御工事建设时采取军事报复措施，”他说。“为防止事态进一步升级和交火，双方应重新开启沟通渠道进行对话。”朝韩之间的军事沟通渠道实际上在2023年就已中断——当时朝鲜开始无视日常的热线通话。此后，平壤将朝韩关系定义为两个敌对国家之间的关系，而非一个分裂国家中等待重新统一的两部分之间的关系。
“North Korea’s statement is intended to deter the South from taking military countermeasures as it continues with the border fortification work,” he said. “To prevent further escalation and an exchange of fire, the two sides should reopen communication channels for talks.”Inter-Korean military communication channels were effectively severed in 2023, when North Korea began ignoring routine daily hotline calls. Pyongyang has since defined inter-Korean relations as those between two hostile states, rather than between two halves of a divided nation awaiting reunification.
朝鲜问题研究大学的教授杨 Moo-jin 表示，金正恩在韩国及联合国调查尚未得出最终结论之前就迅速发表声明，其目的似乎是“控制这一事件带来的负面影响”。杨 Moo-jin 还指出，这一声明也是为了预先阻止韩国重新开展心理战行动（例如在边境使用扩音器进行广播）。
Yang Moo-jin, a professor at the University of North Korean Studies, said Kim’s swift statement, issued before the South Korean and UNC investigation had reached its final conclusion, appeared intended to “contain the fallout” from the incident. It was also intended to pre-empt any resumption of psychological warfare operations by South Korea, including loudspeaker broadcasts along the border, Yang said.
这类广播对平壤的努力构成了挑战——平壤试图阻止外部信息传达到其军队手中，并破坏前线士兵的士气。
Such broadcasts pose a challenge to Pyongyang’s efforts to prevent outside information from reaching its troops and undermining frontline morale.
尽管平壤拒绝对话，韩国在野党“人民力量党”仍敦促李在明政府恢复这些广播活动。杨 Moo-jin 表示，朝鲜认为这起事件是首尔“为对朝鲜采取军事行动制造借口”的企图。平壤将韩国自8月以来的警告性广播及枪击行为视为对朝鲜军队的骚扰行为，并声称这些行为属于越界行为。
South Korea’s opposition People Power Party has urged President Lee Jae Myung’s government to resume the broadcasts, even as Lee pursues dialogue and exchanges with the North despite Pyongyang’s refusal to engage. North Korea appeared to view what it called a “staged incident” as Seoul’s attempt to “build a justification for military action against the North”, Yang said. Pyongyang has cited South Korean warning broadcasts and shots since August as evidence of harassment of North Korean troops and alleged incursions across the border.
杨某表示：“通过将该事件定性为蓄意策划的‘自导自演行动’，朝鲜正在拒绝采用2015年式的解决方式。这意味着拒绝后续的调查取证、认定责任和要求道歉等程序。”他还指出，非军事区及其他边境地区的紧张局势升级，也可能意在为可能举行的朝美会谈前向华盛顿施压。
“By defining the incident as a deliberately planned ‘staged operation’, North Korea is rejecting a 2015-style approach to resolving the issue,” Yang said. “This suggests a rejection of subsequent procedures such as fact-finding, determining responsibility and demanding an apology.”Heightened tensions along the DMZ and other border areas could also be intended to put pressure on Washington ahead of possible North Korea-US talks, he said.
韩国国家统一研究院高级研究员洪敏表示，朝鲜似乎担心参与该项目的人员遭到射击，从而被迫中止工程。
Hong Min, a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification, said North Korea appeared concerned about the possibility of personnel involved in the project being fired on, potentially forcing work to be suspended.
洪敏指出，由金正恩最高领导人亲自出面干预，而非通过军事渠道发布反驳，反映出平壤在与俄中关系强化、核武库进步及常规力量现代化的背景下充满自信。
Kim’s intervention at such a high level, rather than a rebuttal issued through military channels, reflected Pyongyang’s confidence amid strengthened ties with Russia and China, as well as advances in its nuclear arsenal and modernisation of its conventional forces, Hong said.
“然而，在边境工事项目完成前以及可能与华盛顿举行会谈前，平壤仍警惕局势迅速升级。”朴灿京 报道
“However, Pyongyang remains wary of a rapid escalation before the border fortification project is completed and ahead of possible talks with Washington.”By Park Chan-kyong