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“整顿好你的房子”:国际货币基金组织总裁就债券收益率飙升向法国发出严厉警告'Get your house in order': IMF chief's stark warning for France over surging bond yields

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国际货币基金组织(IMF)负责人在周三接受CNBC采访时,向法国政府传达了明确的信息:必须控制国家财政。

The head of the International Monetary Fund had a blunt message to the French government in a CNBC interview on Wednesday: bring your finances under control.

法国目前正陷入另一场政治危机,激烈的学生抗议活动已进入第三周。

France is currently in the throes of another political crisis, with violent student protests now stretching into their third week.

这场运动席卷了法国各地的年轻人,他们抗议漫长的学习日、教师短缺以及学校设施破败等问题。与此同时,法国政府正试图争取政治立场分裂的议会支持,说服议员们同意实施数十亿欧元的支出削减计划。

The movement – which has seen young people across the country demonstrate discontent with long study days, teacher shortages and rundown schools – comes as the French government seeks to win over a politically fractured parliament and convince lawmakers to agree to tens of billions of euros worth of spending cuts.

法国的政治动荡已对该国政府债券(即OAT债券)造成压力。目前,投资者要求法国债券的收益率高于意大利政府债券,法国10年期国债收益率自年初以来已上涨超过100个基点。

Political instability in France has put pressure on the country's government bonds, known as OATs. Investors now demand a higher yield than they do for bonds issued by the Italian government, with French 10-year bond yields rising by more than 100 basis points since the start of the year.

IMF总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃在新加坡某活动间隙接受CNBC记者丽莎·金采访时表示:“我们在法国看到的情况是,一方面,国家接连承受着借贷冲击的累积后果,仿佛正沿着一条无法通往天堂的阶梯不断攀升;另一方面,法国国内动荡的政治格局也让财政部更难制定出一条清晰、严格的财政收紧路径。”

"What we see in France is a complication of, on one side, the consequence of borrowing shock after shock after shock, climbing on this staircase that does not lead to heaven, and on the other side, a political dynamic scene in France that creates more difficulties for the finance ministry to put a clear path for tightening," IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told CNBC's Lisa Kim on the sidelines of an event in Singapore.

她指出,法国“非常清楚地认识到,必须将财政赤字降至5%以下”。法国目前处于欧盟的“过度赤字程序”之下,欧盟建议该国将财政赤字向3%的参考值靠拢。去年,法国的财政赤字达到了GDP的5.1%。

She noted that there is a "very clear recognition in France that deficit needs to be brought under 5%." France is subject to the EU's excessive deficit procedure, with the bloc recommending the country bring its national deficit closer to a reference value of 3%. Last year, France's deficit reached 5.1% of GDP.

但当被问及法国当前的债券市场状况是否重演了2000年代初欧元区主权债务危机时,格奥尔基耶娃表示,如今的欧洲已具备更强的抵御能力。

But when asked if the current situation in the French bond market echoed the euro zone sovereign debt crisis of the early 2000s, Georgieva suggested Europe was better protected now.

“法国经济正在增长,”她说。“而且我认为我们需要记住,与以往相比,欧洲现在拥有更加成熟的体系。我们有欧洲央行的实力,也有欧洲为防范金融稳定风险而发展的其他工具。”

"The French economy is growing," she said. "And I think we need to remember that, [compared] to the previous time, we have a much more mature system in Europe. We have the strength of the European Central Bank. We have other instruments that Europe has developed to protect against financial stability risks."

但她补充道:“不过,我还是要再次强调——先把自己的事情做好。”

But she added: "Yet again, my message is — get your house in order."

当被问及,在学生抗议活动的背景下,法国政府提出的数十亿欧元财政调整计划是否会变得更加困难时,格奥尔基耶娃承认:“这肯定会很艰难,毫无疑问。”她指出,自新冠疫情以来,民众已经习惯了政府在发生冲击时“出手相救”。

Asked whether the multi-billion-euro fiscal adjustment being proposed by the French government would be more difficult now against the backdrop of the student protests, Georgieva conceded that "it's going to be tough, no question about it." She noted that since the Covid-19 pandemic, populations had become accustomed to governments "running to the rescue" of people and businesses when a shock occurs.

“尽管困难重重,但我们必须积极沟通,向民众解释为何实现更良好的经济状况实际上符合他们的利益。我认为我们需要更多声音参与讨论,不仅来自政府,也应包括工会和商界,从而团结民众,共同致力于改善更美好的未来经济前景,”她说。

"As difficult as it is, there has to be active communication to explain to people why getting to a better place is actually in their interest, and I think we need more voices to speak about it, not only from government but also from trade unions, from the business community, to bring people together on a mission to improve the prospects for better economic future," she said.

“债券市场会反映经济基本面,而基本面已经发生了变化,”她补充道。“通货膨胀上升,利率上升,政府债务高企。债券市场正在寻找信号,表明政府借贷将受到控制。我们鼓励各国政府发出这一信号,否则我们可能会看到债券价格进一步上涨。”

"Bond markets respond to fundamentals, and the fundamentals have changed," she added. "Inflation is up, interest rates are up, government debt is high. Bond markets are looking for signal that the government borrowing is going to be contained, and we are encouraging governments please send the signal because otherwise we may we may see further climbs up."