据联邦统计局周四公布的数据,受石油价格上涨推高消费者价格压力影响,瑞士9月年度通胀率从8月的0.8%攀升至1%,创下两年新高。石油产品成本的上升部分被服装和鞋类价格的下降所抵消。
Switzerland’s annual inflation rate climbed to a two-year high of 1% in September, up from 0.8% in August, as higher petroleum prices added to consumer price pressures, according to figures released on Thursday by the Federal Statistical Office. Rising costs for petroleum products were partly offset by lower prices for clothing and footwear.
剔除能源等波动性项目后的核心通胀率从0.4%升至0.5%,连续第二个月上涨。根据欧洲统一统计方法,瑞士9月的年度通胀率为1.2%。
Core inflation, which excludes volatile items including energy, increased to 0.5% from 0.4%, marking its second consecutive monthly rise. Under the harmonized European methodology, Switzerland’s annual inflation rate stood at 1.2% in September.
此前,瑞士国家银行于9月24日决定将政策利率维持在零不变,并表示中期通胀压力仅略有增加。
The figures followed the Swiss National Bank’s decision on Sept. 24 to leave its policy rate unchanged at zero, saying medium-term inflationary pressure had increased only slightly.
央行将近期通胀加速主要归因于能源价格上涨,并补充称瑞士法郎的疲软导致中期通胀预测略有上调。
The central bank attributed the recent acceleration in inflation primarily to higher energy prices. It added that the weakening Swiss franc had contributed to a slightly higher medium-term inflation forecast.
瑞士国家银行预计,随着能源通胀放缓,通胀将在第四季度进一步小幅上升,随后在2027年回落。
The SNB said it expected inflation to rise somewhat further in the fourth quarter before easing during 2027 as energy inflation moderates.
其最新预测显示,假设政策利率在整个预测期内保持为零,2026年的平均年度通胀率为0.7%,2027年和2028年均为0.8%。
Its latest projections put average annual inflation at 0.7% in 2026 and 0.8% in both 2027 and 2028, assuming the policy rate remains at zero throughout the forecast period.
该银行警告称,中东局势的不确定性可能导致能源价格大幅高于预期,从而进一步推高通胀并抑制经济增长。
The bank warned that uncertainty surrounding the Middle East could push energy prices significantly higher than expected, further increasing inflation and curbing economic growth.