这个错误注定了拜登的失败。特朗普正落入同样的陷阱。当我在拜登总统的白宫任职时,我们有很好的经济消息可以报告:强劲的就业增长、工资上涨、低失业率以及制造业就业的复苏。
This Mistake Doomed Biden. Trump Is Falling Into the Same Trap. When I served in President Joe Biden’s White House, we had good economic news to report: robust job creation, rising wages, low unemployment and a manufacturing jobs revival.
是的,通货膨胀在他任期初期飙升,但到他离任时,通胀已经大幅下降。拜登先生希望他的团队突出他的国内议程。
Yes, inflation spiked early in his term, but by the time he left office, it had come down considerably. Mr. Biden wanted his team to highlight his domestic agenda.
他的政策行之有效,他希望国家了解他正在做什么以及为什么这样做。但民调结果很明确:我们的经济信息没有引起共鸣。
His policies were working, and he wanted the country to understand what he was doing and why. But the polling was clear: Our economic message didn’t land.
包括我在内的白宫高级顾问们日复一日地开会数小时,试图找出数据表现强劲与公众信心低迷之间不匹配的原因。关于如何推进,我们有不同的意见和长期的讨论。
Senior White House advisers, myself included, would meet for hours, day after day, trying to get a handle on the mismatch between the strength of the data and the flagging public confidence. There were differences of opinion and long discussions about the best way to move forward.
我们仔细研究了数字,研究了不同的信息传递方案,并一直在寻找突破的方法。但美国人并没有感受到这一点。太多的人在为食品杂货、房租、托儿费和汽油价格而挣扎。
We pored over the numbers, worked through different messaging options and kept looking for a way to break through. But Americans weren’t feeling it. Too many people were struggling with the prices of groceries, rent, child care and gas.
他们的生活体验与令人鼓舞的经济消息不符,这种脱节塑造了整个公众舆论。
Their lived experience did not match the encouraging economic news, and that disconnect shaped the entire public conversation.
我们认为,如果我们能足够清晰地列出证据,人们就会看到我们所看到的。但他们没有,而我们也没有做出调整去理解他们的处境。
We believed that if we laid out the evidence clearly enough, people would see what we saw. They didn’t, and we didn’t adjust to meet them where they were.
拜登先生的一些顾问担心,过分强调人们面临的现实挑战会削弱我们正在阐述的观点。
Some of Mr. Biden’s advisers worried that too much emphasis on the very real challenges people were facing would undermine the case we were making.
其他人则认为,如果不预先承认这些挑战,会让我们听起来脱离群众。每一天我们未能达成共识,公众的情绪就变得更加固化。
Others argued that failing to acknowledge those challenges upfront made us sound out of touch. Every day that we failed to reach consensus, the public mood hardened.