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Datafolha民调显示:巴西大选决选情景下卢拉领先博索纳罗3个百分点Lula leads Bolsonaro by 3 points in Brazil runoff scenario, Datafolha poll shows

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档案照片:巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦(劳工党候选人)于2026年9月28日在巴西贝伦举行的竞选集会上发表讲话。路透社/马克斯·瓦斯孔塞洛斯/档案照片 发布于2026年10月2日 06:33 更新于2026年10月2日 06:33 圣保罗,10月1日——据Datafolha周四发布的民调显示,在本月大选前的潜在决选中,巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦领先其主要挑战者、参议员弗拉维奥·博索纳罗。

FILE PHOTO: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a candidate for reelection for the Workers' Party (PT), speaks during a campaign rally in Belem, Brazil, September 28, 2026. REUTERS/Marx Vasconcelos/File Photo Published Oct 02, 2026, 06:33 AM Updated Oct 02, 2026, 06:33 AM Listen SAO PAULO, Oct 1 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of this month's election, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday. In a simulated runoff, Lula would receive 48% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

在模拟决选中,卢拉将获得48%的选票,而前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗的长子博索纳罗将获得45%。此前Datafolha的一项民调显示,卢拉以47%对45%领先博索纳罗。

A previous Datafolha poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 45%. • The result still represents a technical tie as the poll's margin of error is 2 percentage points • In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 42% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (38%), Augusto Cury (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (3%) and Renan Santos (3%)

  • 在第一轮选举情景中,卢拉以42%的选票领先,其次是博索纳罗(38%)、奥古斯托·库里(4%)、罗纳德·卡亚多(3%)和雷南·桑托斯(3%)

• The previous Datafolha poll showed the leftist president with 40% against the right-wing senator's 36% • If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round on Sunday, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff set for October 25 • Datafolha surveyed 2,506 people between September 29 and October 1 REUTERS